List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame Hingh 16 2 1 4 1 6 29.00
2 Walpole 16 3 8 5 5 18 10.00
3 Wellesley 12 4 19 18 13 50 10.00
4 Central Catholic 16 2 2 24 6 32 8.00
5 East Longmeadow 14 3 6 8 9 23 7.00
6 Longmeadow 11 5 3 1 14 18 6.00
7 Medfield 14 3 18 15 11 44 6.00
8 Concord-Carlisle 12 5 13 9 30 52 5.00
9 Cohasset 10 4 11 25 17 53 3.00
10 Natick 13 5 47 16 41 104 2.00
11 North Andover 12 5 16 19 45 80 2.00
12 Reading Memorial 16 1 15 115 3 133 2.00
13 Westwood 14 3 14 11 10 35 2.00
14 Andover HS 7 9 44 21 86 151 0.00
15 Chelmsford 10 6 12 6 43 61 0.00
16 Hanover 12 3 23 38 25 86 0.00
17 Hingham 13 3 4 2 4 10 0.00
18 Lincoln-Sudbury 11 2 5 94 7 106 0.00
19 Needham 7 6 40 20 76 136 0.00
20 Wayland 9 7 48 23 81 152 0.00
21 Weston 10 4 27 43 39 109 0.00
22 Abington 6 9 169 192 137 498 0.00
23 Acton-Boxborough 11 4 24 34 35 93 0.00
24 Agawam 4 11 118 78 136 332 0.00
25 Algonquin 10 6 59 54 88 201 0.00
26 Amherst-Pelham 15 2 33 127 22 182 0.00
27 AMSA Charter 12 3 91 188 33 312 0.00
28 Apponequet 12 2 17 92 20 129 0.00
29 Archbishop Willi 6 11 119 85 175 379 0.00
30 Arlington Cathol 6 9 157 197 143 497 0.00
31 Arlington HS 7 10 128 123 154 405 0.00
32 Ashland 12 6 62 31 36 129 0.00
33 Assabet Valley R 0 14 203 200 211 614 0.00
34 Attleboro 10 5 90 137 70 297 0.00
35 Auburn 4 12 158 75 193 426 0.00
36 Barnstable 7 7 82 59 60 201 0.00
37 Bay Path RVT 3 10 208 216 171 595 0.00
38 Bedford HS 10 7 57 64 94 215 0.00
39 Belchertown 8 6 96 113 98 307 0.00
40 Bellingham 2 15 193 155 209 557 0.00
41 Belmont 12 5 54 72 61 187 0.00
42 Beverly 14 4 42 47 34 123 0.00
43 Billerica Memori 4 13 78 26 178 282 0.00
44 Bishop Feehan 10 4 51 120 42 213 0.00
45 Bishop Fenwick 11 4 61 130 52 243 0.00
46 Bishop Stang 6 10 138 111 160 409 0.00
47 Blackstone Valle 6 8 176 187 133 496 0.00
48 Boston Latin Aca 3 5 196 214 99 509 0.00
49 Boston Latin Sch 8 7 60 48 89 197 0.00
50 Bourne 4 11 186 185 180 551 0.00
51 Braintree 9 7 67 57 78 202 0.00
52 Bridgewater-Rayn 4 12 125 90 179 394 0.00
53 Bristol County A 1 11 207 190 189 586 0.00
54 Bristol-Plymouth 4 10 184 163 167 514 0.00
55 Bromfield 2 13 165 180 204 549 0.00
56 Brookline 4 10 102 27 141 270 0.00
57 Burlington 11 5 50 58 64 172 0.00
58 Cambridge Ridge/ 5 10 126 107 144 377 0.00
59 Canton 10 5 95 153 71 319 0.00
60 Cape Cod Academy 9 4 10 22 31 63 0.00
61 Cardinal Spellma 6 8 151 152 134 437 0.00
62 Chicopee Comp 5 9 131 97 149 377 0.00
63 Chicopee HS 10 5 141 183 72 396 0.00
64 Danvers 5 11 135 71 172 378 0.00
65 Dartmouth 10 4 70 156 48 274 0.00
66 Dedham 11 6 127 150 66 343 0.00
67 Dennis-Yarmouth 4 9 153 195 127 475 0.00
68 Dighton-Rehoboth 8 5 111 154 82 347 0.00
69 Doherty Memorial 5 9 154 122 150 426 0.00
70 Dover-Sherborn 8 9 87 50 116 253 0.00
71 Dracut 4 7 152 151 120 423 0.00
72 Duxbury 12 4 20 12 16 48 0.00
73 East Bridgewater 1 15 212 179 212 603 0.00
74 Essex North Shor 4 10 146 61 155 362 0.00
75 Everett 2 11 211 207 186 604 0.00
76 Fairhaven 7 8 110 81 128 319 0.00
77 Falmouth Academy 5 6 168 212 104 484 0.00
78 Falmouth HS 8 8 25 7 73 105 0.00
79 Fitchburg 0 15 215 172 214 601 0.00
80 Fontbonne Academ 7 8 161 157 129 447 0.00
81 Foxborough 11 4 66 98 53 217 0.00
82 Framingham 0 14 189 80 207 476 0.00
83 Franklin 10 7 37 53 58 148 0.00
84 Georgetown 5 9 103 37 138 278 0.00
85 Gloucester 1 13 205 193 206 604 0.00
86 Grafton 12 5 35 45 40 120 0.00
87 Granby 6 9 155 142 145 442 0.00
88 Greater Lowell T 13 2 129 206 24 359 0.00
89 Greater New Bedf 9 6 104 119 95 318 0.00
90 Groton-Dunstable 8 7 75 74 111 260 0.00
91 Hamilton-Wenham 8 5 43 63 67 173 0.00
92 Hampshire Region 11 4 88 148 54 290 0.00
93 Haverhill 8 4 55 160 62 277 0.00
94 Holliston 7 8 99 95 105 299 0.00
95 Hoosac Valley 11 4 69 109 55 233 0.00
96 Hopedale 4 9 166 168 152 486 0.00
97 Hopkinton 4 11 156 88 168 412 0.00
98 Hudson/Clinton 3 10 182 147 173 502 0.00
99 Hull 9 7 133 174 101 408 0.00
100 Ipswich 11 1 9 65 18 92 0.00
101 King Philip Regi 13 5 56 56 46 158 0.00
102 Lee/Lenox/Monume 6 9 134 70 146 350 0.00
103 Leominster 10 6 45 30 63 138 0.00
104 Lexington HS 11 6 52 28 83 163 0.00
105 Littleton 10 4 124 191 59 374 0.00
106 Lowell 5 10 172 170 162 504 0.00
107 Lowell Catholic 5 10 190 184 163 537 0.00
108 Lunenburg 11 3 84 161 37 282 0.00
109 Lynnfield 7 10 112 42 139 293 0.00
110 Malden 10 7 173 201 106 480 0.00
111 Malden Catholic 7 9 122 106 130 358 0.00
112 Manchester-Essex 11 3 26 60 23 109 0.00
113 Mansfield 10 6 114 173 96 383 0.00
114 Marblehead 5 10 115 32 161 308 0.00
115 Marlborough 4 10 179 144 169 492 0.00
116 Marshfield 10 5 39 33 49 121 0.00
117 Marthas Vineyard 5 6 100 171 97 368 0.00
118 Masconomet 7 10 79 14 147 240 0.00
119 Mashpee 5 8 167 149 117 433 0.00
120 McCann Tech 0 12 209 186 200 595 0.00
121 Medford 7 7 200 211 113 524 0.00
122 Medway 3 12 187 136 183 506 0.00
123 Melrose 9 3 74 140 44 258 0.00
124 Methuen 10 8 101 89 118 308 0.00
125 Middleboro 4 11 171 117 181 469 0.00
126 Milford 3 11 188 175 184 547 0.00
127 Milton HS 3 11 142 51 156 349 0.00
128 Minnechaug Regio 9 9 64 29 108 201 0.00
129 Monomoy 10 6 107 162 79 348 0.00
130 Monson 3 12 191 145 197 533 0.00
131 Montachusett RVT 3 7 183 204 124 511 0.00
132 Mount Greylock R 8 8 94 169 87 350 0.00
133 Mystic Valley Ch 1 12 199 164 199 562 0.00
134 Nantucket 16 0 7 46 2 55 0.00
135 Nashoba Regional 8 7 93 79 112 284 0.00
136 Nashoba Valley T 10 5 159 194 74 427 0.00
137 Nauset Regional 9 8 41 17 75 133 0.00
138 New Bedford 7 10 147 116 157 420 0.00
139 Newburyport 12 1 22 86 8 116 0.00
140 Newton North 5 12 140 62 182 384 0.00
141 Newton South 2 13 136 55 198 389 0.00
142 Nipmuc Regional 10 6 53 52 91 196 0.00
143 North Attleborou 6 11 164 104 176 444 0.00
144 North Middlesex 7 10 92 83 158 333 0.00
145 North Quincy 5 13 160 99 190 449 0.00
146 North Reading 6 10 132 35 140 307 0.00
147 Northampton 9 5 81 182 65 328 0.00
148 Northbridge 11 7 85 101 102 288 0.00
149 Northeast RVT 4 13 194 166 201 561 0.00
150 Norton 4 13 181 131 194 506 0.00
151 Norwell 8 8 38 3 84 125 0.00
152 Norwood 8 7 145 181 107 433 0.00
153 Notre Dame Worce 11 6 72 77 90 239 0.00
154 Oakmont Regional 5 10 150 96 164 410 0.00
155 Old Colony RVT 7 8 149 133 131 413 0.00
156 Old Rochester Re 11 4 32 66 50 148 0.00
157 Oliver Ames 9 8 117 102 121 340 0.00
158 Peabody Veterans 13 2 28 68 26 122 0.00
159 Pembroke 6 11 143 87 165 395 0.00
160 Pentucket Region 9 6 58 36 68 162 0.00
161 Pittsfield/Tacon 2 12 185 199 187 571 0.00
162 Plymouth North 6 11 76 13 151 240 0.00
163 Plymouth South 3 12 180 125 185 490 0.00
164 Pope Francis 11 4 46 69 56 171 0.00
165 Quincy 9 8 97 93 109 299 0.00
166 Revere 0 13 216 213 208 637 0.00
167 Rockland 3 13 195 141 202 538 0.00
168 Salem 4 12 198 159 195 552 0.00
169 Sandwich 14 1 31 105 12 148 0.00
170 Saugus 8 8 178 196 125 499 0.00
171 Scituate 8 6 29 39 80 148 0.00
172 Seekonk 2 11 213 202 188 603 0.00
173 Sharon 4 10 177 167 170 514 0.00
174 Shawsheen Valley 11 3 98 209 38 345 0.00
175 Shepherd Hill 8 8 148 146 126 420 0.00
176 Shrewsbury 3 13 121 40 203 364 0.00
177 Silver Lake 6 8 105 114 122 341 0.00
178 Somerset Berkley 1 8 210 215 135 560 0.00
179 Somerville 10 6 144 176 92 412 0.00
180 South Hadley 5 10 139 143 166 448 0.00
181 South Shore RVT 14 1 89 198 15 302 0.00
182 Southeastern RVT 2 13 202 165 205 572 0.00
183 Springfield Cent 4 7 162 205 123 490 0.00
184 St Bernards 7 7 113 158 114 385 0.00
185 St John Paul II 11 5 65 84 47 196 0.00
186 St Marys Lynn 8 6 80 135 100 315 0.00
187 Stoneham 3 12 175 138 196 509 0.00
188 Stoughton 5 12 170 118 191 479 0.00
189 Sturgis Charter 2 10 206 203 174 583 0.00
190 Sturgis Charter 2 7 204 210 132 546 0.00
191 Swampscott 12 2 68 178 27 273 0.00
192 Tahanto Regional 12 4 63 103 51 217 0.00
193 Tantasqua 11 5 77 121 69 267 0.00
194 Taunton 0 15 201 139 215 555 0.00
195 Tewksbury Memori 11 7 116 110 103 329 0.00
196 Tri-County RVT 7 7 123 128 115 366 0.00
197 Triton Regional 0 11 197 177 192 566 0.00
198 Tyngsborough 7 9 106 82 142 330 0.00
199 Upper Cape Cod R 12 4 86 126 32 244 0.00
200 Ursuline Academy 11 3 71 208 28 307 0.00
201 Wachusett 11 4 36 49 57 142 0.00
202 Wahconah Regiona 2 15 192 129 210 531 0.00
203 Wakefield Memori 5 9 130 108 148 386 0.00
204 Waltham 7 8 120 91 119 330 0.00
205 Watertown 8 10 137 112 153 402 0.00
206 West Springfield 13 3 30 41 19 90 0.00
207 Westborough 15 2 34 76 21 131 0.00
208 Westfield 7 8 73 73 93 239 0.00
209 Westford Academy 9 6 49 44 77 170 0.00
210 Weymouth 12 5 21 10 29 60 0.00
211 Whitman-Hanson R 10 6 83 124 85 292 0.00
212 Whittier RVT 0 15 214 189 216 619 0.00
213 Wilmington 1 15 174 100 213 487 0.00
214 Winchester 6 10 108 67 159 334 0.00
215 Winthrop 6 11 163 132 177 472 0.00
216 Woburn Memorial 9 7 109 134 110 353 0.00