List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 20 1 1 24 1 26 34.00
2 St Stephens & St 18 7 3 129 7 139 17.00
3 Bishop Ireton 11 7 28 11 26 65 12.00
4 Potomac School 14 8 5 22 13 40 10.00
5 Collegiate Schoo 18 6 7 21 6 34 8.00
6 Western Albemarl 14 0 9 23 2 34 8.00
7 Paul VI 11 11 31 16 47 94 3.00
8 Yorktown 16 1 6 5 3 14 3.00
9 Norfolk Academy 12 5 32 86 41 159 0.00
10 Riverside 11 4 8 25 19 52 0.00
11 St Catherines 8 9 24 1 49 74 0.00
12 Virginia Episcop 14 4 36 66 32 134 0.00
13 West Potomac 12 4 26 26 25 77 0.00
14 Bishop OConnell 11 8 104 134 75 313 0.00
15 Episcopal 5 14 75 10 63 148 0.00
16 Flint Hill Schoo 11 10 86 131 71 288 0.00
17 Madeira School 2 8 154 156 42 352 0.00
18 Albemarle 7 9 58 4 85 147 0.00
19 Alexandria City 10 8 84 67 86 237 0.00
20 Annandale 2 11 125 150 133 408 0.00
21 Atlee 7 7 51 30 76 157 0.00
22 Battlefield 11 5 13 2 44 59 0.00
23 Bayside 10 2 53 110 27 190 0.00
24 Blacksburg 10 4 44 40 53 137 0.00
25 Brentsville Dist 4 7 89 87 93 269 0.00
26 Briar Woods 4 11 113 61 134 308 0.00
27 Broad Run 1 11 136 109 145 390 0.00
28 Brooke Point 2 11 131 116 146 393 0.00
29 Cape Henry Colle 14 2 19 50 18 87 0.00
30 Catholic HS 8 7 56 19 81 156 0.00
31 Cave Spring 9 4 50 71 57 178 0.00
32 Centreville 3 11 82 39 106 227 0.00
33 Chantilly 6 8 68 54 94 216 0.00
34 Charlottesville 4 11 135 95 135 365 0.00
35 Chatham Hall 0 8 83 82 87 252 0.00
36 Christiansburg 0 11 142 106 148 396 0.00
37 Clover Hill 4 10 127 105 127 359 0.00
38 Colgan 13 3 33 20 37 90 0.00
39 Colonial Forge 14 5 45 18 58 121 0.00
40 Cosby 10 3 40 60 21 121 0.00
41 Covenant School 17 2 22 8 5 35 0.00
42 Cox 8 5 67 81 67 215 0.00
43 Culpeper County 5 8 93 83 105 281 0.00
44 Deep Run 5 8 49 13 82 144 0.00
45 Dominion 11 4 55 62 38 155 0.00
46 Douglas Freeman 11 1 4 44 15 63 0.00
47 Eastern View 5 8 107 108 107 322 0.00
48 EC Glass 8 6 57 45 77 179 0.00
49 Edison 5 7 101 102 97 300 0.00
50 Fairfax 6 9 116 90 114 320 0.00
51 Falls Church 7 9 98 79 118 295 0.00
52 Fauquier 7 7 63 64 88 215 0.00
53 First Colonial 7 5 74 92 68 234 0.00
54 Fluvanna County 6 8 126 126 108 360 0.00
55 Forest Park 11 3 47 122 40 209 0.00
56 Foxcroft School 3 10 153 155 124 432 0.00
57 Franklin County 2 12 141 103 151 395 0.00
58 Fredericksburg A 3 8 123 124 115 362 0.00
59 Freedom South Ri 6 9 73 68 101 242 0.00
60 Gainesville 5 7 85 80 98 263 0.00
61 Gar-Field 2 12 140 151 153 444 0.00
62 Glen Allen 6 9 79 32 102 213 0.00
63 Goochland 1 11 156 149 142 447 0.00
64 Grafton Club 0 10 150 144 140 434 0.00
65 Grassfield Club 8 4 38 34 60 132 0.00
66 Great Bridge Clu 4 6 114 139 91 344 0.00
67 Green Run 0 9 143 98 131 372 0.00
68 Hanover 11 2 21 75 20 116 0.00
69 Hayfield 3 9 128 120 125 373 0.00
70 Heritage 3 12 119 65 150 334 0.00
71 Herndon 5 9 87 37 112 236 0.00
72 Hidden Valley 6 7 78 57 99 234 0.00
73 Highland School 8 9 91 127 72 290 0.00
74 Hylton 3 12 134 101 152 387 0.00
75 Independence 10 6 27 9 51 87 0.00
76 James Madison 8 7 12 6 29 47 0.00
77 James Monroe 12 2 59 112 17 188 0.00
78 James River 5 7 92 76 95 263 0.00
79 Jamestown Club 6 5 66 88 70 224 0.00
80 Jefferson Forest 4 9 96 53 121 270 0.00
81 John Champe 6 7 94 100 89 283 0.00
82 John Handley 3 2 70 104 52 226 0.00
83 John R Lewis 2 10 147 141 136 424 0.00
84 Justice 13 1 54 117 9 180 0.00
85 Kellam 9 4 60 89 59 208 0.00
86 Kempsville 4 9 118 107 123 348 0.00
87 Kettle Run 10 3 29 74 30 133 0.00
88 Lake Braddock 8 7 52 51 78 181 0.00
89 Landstown 3 11 122 73 143 338 0.00
90 Langley 13 4 25 3 12 40 0.00
91 Liberty-Bealeton 4 6 115 143 79 337 0.00
92 Lightridge 12 4 15 12 22 49 0.00
93 Loudoun County 6 7 102 123 103 328 0.00
94 Loudoun Valley 10 6 71 69 73 213 0.00
95 Manchester 0 14 146 96 158 400 0.00
96 Marshall 3 12 124 55 147 326 0.00
97 Massaponax 3 11 112 47 144 303 0.00
98 Maury Club 4 6 100 125 92 317 0.00
99 McLean 7 7 69 41 61 171 0.00
100 Mechanicsville 5 8 80 93 109 282 0.00
101 Menchville Club 2 8 139 146 120 405 0.00
102 Meridian 13 1 2 7 4 13 0.00
103 Midlothian 8 4 42 38 45 125 0.00
104 Mills Godwin 10 4 41 42 35 118 0.00
105 Monacan 6 8 111 118 110 339 0.00
106 Monticello 7 5 90 119 64 273 0.00
107 Mountain View 14 3 23 15 36 74 0.00
108 Mt Vernon 2 10 145 142 137 424 0.00
109 Nansemond-Suffol 8 9 65 99 111 275 0.00
110 Norfolk Collegia 3 12 105 31 149 285 0.00
111 North Cross Scho 3 7 106 133 100 339 0.00
112 North Stafford 3 13 121 43 155 319 0.00
113 Oakcrest School 4 9 151 154 113 418 0.00
114 Oakton 11 7 30 49 54 133 0.00
115 Ocean Lakes 12 3 46 115 23 184 0.00
116 Orange County 1 13 152 114 154 420 0.00
117 Osbourn 6 7 130 148 96 374 0.00
118 Osbourn Park 0 15 148 130 159 437 0.00
119 Park View 3 8 149 153 119 421 0.00
120 Patrick Henry As 4 10 95 84 122 301 0.00
121 Patrick Henry Ro 11 1 20 77 16 113 0.00
122 Patriot 10 5 43 35 48 126 0.00
123 Potomac Falls 10 6 72 46 65 183 0.00
124 Potomac HS 6 11 117 70 139 326 0.00
125 Powhatan 12 1 10 78 10 98 0.00
126 Princess Anne 7 6 99 113 83 295 0.00
127 Riverbend 7 6 77 85 84 246 0.00
128 Robinson 15 3 11 28 8 47 0.00
129 Rock Ridge 0 13 155 132 157 444 0.00
130 Rockbridge Count 12 1 16 52 11 79 0.00
131 Salem 7 8 62 17 104 183 0.00
132 Salem Virginia B 2 9 132 121 128 381 0.00
133 South County 2 10 120 97 129 346 0.00
134 South Lakes 14 4 39 29 14 82 0.00
135 St Gertrude 1 9 97 56 116 269 0.00
136 St John Paul The 7 5 81 135 62 278 0.00
137 Stafford 8 6 64 59 80 203 0.00
138 Steward School 3 11 133 111 141 385 0.00
139 Stone Bridge 11 4 35 33 24 92 0.00
140 Tabb Club 5 5 103 140 74 317 0.00
141 Tallwood 1 9 137 128 130 395 0.00
142 Thomas Dale 5 8 144 152 117 413 0.00
143 Thomas Jefferson 10 3 88 145 43 276 0.00
144 Trinity Christia 7 5 108 147 69 324 0.00
145 Trinity Episcopa 10 6 14 36 39 89 0.00
146 Tuscarora 4 10 110 94 126 330 0.00
147 Wakefield HS 0 14 138 136 156 430 0.00
148 Warhill Club 8 3 37 72 50 159 0.00
149 Washington-Liber 3 11 129 138 138 405 0.00
150 West Springfield 10 9 61 137 90 288 0.00
151 Westfield 10 6 34 14 55 103 0.00
152 William Byrd 4 10 109 63 132 304 0.00
153 Woodbridge 9 5 76 91 66 233 0.00
154 Woodgrove 9 4 48 58 46 152 0.00
155 Woodson 11 6 17 27 56 100 0.00
156 York Club 10 2 18 48 34 100 0.00
157 Freedom Woodbrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
158 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
159 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00