List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boston College Atlantic Coast 18 3 2 9 2 2 4 2 8 16.00
2 Northwestern Big Ten 17 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 5 11.50
3 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 16 5 3 1 4 3 1 4 8 11.50
4 Florida American 20 2 4 26 3 7 20 3 30 10.50
5 Yale Ivy League 17 3 5 12 5 5 11 5 21 6.50
6 Stony Brook Colonial 18 3 11 24 11 8 22 11 41 5.00
7 Loyola (MD) Patriot League 18 3 8 20 6 13 14 6 33 4.50
8 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 10 7 16 6 17 18 5 22 45 4.50
9 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 16 4 7 17 10 10 10 9 29 4.00
10 Virginia Atlantic Coast 15 5 12 8 12 14 13 12 39 4.00
11 Michigan Big Ten 16 4 9 14 9 6 12 8 26 3.50
12 Penn Ivy League 15 5 6 5 8 4 7 10 21 3.50
13 Maryland Big Ten 14 6 10 7 13 11 6 13 30 3.00
14 Stanford Pac-12 13 5 14 22 23 15 17 19 51 2.50
15 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 8 17 3 16 9 2 14 25 2.00
16 Denver Big East 16 4 13 15 7 12 9 7 28 1.50
17 Princeton Ivy League 11 7 15 4 14 16 8 16 40 1.50
18 Navy Patriot League 15 4 18 47 18 20 34 17 71 0.00
19 Brown Ivy League 10 5 22 27 25 22 42 29 93 0.00
20 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 21 45 36 27 45 108 0.00
21 Duke Atlantic Coast 10 9 29 13 37 31 16 38 85 0.00
22 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 16 3 31 69 15 17 47 15 79 0.00
23 James Madison American 13 7 21 18 30 19 26 31 76 0.00
24 Penn State Big Ten 11 8 20 10 36 23 15 35 73 0.00
25 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 25 11 51 37 19 54 110 0.00
26 Akron MAC 7 9 113 119 86 113 124 86 323 0.00
27 Albany America East 8 10 47 29 70 35 24 66 125 0.00
28 American Patriot League 7 9 83 76 80 76 77 80 233 0.00
29 Arizona State Pac-12 9 10 39 36 66 48 18 67 133 0.00
30 Army Patriot League 9 8 38 39 57 49 44 57 150 0.00
31 Binghamton America East 12 7 52 65 52 42 63 53 158 0.00
32 Boston Universit Patriot League 5 11 85 59 94 78 56 93 227 0.00
33 Bryant America East 9 6 58 73 53 47 69 48 164 0.00
34 Bucknell Patriot League 5 10 86 63 89 84 92 92 268 0.00
35 Butler Big East 2 14 102 66 125 111 90 128 329 0.00
36 California Pac-12 5 10 75 70 96 87 86 96 269 0.00
37 Campbell Colonial 4 13 90 67 117 91 72 114 277 0.00
38 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 7 79 101 63 63 78 61 202 0.00
39 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 125 122 118 122 115 119 356 0.00
40 Central Michigan MAC 5 13 99 81 105 100 74 106 280 0.00
41 Cincinnati American 10 7 64 75 48 69 93 49 211 0.00
42 Clemson Atlantic Coast 11 7 23 23 33 27 28 36 91 0.00
43 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 14 6 51 72 40 33 70 42 145 0.00
44 Colgate Patriot League 3 14 78 45 123 81 58 124 263 0.00
45 Colorado Pac-12 13 6 27 31 28 25 25 30 80 0.00
46 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 76 41 92 83 61 94 238 0.00
47 Connecticut Big East 11 7 32 44 43 44 39 43 126 0.00
48 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 35 19 44 40 31 50 121 0.00
49 Davidson Atlantic 10 11 7 50 74 59 46 54 59 159 0.00
50 Delaware Colonial 10 6 48 68 49 54 91 46 191 0.00
51 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 13 126 126 126 121 118 125 364 0.00
52 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 12 109 111 112 119 125 112 356 0.00
53 Drexel Colonial 13 6 24 32 29 21 21 26 68 0.00
54 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 112 98 97 99 110 97 306 0.00
55 East Carolina American 4 12 74 48 106 85 67 105 257 0.00
56 Eastern Michigan MAC 7 9 107 114 76 112 122 79 313 0.00
57 Elon Colonial 9 8 62 58 67 59 68 64 191 0.00
58 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 2 14 123 127 129 126 120 129 375 0.00
59 Furman Big South 8 10 88 87 87 80 76 87 243 0.00
60 Gardner Webb Big South 0 17 124 108 132 125 111 132 368 0.00
61 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 8 82 110 73 88 108 72 268 0.00
62 George Washingto Atlantic 10 4 13 110 99 121 115 99 121 335 0.00
63 Georgetown Big East 7 11 40 30 81 64 51 81 196 0.00
64 Harvard Ivy League 10 5 19 33 26 30 49 27 106 0.00
65 High Point Big South 12 6 69 91 46 60 80 47 187 0.00
66 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 42 52 71 50 60 69 179 0.00
67 Holy Cross Patriot League 12 6 44 56 38 32 29 37 98 0.00
68 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 16 127 125 130 127 121 130 378 0.00
69 Iona Metro Atlantic 12 5 81 100 41 57 83 39 179 0.00
70 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 9 9 54 46 60 52 41 63 156 0.00
71 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 103 104 107 110 123 107 340 0.00
72 Kent State MAC 6 11 106 107 102 106 113 102 321 0.00
73 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 11 114 93 110 114 105 111 330 0.00
74 Lafayette Patriot League 5 11 84 77 101 95 89 99 283 0.00
75 Le Moyne Northeast 9 9 105 115 83 89 94 82 265 0.00
76 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 56 49 72 61 65 73 199 0.00
77 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 12 63 42 98 72 59 100 231 0.00
78 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 13 5 66 103 39 68 114 40 222 0.00
79 LIU Northeast 11 8 87 113 68 71 79 70 220 0.00
80 Longwood Big South 8 10 104 112 95 109 112 95 316 0.00
81 Louisville Atlantic Coast 8 11 34 16 69 43 23 71 137 0.00
82 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 111 88 122 101 71 120 292 0.00
83 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 98 78 124 102 75 122 299 0.00
84 Marquette Big East 6 11 65 51 90 73 66 90 229 0.00
85 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 13 5 28 55 35 24 38 33 95 0.00
86 Massachusetts-Lo America East 12 6 55 96 50 62 81 51 194 0.00
87 Mercer Big South 14 6 49 85 32 41 35 34 110 0.00
88 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 118 116 113 116 106 113 335 0.00
89 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 6 10 72 61 91 86 84 91 261 0.00
90 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 8 10 70 83 93 55 40 89 184 0.00
91 New Hampshire America East 2 12 95 71 115 103 85 115 303 0.00
92 Niagara Metro Atlantic 16 4 46 84 27 26 37 18 81 0.00
93 Ohio State Big Ten 8 9 43 37 61 58 43 62 163 0.00
94 Old Dominion American 3 13 91 64 116 107 88 116 311 0.00
95 Oregon Pac-12 8 7 57 80 64 74 97 65 236 0.00
96 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 5 13 59 28 99 75 46 101 222 0.00
97 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 122 121 127 123 127 126 376 0.00
98 Queens Atlantic Sun 9 8 77 94 74 79 102 75 256 0.00
99 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 92 82 119 96 53 117 266 0.00
100 Radford Big South 6 11 119 123 103 120 116 103 339 0.00
101 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 5 33 60 31 29 33 28 90 0.00
102 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 9 96 109 84 92 101 83 276 0.00
103 Robert Morris MAC 8 12 108 95 100 98 104 98 300 0.00
104 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 6 94 117 54 70 96 52 218 0.00
105 San Diego State Pac-12 2 14 93 40 120 93 64 123 280 0.00
106 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 6 61 79 47 34 50 44 128 0.00
107 Southern Califor Pac-12 12 5 26 35 34 28 57 32 117 0.00
108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 9 80 92 85 77 95 85 257 0.00
109 St Francis Northeast 8 8 116 124 77 104 117 78 299 0.00
110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 7 37 54 56 39 48 55 142 0.00
111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 100 97 108 105 87 108 300 0.00
112 Stonehill Northeast 9 9 97 120 82 90 100 84 274 0.00
113 Temple American 9 7 41 34 42 38 30 41 109 0.00
114 Towson Colonial 7 9 45 38 79 53 52 76 181 0.00
115 UC Davis Pac-12 9 8 68 62 65 56 45 68 169 0.00
116 UMBC America East 9 6 67 90 58 65 98 58 221 0.00
117 Vanderbilt American 9 8 53 43 55 51 32 56 139 0.00
118 VCU Atlantic 10 5 13 73 57 114 82 55 118 255 0.00
119 Vermont America East 8 8 71 86 78 66 82 77 225 0.00
120 Villanova Big East 7 9 60 50 75 67 62 74 203 0.00
121 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 36 25 62 45 36 60 141 0.00
122 Wagner Northeast 6 11 115 118 104 108 107 104 319 0.00
123 William & Mary Colonial 4 13 89 53 111 94 73 109 276 0.00
124 Winthrop Big South 2 13 120 102 128 118 103 127 348 0.00
125 Wofford Big South 7 9 101 105 88 97 109 88 294 0.00
126 Xavier Big East 4 11 117 89 109 117 126 110 353 0.00
127 Youngstown State MAC 0 16 121 106 131 124 119 131 374 0.00
128 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
129 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
130 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
131 South Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
132 UNC-Charlotte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00