: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 10-10-25 07:59 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 17 1 28.00
2 Middlebury 16 1 20.00
3 Colby 14 3 8.00
4 St John Fisher 18 0 8.00
5 Wesleyan 13 5 6.00
6 Bates 7 9 4.00
7 Haverford 14 5 4.00
8 Stevens 15 4 4.00
9 Amherst 11 5 2.00
10 Bowdoin 6 9 2.00
11 Connecticut College 7 8 2.00
12 Denison 13 4 2.00
13 Franklin & Marshall 17 2 2.00
14 Pomona Pitzer 17 2 2.00
15 Salisbury 14 4 2.00
16 Union 13 4 2.00
17 York 16 3 2.00
18 Adrian 10 6 0.00
19 Albion 4 11 0.00
20 Albright 5 12 0.00
21 Alfred 6 10 0.00
22 Alfred State 4 9 0.00
23 Allegheny 5 12 0.00
24 Alma 3 8 0.00
25 Alvernia 4 13 0.00
26 Anderson (IN) 6 6 0.00
27 Anna Maria 2 14 0.00
28 Arcadia 8 8 0.00
29 Augustana (IL) 5 10 0.00
30 Aurora 11 7 0.00
31 Averett 5 6 0.00
32 Babson 14 3 0.00
33 Baldwin Wallace 10 9 0.00
34 Bard 1 13 0.00
35 Beloit 7 7 0.00
36 Berry 12 7 0.00
37 Bethany 2 13 0.00
38 Brevard 7 8 0.00
39 Bridgewater 10 9 0.00
40 Bridgewater State 14 5 0.00
41 Brockport 9 9 0.00
42 Buffalo State 12 7 0.00
43 Cal Lutheran 7 10 0.00
44 Calvin 11 6 0.00
45 Canton 7 9 0.00
46 Capital 10 6 0.00
47 Carroll 13 3 0.00
48 Carthage 13 4 0.00
49 Castleton 4 13 0.00
50 Catholic 8 9 0.00
51 Cedar Crest 5 7 0.00
52 Centenary (NJ) 5 8 0.00
53 Centre 7 8 0.00
54 Chapman 6 10 0.00
55 Chatham 11 6 0.00
56 Chicago 12 4 0.00
57 Christopher Newport 8 11 0.00
58 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 12 7 0.00
59 Clark 6 11 0.00
60 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
61 Coast Guard 10 6 0.00
62 Colby-Sawyer 11 7 0.00
63 Colorado College 18 3 0.00
64 Concordia-Wisconsin 5 10 0.00
65 Cornell College 7 8 0.00
66 Cortland 11 7 0.00
67 Curry 4 13 0.00
68 Dean 8 9 0.00
69 Delaware Valley 6 11 0.00
70 DePauw 7 9 0.00
71 DeSales 15 3 0.00
72 Dickinson 6 11 0.00
73 Drew 5 10 0.00
74 Eastern 2 12 0.00
75 Eastern Connecticut 13 6 0.00
76 Eastern Mennonite 6 10 0.00
77 Edgewood 10 8 0.00
78 Elizabethtown 8 7 0.00
79 Elmhurst 5 8 0.00
80 Elms 2 11 0.00
81 Emerson 5 11 0.00
82 Emmanuel (MA) 14 6 0.00
83 Endicott 14 4 0.00
84 Farmingdale State 9 7 0.00
85 FDU-Florham 4 10 0.00
86 Ferrum 7 8 0.00
87 Fitchburg State 2 15 0.00
88 Framingham State 10 9 0.00
89 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
90 Fredonia 8 9 0.00
91 Geneseo 12 7 0.00
92 George Fox 14 4 0.00
93 Gettysburg 16 3 0.00
94 Gordon 2 14 0.00
95 Goucher 5 10 0.00
96 Greensboro 5 10 0.00
97 Grove City 12 5 0.00
98 Guilford 5 12 0.00
99 Gwynedd Mercy 4 13 0.00
100 Hamilton 6 8 0.00
101 Hamline 6 9 0.00
102 Hanover 2 8 0.00
103 Hartford 13 6 0.00
104 Hartwick 7 8 0.00
105 Hendrix 5 7 0.00
106 Hilbert 1 11 0.00
107 Hood 7 10 0.00
108 Hope 13 5 0.00
109 Huntingdon 3 9 0.00
110 Husson 7 7 0.00
111 Illinois Tech 2 15 0.00
112 Illinois Wesleyan 8 9 0.00
113 Immaculata 3 13 0.00
114 Ithaca 13 6 0.00
115 John Carroll 15 2 0.00
116 Johnson & Wales 13 5 0.00
117 Kalamazoo 4 11 0.00
118 Kean 4 9 0.00
119 Keene State 11 7 0.00
120 Kenyon 7 9 0.00
121 Keuka 4 10 0.00
122 Kings 5 9 0.00
123 La Roche 13 1 0.00
124 Lake Forest 14 4 0.00
125 Lasell 12 6 0.00
126 Lawrence 1 12 0.00
127 Lebanon Valley 13 6 0.00
128 Lewis & Clark 11 6 0.00
129 Linfield 8 8 0.00
130 Lycoming 8 7 0.00
131 Lynchburg 12 6 0.00
132 Maine Maritime 11 2 0.00
133 Maine-Farmington 3 9 0.00
134 Manhattanville 5 10 0.00
135 Marian (WI) 5 12 0.00
136 Marietta 5 12 0.00
137 Maritime 10 7 0.00
138 Mary Washington 10 7 0.00
139 Marymount 17 2 0.00
140 Marywood 9 8 0.00
141 Massachusetts Maritime 4 10 0.00
142 Massachusetts-Boston 6 11 0.00
143 Massachusetts-Dartmouth 9 8 0.00
144 McDaniel 6 10 0.00
145 Merchant Marine 13 2 0.00
146 Meredith 17 3 0.00
147 Messiah 12 5 0.00
148 Methodist 12 7 0.00
149 Misericordia 6 11 0.00
150 MIT 13 7 0.00
151 Mitchell 1 11 0.00
152 Montclair State 9 7 0.00
153 Moravian 10 7 0.00
154 Mount Aloysius 7 7 0.00
155 Mount Holyoke 4 12 0.00
156 Mount St Joseph 3 8 0.00
157 Mount St Mary (NY) 8 10 0.00
158 Mount St Vincent 2 8 0.00
159 Mount Union 14 4 0.00
160 MSOE 6 12 0.00
161 Muhlenberg 12 5 0.00
162 Muskingum 6 10 0.00
163 Nazareth 11 8 0.00
164 Neumann 8 8 0.00
165 New England College 6 11 0.00
166 New Paltz 13 5 0.00
167 Nichols 13 5 0.00
168 North Central (IL) 9 7 0.00
169 Norwich 15 3 0.00
170 Oberlin 8 9 0.00
171 Occidental 9 9 0.00
172 Oglethorpe 7 9 0.00
173 Ohio Northern 10 8 0.00
174 Ohio Wesleyan 11 6 0.00
175 Old Westbury 1 9 0.00
176 Oneonta 7 10 0.00
177 Oswego 15 2 0.00
178 Otterbein 2 14 0.00
179 Pacific 3 12 0.00
180 Pfeiffer 2 11 0.00
181 Piedmont 13 5 0.00
182 Plattsburgh 3 12 0.00
183 Plymouth State 15 3 0.00
184 Potsdam 7 8 0.00
185 Puget Sound 3 12 0.00
186 Ramapo 5 8 0.00
187 Randolph 2 13 0.00
188 Randolph-Macon 14 5 0.00
189 Redlands 12 6 0.00
190 Regis (MA) 9 9 0.00
191 Rhode Island College 1 10 0.00
192 Rhodes 10 7 0.00
193 RIT 11 5 0.00
194 Rivier 8 6 0.00
195 Roanoke 12 7 0.00
196 Rochester 4 12 0.00
197 Roger Williams 10 7 0.00
198 Rowan 15 3 0.00
199 RPI 9 7 0.00
200 Sage 3 11 0.00
201 Salem State 8 9 0.00
202 Salve Regina 5 11 0.00
203 Scranton 13 5 0.00
204 Sewanee 17 0 0.00
205 Shenandoah 13 7 0.00
206 Simmons 7 8 0.00
207 Skidmore 6 10 0.00
208 Smith 10 8 0.00
209 Southern Maine 13 6 0.00
210 Southern Virginia 10 8 0.00
211 Southwestern 2 15 0.00
212 Spalding 4 12 0.00
213 Springfield 14 4 0.00
214 St Benedict 11 5 0.00
215 St Joseph (CT) 4 13 0.00
216 St Josephs (LI) 6 6 0.00
217 St Josephs College (ME) 12 6 0.00
218 St Lawrence 7 10 0.00
219 St Marys (IN) 5 9 0.00
220 St Marys (MD) 7 7 0.00
221 St Vincent 3 11 0.00
222 Stevenson 11 7 0.00
223 Stockton 11 6 0.00
224 Suffolk 6 10 0.00
225 SUNY Poly 1 13 0.00
226 Susquehanna 9 9 0.00
227 Swarthmore 10 7 0.00
228 TCNJ 14 4 0.00
229 Thiel 9 5 0.00
230 Thomas 1 10 0.00
231 Transylvania 7 9 0.00
232 Trine 11 4 0.00
233 Trinity 8 8 0.00
234 U New England 8 9 0.00
235 Ursinus 7 11 0.00
236 Utica 7 9 0.00
237 Vassar 10 6 0.00
238 Virginia Wesleyan 9 9 0.00
239 Warren Wilson 4 4 0.00
240 Washington & Jefferson 10 5 0.00
241 Washington & Lee 16 4 0.00
242 Washington College 7 10 0.00
243 Wellesley 1 14 0.00
244 Wentworth Tech 5 11 0.00
245 Western Connecticut 16 2 0.00
246 Western New England 5 11 0.00
247 Westfield State 6 11 0.00
248 Westminster (PA) 11 6 0.00
249 Wheaton (MA) 8 9 0.00
250 Whitman 11 5 0.00
251 Whitworth 6 7 0.00
252 Widener 8 10 0.00
253 Willamette 9 7 0.00
254 William Peace 2 9 0.00
255 William Smith 12 4 0.00
256 Williams 7 9 0.00
257 Wilson 3 10 0.00
258 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 11 7 0.00
259 Wisconsin-La Crosse 10 6 0.00
260 Wisconsin-River Falls 12 5 0.00
261 Wisconsin-Stevens Point 3 14 0.00
262 Wisconsin-Stout 7 6 0.00
263 Wittenberg 4 11 0.00
264 Wooster 16 2 0.00
265 Worcester State 13 6 0.00