: Probability Men's Division III

            UPDATED: 09-15-25 21:12 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Adrian 11 7 0.00
2 Albertus Magnus 5 10 0.00
3 Albion 11 8 0.00
4 Albright 1 16 0.00
5 Alfred 6 9 0.00
6 Alfred State 7 6 0.00
7 Allegheny 8 9 0.00
8 Alma 6 7 0.00
9 Alvernia 7 9 0.00
10 Amherst 10 5 0.00
11 Anderson (IN) 3 11 0.00
12 Anna Maria 4 11 0.00
13 Arcadia 12 7 0.00
14 Aurora 14 5 0.00
15 Averett 4 13 0.00
16 Babson 13 5 0.00
17 Baldwin Wallace 14 5 0.00
18 Bates 9 7 0.00
19 Beloit 4 11 0.00
20 Benedictine (IL) 6 12 0.00
21 Berry 4 9 0.00
22 Bethany 7 9 0.00
23 Bowdoin 13 3 0.00
24 Brevard 2 12 0.00
25 Bridgewater 5 12 0.00
26 Brockport 8 9 0.00
27 Bryn Athyn 3 7 0.00
28 Calvin 6 10 0.00
29 Canton 1 11 0.00
30 Capital 6 10 0.00
31 Carroll 5 8 0.00
32 Carthage 11 5 0.00
33 Castleton 3 12 0.00
34 Catholic 9 10 0.00
35 Centenary (LA) 5 5 0.00
36 Centre 9 7 0.00
37 Chatham 13 6 0.00
38 Christopher Newport 16 3 0.00
39 Clark 9 6 0.00
40 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
41 Coast Guard 9 6 0.00
42 Cobleskill 2 7 0.00
43 Colby 3 10 0.00
44 Colorado College 8 6 0.00
45 Concordia-Wisconsin 12 8 0.00
46 Connecticut College 7 8 0.00
47 Cornell College 4 11 0.00
48 Cortland 17 2 0.00
49 Curry 2 14 0.00
50 Dean College 12 4 0.00
51 Delaware Valley 4 12 0.00
52 Delhi 11 5 0.00
53 Denison 13 6 0.00
54 DePauw 5 9 0.00
55 DeSales 10 10 0.00
56 Dickinson 13 5 0.00
57 Drew 10 7 0.00
58 Dubuque 11 7 0.00
59 Earlham 6 7 0.00
60 Eastern 9 9 0.00
61 Eastern Connecticut 6 8 0.00
62 Edgewood 4 11 0.00
63 Elizabethtown 11 7 0.00
64 Elmhurst 13 3 0.00
65 Emerson 2 12 0.00
66 Emmanuel (MA) 10 8 0.00
67 Endicott 13 3 0.00
68 Farmingdale State 16 1 0.00
69 FDU-Florham 10 6 0.00
70 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
71 Franklin & Marshall 11 6 0.00
72 Geneseo 11 7 0.00
73 Gettysburg 13 4 0.00
74 Gordon 1 11 0.00
75 Goucher 9 8 0.00
76 Greensboro 5 12 0.00
77 Grove City 13 7 0.00
78 Guilford 5 13 0.00
79 Gwynedd Mercy 6 10 0.00
80 Hamilton 7 8 0.00
81 Hampden-Sydney 12 6 0.00
82 Hanover 10 3 0.00
83 Hartford 9 6 0.00
84 Hartwick 9 7 0.00
85 Haverford 9 7 0.00
86 Heidelberg 4 12 0.00
87 Hendrix 4 11 0.00
88 Hilbert 4 6 0.00
89 Hiram 3 14 0.00
90 Hood 9 5 0.00
91 Hope 11 5 0.00
92 Huntingdon 4 9 0.00
93 Husson 8 7 0.00
94 Illinois Tech 8 9 0.00
95 Illinois Wesleyan 14 2 0.00
96 Immaculata 14 5 0.00
97 Ithaca 10 9 0.00
98 John Carroll 9 8 0.00
99 Johnson & Wales 7 9 0.00
100 Juniata 3 14 0.00
101 Kalamazoo 6 7 0.00
102 Kean 14 5 0.00
103 Keene State 8 10 0.00
104 Kenyon 10 6 0.00
105 Keuka 3 12 0.00
106 Kings 2 13 0.00
107 La Roche 1 11 0.00
108 LaGrange 2 7 0.00
109 Lake Forest 10 8 0.00
110 Lasell 14 5 0.00
111 Lawrence 4 11 0.00
112 Lebanon Valley 7 10 0.00
113 Lycoming 6 9 0.00
114 Lynchburg 13 6 0.00
115 Maine Maritime 10 5 0.00
116 Manhattanville 5 12 0.00
117 Marian (WI) 1 12 0.00
118 Marietta 8 8 0.00
119 Maritime 8 8 0.00
120 Mary Washington 9 8 0.00
121 Marymount 11 6 0.00
122 Marywood 9 9 0.00
123 Massachusetts Maritime 9 7 0.00
124 Massachusetts-Boston 14 5 0.00
125 McDaniel 4 13 0.00
126 MCLA 2 9 0.00
127 Merchant Marine 10 6 0.00
128 Messiah 6 11 0.00
129 Methodist 12 7 0.00
130 Middlebury 9 8 0.00
131 Misericordia 8 9 0.00
132 MIT 7 8 0.00
133 Montclair State 8 8 0.00
134 Moravian 9 7 0.00
135 Morrisville 2 10 0.00
136 Mount St Mary (NY) 5 9 0.00
137 Mount St Vincent 5 10 0.00
138 Mount Union 12 5 0.00
139 MSOE 10 7 0.00
140 Muhlenberg 10 9 0.00
141 Muskingum 5 12 0.00
142 Nazareth 13 6 0.00
143 Neumann 4 13 0.00
144 New England College 7 9 0.00
145 New Paltz 6 11 0.00
146 Nichols 3 14 0.00
147 North Central 7 6 0.00
148 Norwich 4 11 0.00
149 Oberlin 11 5 0.00
150 Oglethorpe 2 11 0.00
151 Ohio Northern 15 4 0.00
152 Ohio Wesleyan 15 3 0.00
153 Oneonta 9 10 0.00
154 Oswego 10 5 0.00
155 Otterbein 9 7 0.00
156 Penn College 14 5 0.00
157 Pfeiffer 14 3 0.00
158 Piedmont 10 5 0.00
159 Pitt-Bradford 5 7 0.00
160 Plattsburgh 6 8 0.00
161 Plymouth State 11 5 0.00
162 Potsdam 8 7 0.00
163 Purchase 3 12 0.00
164 Randolph 1 16 0.00
165 Randolph-Macon 12 8 0.00
166 Regis (MA) 2 10 0.00
167 Rhodes 13 4 0.00
168 RIT 18 1 0.00
169 Rivier 16 1 0.00
170 Roanoke 13 6 0.00
171 Roger Williams 9 8 0.00
172 Rosemont 5 7 0.00
173 RPI 14 3 0.00
174 Sage 5 12 0.00
175 Salem State 8 8 0.00
176 Salisbury 19 0 0.00
177 Salve Regina 12 6 0.00
178 Scranton 11 8 0.00
179 Sewanee 11 7 0.00
180 Shenandoah 8 11 0.00
181 Skidmore 8 7 0.00
182 Southern Maine 1 14 0.00
183 Southern Virginia 7 9 0.00
184 Southwestern 7 7 0.00
185 Springfield 10 7 0.00
186 St John Fisher 15 4 0.00
187 St Joseph (CT) 9 8 0.00
188 St Josephs (LI) 3 9 0.00
189 St Josephs (ME) 7 9 0.00
190 St Lawrence 11 6 0.00
191 St Marys (MD) 9 7 0.00
192 St Vincent 9 8 0.00
193 Stevens 15 3 0.00
194 Stevenson 14 5 0.00
195 Stockton 9 10 0.00
196 SUNY Poly 5 10 0.00
197 Susquehanna 13 6 0.00
198 Swarthmore 12 5 0.00
199 Thiel 1 14 0.00
200 Thomas 4 10 0.00
201 Transylvania 8 5 0.00
202 Trine 12 6 0.00
203 Trinity 8 7 0.00
204 Tufts 18 0 0.00
205 U of New England 8 9 0.00
206 Union 4 10 0.00
207 Ursinus 5 10 0.00
208 Utica 6 10 0.00
209 Vassar 6 9 0.00
210 Virginia Wesleyan 7 11 0.00
211 Wabash 8 8 0.00
212 Warren Wilson 1 9 0.00
213 Washington & Jefferson 5 12 0.00
214 Washington & Lee 16 3 0.00
215 Washington College 7 10 0.00
216 Wentworth 13 4 0.00
217 Wesleyan 12 5 0.00
218 Western Connecticut 13 6 0.00
219 Western New England 8 9 0.00
220 Westminster (PA) 10 8 0.00
221 Wheaton 7 8 0.00
222 Widener 4 14 0.00
223 Wilkes 4 13 0.00
224 William Peace 6 8 0.00
225 Williams 7 9 0.00
226 Wilmington (OH) 4 13 0.00
227 Wittenberg 5 9 0.00
228 Wooster 9 8 0.00
229 York 16 3 0.00