All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.3700027 home-field advantage = -0.82 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Mountain Brook (16- 5, 80.0) 14- 9 305 A Page (16- 2, 75.8) 11- 3 307 H Brentwood (14- 4, 81.6) 6-13 321 H Independence ( 9- 9, 68.5) 17- 4 322 H Hagerty (20- 4, 91.1) 5-17 323 H Sacred Heart Academy (15-12, 82.2) 12- 9 324 H Westlake (11- 4, 79.5) 11- 9 328 A Harpeth Hall (18- 2, 88.8) 3-17 403 H Hillgrove (13- 6, 87.6) 4-12 405 A Girls Preparatory Scho ( 9- 8, 73.2) 15- 4 406 H St Marys Episcopal (11- 8, 75.8) 13- 9 409 H Franklin (14- 4, 79.4) 11- 3 412 A Houston ( 8-10, 69.3) 19- 7 413 A Collierville ( 8- 8, 71.8) 18- 4 418 A Christ Presbyterian Ac ( 8- 9, 71.7) 20- 7 420 H Seymour (19- 2, 80.3) 14- 8 423 H Ensworth (20- 2, 87.9) 5-16 426 H Hutchison School (13- 6, 81.6) 9- 8 430 H Independence ( 9- 9, 68.5) 19- 4 503 A Farragut (11- 4, 73.4) 15- 2 511 A Brentwood (14- 4, 81.6) 13- 7 518 A Franklin (14- 4, 79.4) 8
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Mountain Brook 14- 9 5 1 n/a 305 A Page 11- 3 8 5 1.20 307 H Brentwood 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.59 321 H Independence 17- 4 13 14 0.00 322 H Hagerty 5-17 -12 -7 n/a 323 H Sacred Heart Academy 12- 9 3 1 n/a 324 H Westlake 11- 9 2 3 n/a 328 A Harpeth Hall 3-17 -14 -7 0.00 403 H Hillgrove 4-12 -8 -4 n/a 405 A Girls Preparatory Scho 15- 4 11 8 0.00 406 H St Marys Episcopal 13- 9 4 7 - -3.00 409 H Franklin 11- 3 8 3 + 3.25 412 A Houston 19- 7 12 12 0.00 413 A Collierville 18- 4 14 9 0.00 418 A Christ Presbyterian Ac 20- 7 13 9 0.00 420 H Seymour 14- 8 6 2 + 3.09 423 H Ensworth 5-16 -11 -4 - -2.29 426 H Hutchison School 9- 8 1 1 -0.61 430 H Independence 19- 4 15 14 0.00 503 A Farragut 15- 2 13 8 0.00 511 A Brentwood 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Brentwood 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.59 403 H Hillgrove 4-12 -8 -4 - 406 H St Marys Episcopal 13- 9 4 7 - -3.00 423 H Ensworth 5-16 -11 -4 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Brentwood 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.05 302 A Mountain Brook 14- 9 5 1 + 409 H Franklin 11- 3 8 3 + 3.25 420 H Seymour 14- 8 6 2 + 3.09
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 82.37 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.43 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6418 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .7157 RPI Rank................... 1 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 11 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 190. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 11.3