: Probability Men's Division I

            UPDATED: 09-15-25 21:12 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Air Force 8 7 0.00
2 Albany 7 8 0.00
3 Army 12 2 0.00
4 Bellarmine 8 9 0.00
5 Binghamton 5 8 0.00
6 Boston Univ 11 5 0.00
7 Brown 3 10 0.00
8 Bryant 9 4 0.00
9 Bucknell 5 9 0.00
10 Canisius 6 10 0.00
11 Cleveland St 4 10 0.00
12 Colgate 10 7 0.00
13 Cornell 14 1 0.00
14 Dartmouth 8 5 0.00
15 Delaware 7 6 0.00
16 Denver 7 7 0.00
17 Detroit 5 6 0.00
18 Drexel 7 7 0.00
19 Duke 12 5 0.00
20 Fairfield 12 2 0.00
21 Georgetown 10 5 0.00
22 Harvard 10 4 0.00
23 High Point 7 9 0.00
24 Hobart 5 9 0.00
25 Hofstra 8 6 0.00
26 Holy Cross 4 11 0.00
27 Iona 2 13 0.00
28 Jacksonville 9 5 0.00
29 JHU 6 8 0.00
30 Lafayette 10 6 0.00
31 Le Moyne 9 5 0.00
32 Lehigh 5 10 0.00
33 LIU 9 4 0.00
34 Loyola 3 11 0.00
35 Manhattan 6 9 0.00
36 Marist 8 8 0.00
37 Marquette 7 7 0.00
38 Maryland 11 3 0.00
39 UMass 9 6 0.00
40 Mass-Lowell 4 9 0.00
41 Mercer 2 11 0.00
42 Mercyhurst 2 11 0.00
43 Merrimack 3 10 0.00
44 Michigan 7 7 0.00
45 Monmouth 5 9 0.00
46 Mt St Marys 4 10 0.00
47 Navy 8 7 0.00
48 NJIT 1 11 0.00
49 No Carolina 10 4 0.00
50 Notre Dame 8 4 0.00
51 Ohio State 14 2 0.00
52 Penn 4 10 0.00
53 Penn State 10 4 0.00
54 Princeton 12 3 0.00
55 Providence 7 8 0.00
56 Queens 3 11 0.00
57 Quinnipiac 3 12 0.00
58 Richmond 13 3 0.00
59 Rob Morris 9 5 0.00
60 Rutgers 7 9 0.00
61 Sacred Heart 12 3 0.00
62 Siena 11 4 0.00
63 St B'venture 6 10 0.00
64 St Johns 4 11 0.00
65 St Josephs 9 6 0.00
66 Stony Brook 7 7 0.00
67 Syracuse 11 5 0.00
68 Towson 9 5 0.00
69 UMBC 7 4 0.00
70 Utah 6 9 0.00
71 Vermont 5 7 0.00
72 Villanova 9 6 0.00
73 Virginia 6 8 0.00
74 VMI 10 4 0.00
75 Wagner 1 13 0.00
76 Yale 5 8 0.00