: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:18 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 North Carolina 18 1 18.40
2 Northwestern 17 3 13.60
3 Maryland 18 3 6.80
4 Colorado 16 4 6.00
5 Denver 16 4 5.60
6 Notre Dame 12 6 4.80
7 Stanford 17 5 4.80
8 Syracuse 14 6 4.00
9 Johns Hopkins 17 4 3.20
10 Navy 20 2 3.20
11 Michigan 13 7 2.80
12 Penn State 12 7 2.80
13 Stony Brook 19 3 2.80
14 Yale 13 5 2.80
15 Clemson 15 6 2.40
16 Florida 15 4 2.00
17 Army 15 5 1.60
18 Boston College 10 8 1.60
19 Duke 9 8 1.60
20 Princeton 11 7 1.60
21 Loyola (MD) 12 8 1.20
22 Richmond 13 4 1.20
23 Virginia 8 9 1.20
24 Georgetown 12 6 0.00
25 James Madison 14 7 0.00
26 Pittsburgh 9 7 0.00
27 South Florida 12 5 0.00
28 Jacksonville 13 6 0.00
29 Massachusetts 16 3 0.00
30 Akron 12 5 0.00
31 Albany 12 6 0.00
32 American 4 12 0.00
33 Arizona State 8 10 0.00
34 Austin Peay 4 13 0.00
35 Binghamton 6 9 0.00
36 Boston University 8 10 0.00
37 Brown 8 7 0.00
38 Bryant 10 7 0.00
39 Bucknell 10 7 0.00
40 Butler 3 13 0.00
41 California 6 11 0.00
42 Campbell 11 6 0.00
43 Canisius 12 5 0.00
44 Central Connecticut 1 14 0.00
45 Central Michigan 4 12 0.00
46 Cincinnati 9 8 0.00
47 Coastal Carolina 10 8 0.00
48 Colgate 5 10 0.00
49 Columbia 7 8 0.00
50 Connecticut 7 10 0.00
51 Cornell 9 6 0.00
52 Dartmouth 8 7 0.00
53 Davidson 15 5 0.00
54 Delaware 13 5 0.00
55 Drexel 5 11 0.00
56 Duquesne 2 13 0.00
57 East Carolina 8 9 0.00
58 Eastern Michigan 10 7 0.00
59 Elon 7 10 0.00
60 Fairfield 15 4 0.00
61 Fairleigh Dickinson 10 8 0.00
62 Florida State 4 12 0.00
63 Furman 10 9 0.00
64 Gardner Webb 2 15 0.00
65 George Mason 6 10 0.00
66 George Washington 9 8 0.00
67 Harvard 6 9 0.00
68 High Point 8 10 0.00
69 Hofstra 10 7 0.00
70 Holy Cross 7 10 0.00
71 Howard (DC) 3 13 0.00
72 Iona 3 13 0.00
73 Kennesaw State 8 10 0.00
74 Kent State 7 10 0.00
75 La Salle 3 14 0.00
76 Lafayette 5 10 0.00
77 Le Moyne 14 4 0.00
78 Lehigh 6 10 0.00
79 Liberty 8 11 0.00
80 Lindenwood 8 11 0.00
81 LIU 10 7 0.00
82 Longwood 3 12 0.00
83 Louisville 6 9 0.00
84 Manhattan 3 14 0.00
85 Marist 4 12 0.00
86 Marquette 9 7 0.00
87 Massachusetts-Lowell 6 10 0.00
88 Mercer 13 7 0.00
89 Mercyhurst 3 11 0.00
90 Merrimack 6 11 0.00
91 Monmouth (NJ) 9 8 0.00
92 Mount St Marys 10 7 0.00
93 New Hampshire 4 12 0.00
94 New Haven 5 9 0.00
95 Niagara 8 9 0.00
96 Ohio State 9 8 0.00
97 Old Dominion 5 12 0.00
98 Oregon 6 10 0.00
99 Penn 8 8 0.00
100 Presbyterian 5 12 0.00
101 Queens 3 12 0.00
102 Quinnipiac 10 8 0.00
103 Radford 4 14 0.00
104 Rhode Island 6 10 0.00
105 Rider 1 16 0.00
106 Robert Morris 6 12 0.00
107 Rutgers 11 9 0.00
108 Sacred Heart 5 10 0.00
109 San Diego State 3 13 0.00
110 Siena 12 7 0.00
111 Southern California 8 9 0.00
112 St Bonaventure 11 8 0.00
113 St Josephs (PA) 7 10 0.00
114 Stetson 3 13 0.00
115 Stonehill 13 7 0.00
116 Temple 12 5 0.00
117 Towson 8 11 0.00
118 UC Davis 7 9 0.00
119 UMBC 7 8 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte 6 9 0.00
121 Vanderbilt 8 9 0.00
122 VCU 13 5 0.00
123 Vermont 10 7 0.00
124 Villanova 9 6 0.00
125 Virginia Tech 9 8 0.00
126 Wagner 6 9 0.00
127 William & Mary 7 9 0.00
128 Winthrop 6 10 0.00
129 Wofford 9 10 0.00
130 Xavier 2 14 0.00
131 Youngstown State 3 13 0.00