List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Good Counsel 21 0 4 42 4 50 18.00
2 McDonogh School 17 2 11 95 5 111 18.00
3 Stone Ridge Scho 16 4 8 32 13 53 12.00
4 Archbishop Spald 12 5 26 64 23 113 8.00
5 Georgetown Visit 14 6 9 9 19 37 5.00
6 John Carroll 8 8 59 73 109 241 4.00
7 St Pauls SG 16 5 19 88 25 132 4.00
8 Glenelg HS 16 1 5 23 3 31 4.00
9 South River 10 5 7 2 18 27 4.00
10 Bryn Mawr SG 7 11 70 62 165 297 3.00
11 Maryvale Prep 16 3 24 92 22 138 3.00
12 Broadneck 14 5 3 4 9 16 3.00
13 Mercy 4 11 112 34 197 343 2.00
14 Manchester Valle 17 0 2 5 2 9 2.00
15 Severna Park 15 2 1 1 1 3 2.00
16 Garrison Forest 6 9 97 68 173 338 0.00
17 Gerstell Academy 14 4 40 69 48 157 0.00
18 Notre Dame Prep 9 9 66 151 125 342 0.00
19 St Johns College 13 7 34 55 31 120 0.00
20 St Marys 10 8 50 89 134 273 0.00
21 Marriotts Ridge 14 3 10 53 6 69 0.00
22 Queen Annes Coun 15 2 12 127 15 154 0.00
23 Sherwood 13 1 17 26 8 51 0.00
24 Annapolis Area C 9 3 55 93 41 189 0.00
25 Anne Arundel Cou 3 4 143 176 87 406 0.00
26 Beth TFiloh 5 3 111 178 59 348 0.00
27 Bishop McNamara 4 9 101 107 70 278 0.00
28 Brookewood SG 4 5 126 149 88 363 0.00
29 Bullis School 4 14 82 39 117 238 0.00
30 Calverton School 1 5 195 194 118 507 0.00
31 Catholic High Ba 6 7 104 76 133 313 0.00
32 Chapelgate Chris 1 10 199 183 201 583 0.00
33 Concordia Prep 4 8 130 124 171 425 0.00
34 EL Haynes Charte 0 1 210 210 43 463 0.00
35 Elizabeth Seton 7 10 76 77 106 259 0.00
36 FCA 12 5 51 84 75 210 0.00
37 Field School 1 7 196 190 145 531 0.00
38 Friends School 3 8 132 153 172 457 0.00
39 Georgetown Day S 7 9 129 184 151 464 0.00
40 Glenelg Country 7 9 94 91 152 337 0.00
41 Gunston Day Scho 4 7 145 125 160 430 0.00
42 Holton-Arms Scho 8 10 46 120 39 205 0.00
43 Holy Child 6 13 86 180 83 349 0.00
44 Holy Cross 6 10 68 48 89 205 0.00
45 Indian Creek 5 9 107 61 182 350 0.00
46 Jackson-Reed 6 9 152 175 124 451 0.00
47 Jemicy 5 3 131 191 63 385 0.00
48 Key School 2 7 168 172 161 501 0.00
49 Maret School 13 4 42 161 21 224 0.00
50 Mount de Sales 5 14 117 17 214 348 0.00
51 National Cathedr 9 12 122 167 166 455 0.00
52 Park School 6 10 93 65 180 338 0.00
53 Rockbridge Acade 6 5 155 195 102 452 0.00
54 Roland Park Coun 6 10 84 57 167 308 0.00
55 Salisbury School 8 5 90 193 80 363 0.00
56 Sandy Spring Fri 0 2 208 209 64 481 0.00
57 School Without W 1 3 203 207 81 491 0.00
58 Severn School 6 11 95 72 183 350 0.00
59 Sidwell Friends 11 6 80 113 65 258 0.00
60 St Andrews Episc 3 7 150 168 140 458 0.00
61 St James School 6 6 188 189 71 448 0.00
62 St Johns Catholi 13 6 57 81 90 228 0.00
63 St Marys Ryken 3 10 114 86 146 346 0.00
64 St Timothys 11 0 16 145 11 172 0.00
65 St Vincent Pallo 3 9 149 112 185 446 0.00
66 Sts Peter & Paul 14 1 23 50 14 87 0.00
67 Tome School 0 6 180 203 153 536 0.00
68 Washington Latin 0 2 209 204 66 479 0.00
69 Worcester Prep 2 9 177 114 181 472 0.00
70 Aberdeen 6 6 133 160 119 412 0.00
71 Academy for Coll 4 6 175 197 129 501 0.00
72 Annapolis 7 3 75 150 42 267 0.00
73 Arundel 7 5 54 43 55 152 0.00
74 Atholton 4 9 160 137 186 483 0.00
75 Baltimore Polyte 6 3 139 196 60 395 0.00
76 Bel Air 12 5 18 21 52 91 0.00
77 Bethesda-Chevy C 8 6 65 33 91 189 0.00
78 Bladensburg 2 9 176 156 193 525 0.00
79 Blair 7 8 56 19 130 205 0.00
80 Blake 1 12 137 28 208 373 0.00
81 Bohemia Manor 3 9 190 202 192 584 0.00
82 Boonsboro 7 5 147 187 97 431 0.00
83 Bowie 9 4 89 116 68 273 0.00
84 Brunswick 0 12 204 185 217 606 0.00
85 Calvert 10 7 85 45 126 256 0.00
86 Cambridge SD 3 9 154 110 184 448 0.00
87 Carver A&T 7 7 108 90 135 333 0.00
88 Catoctin 5 8 162 146 168 476 0.00
89 Catonsville 7 6 35 30 82 147 0.00
90 Centennial 5 9 105 36 154 295 0.00
91 Central PG 0 1 205 198 44 447 0.00
92 Century 14 2 6 14 7 27 0.00
93 CH Flowers 7 5 113 126 98 337 0.00
94 Chesapeake AA 11 3 39 154 16 209 0.00
95 Chesapeake BC 6 3 156 206 61 423 0.00
96 Chopticon 7 7 110 67 141 318 0.00
97 City College 8 5 128 162 92 382 0.00
98 Clarksburg 10 4 72 87 56 215 0.00
99 CM Wright 9 6 32 20 76 128 0.00
100 CMIT North 10 3 74 133 45 252 0.00
101 Crofton 8 7 37 31 72 140 0.00
102 Damascus 11 3 15 11 37 63 0.00
103 Dr Henry Wise 4 7 140 121 159 420 0.00
104 Dulaney 11 6 27 10 57 94 0.00
105 Dundalk 6 6 159 188 120 467 0.00
106 DuVal 4 8 136 103 174 413 0.00
107 Eastern Technica 8 5 47 59 77 183 0.00
108 Easton 6 5 77 79 93 249 0.00
109 Edgewood 3 10 187 170 198 555 0.00
110 Einstein 6 7 146 132 147 425 0.00
111 Eleanor Roosevel 12 1 44 115 17 176 0.00
112 Elkton 3 9 179 192 177 548 0.00
113 Fairmont Heights 1 9 170 130 195 495 0.00
114 Fallston 11 6 20 13 53 86 0.00
115 Francis Scott Ke 5 7 99 58 113 270 0.00
116 Franklin 6 7 103 82 136 321 0.00
117 Frederick 8 7 106 63 137 306 0.00
118 Frederick Dougla 1 10 183 143 203 529 0.00
119 Gaithersburg 0 13 191 134 218 543 0.00
120 Glen Burnie 4 9 173 147 187 507 0.00
121 Gov Thomas Johns 6 7 142 128 148 418 0.00
122 Great Mills 3 11 164 71 206 441 0.00
123 Gwynn Park 6 5 88 98 103 289 0.00
124 Hammond 2 11 182 123 199 504 0.00
125 Harford Tech 6 8 91 56 162 309 0.00
126 Havre De Grace 6 6 81 75 110 266 0.00
127 Hereford 10 3 14 35 40 89 0.00
128 Howard 7 7 43 16 73 132 0.00
129 Huntingtown 13 2 31 29 12 72 0.00
130 JM Bennett 6 8 109 44 163 316 0.00
131 Kennedy 2 11 186 131 207 524 0.00
132 Kent County 3 10 161 109 196 466 0.00
133 Kent Island 5 10 96 173 149 418 0.00
134 Kenwood 7 6 157 182 114 453 0.00
135 La Plata 9 5 48 38 85 171 0.00
136 Lackey 5 8 148 111 169 428 0.00
137 Lansdowne 2 10 192 177 202 571 0.00
138 Laurel 10 3 79 122 46 247 0.00
139 Leonardtown 9 7 61 119 107 287 0.00
140 Liberty 9 6 29 24 47 100 0.00
141 Linganore 11 5 28 7 38 73 0.00
142 Loch Raven 8 5 98 136 94 328 0.00
143 Long Reach 8 4 124 174 74 372 0.00
144 Magruder 7 7 138 117 142 397 0.00
145 Meade 0 11 202 179 212 593 0.00
146 Middletown 11 7 67 27 95 189 0.00
147 MJ McDonough 6 7 118 78 150 346 0.00
148 Mount Hebron 10 6 21 3 26 50 0.00
149 New Town 0 6 207 208 155 570 0.00
150 North Caroline 9 5 41 140 54 235 0.00
151 North County 6 7 83 41 111 235 0.00
152 North East Cecil 5 7 167 200 156 523 0.00
153 North Hagerstown 3 10 184 164 200 548 0.00
154 North Harford 7 8 71 54 157 282 0.00
155 North Point 4 9 151 94 188 433 0.00
156 Northeast 4 8 144 104 175 423 0.00
157 Northern Calvert 13 2 38 51 24 113 0.00
158 Northwest 8 5 100 105 84 289 0.00
159 Northwestern PG 3 6 158 181 138 477 0.00
160 Northwood 7 6 134 152 115 401 0.00
161 Oakdale 8 6 45 40 99 184 0.00
162 Oakland Mills 3 10 171 144 189 504 0.00
163 Old Mill 5 6 127 142 127 396 0.00
164 Overlea 4 6 189 205 131 525 0.00
165 Owings Mills 0 10 206 201 204 611 0.00
166 Oxon Hill 7 6 120 100 104 324 0.00
167 Paint Branch 4 9 169 148 190 507 0.00
168 Parkdale 7 7 121 99 143 363 0.00
169 Parkside 5 8 123 118 144 385 0.00
170 Parkville 7 5 125 158 100 383 0.00
171 Patapsco 4 8 166 165 176 507 0.00
172 Patterson Mill 10 5 52 74 78 204 0.00
173 Patuxent 7 6 116 101 116 333 0.00
174 Perry Hall 7 7 60 47 108 215 0.00
175 Perryville 8 7 87 80 128 295 0.00
176 Pikesville 2 8 153 135 170 458 0.00
177 Poolesville 7 7 115 70 105 290 0.00
178 Quince Orchard 9 5 49 22 69 140 0.00
179 Reservoir 9 7 73 25 86 184 0.00
180 Richard Montgome 8 7 92 52 139 283 0.00
181 Rising Sun 6 6 135 163 121 419 0.00
182 River Hill 10 7 53 106 58 217 0.00
183 Rockville 2 11 163 85 205 453 0.00
184 Seneca Valley 4 9 174 159 191 524 0.00
185 Smithsburg 2 11 194 169 209 572 0.00
186 South Carroll 10 6 36 18 62 116 0.00
187 Southern 8 8 62 102 96 260 0.00
188 Sparrows Point 8 4 64 97 67 228 0.00
189 Springbrook 10 4 69 108 49 226 0.00
190 St Charles 1 11 197 171 211 579 0.00
191 Stephen Decatur 13 3 22 66 20 108 0.00
192 Suitland 0 11 193 157 213 563 0.00
193 Towson 7 9 33 6 112 151 0.00
194 Tuscarora 7 5 119 141 101 361 0.00
195 Urbana 12 6 25 49 79 153 0.00
196 Walkersville 2 11 181 129 210 520 0.00
197 Walter Johnson 10 5 30 15 50 95 0.00
198 Watkins Mill 0 12 201 166 215 582 0.00
199 Western Baltimor 0 6 200 186 158 544 0.00
200 Western STES 6 6 141 155 122 418 0.00
201 Westlake 0 13 185 83 219 487 0.00
202 Westminster 4 10 58 8 132 198 0.00
203 Wheaton 5 9 165 138 178 481 0.00
204 Whitman 14 2 13 12 10 35 0.00
205 Wicomico 0 9 178 139 194 511 0.00
206 Wilde Lake 2 12 172 96 216 484 0.00
207 Winston Churchil 5 8 78 37 164 279 0.00
208 Winters Mill 6 8 102 46 123 271 0.00
209 Woodlawn 2 8 198 199 179 576 0.00
210 Wootton 11 4 63 60 51 174 0.00
211 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00