List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 13 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 5 19.50
2 Duke ACC 13 5 2 5 3 2 1 2 5 9.00
3 Syracuse ACC 12 5 4 6 6 4 4 8 16 7.50
4 Virginia ACC 11 5 3 4 8 5 2 6 13 7.50
5 Denver Big East 12 3 10 19 4 7 15 3 25 6.00
6 Johns Hopkins B1G 11 4 6 3 2 3 7 5 15 5.50
7 Penn State B1G 11 5 5 10 9 9 17 10 36 5.50
8 Yale Ivy 11 4 12 17 10 14 19 9 42 4.50
9 Towson CAA 13 4 15 34 14 17 22 13 52 4.00
10 Georgetown Big East 13 3 7 18 7 8 14 4 26 3.50
11 Maryland B1G 9 5 8 1 5 6 6 7 19 3.50
12 Michigan B1G 10 7 13 9 12 13 5 14 32 3.50
13 North Carolina ACC 7 7 16 15 20 22 10 21 53 3.00
14 Princeton Ivy 11 5 9 13 13 10 12 12 34 2.50
15 Cornell Ivy 9 5 11 8 11 12 8 11 31 2.00
16 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 12 4 18 28 15 15 20 16 51 2.00
17 Colgate Patriot 8 7 24 22 31 27 30 32 89 1.50
18 Harvard Ivy 8 5 23 21 19 20 36 20 76 1.50
19 Penn Ivy 9 6 17 7 17 11 9 15 35 1.50
20 Albany America East 10 8 30 37 39 32 31 39 102 0.00
21 Bryant America East 9 5 29 47 35 33 61 31 125 0.00
22 Loyola (MD) Patriot 7 8 26 16 36 26 18 35 79 0.00
23 Ohio State B1G 6 9 19 11 27 21 11 30 62 0.00
24 Boston Universit Patriot 10 7 22 23 30 19 16 34 69 0.00
25 Delaware CAA 9 5 25 38 22 30 40 23 93 0.00
26 Richmond Atlantic 10 10 6 21 30 21 25 28 18 71 0.00
27 Rutgers B1G 7 7 28 14 24 28 25 25 78 0.00
28 Villanova Big East 9 7 20 20 25 18 13 22 53 0.00
29 Air Force ASUN 9 6 45 57 34 38 46 37 121 0.00
30 Army West Point Patriot 11 3 14 29 16 16 41 17 74 0.00
31 Bellarmine ASUN 9 8 57 73 42 56 53 43 152 0.00
32 Binghamton America East 6 7 59 59 48 58 65 47 170 0.00
33 Brown Ivy 3 11 37 12 60 42 21 57 120 0.00
34 Bucknell Patriot 4 10 50 36 67 59 48 65 172 0.00
35 Canisius MAAC 5 10 67 69 64 65 59 66 190 0.00
36 Cleveland State ASUN 9 8 62 61 43 46 39 44 129 0.00
37 Dartmouth Ivy 3 10 49 25 59 57 38 58 153 0.00
38 Detroit Mercy ASUN 3 10 68 64 68 69 69 68 206 0.00
39 Drexel CAA 6 9 44 33 49 41 34 53 128 0.00
40 Fairfield CAA 8 7 42 48 41 45 47 41 133 0.00
41 Hampton CAA 0 13 76 52 74 76 72 74 222 0.00
42 High Point Atlantic 10 9 7 34 43 29 36 27 27 90 0.00
43 Hobart Atlantic 10 4 9 52 32 54 52 43 54 149 0.00
44 Hofstra CAA 6 9 48 46 58 55 56 60 171 0.00
45 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 2 11 65 39 69 68 58 69 195 0.00
46 Jacksonville ASUN 13 5 35 60 23 29 37 24 90 0.00
47 Lafayette Patriot 6 7 43 44 44 49 54 45 148 0.00
48 Le Moyne D1 Independent 3 8 64 55 55 67 76 55 198 0.00
49 Lehigh Patriot 10 7 27 24 32 23 32 28 83 0.00
50 Lindenwood ASUN 0 12 75 70 72 75 70 72 217 0.00
51 LIU MAAC 10 4 56 74 26 43 68 26 137 0.00
52 Manhattan MAAC 8 9 53 51 52 37 24 51 112 0.00
53 Marist MAAC 8 7 55 65 45 44 52 46 142 0.00
54 Marquette Big East 4 10 47 31 50 50 29 48 127 0.00
55 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 6 8 36 41 53 47 45 49 141 0.00
56 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 12 74 53 73 73 71 73 217 0.00
57 Mercer ASUN 4 10 70 68 65 66 64 67 197 0.00
58 Merrimack America East 6 9 61 45 61 48 49 61 158 0.00
59 Monmouth CAA 5 8 51 54 51 62 55 52 169 0.00
60 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 14 71 58 75 70 57 75 202 0.00
61 Navy Patriot 9 7 32 27 33 31 33 36 100 0.00
62 NJIT America East 8 6 58 71 40 61 75 40 176 0.00
63 Providence Big East 7 8 33 26 38 34 26 33 93 0.00
64 Queens ASUN 2 11 72 75 70 74 73 71 218 0.00
65 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 5 40 67 37 40 66 38 144 0.00
66 Robert Morris ASUN 5 10 66 63 63 64 51 63 178 0.00
67 Sacred Heart MAAC 13 5 38 66 28 35 50 29 114 0.00
68 Siena MAAC 8 8 54 72 56 54 62 56 172 0.00
69 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 11 69 56 71 71 74 70 215 0.00
70 St Johns (NY) Big East 4 11 60 35 66 51 35 62 148 0.00
71 Stony Brook CAA 4 10 41 40 62 60 44 64 168 0.00
72 UMBC America East 5 7 46 50 46 53 60 50 163 0.00
73 Utah ASUN 12 5 31 49 18 24 23 19 66 0.00
74 Vermont America East 8 8 39 42 47 39 42 42 123 0.00
75 VMI MAAC 7 8 63 76 57 63 67 59 189 0.00
76 Wagner MAAC 1 14 73 62 76 72 63 76 211 0.00