List of girl Div 17 Morgan School List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Old Lyme                5-17     -12    -6          -0.26
   404 A Old Saybrook            9-12      -3    -3           0.14
   408 H Berlin                 18-10       8     3    +      3.47
   416 H Cromwell               14- 4      10     9           0.00
   418 H North Branford          7-10      -3    -3           0.91
   420 H Valley Regional        17- 6      11     6           1.00
   423 A Wheeler                12- 5       7     1    ++     5.88
   425 A Valley Regional        10- 8       2     5    -     -3.34
   430 H Haddam-Killingworth     9-10      -1     0          -0.85
   502 H Old Lyme                4-12      -8    -6          -0.92
   506 A Haddam-Killingworth     8- 6       2     0    +      2.81
   507 A North Branford          5-15     -10    -4    -     -2.43
   509 H Old Saybrook            8-12      -4    -2          -1.52
   511 A Griswold-Norwich Tech  14- 4      10     8           0.00
   513 A Middletown-Coginchaug  15-10       5     8    -     -2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Valley Regional        10- 8       2     5    -     -3.34
   507 A North Branford          5-15     -10    -4    -     -2.43
   513 A Middletown-Coginchaug  15-10       5     8    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Wheeler                12- 5       7     1    ++     5.88
   408 H Berlin                 18-10       8     3    +      3.47
   506 A Haddam-Killingworth     8- 6       2     0    +      2.81



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 67.33 Power Rank.................    58
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 36.27 SOS (PR) Rank..............    78
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5856 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    54
 RPI Rating............... .5046 RPI Rank...................    46
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    53
 Selection sum ...........   158 Selection Rank ............    48
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -135. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    57
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    58
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.3 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7