: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:34 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 North Carolina 19 2 20.40
2 Northwestern 19 3 8.80
3 Stanford 17 5 8.00
4 Denver 16 4 7.20
5 Maryland 18 4 5.60
6 Colorado 16 4 4.80
7 Florida 15 4 4.80
8 Notre Dame 12 6 4.40
9 Johns Hopkins 17 5 3.60
10 Clemson 15 6 2.80
11 Georgetown 12 6 2.80
12 Penn State 12 7 2.80
13 Stony Brook 19 3 2.80
14 Michigan 13 7 2.40
15 Navy 20 2 2.40
16 Syracuse 14 6 2.40
17 James Madison 14 7 2.00
18 Princeton 11 7 2.00
19 Yale 13 5 2.00
20 Cornell 9 6 1.60
21 Pittsburgh 9 7 1.60
22 Army 15 5 0.00
23 Loyola (MD) 12 8 0.00
24 Virginia 8 9 0.00
25 Boston College 10 8 0.00
26 Duke 9 8 0.00
27 Massachusetts 16 3 0.00
28 Richmond 13 4 0.00
29 Rutgers 11 9 0.00
30 South Florida 12 5 0.00
31 Akron 12 5 0.00
32 Albany 12 6 0.00
33 American 4 12 0.00
34 Arizona State 8 10 0.00
35 Austin Peay 4 13 0.00
36 Binghamton 6 9 0.00
37 Boston University 8 10 0.00
38 Brown 8 7 0.00
39 Bryant 10 7 0.00
40 Bucknell 10 7 0.00
41 Butler 3 13 0.00
42 California 6 11 0.00
43 Campbell 11 6 0.00
44 Canisius 12 5 0.00
45 Central Connecticut 1 14 0.00
46 Central Michigan 4 12 0.00
47 Cincinnati 9 8 0.00
48 Coastal Carolina 10 8 0.00
49 Colgate 5 10 0.00
50 Columbia 7 8 0.00
51 Connecticut 7 10 0.00
52 Dartmouth 8 7 0.00
53 Davidson 15 5 0.00
54 Delaware 13 5 0.00
55 Drexel 5 11 0.00
56 Duquesne 2 13 0.00
57 East Carolina 8 9 0.00
58 Eastern Michigan 10 7 0.00
59 Elon 7 10 0.00
60 Fairfield 15 4 0.00
61 Fairleigh Dickinson 10 8 0.00
62 Florida State 4 12 0.00
63 Furman 10 9 0.00
64 Gardner Webb 2 15 0.00
65 George Mason 6 10 0.00
66 George Washington 9 8 0.00
67 Harvard 6 9 0.00
68 High Point 8 10 0.00
69 Hofstra 10 7 0.00
70 Holy Cross 7 10 0.00
71 Howard (DC) 3 13 0.00
72 Iona 3 13 0.00
73 Jacksonville 13 6 0.00
74 Kennesaw State 8 10 0.00
75 Kent State 7 10 0.00
76 La Salle 3 14 0.00
77 Lafayette 5 10 0.00
78 Le Moyne 14 4 0.00
79 Lehigh 6 10 0.00
80 Liberty 8 11 0.00
81 Lindenwood 8 11 0.00
82 LIU 10 7 0.00
83 Longwood 3 12 0.00
84 Louisville 6 9 0.00
85 Manhattan 3 14 0.00
86 Marist 4 12 0.00
87 Marquette 9 7 0.00
88 Massachusetts-Lowell 6 10 0.00
89 Mercer 13 7 0.00
90 Mercyhurst 3 11 0.00
91 Merrimack 6 11 0.00
92 Monmouth (NJ) 9 8 0.00
93 Mount St Marys 10 7 0.00
94 New Hampshire 4 12 0.00
95 New Haven 5 9 0.00
96 Niagara 8 9 0.00
97 Ohio State 9 8 0.00
98 Old Dominion 5 12 0.00
99 Oregon 6 10 0.00
100 Penn 8 8 0.00
101 Presbyterian 5 12 0.00
102 Queens 3 12 0.00
103 Quinnipiac 10 8 0.00
104 Radford 4 14 0.00
105 Rhode Island 6 10 0.00
106 Rider 1 16 0.00
107 Robert Morris 6 12 0.00
108 Sacred Heart 5 10 0.00
109 San Diego State 3 13 0.00
110 Siena 12 7 0.00
111 Southern California 8 9 0.00
112 St Bonaventure 11 8 0.00
113 St Josephs (PA) 7 10 0.00
114 Stetson 3 13 0.00
115 Stonehill 13 7 0.00
116 Temple 12 5 0.00
117 Towson 8 11 0.00
118 UC Davis 7 9 0.00
119 UMBC 7 8 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte 6 9 0.00
121 Vanderbilt 8 9 0.00
122 VCU 13 5 0.00
123 Vermont 10 7 0.00
124 Villanova 9 6 0.00
125 Virginia Tech 9 8 0.00
126 Wagner 6 9 0.00
127 William & Mary 7 9 0.00
128 Winthrop 6 10 0.00
129 Wofford 9 10 0.00
130 Xavier 2 14 0.00
131 Youngstown State 3 13 0.00