List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Johns Prep Da 13 3 3 11 1 15 18.00
2 Acton Boxborough 14 2 6 4 5 15 10.00
3 Xaverian Brother 9 7 25 3 43 71 10.00
4 Boston College H 10 5 30 46 24 100 8.00
5 Medfield 11 2 11 16 11 38 8.00
6 Lincoln-Sudbury 8 5 1 7 19 27 6.00
7 Duxbury 15 1 2 40 2 44 5.00
8 Hingham 13 2 7 36 17 60 4.00
9 Marshfield 12 3 4 1 3 8 4.00
10 Longmeadow 13 2 5 18 4 27 3.00
11 Falmouth HS 13 3 8 13 15 36 2.00
12 Franklin 12 2 15 31 12 58 2.00
13 Mansfield 13 1 9 24 10 43 2.00
14 Wellesley 10 5 29 17 62 108 2.00
15 Westfield 14 0 10 74 6 90 2.00
16 Andover HS 7 3 24 68 32 124 0.00
17 Burlington 12 4 47 42 44 133 0.00
18 Catholic Memoria 10 4 16 8 33 57 0.00
19 Milton HS 10 3 71 138 49 258 0.00
20 Nantucket 12 1 12 87 8 107 0.00
21 Nashoba Regional 10 4 19 12 42 73 0.00
22 Needham 11 4 14 14 34 62 0.00
23 Norwell 10 6 39 9 57 105 0.00
24 Reading Memorial 12 3 22 21 13 56 0.00
25 Sandwich 12 2 36 107 21 164 0.00
26 St Johns Shrewsb 5 10 83 56 138 277 0.00
27 Walpole 12 3 26 32 40 98 0.00
28 Westwood 12 4 32 26 37 95 0.00
29 Winchester 13 1 13 29 7 49 0.00
30 Abington 11 4 95 166 58 319 0.00
31 Academy of Notre 6 3 68 154 59 281 0.00
32 Agawam 9 5 54 49 74 177 0.00
33 Algonquin 9 6 53 43 64 160 0.00
34 Amesbury 2 11 166 98 189 453 0.00
35 Amherst-Pelham R 4 11 149 67 178 394 0.00
36 AMSA Charter 11 2 42 114 28 184 0.00
37 Apponequet Regio 11 2 45 134 29 208 0.00
38 Archbishop Willi 8 9 112 82 134 328 0.00
39 Arlington Cathol 9 6 108 116 101 325 0.00
40 Arlington HS 7 6 91 83 108 282 0.00
41 Ashland 7 7 96 57 87 240 0.00
42 Assabet Valley R 4 10 158 123 172 453 0.00
43 Attleboro 6 9 133 112 153 398 0.00
44 Auburn 7 6 160 192 109 461 0.00
45 Barnstable 3 11 137 72 162 371 0.00
46 Bay Path RVT 0 15 211 184 213 608 0.00
47 Bedford 1 12 200 161 196 557 0.00
48 Belchertown 7 7 84 58 122 264 0.00
49 Bellingham 4 10 146 94 158 398 0.00
50 Belmont 7 6 152 183 110 445 0.00
51 Beverly 7 6 92 97 105 294 0.00
52 Billerica Memori 10 4 27 30 35 92 0.00
53 Bishop Connolly 4 3 169 205 51 425 0.00
54 Bishop Feehan 9 7 70 53 118 241 0.00
55 Bishop Fenwick 10 5 127 193 77 397 0.00
56 Bishop Stang 11 4 43 79 52 174 0.00
57 Blackstone Valle 11 3 56 127 41 224 0.00
58 Blue Hills RVT 7 9 131 44 150 325 0.00
59 Boston Latin Sch 2 12 182 103 190 475 0.00
60 Bourne 9 5 109 121 81 311 0.00
61 Braintree 1 13 165 55 206 426 0.00
62 Bridgewater-Rayn 9 5 21 10 60 91 0.00
63 Bristol-Plymouth 9 5 114 159 82 355 0.00
64 Brookline 3 10 167 120 175 462 0.00
65 Cambridge Rindge 3 11 197 174 187 558 0.00
66 Canton 10 4 74 93 56 223 0.00
67 Cape Cod Academy 8 2 76 196 38 310 0.00
68 Cape Cod Tech 1 14 202 162 211 575 0.00
69 Cardinal Spellma 3 12 176 173 197 546 0.00
70 Central Catholic 8 7 79 89 88 256 0.00
71 Chelmsford 2 10 163 144 148 455 0.00
72 Chicopee Compreh 4 8 113 65 135 313 0.00
73 Cohasset 9 6 63 27 65 155 0.00
74 Concord-Carlisle 7 6 66 28 66 160 0.00
75 Danvers 3 11 162 143 183 488 0.00
76 Dartmouth 8 3 118 200 53 371 0.00
77 Dedham 2 12 198 141 188 527 0.00
78 Dennis-Yarmouth 2 9 187 188 165 540 0.00
79 Dighton-Rehoboth 5 9 178 189 159 526 0.00
80 Doherty Memorial 2 12 203 181 199 583 0.00
81 Dover-Sherborn 8 7 85 47 89 221 0.00
82 Dracut 8 7 52 76 95 223 0.00
83 East Bridgewater 2 10 196 186 179 561 0.00
84 East Longmeadow 7 5 69 78 70 217 0.00
85 Essex Tech 8 5 67 81 83 231 0.00
86 Fairhaven 12 4 50 39 45 134 0.00
87 Falmouth Academy 2 6 190 201 123 514 0.00
88 Foxborough 7 8 78 20 124 222 0.00
89 Framingham 8 7 101 195 106 402 0.00
90 Gloucester 4 9 155 139 154 448 0.00
91 Grafton 7 7 60 69 112 241 0.00
92 Granby 9 5 132 175 84 391 0.00
93 Greater Lowell R 4 7 144 153 127 424 0.00
94 Greater New Bedf 2 12 201 145 200 546 0.00
95 Groton-Dunstable 5 8 156 167 143 466 0.00
96 Hamilton-Wenham 1 11 151 48 193 392 0.00
97 Hanover 4 11 105 23 163 291 0.00
98 Haverhill 10 3 100 182 46 328 0.00
99 Holliston 6 7 124 129 114 367 0.00
100 Hoosac Valley 10 5 98 108 78 284 0.00
101 Hopkinton 12 2 31 77 18 126 0.00
102 Hudson 2 10 210 207 180 597 0.00
103 Hull 3 13 183 147 207 537 0.00
104 Ipswich 8 4 46 62 71 179 0.00
105 King Philip Regi 11 5 23 6 47 76 0.00
106 Lenox/Lee 10 4 65 66 67 198 0.00
107 Leominster 3 11 171 90 182 443 0.00
108 Lexington 6 7 103 170 111 384 0.00
109 Littleton 7 8 134 102 136 372 0.00
110 Lowell 2 12 207 179 201 587 0.00
111 Lowell Catholic 8 5 73 64 90 227 0.00
112 Lunenburg 1 11 195 199 194 588 0.00
113 Lynn Classical-E 5 10 209 210 170 589 0.00
114 Lynnfield 11 2 35 95 25 155 0.00
115 Malden 6 7 205 212 126 543 0.00
116 Malden Catholic 2 13 138 19 184 341 0.00
117 Manchester-Essex 10 3 62 124 48 234 0.00
118 Marblehead 10 3 34 117 30 181 0.00
119 Marthas Vineyard 3 9 99 125 119 343 0.00
120 Masconomet 7 8 97 71 128 296 0.00
121 Mashpee 4 11 139 38 185 362 0.00
122 McCann Technical 1 11 184 135 195 514 0.00
123 Medford 10 4 117 194 68 379 0.00
124 Medway 7 7 130 132 107 369 0.00
125 Melrose 6 8 81 61 120 262 0.00
126 Methuen 8 4 126 211 72 409 0.00
127 Middleborough 4 10 168 122 173 463 0.00
128 Milford 8 6 80 88 91 259 0.00
129 Minnechaug Regio 6 9 72 52 98 222 0.00
130 Minuteman Region 8 4 89 151 73 313 0.00
131 Monomoy Regional 13 2 75 164 22 261 0.00
132 Monson 9 5 129 160 85 374 0.00
133 Montachusett RVT 7 5 159 209 96 464 0.00
134 Mystic Valley Ch 0 12 206 172 203 581 0.00
135 Nashoba Valley T 4 10 172 156 174 502 0.00
136 Natick 9 6 88 111 102 301 0.00
137 Nauset 7 8 44 2 92 138 0.00
138 New Bedford 1 9 212 206 167 585 0.00
139 Newburyport 8 4 28 163 39 230 0.00
140 Newton North 6 9 102 45 145 292 0.00
141 Newton South 5 9 148 104 149 401 0.00
142 Nipmuc Regional 8 5 77 109 93 279 0.00
143 North Andover 5 9 87 34 117 238 0.00
144 North Attleboro 8 4 40 51 54 145 0.00
145 North Middlesex 6 9 120 86 151 357 0.00
146 North Quincy Co- 6 8 145 157 115 417 0.00
147 North Reading 6 8 141 105 140 386 0.00
148 Northampton 12 1 18 110 20 148 0.00
149 Northeast Metro 3 10 177 158 176 511 0.00
150 Norton 1 14 204 155 208 567 0.00
151 Norwood 3 7 170 197 129 496 0.00
152 Oakmont Regional 10 5 61 85 79 225 0.00
153 Old Colony RVT 12 2 37 84 26 147 0.00
154 Old Rochester Re 8 6 82 35 99 216 0.00
155 Oliver Ames 4 10 125 37 161 323 0.00
156 Peabody Vets Mem 6 9 119 99 152 370 0.00
157 Pembroke 7 7 116 136 103 355 0.00
158 Pentucket Region 9 4 48 152 69 269 0.00
159 Pittsfield 2 13 174 100 209 483 0.00
160 Plymouth North 3 12 147 33 186 366 0.00
161 Plymouth South 7 7 59 15 86 160 0.00
162 Pope Francis Pre 3 11 142 91 168 401 0.00
163 Revere 0 14 213 208 212 633 0.00
164 Rockland 9 8 140 165 130 435 0.00
165 Salem 3 13 192 137 204 533 0.00
166 Saugus 4 9 189 198 155 542 0.00
167 Scituate 11 5 20 5 36 61 0.00
168 Seekonk 9 6 128 130 104 362 0.00
169 Sharon 8 4 38 41 55 134 0.00
170 Shawsheen Valley 13 0 17 73 9 99 0.00
171 Shepherd Hill 6 10 173 142 169 484 0.00
172 Shrewsbury 5 9 107 60 144 311 0.00
173 Silver Lake 5 9 143 128 141 412 0.00
174 Smith VoTech 6 3 150 202 61 413 0.00
175 Somerset Berkley 0 9 194 180 171 545 0.00
176 Somerville 7 8 188 203 137 528 0.00
177 South Hadley 5 10 121 59 156 336 0.00
178 South Shore RVT 13 1 41 118 16 175 0.00
179 Southeastern RVT 6 6 136 177 113 426 0.00
180 Springfield Cent 0 12 208 190 205 603 0.00
181 St Bernards 10 6 94 63 100 257 0.00
182 St John Paul II 7 7 153 171 125 449 0.00
183 St Marys Lynn 2 10 193 169 181 543 0.00
184 St Marys Westfie 3 7 191 204 131 526 0.00
185 Stoneham 2 11 186 176 191 553 0.00
186 Stoughton 2 13 199 119 202 520 0.00
187 Sturgis Charter 1 8 185 187 157 529 0.00
188 Swampscott 14 1 33 113 14 160 0.00
189 Tantasqua Region 8 5 86 115 76 277 0.00
190 Taunton 3 10 175 191 166 532 0.00
191 Tech Boston Acad 1 0 55 213 31 299 0.00
192 Tewksbury Memori 6 8 164 185 142 491 0.00
193 Tri-County RVT 3 9 115 50 164 329 0.00
194 Triton Regional 2 10 161 150 177 488 0.00
195 Tyngsborough 12 2 51 92 27 170 0.00
196 Upper Cape Cod R 8 8 122 75 132 329 0.00
197 Wachusett Region 12 4 58 80 50 188 0.00
198 Wahconah 10 5 64 133 75 272 0.00
199 Wakefield Memori 5 8 111 54 133 298 0.00
200 Waltham 7 7 110 101 116 327 0.00
201 Watertown 2 11 180 131 192 503 0.00
202 Wayland 5 7 154 178 121 453 0.00
203 West Springfield 10 5 49 25 63 137 0.00
204 Westborough 4 8 157 168 146 471 0.00
205 Westford Academy 8 7 90 126 94 310 0.00
206 Weston 10 2 57 148 23 228 0.00
207 Westport 2 13 181 96 210 487 0.00
208 Weymouth 7 8 123 106 139 368 0.00
209 Whitman-Hanson 5 10 106 22 147 275 0.00
210 Whittier RVT 7 5 104 149 97 350 0.00
211 Wilmington 5 9 135 70 160 365 0.00
212 Winthrop 8 5 93 146 80 319 0.00
213 Woburn Memorial 3 12 179 140 198 517 0.00