List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Paul VI 11 7 8 12 19 39 24.00
2 St Annes-Belfiel 10 8 3 10 10 23 13.00
3 Collegiate Schoo 15 2 5 27 3 35 12.00
4 Norfolk Academy 16 6 20 67 25 112 6.00
5 Robinson 16 0 1 2 1 4 6.00
6 Christchurch 12 5 14 16 17 47 5.00
7 Episcopal 9 9 46 89 49 184 5.00
8 Catholic HS 12 8 30 73 56 159 4.00
9 Riverside 12 2 2 23 2 27 4.00
10 Atlee 9 4 10 3 13 26 3.00
11 Blue Ridge Schoo 14 7 9 86 4 99 3.00
12 Yorktown 13 4 21 48 20 89 3.00
13 Freedom South R 14 2 11 7 5 23 2.00
14 Battlefield 14 1 6 8 6 20 0.00
15 Briar Woods 10 4 25 9 31 65 0.00
16 Douglas Freeman 10 4 12 4 26 42 0.00
17 Hayfield 14 0 39 116 8 163 0.00
18 Langley 12 4 18 84 12 114 0.00
19 Madison 11 5 4 14 16 34 0.00
20 Midlothian 10 3 15 25 28 68 0.00
21 Potomac School 11 9 43 54 54 151 0.00
22 Salem 13 0 13 29 7 49 0.00
23 St Christophers 8 10 51 44 82 177 0.00
24 Albemarle 8 5 40 31 55 126 0.00
25 Alexandria City 4 11 106 43 154 303 0.00
26 Annandale 3 10 153 145 148 446 0.00
27 Bayside 3 6 117 139 107 363 0.00
28 Benedictine 10 8 89 108 101 298 0.00
29 Bishop Ireton 8 11 96 159 64 319 0.00
30 Bishop OConnell 3 13 92 46 84 222 0.00
31 Blacksburg 7 7 102 60 102 264 0.00
32 Brentsville 12 2 28 45 29 102 0.00
33 Broad Run 11 3 54 80 44 178 0.00
34 Brooke Point 8 7 78 33 108 219 0.00
35 Cape Henry Colle 7 10 75 22 143 240 0.00
36 Cave Spring 7 5 93 122 76 291 0.00
37 Centreville 2 11 116 39 149 304 0.00
38 Chantilly 11 5 35 57 52 144 0.00
39 Charlottesville 3 11 147 132 159 438 0.00
40 Christiansburg 0 11 152 114 163 429 0.00
41 Clover Hill 4 11 136 105 150 391 0.00
42 Colgan 9 6 63 37 86 186 0.00
43 Colonial Forge 14 3 22 6 30 58 0.00
44 Cosby 10 3 7 5 18 30 0.00
45 Covenant School 5 7 67 64 103 234 0.00
46 Cox 12 2 41 62 23 126 0.00
47 Culpeper County 2 10 144 128 155 427 0.00
48 Deep Run 9 5 37 18 40 95 0.00
49 Dominion 7 6 47 13 70 130 0.00
50 Eastern View 2 11 150 151 164 465 0.00
51 EC Glass 10 3 42 41 41 124 0.00
52 Edison 8 8 97 56 121 274 0.00
53 Fairfax 5 8 107 75 118 300 0.00
54 Falls Church 6 9 111 92 140 343 0.00
55 Fauquier 6 8 65 19 104 188 0.00
56 First Colonial 7 7 100 74 111 285 0.00
57 Fishburne Milita 0 4 171 169 67 407 0.00
58 Flint Hill 7 9 99 140 87 326 0.00
59 Fluvanna County 6 6 113 134 90 337 0.00
60 Forest Park 15 2 38 35 14 87 0.00
61 Fork Union Milit 0 8 165 161 142 468 0.00
62 Franklin County 3 10 125 135 146 406 0.00
63 Fredericksburg A 4 8 156 163 133 452 0.00
64 Fredericksburg C 7 7 137 157 112 406 0.00
65 Freedom Woodbri 0 5 170 167 100 437 0.00
66 Gainesville 8 7 68 20 74 162 0.00
67 Gar-field 3 12 142 95 169 406 0.00
68 Glen Allen 7 6 69 40 71 180 0.00
69 Goochland 5 7 133 154 113 400 0.00
70 Grafton LC 4 7 91 72 116 279 0.00
71 Grassfield LC 1 8 148 153 137 438 0.00
72 Green Run 0 11 159 137 168 464 0.00
73 Handley 10 4 66 158 72 296 0.00
74 Hanover 8 4 57 82 47 186 0.00
75 Heritage Leesbu 3 10 120 68 151 339 0.00
76 Herndon 5 7 101 88 114 303 0.00
77 Hickory LC 6 4 84 141 65 290 0.00
78 Hidden Valley 1 12 141 76 170 387 0.00
79 Highland School 7 4 122 164 66 352 0.00
80 Highland Springs 1 10 161 156 157 474 0.00
81 Hylton 8 7 94 61 109 264 0.00
82 Independence 9 4 33 30 42 105 0.00
83 James Monroe 9 5 103 150 75 328 0.00
84 James River 4 9 77 26 119 222 0.00
85 Jamestown LC 9 1 27 119 22 168 0.00
86 Jefferson Forest 8 5 56 38 68 162 0.00
87 John Champe 9 5 61 47 53 161 0.00
88 Justice 10 4 108 152 57 317 0.00
89 Kellam 13 1 36 160 9 205 0.00
90 Kempsville 5 7 109 103 117 329 0.00
91 Kettle Run 4 6 60 98 97 255 0.00
92 Lafayette LC 12 1 19 115 11 145 0.00
93 Lake Braddock 10 7 64 77 91 232 0.00
94 Landstown 4 8 127 126 134 387 0.00
95 Lewis 2 10 155 146 156 457 0.00
96 Liberty Bealeto 8 4 70 110 62 242 0.00
97 Lightridge 4 11 95 24 145 264 0.00
98 Loudoun County 9 6 79 69 88 236 0.00
99 Loudoun Valley 8 6 90 99 92 281 0.00
100 Manchester 10 2 52 120 24 196 0.00
101 Marshall 2 10 129 90 147 366 0.00
102 Massaponax 1 13 151 81 175 407 0.00
103 Matoaca 1 12 164 147 172 483 0.00
104 Maury LC 1 9 114 70 144 328 0.00
105 McLean 11 5 34 52 45 131 0.00
106 Mechanicsville 7 6 123 155 94 372 0.00
107 Menchville LC 7 5 76 83 73 232 0.00
108 Meridian 12 2 29 50 27 106 0.00
109 Mills Godwin 4 9 115 100 136 351 0.00
110 Monacan 8 5 85 96 69 250 0.00
111 Monticello 7 4 59 104 60 223 0.00
112 Mount Vernon 1 11 157 143 166 466 0.00
113 Mountain View 15 3 31 15 35 81 0.00
114 Nansemond-Suffol 12 5 32 93 43 168 0.00
115 New Covenant Sch 5 5 128 162 77 367 0.00
116 Norfolk Christia 5 13 131 121 167 419 0.00
117 Norfolk Collegia 7 8 80 59 122 261 0.00
118 North Cross Scho 9 7 24 28 61 113 0.00
119 North Stafford 2 12 149 113 171 433 0.00
120 Oakton 8 6 44 21 58 123 0.00
121 Ocean Lakes 6 6 104 112 98 314 0.00
122 Orange County 5 8 105 94 124 323 0.00
123 Osbourn 2 12 163 144 160 467 0.00
124 Osbourn Park 2 12 143 66 161 370 0.00
125 Park View 4 11 146 127 162 435 0.00
126 Patrick Henry A 4 9 119 109 138 366 0.00
127 Patrick Henry R 10 1 23 79 15 117 0.00
128 Patriot 9 6 26 1 48 75 0.00
129 Potomac Falls 3 12 135 53 165 353 0.00
130 Potomac-Dumfries 2 13 160 130 174 464 0.00
131 Powhatan 5 7 110 106 99 315 0.00
132 Princess Anne 9 3 71 125 50 246 0.00
133 Riverbend 5 8 112 85 130 327 0.00
134 Roanoke Catholic 1 0 167 172 32 371 0.00
135 Rock Ridge 0 16 162 107 176 445 0.00
136 Rockbridge Count 4 7 83 101 110 294 0.00
137 Rockingham LC 4 6 168 166 81 415 0.00
138 Salem Virginia B 2 6 130 142 115 387 0.00
139 Seton School 12 4 55 91 59 205 0.00
140 South County 10 7 53 42 78 173 0.00
141 South Lakes 6 9 81 32 126 239 0.00
142 St John Paul the 2 12 140 129 173 442 0.00
143 St Stephen-St Ag 6 15 72 49 85 206 0.00
144 Stafford 4 8 124 124 135 383 0.00
145 Steward School 4 8 121 117 131 369 0.00
146 Stone Bridge 6 8 50 11 83 144 0.00
147 Strasburg LC 3 4 139 173 46 358 0.00
148 Tabb LC 6 4 49 78 63 190 0.00
149 Tallwood 1 10 154 138 158 450 0.00
150 Tandem Friends 1 7 169 168 127 464 0.00
151 Thomas Dale 2 5 166 165 95 426 0.00
152 Thomas Jefferson 5 8 134 131 128 393 0.00
153 Trinity Christia 8 6 88 123 96 307 0.00
154 Trinity Episcopa 8 10 98 51 125 274 0.00
155 Trinity Meadow V 9 7 74 148 93 315 0.00
156 Tuscarora 4 11 132 63 152 347 0.00
157 Unity Reed 7 8 138 136 105 379 0.00
158 Virginia Academy 0 7 158 149 132 439 0.00
159 Virginia Episcop 6 7 45 55 106 206 0.00
160 Wakefield HS 5 10 126 118 139 383 0.00
161 Washington-Liber 6 8 82 87 123 292 0.00
162 West Potomac 10 5 17 111 21 149 0.00
163 West Springfield 5 8 73 36 120 229 0.00
164 Western Albemarl 11 3 16 17 38 71 0.00
165 Westfield 8 7 62 34 79 175 0.00
166 William Byrd 7 6 87 71 89 247 0.00
167 Woodberry Forest 4 14 86 102 129 317 0.00
168 Woodbridge 8 11 118 58 153 329 0.00
169 Woodgrove 10 4 58 65 51 174 0.00
170 Woodson 10 7 48 97 80 225 0.00
171 York LC 0 8 145 133 141 419 0.00
172 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
173 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
174 Wakefield Countr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
175 Wakefield School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
176 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00