List of Probabilities for North Carolina
North Carolina Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Charlotte Cathol 22 1 3 15 4 22 26.00
2 Hough 15 3 6 12 9 27 11.00
3 Lake Norman HS 18 5 4 13 5 22 11.00
4 Providence Day 18 5 7 57 6 70 11.00
5 Cannon School 18 3 1 2 1 4 10.00
6 Green Level 21 2 5 1 2 8 7.00
7 Cardinal Gibbons 19 6 2 9 3 14 6.00
8 Holly Springs 15 6 16 3 14 33 3.00
9 Myers Park 12 6 11 30 13 54 3.00
10 Middle Creek 17 5 14 69 11 94 2.00
11 Northern Guilfor 11 4 27 56 35 118 2.00
12 Apex Friendship 13 7 29 14 37 80 0.00
13 Ardrey Kell 15 5 26 79 31 136 0.00
14 Ashley 16 4 20 11 19 50 0.00
15 Charlotte CDS 15 8 12 7 33 52 0.00
16 Christ School 11 7 8 37 17 62 0.00
17 Heritage 18 1 13 24 7 44 0.00
18 Marvin Ridge 17 8 18 41 12 71 0.00
19 Topsail 17 3 28 33 16 77 0.00
20 Apex 9 12 45 6 72 123 0.00
21 Arendell Parrott 0 9 141 139 100 380 0.00
22 Asheville HS 7 9 83 133 69 285 0.00
23 Asheville School 1 12 118 105 116 339 0.00
24 Athens Drive 16 7 15 5 24 44 0.00
25 Atkins 11 9 95 91 83 269 0.00
26 Bishop McGuinnes 15 5 41 46 39 126 0.00
27 Bradford Prep 4 9 125 127 87 339 0.00
28 Broughton 16 6 17 53 15 85 0.00
29 Butler 4 12 123 130 101 354 0.00
30 Cape Fear Academ 11 3 48 126 34 208 0.00
31 Cape Fear HS 3 10 121 116 106 343 0.00
32 Carrboro 10 7 50 113 54 217 0.00
33 Cary Academy 10 7 66 95 63 224 0.00
34 Cary Christian 3 10 103 99 107 309 0.00
35 Cary HS 7 15 96 39 119 254 0.00
36 Cedar Ridge 9 11 87 47 95 229 0.00
37 Chapel Hill 10 6 43 83 51 177 0.00
38 Charlotte Christ 7 10 47 87 55 189 0.00
39 Charlotte Latin 7 12 51 50 73 174 0.00
40 Christ The King 12 8 35 74 42 151 0.00
41 Clayton 9 8 64 84 74 222 0.00
42 Cleveland 5 11 105 100 112 317 0.00
43 Community School 19 3 22 29 10 61 0.00
44 Corinth Holders 8 12 78 65 113 256 0.00
45 Cornerstone Char 9 8 92 96 75 263 0.00
46 Croatan 14 6 19 20 48 87 0.00
47 Cuthbertson 10 8 57 90 59 206 0.00
48 Davie 11 10 55 35 88 178 0.00
49 DH Conley 3 4 139 141 56 336 0.00
50 Durham Academy 12 6 24 45 25 94 0.00
51 East Chapel Hill 5 13 69 40 120 229 0.00
52 East Forsyth 14 7 46 48 58 152 0.00
53 Eastern Alamance 2 15 110 54 137 301 0.00
54 Eastern Guilford 0 12 137 121 130 388 0.00
55 Enloe 8 11 52 21 76 149 0.00
56 Fike 2 15 124 80 139 343 0.00
57 First Flight 15 5 34 136 26 196 0.00
58 Forsyth Country 10 8 76 85 70 231 0.00
59 Fuquay-Varina 11 7 61 72 61 194 0.00
60 Garner 10 7 80 92 64 236 0.00
61 Glenn 8 12 111 86 117 314 0.00
62 Grays Creek 5 8 114 134 89 337 0.00
63 Green Hope 7 12 62 17 90 169 0.00
64 Greensboro Day 13 3 21 70 18 109 0.00
65 Grimsley 8 10 89 88 98 275 0.00
66 Havelock 3 11 120 115 118 353 0.00
67 Hickory 11 5 56 76 45 177 0.00
68 Hillsborough Ora 24 1 10 19 8 37 0.00
69 Hoggard 9 8 54 22 68 144 0.00
70 Hunt 1 12 116 77 122 315 0.00
71 Jack Britt 0 15 135 102 142 379 0.00
72 Jacksonville 2 12 107 75 125 307 0.00
73 JH Rose 10 5 63 103 49 215 0.00
74 John Paul II Cat 4 10 112 120 104 336 0.00
75 Jordan 12 10 38 16 77 131 0.00
76 Lake Norman Char 14 7 9 34 20 63 0.00
77 Laney 15 5 32 82 36 150 0.00
78 Leesville Road 11 9 25 4 50 79 0.00
79 Lincoln Charter 6 11 94 64 105 263 0.00
80 Millbrook 13 9 53 128 57 238 0.00
81 Mooresville 13 8 36 31 53 120 0.00
82 Mount Tabor 4 12 102 71 124 297 0.00
83 Mountain Island 0 14 138 125 138 401 0.00
84 New Bern 10 11 67 28 94 189 0.00
85 New Hanover 4 14 104 89 126 319 0.00
86 North Brunswick 2 14 113 62 135 310 0.00
87 North Davidson 7 10 109 98 99 306 0.00
88 North Lincoln 17 3 31 42 21 94 0.00
89 North Raleigh Ch 6 8 77 97 81 255 0.00
90 Northern Durham 4 14 132 123 136 391 0.00
91 Northside 5 11 108 93 110 311 0.00
92 Northwest Guilfo 10 11 40 8 65 113 0.00
93 Northwood 12 9 58 38 66 162 0.00
94 Page 7 14 59 18 114 191 0.00
95 Panther Creek 2 15 84 32 127 243 0.00
96 Parkwood 3 14 127 114 134 375 0.00
97 Patton Morganto 0 12 128 109 131 368 0.00
98 Pine Lake Prep 13 6 60 59 52 171 0.00
99 Pinecrest 17 4 33 51 22 106 0.00
100 Porter Ridge 3 14 106 61 133 300 0.00
101 Providence 5 9 86 94 78 258 0.00
102 Rabun Gap-Nocooc 12 5 72 132 32 236 0.00
103 Ragsdale 1 12 133 118 128 379 0.00
104 Ravenscroft Scho 8 12 68 55 111 234 0.00
105 Reagan 14 7 30 10 46 86 0.00
106 Riverside Durham 8 9 99 110 92 301 0.00
107 RJ Reynolds 13 4 39 49 38 126 0.00
108 Rolesville 7 12 101 66 108 275 0.00
109 Roxboro Communit 2 8 140 140 93 373 0.00
110 Sanderson 2 14 79 23 121 223 0.00
111 Seaforth 15 6 44 27 43 114 0.00
112 South Brunswick 9 10 74 135 91 300 0.00
113 South Garner 1 16 130 107 143 380 0.00
114 South Iredell 0 16 119 52 141 312 0.00
115 South Mecklenbur 10 10 75 131 79 285 0.00
116 Southeast Alaman 1 20 129 43 145 317 0.00
117 Southeast Guilfo 9 10 90 104 96 290 0.00
118 Southern Alamanc 7 15 93 36 129 258 0.00
119 Southlake Christ 7 8 82 122 82 286 0.00
120 Southwest Guilfo 3 15 126 119 140 385 0.00
121 St Davids School 6 8 98 108 84 290 0.00
122 St Stephens 5 11 100 81 115 296 0.00
123 Sun Valley 9 10 88 124 85 297 0.00
124 Swansboro 12 5 81 117 47 245 0.00
125 TC Roberson 9 9 70 111 67 248 0.00
126 Terry Sanford 8 10 85 73 97 255 0.00
127 Union Pines 11 7 65 78 62 205 0.00
128 Vance Charter 4 7 136 138 80 354 0.00
129 Voyager Academy 5 12 134 137 123 394 0.00
130 Wake Forest 6 11 91 60 102 253 0.00
131 Wakefield 14 5 49 58 40 147 0.00
132 Walter M William 11 9 71 44 71 186 0.00
133 Watauga 5 10 115 106 103 324 0.00
134 Weddington 12 9 37 26 44 107 0.00
135 West Brunswick 1 13 117 63 132 312 0.00
136 West Carteret 4 8 97 112 86 295 0.00
137 West Forsyth 0 16 122 67 144 333 0.00
138 West Stokes 2 10 131 129 109 369 0.00
139 Western Alamance 14 6 42 25 41 108 0.00
140 Western Guilford 13 7 73 101 60 234 0.00
141 Willow Spring 13 5 23 68 23 114 0.00
142 High Point Centr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
143 Independence 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
144 JF Webb 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
145 Queens Grant 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00