List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 San Ramon Valley 20 1 2 63 1 66 24.00
2 Oak Ridge 20 2 3 2 3 8 16.00
3 St Ignatius Prep 17 5 10 65 4 79 16.00
4 Sacred Heart Pre 18 3 5 121 5 131 15.00
5 Torrey Pines 16 4 6 6 9 21 5.00
6 Marin Catholic 17 5 15 10 13 38 4.00
7 Marlborough 18 1 1 11 2 14 4.00
8 St Francis Sacra 11 4 18 71 60 149 3.00
9 Tamalpais 10 9 37 4 96 137 3.00
10 Coronado 15 3 16 204 14 234 2.00
11 California San R 11 5 44 33 53 130 0.00
12 Carondelet 14 9 26 52 24 102 0.00
13 Marin Academy 12 4 34 94 51 179 0.00
14 Redwood 17 5 8 1 12 21 0.00
15 Cathedral Cathol 12 8 19 38 29 86 0.00
16 Menlo School 13 6 25 8 20 53 0.00
17 Foothill Santa A 17 3 4 76 6 86 0.00
18 Redondo Union 16 5 7 3 10 20 0.00
19 Acalanes 13 8 54 79 142 275 0.00
20 Alhambra 4 7 263 279 165 707 0.00
21 Amador Valley 13 6 58 34 72 164 0.00
22 Archie Williams 9 9 142 103 174 419 0.00
23 Athenian 2 6 280 282 152 714 0.00
24 Bay School 7 8 217 246 177 640 0.00
25 Bella Vista 11 5 125 221 86 432 0.00
26 Bentley 4 3 237 280 79 596 0.00
27 Berkeley 8 10 155 108 220 483 0.00
28 Bishop ODowd 5 11 171 122 241 534 0.00
29 Branson School 13 5 81 80 67 228 0.00
30 Campolindo 13 7 50 77 99 226 0.00
31 Cardinal Newman 4 8 198 222 198 618 0.00
32 Casa Grande 5 9 190 182 212 584 0.00
33 Christian Brothe 12 4 111 185 64 360 0.00
34 Clayton Valley C 5 8 234 253 191 678 0.00
35 College Park 12 5 115 188 87 390 0.00
36 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 269 268 209 746 0.00
37 Davis 7 9 48 19 158 225 0.00
38 Del Oro 13 4 21 28 15 64 0.00
39 Dougherty Valley 4 7 138 184 143 465 0.00
40 Dublin 6 9 153 144 192 489 0.00
41 Folsom 6 9 105 49 159 313 0.00
42 Foothill Pleasan 3 10 177 160 228 565 0.00
43 Granada 6 11 159 111 234 504 0.00
44 Granite Bay 12 6 41 27 73 141 0.00
45 Head-Royce Schoo 3 10 191 179 237 607 0.00
46 International 1 7 262 259 185 706 0.00
47 Justin-Siena 14 7 72 142 116 330 0.00
48 Las Lomas 9 7 165 229 135 529 0.00
49 Lick-Wilmerding 9 7 118 126 136 380 0.00
50 Livermore 2 11 227 211 242 680 0.00
51 Lowell 0 6 231 224 160 615 0.00
52 Miramonte 10 10 66 50 166 282 0.00
53 Monte Vista Danv 14 5 32 35 59 126 0.00
54 Moreau Catholic 3 8 265 273 202 740 0.00
55 Napa 2 12 260 248 265 773 0.00
56 Newark Memorial 2 11 275 270 254 799 0.00
57 Northgate 2 11 184 131 255 570 0.00
58 Novato 8 8 92 74 153 319 0.00
59 Oakland Tech 1 1 252 281 54 587 0.00
60 Oakmont 2 9 267 260 229 756 0.00
61 Petaluma 10 5 101 180 95 376 0.00
62 Piedmont 13 5 94 163 81 338 0.00
63 Rancho Cotate 10 7 167 199 122 488 0.00
64 Rio Americano 6 10 210 167 230 607 0.00
65 Rocklin 8 10 146 78 186 410 0.00
66 Roseville 4 9 232 240 221 693 0.00
67 San Marin 16 5 24 46 49 119 0.00
68 San Rafael 1 12 216 128 261 605 0.00
69 Sonoma Academy 3 9 223 234 225 682 0.00
70 Sonoma Valley 11 6 124 196 112 432 0.00
71 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 238 274 156 668 0.00
72 Terra Linda 3 10 199 169 231 599 0.00
73 University HS SF 8 10 77 44 193 314 0.00
74 Urban School 9 5 149 232 100 481 0.00
75 Vintage 7 8 147 157 178 482 0.00
76 Vista del Lago 10 6 52 58 91 201 0.00
77 Washington Fremo 0 3 284 283 97 664 0.00
78 West Park 0 19 278 223 303 804 0.00
79 Whitney 2 15 193 88 285 566 0.00
80 Windsor 1 12 257 238 269 764 0.00
81 Woodcreek 11 5 173 218 74 465 0.00
82 Ygnacio Valley 0 8 274 263 213 750 0.00
83 Academy of Our L 2 14 201 96 288 585 0.00
84 Bishops School 21 3 30 41 16 87 0.00
85 Bonita Vista 12 10 120 91 206 417 0.00
86 Canyon Crest 10 10 113 53 214 380 0.00
87 Canyon Hills 10 8 133 123 161 417 0.00
88 Carlsbad 18 4 22 9 21 52 0.00
89 Castle Park 14 9 76 98 167 341 0.00
90 Clairemont 6 11 225 233 243 701 0.00
91 Classical Academ 11 8 144 137 157 438 0.00
92 Del Lago Academy 1 14 207 130 290 627 0.00
93 Del Norte 14 7 43 54 101 198 0.00
94 Eastlake 13 8 69 45 144 258 0.00
95 El Camino 5 17 220 87 296 603 0.00
96 El Capitan 12 6 126 201 106 433 0.00
97 Fallbrook 17 4 63 110 52 225 0.00
98 Francis Parker S 10 10 112 257 179 548 0.00
99 Granite Hills 10 7 139 165 129 433 0.00
100 Grossmont 5 13 209 175 272 656 0.00
101 Helix Charter 3 13 241 227 277 745 0.00
102 Hilltop 5 12 228 198 262 688 0.00
103 La Costa Canyon 8 10 61 47 123 231 0.00
104 La Jolla CDS 9 9 136 267 168 571 0.00
105 La Jolla HS 6 15 114 39 248 401 0.00
106 Lincoln San Dieg 3 12 248 231 264 743 0.00
107 Mar Vista 8 3 189 275 65 529 0.00
108 Mater Dei Chula 13 8 107 170 145 422 0.00
109 Mira Mesa 8 12 152 85 252 489 0.00
110 Mission Bay 12 6 127 192 107 426 0.00
111 Mission Hills 3 13 185 139 278 602 0.00
112 Mission Vista 1 16 243 156 295 694 0.00
113 Monte Vista Spri 8 7 163 207 146 516 0.00
114 Montgomery 0 2 282 277 77 636 0.00
115 Morse 8 11 224 208 238 670 0.00
116 Mt Carmel 7 10 140 138 207 485 0.00
117 Olympian 7 14 172 109 280 561 0.00
118 Otay Ranch 4 11 256 243 249 748 0.00
119 Pacific Ridge 13 6 86 105 102 293 0.00
120 Patrick Henry 5 13 151 99 256 506 0.00
121 Point Loma 12 4 53 95 68 216 0.00
122 Poway 10 10 102 62 175 339 0.00
123 Preuss School 1 18 249 159 301 709 0.00
124 Ramona 2 15 233 149 292 674 0.00
125 Rancho Bernardo 6 14 162 114 282 558 0.00
126 Rancho Buena Vis 15 4 91 134 61 286 0.00
127 Sage Creek 16 5 85 101 75 261 0.00
128 San Diego 10 7 128 152 130 410 0.00
129 San Dieguito 6 13 95 31 257 383 0.00
130 San Marcos SD 13 7 31 112 46 189 0.00
131 San Ysidro 16 8 84 116 124 324 0.00
132 Santa Fe Christi 0 17 235 143 298 676 0.00
133 Santana 5 13 215 195 273 683 0.00
134 Scripps Ranch 11 7 59 32 82 173 0.00
135 Southwest 0 8 279 271 215 765 0.00
136 Tri City Christi 12 6 161 174 108 443 0.00
137 University City 16 4 35 56 55 146 0.00
138 Valhalla 6 13 192 147 270 609 0.00
139 Valley Center 9 6 150 203 117 470 0.00
140 Vista 13 8 121 102 147 370 0.00
141 West Hills 13 8 154 212 148 514 0.00
142 Westview 9 9 135 127 199 461 0.00
143 Aptos 8 7 206 244 149 599 0.00
144 Aragon 4 11 218 187 250 655 0.00
145 Archbishop Mitty 1 11 134 29 203 366 0.00
146 Burlingame 9 8 104 51 169 324 0.00
147 Carlmont 2 9 196 190 232 618 0.00
148 Carmel 4 6 108 172 137 417 0.00
149 Castilleja 16 4 57 67 56 180 0.00
150 Gilroy 5 7 169 215 162 546 0.00
151 Gunn 15 4 68 93 62 223 0.00
152 Harbor 0 1 286 286 63 635 0.00
153 Harker School 0 16 246 158 297 701 0.00
154 Hillsdale 10 7 103 72 131 306 0.00
155 Leland 8 4 106 219 83 408 0.00
156 Lincoln San Jose 3 9 212 206 226 644 0.00
157 Live Oak 14 2 49 133 19 201 0.00
158 Los Altos 9 7 129 146 138 413 0.00
159 Los Gatos 13 5 71 66 69 206 0.00
160 Menlo-Atherton 6 11 89 15 187 291 0.00
161 Mercy Burlingame 6 10 182 153 233 568 0.00
162 Monte Vista Chri 10 8 116 97 163 376 0.00
163 Monterey 8 3 178 261 66 505 0.00
164 Mountain View 5 11 205 150 244 599 0.00
165 Notre Dame Belmo 11 7 99 106 125 330 0.00
166 Notre Dame Salin 1 5 253 256 126 635 0.00
167 Notre Dame San J 8 6 132 178 118 428 0.00
168 Palo Alto 5 14 211 113 286 610 0.00
169 Pioneer 10 7 122 125 132 379 0.00
170 Presentation 7 8 181 189 180 550 0.00
171 Priory 3 11 156 70 253 479 0.00
172 Sacred Heart Cat 12 5 97 161 88 346 0.00
173 Salinas 3 10 194 145 239 578 0.00
174 Santa Catalina S 1 7 200 200 188 588 0.00
175 Santa Cruz 1 5 277 278 127 682 0.00
176 Saratoga 4 8 219 236 200 655 0.00
177 Scotts Valley 11 3 64 191 57 312 0.00
178 Sequoia 13 5 45 57 84 186 0.00
179 Sobrato 2 13 244 210 281 735 0.00
180 Soquel 3 6 208 250 150 608 0.00
181 St Francis Mtn V 8 8 47 5 92 144 0.00
182 Stevenson School 11 3 46 104 58 208 0.00
183 Wilcox 0 12 268 242 274 784 0.00
184 Willow Glen 5 7 170 216 164 550 0.00
185 Woodside 14 3 39 69 47 155 0.00
186 York School 0 5 273 258 133 664 0.00
187 Agoura 4 14 186 55 283 524 0.00
188 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 240 276 89 605 0.00
189 Aliso Niguel 8 12 175 107 236 518 0.00
190 Beckman 9 10 160 148 216 524 0.00
191 Beverly Hills 0 7 276 264 194 734 0.00
192 Birmingham Chart 5 14 221 176 287 684 0.00
193 Calabasas 1 18 239 100 302 641 0.00
194 California Whitt 4 11 266 265 251 782 0.00
195 Canyon 10 9 65 48 151 264 0.00
196 Capistrano Valle 5 11 251 252 245 748 0.00
197 Cate School 12 6 70 86 109 265 0.00
198 Centennial 2 12 264 241 266 771 0.00
199 Chadwick School 9 8 168 193 170 531 0.00
200 Chaminade Prep 12 7 29 12 70 111 0.00
201 Chaparral 14 7 33 14 93 140 0.00
202 Compton 5 8 247 262 195 704 0.00
203 Corona 1 15 272 225 293 790 0.00
204 Corona Del Mar 9 10 73 81 204 358 0.00
205 Crescenta Valley 13 8 40 21 78 139 0.00
206 Culver City 10 7 131 135 113 379 0.00
207 Dana Hills 6 12 236 239 258 733 0.00
208 Dos Pueblos 7 8 157 154 181 492 0.00
209 Downey 11 11 145 117 227 489 0.00
210 Edison 10 9 27 13 94 134 0.00
211 El Camino Real 7 7 214 255 154 623 0.00
212 El Dorado 15 6 79 119 80 278 0.00
213 El Modena 5 14 245 186 276 707 0.00
214 El Segundo 5 13 187 115 259 561 0.00
215 El Toro 7 10 119 68 205 392 0.00
216 Eleanor Roosevel 16 10 82 64 176 322 0.00
217 Esperanza 5 10 195 173 222 590 0.00
218 GALA 0 4 285 285 115 685 0.00
219 Glendale 17 5 74 166 31 271 0.00
220 Great Oak 6 12 117 61 246 424 0.00
221 Hart 6 14 204 220 284 708 0.00
222 Hemet 1 12 250 214 271 735 0.00
223 Heritage 10 10 141 124 208 473 0.00
224 Heritage Christi 0 14 261 228 291 780 0.00
225 Huntington Beach 15 4 28 59 23 110 0.00
226 Irvine 3 13 229 202 279 710 0.00
227 JSerra Catholic 16 8 38 36 98 172 0.00
228 King 15 10 87 84 182 353 0.00
229 La Canada 6 12 222 217 260 699 0.00
230 Laguna Beach 12 6 123 171 110 404 0.00
231 Lakewood 2 12 281 266 267 814 0.00
232 Liberty 4 9 230 245 223 698 0.00
233 Long Beach Poly 1 8 270 269 210 749 0.00
234 Los Alamitos 10 9 90 132 189 411 0.00
235 Lynwood 0 12 271 249 275 795 0.00
236 Mater Dei Santa 12 6 17 20 33 70 0.00
237 Millikan 8 11 203 209 240 652 0.00
238 Mira Costa 17 5 9 16 11 36 0.00
239 Mission Viejo 2 18 254 183 300 737 0.00
240 Murrieta Mesa 20 2 12 23 8 43 0.00
241 Murrieta Valley 11 11 78 37 217 332 0.00
242 Newbury Park 12 2 56 141 17 214 0.00
243 Newport Harbor 9 10 109 140 224 473 0.00
244 Norco 9 10 148 136 218 502 0.00
245 Nordhoff 0 11 242 230 263 735 0.00
246 Northwood 13 6 80 90 85 255 0.00
247 Notre Dame Sherm 10 8 67 75 119 261 0.00
248 Oak Park 14 3 60 89 34 183 0.00
249 Oaks Christian 11 6 93 82 114 289 0.00
250 Orange Lutheran 15 9 75 83 139 297 0.00
251 Palisades Charte 12 9 176 237 183 596 0.00
252 Paloma Valley 9 7 213 247 140 600 0.00
253 Palos Verdes 12 7 23 18 50 91 0.00
254 Peninsula 9 9 98 60 128 286 0.00
255 Portola 10 9 174 197 196 567 0.00
256 Riverside Poly 12 7 180 213 120 513 0.00
257 Rosary Academy 8 9 179 151 190 520 0.00
258 Royal 12 10 88 26 171 285 0.00
259 Sage Hill 0 17 259 205 299 763 0.00
260 San Clemente 18 3 11 7 7 25 0.00
261 San Juan Hills 17 6 20 22 48 90 0.00
262 San Marcos SB 17 3 62 129 22 213 0.00
263 Santa Barbara 5 11 188 164 247 599 0.00
264 Santa Margarita 13 5 13 17 18 48 0.00
265 Santa Monica 6 11 183 118 235 536 0.00
266 Santiago 11 9 51 30 134 215 0.00
267 Saugus 12 7 143 194 121 458 0.00
268 Segerstrom 13 6 202 254 103 559 0.00
269 Simi Valley 2 16 226 120 294 640 0.00
270 St Margarets 13 7 14 24 76 114 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 18 6 42 42 71 155 0.00
272 Tesoro 11 9 158 162 184 504 0.00
273 Thacher School 9 8 130 251 141 522 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 12 7 55 43 104 202 0.00
275 Tustin 6 9 255 272 211 738 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 283 284 155 722 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 197 168 268 633 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 14 258 235 289 782 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 9 8 137 155 172 464 0.00
280 Village Christia 10 11 83 40 201 324 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 7 36 25 105 166 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 10 100 92 219 411 0.00
283 Westridge School 10 9 164 181 197 542 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 5 110 177 90 377 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 12 6 166 226 111 503 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 10 96 73 173 342 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00