: Probability Men's Division III

            UPDATED: 10-10-25 07:57 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 18 0 32.00
2 Bowdoin 13 3 8.00
3 Christopher Newport 16 3 8.00
4 RIT 18 1 6.00
5 Salisbury 19 0 6.00
6 Denison 13 6 4.00
7 Gettysburg 13 4 4.00
8 RPI 14 3 4.00
9 St Lawrence 11 6 4.00
10 Stevens 15 3 4.00
11 Babson 13 5 2.00
12 Connecticut College 7 8 2.00
13 Cortland 17 2 2.00
14 Endicott 13 3 2.00
15 Hamilton 7 8 2.00
16 Ithaca 10 9 2.00
17 Lynchburg 13 6 2.00
18 Wesleyan 12 5 2.00
19 Williams 7 9 2.00
20 York 16 3 2.00
21 Adrian 11 7 0.00
22 Albertus Magnus 5 10 0.00
23 Albion 11 8 0.00
24 Albright 1 16 0.00
25 Alfred 6 9 0.00
26 Alfred State 7 6 0.00
27 Allegheny 8 9 0.00
28 Alma 6 7 0.00
29 Alvernia 7 9 0.00
30 Amherst 10 5 0.00
31 Anderson (IN) 3 11 0.00
32 Anna Maria 4 11 0.00
33 Arcadia 12 7 0.00
34 Aurora 14 5 0.00
35 Averett 4 13 0.00
36 Baldwin Wallace 14 5 0.00
37 Bates 9 7 0.00
38 Beloit 4 11 0.00
39 Benedictine (IL) 6 12 0.00
40 Berry 4 9 0.00
41 Bethany 7 9 0.00
42 Brevard 2 12 0.00
43 Bridgewater 5 12 0.00
44 Brockport 8 9 0.00
45 Bryn Athyn 3 7 0.00
46 Calvin 6 10 0.00
47 Canton 1 11 0.00
48 Capital 6 10 0.00
49 Carroll 5 8 0.00
50 Carthage 11 5 0.00
51 Castleton 3 12 0.00
52 Catholic 9 10 0.00
53 Centenary (LA) 5 5 0.00
54 Centre 9 7 0.00
55 Chatham 13 6 0.00
56 Clark 9 6 0.00
57 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
58 Coast Guard 9 6 0.00
59 Cobleskill 2 7 0.00
60 Colby 3 10 0.00
61 Colorado College 8 6 0.00
62 Concordia-Wisconsin 12 8 0.00
63 Cornell College 4 11 0.00
64 Curry 2 14 0.00
65 Dean College 12 4 0.00
66 Delaware Valley 4 12 0.00
67 Delhi 11 5 0.00
68 DePauw 5 9 0.00
69 DeSales 10 10 0.00
70 Dickinson 13 5 0.00
71 Drew 10 7 0.00
72 Dubuque 11 7 0.00
73 Earlham 6 7 0.00
74 Eastern 9 9 0.00
75 Eastern Connecticut 6 8 0.00
76 Edgewood 4 11 0.00
77 Elizabethtown 11 7 0.00
78 Elmhurst 13 3 0.00
79 Emerson 2 12 0.00
80 Emmanuel (MA) 10 8 0.00
81 Farmingdale State 16 1 0.00
82 FDU-Florham 10 6 0.00
83 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
84 Franklin & Marshall 11 6 0.00
85 Geneseo 11 7 0.00
86 Gordon 1 11 0.00
87 Goucher 9 8 0.00
88 Greensboro 5 12 0.00
89 Grove City 13 7 0.00
90 Guilford 5 13 0.00
91 Gwynedd Mercy 6 10 0.00
92 Hampden-Sydney 12 6 0.00
93 Hanover 10 3 0.00
94 Hartford 9 6 0.00
95 Hartwick 9 7 0.00
96 Haverford 9 7 0.00
97 Heidelberg 4 12 0.00
98 Hendrix 4 11 0.00
99 Hilbert 4 6 0.00
100 Hiram 3 14 0.00
101 Hood 9 5 0.00
102 Hope 11 5 0.00
103 Huntingdon 4 9 0.00
104 Husson 8 7 0.00
105 Illinois Tech 8 9 0.00
106 Illinois Wesleyan 14 2 0.00
107 Immaculata 14 5 0.00
108 John Carroll 9 8 0.00
109 Johnson & Wales 7 9 0.00
110 Juniata 3 14 0.00
111 Kalamazoo 6 7 0.00
112 Kean 14 5 0.00
113 Keene State 8 10 0.00
114 Kenyon 10 6 0.00
115 Keuka 3 12 0.00
116 Kings 2 13 0.00
117 La Roche 1 11 0.00
118 LaGrange 2 7 0.00
119 Lake Forest 10 8 0.00
120 Lasell 14 5 0.00
121 Lawrence 4 11 0.00
122 Lebanon Valley 7 10 0.00
123 Lycoming 6 9 0.00
124 Maine Maritime 10 5 0.00
125 Manhattanville 5 12 0.00
126 Marian (WI) 1 12 0.00
127 Marietta 8 8 0.00
128 Maritime 8 8 0.00
129 Mary Washington 9 8 0.00
130 Marymount 11 6 0.00
131 Marywood 9 9 0.00
132 Massachusetts Maritime 9 7 0.00
133 Massachusetts-Boston 14 5 0.00
134 McDaniel 4 13 0.00
135 MCLA 2 9 0.00
136 Merchant Marine 10 6 0.00
137 Messiah 6 11 0.00
138 Methodist 12 7 0.00
139 Middlebury 9 8 0.00
140 Misericordia 8 9 0.00
141 MIT 7 8 0.00
142 Montclair State 8 8 0.00
143 Moravian 9 7 0.00
144 Morrisville 2 10 0.00
145 Mount St Mary (NY) 5 9 0.00
146 Mount St Vincent 5 10 0.00
147 Mount Union 12 5 0.00
148 MSOE 10 7 0.00
149 Muhlenberg 10 9 0.00
150 Muskingum 5 12 0.00
151 Nazareth 13 6 0.00
152 Neumann 4 13 0.00
153 New England College 7 9 0.00
154 New Paltz 6 11 0.00
155 Nichols 3 14 0.00
156 North Central 7 6 0.00
157 Norwich 4 11 0.00
158 Oberlin 11 5 0.00
159 Oglethorpe 2 11 0.00
160 Ohio Northern 15 4 0.00
161 Ohio Wesleyan 15 3 0.00
162 Oneonta 9 10 0.00
163 Oswego 10 5 0.00
164 Otterbein 9 7 0.00
165 Penn College 14 5 0.00
166 Pfeiffer 14 3 0.00
167 Piedmont 10 5 0.00
168 Pitt-Bradford 5 7 0.00
169 Plattsburgh 6 8 0.00
170 Plymouth State 11 5 0.00
171 Potsdam 8 7 0.00
172 Purchase 3 12 0.00
173 Randolph 1 16 0.00
174 Randolph-Macon 12 8 0.00
175 Regis (MA) 2 10 0.00
176 Rhodes 13 4 0.00
177 Rivier 16 1 0.00
178 Roanoke 13 6 0.00
179 Roger Williams 9 8 0.00
180 Rosemont 5 7 0.00
181 Sage 5 12 0.00
182 Salem State 8 8 0.00
183 Salve Regina 12 6 0.00
184 Scranton 11 8 0.00
185 Sewanee 11 7 0.00
186 Shenandoah 8 11 0.00
187 Skidmore 8 7 0.00
188 Southern Maine 1 14 0.00
189 Southern Virginia 7 9 0.00
190 Southwestern 7 7 0.00
191 Springfield 10 7 0.00
192 St John Fisher 15 4 0.00
193 St Joseph (CT) 9 8 0.00
194 St Josephs (LI) 3 9 0.00
195 St Josephs (ME) 7 9 0.00
196 St Marys (MD) 9 7 0.00
197 St Vincent 9 8 0.00
198 Stevenson 14 5 0.00
199 Stockton 9 10 0.00
200 SUNY Poly 5 10 0.00
201 Susquehanna 13 6 0.00
202 Swarthmore 12 5 0.00
203 Thiel 1 14 0.00
204 Thomas 4 10 0.00
205 Transylvania 8 5 0.00
206 Trine 12 6 0.00
207 Trinity 8 7 0.00
208 U of New England 8 9 0.00
209 Union 4 10 0.00
210 Ursinus 5 10 0.00
211 Utica 6 10 0.00
212 Vassar 6 9 0.00
213 Virginia Wesleyan 7 11 0.00
214 Wabash 8 8 0.00
215 Warren Wilson 1 9 0.00
216 Washington & Jefferson 5 12 0.00
217 Washington & Lee 16 3 0.00
218 Washington College 7 10 0.00
219 Wentworth 13 4 0.00
220 Western Connecticut 13 6 0.00
221 Western New England 8 9 0.00
222 Westminster (PA) 10 8 0.00
223 Wheaton 7 8 0.00
224 Widener 4 14 0.00
225 Wilkes 4 13 0.00
226 William Peace 6 8 0.00
227 Wilmington (OH) 4 13 0.00
228 Wittenberg 5 9 0.00
229 Wooster 9 8 0.00