List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 McDonogh 14 3 12 78 20 110 21.00
2 Boys Latin 14 2 7 47 12 66 20.00
3 Archbishop Spald 13 5 26 23 59 108 9.00
4 Gilman 12 7 27 71 66 164 9.00
5 Landon 17 2 22 182 18 222 9.00
6 Loyola-Blakefiel 8 9 62 82 116 260 8.00
7 Calvert Hall 10 7 41 69 70 180 5.00
8 St Johns College 12 5 24 86 50 160 3.00
9 Severna Park 15 1 1 2 1 4 3.00
10 Bullis 13 5 58 83 99 240 2.00
11 DeMatha 9 8 74 104 122 300 2.00
12 Georgetown Prep 11 5 28 70 81 179 0.00
13 Gonzaga 15 6 20 61 73 154 0.00
14 Severn School 7 11 86 50 140 276 0.00
15 St Pauls 7 8 70 112 123 305 0.00
16 Broadneck 13 4 2 13 6 21 0.00
17 Huntingtown 16 1 16 8 3 27 0.00
18 Mount Hebron 8 7 40 4 75 119 0.00
19 Towson 13 2 6 11 5 22 0.00
20 Urbana 17 0 4 3 2 9 0.00
21 Annapolis Area C 8 6 116 113 115 344 0.00
22 Archbishop Curle 11 7 79 157 91 327 0.00
23 Beth TFiloh 3 7 171 178 152 501 0.00
24 Bishop McNamara 4 12 102 48 183 333 0.00
25 Chapelgate Chris 2 9 198 185 193 576 0.00
26 Concordia Prep 12 2 67 127 25 219 0.00
27 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 9 199 177 195 571 0.00
28 FCA LC 2 3 175 200 87 462 0.00
29 Friends 7 5 91 95 104 290 0.00
30 Georgetown Day 2 3 84 205 52 341 0.00
31 Gerstell Academy 6 9 125 88 178 391 0.00
32 Glenelg Country 6 4 88 150 88 326 0.00
33 Good Counsel 16 4 85 190 77 352 0.00
34 Gunston School 5 10 207 203 131 541 0.00
35 Heights 8 10 121 92 165 378 0.00
36 Indian Creek Sch 4 11 149 79 212 440 0.00
37 John Carroll 3 12 109 56 179 344 0.00
38 Key School 4 9 178 142 186 506 0.00
39 Maret 4 13 152 180 100 432 0.00
40 Mercersburg Acad 0 11 181 213 74 468 0.00
41 Mount Carmel 1 8 189 176 180 545 0.00
42 Mount St Joseph 8 9 104 116 149 369 0.00
43 Park School 5 10 141 80 196 417 0.00
44 Sandy Spring Fri 2 7 211 209 134 554 0.00
45 Sidwell Friends 8 7 150 186 95 431 0.00
46 St Albans 6 13 164 166 181 511 0.00
47 St Andrews Episc 6 8 144 163 153 460 0.00
48 St James 13 5 71 110 78 259 0.00
49 St Johns Catholi 13 0 35 115 10 160 0.00
50 St Marys Annapol 5 13 87 46 184 317 0.00
51 St Marys Ryken 7 11 106 98 154 358 0.00
52 St Vincent Pallo 5 10 131 81 197 409 0.00
53 Sts Peter & Paul 15 4 46 144 46 236 0.00
54 Tome School 3 6 188 181 135 504 0.00
55 West Nottingham 0 1 212 211 60 483 0.00
56 Worcester Prep 7 5 124 139 101 364 0.00
57 Aberdeen 3 10 147 55 187 389 0.00
58 Academy for Coll 8 3 75 158 67 300 0.00
59 Annapolis 8 3 45 75 47 167 0.00
60 Arundel 2 10 95 25 145 265 0.00
61 Atholton 5 8 159 128 166 453 0.00
62 Baltimore Polyte 10 2 69 168 35 272 0.00
63 Bel Air 11 5 38 143 53 234 0.00
64 Bethesda-Chevy C 9 5 44 40 71 155 0.00
65 Bladensburg 4 8 143 106 168 417 0.00
66 Blair 6 8 81 30 132 243 0.00
67 Blake 11 5 52 39 68 159 0.00
68 Bohemia Manor 7 7 161 153 136 450 0.00
69 Boonsboro 6 8 153 140 161 454 0.00
70 Bowie 9 4 56 72 79 207 0.00
71 Brunswick 5 8 132 99 162 393 0.00
72 Calvert 11 3 65 103 51 219 0.00
73 Cambridge SD 1 10 186 145 207 538 0.00
74 Carver A&T 0 10 209 199 209 617 0.00
75 Catoctin 6 7 146 148 141 435 0.00
76 Catonsville 8 8 33 5 82 120 0.00
77 Centennial 9 5 61 64 83 208 0.00
78 Century 8 9 78 36 146 260 0.00
79 CH Flowers 8 4 92 131 84 307 0.00
80 Chesapeake AA 12 3 29 28 19 76 0.00
81 Chesapeake BC 4 7 127 124 150 401 0.00
82 Chopticon 11 3 50 59 28 137 0.00
83 City College 8 3 83 160 69 312 0.00
84 Clarksburg 4 10 117 49 188 354 0.00
85 CM Wright 11 3 10 15 17 42 0.00
86 Crofton 10 5 14 7 29 50 0.00
87 Damascus 8 6 63 45 92 200 0.00
88 Digital Harbor 4 5 173 195 113 481 0.00
89 Dr Henry Wise 5 6 115 121 124 360 0.00
90 Dulaney 9 8 43 14 93 150 0.00
91 Dunbar 0 4 210 204 109 523 0.00
92 Dundalk 4 9 140 87 172 399 0.00
93 DuVal 2 10 180 133 202 515 0.00
94 Eastern Tech 8 5 57 65 85 207 0.00
95 Easton 11 3 25 171 30 226 0.00
96 Edgewood 1 12 203 173 220 596 0.00
97 Edmondson-Westsi 2 7 167 152 156 475 0.00
98 Einstein 11 2 72 159 26 257 0.00
99 Eleanor Roosevel 13 1 42 107 15 164 0.00
100 Elkton 2 11 176 169 203 548 0.00
101 Fairmont Heights 2 6 202 201 137 540 0.00
102 Fallston 12 4 8 29 11 48 0.00
103 Forest Park 6 4 89 188 89 366 0.00
104 Francis Scott Ke 6 10 166 154 194 514 0.00
105 Franklin 6 6 48 38 96 182 0.00
106 Frederick 3 11 172 89 200 461 0.00
107 Frederick Dougla 0 1 94 207 61 362 0.00
108 Frederick Dougla 1 3 137 137 90 364 0.00
109 Gaithersburg 5 8 120 68 157 345 0.00
110 Glen Burnie 8 5 123 135 102 360 0.00
111 Glenelg HS 13 3 11 12 13 36 0.00
112 Gov Thomas Johns 1 14 184 162 222 568 0.00
113 Great Mills 2 13 151 108 218 477 0.00
114 Gwynn Park 5 5 126 175 110 411 0.00
115 Hammond 1 11 200 170 214 584 0.00
116 Harford Tech 6 7 101 77 119 297 0.00
117 Havre De Grace 8 5 51 34 72 157 0.00
118 Hereford 13 3 5 10 7 22 0.00
119 Howard 11 4 34 53 62 149 0.00
120 JM Bennett 4 9 154 119 190 463 0.00
121 Joppatowne 1 12 193 117 221 531 0.00
122 Kennedy 0 13 206 155 223 584 0.00
123 Kent County 8 6 122 125 117 364 0.00
124 Kent Island 10 5 21 43 54 118 0.00
125 Kenwood 5 8 163 136 167 466 0.00
126 La Plata 7 6 66 37 107 210 0.00
127 Lackey 4 9 160 76 176 412 0.00
128 Lake Clifton 2 7 165 172 158 495 0.00
129 Lansdowne 10 3 73 129 63 265 0.00
130 Laurel 8 7 142 122 133 397 0.00
131 Leonardtown 12 4 37 17 48 102 0.00
132 Liberty 7 9 114 105 177 396 0.00
133 Linganore 13 2 18 26 14 58 0.00
134 Loch Raven 6 8 93 57 129 279 0.00
135 Long Reach 3 9 183 164 191 538 0.00
136 Magruder 13 1 68 161 16 245 0.00
137 Manchester Valle 9 6 55 54 97 206 0.00
138 Marriotts Ridge 9 5 23 9 55 87 0.00
139 Meade 0 10 205 189 210 604 0.00
140 Mergenthaler 1 6 145 191 142 478 0.00
141 Middletown 8 6 47 32 105 184 0.00
142 MJ McDonough 3 9 134 62 182 378 0.00
143 National Academy 0 5 158 193 125 476 0.00
144 New Town 3 7 201 202 155 558 0.00
145 North Caroline 5 6 111 130 126 367 0.00
146 North County 6 8 110 96 121 327 0.00
147 North East Cecil 3 10 192 174 201 567 0.00
148 North Hagerstown 4 8 191 194 169 554 0.00
149 North Harford 5 11 90 21 173 284 0.00
150 North Point 4 9 128 58 170 356 0.00
151 Northeast AA 7 5 108 134 106 348 0.00
152 Northern Calvert 11 3 17 94 24 135 0.00
153 Northwest 6 7 105 97 143 345 0.00
154 Northwestern PG 1 11 197 165 217 579 0.00
155 Northwood 5 8 168 138 163 469 0.00
156 Oakdale 9 5 49 31 80 160 0.00
157 Oakland Mills 3 11 174 91 211 476 0.00
158 Old Mill 2 10 179 118 204 501 0.00
159 Overlea 3 8 196 196 174 566 0.00
160 Owings Mills 2 10 169 111 205 485 0.00
161 Oxon Hill 9 3 76 132 58 266 0.00
162 Paint Branch 4 9 148 90 185 423 0.00
163 Parkdale 5 6 129 149 127 405 0.00
164 Parkside 6 7 99 60 144 303 0.00
165 Parkville 4 9 182 183 189 554 0.00
166 Patapsco 9 5 107 114 98 319 0.00
167 Patterson HS 10 4 138 187 64 389 0.00
168 Patterson Mill 10 4 30 27 49 106 0.00
169 Patuxent 8 6 97 85 114 296 0.00
170 Perry Hall 6 8 96 63 147 306 0.00
171 Perryville 13 2 82 184 27 293 0.00
172 Pikesville 10 3 39 126 39 204 0.00
173 Poolesville 7 6 112 102 111 325 0.00
174 Queen Annes Coun 8 7 64 100 103 267 0.00
175 Quince Orchard 5 8 60 16 130 206 0.00
176 Randallstown 6 5 177 198 108 483 0.00
177 Reservoir 4 11 135 33 199 367 0.00
178 Richard Montgome 11 2 54 123 21 198 0.00
179 Rising Sun 8 6 130 147 118 395 0.00
180 River Hill 7 9 77 35 164 276 0.00
181 Rockville 5 9 119 41 171 331 0.00
182 Seneca Valley 6 8 133 101 151 385 0.00
183 Sherwood 14 1 9 20 8 37 0.00
184 Smithsburg 14 0 31 120 9 160 0.00
185 South Carroll 4 9 113 66 175 354 0.00
186 South Hagerstown 2 10 204 197 206 607 0.00
187 South River 13 3 3 1 4 8 0.00
188 Southern AA 6 8 59 22 86 167 0.00
189 Sparrows Point 8 5 36 44 76 156 0.00
190 Springbrook 3 11 155 42 208 405 0.00
191 St Charles 1 0 170 210 31 411 0.00
192 Stephen Decatur 10 2 32 73 40 145 0.00
193 Suitland 3 7 156 156 148 460 0.00
194 Surrattsville 2 7 208 206 159 573 0.00
195 Thomas Stone 0 12 185 84 219 488 0.00
196 Tuscarora 8 8 103 51 138 292 0.00
197 Walkersville 6 8 98 67 160 325 0.00
198 Walt Whitman 11 3 19 24 22 65 0.00
199 Walter Johnson 9 4 15 18 56 89 0.00
200 Watkins Mill 2 11 195 151 215 561 0.00
201 Western STES 5 6 118 146 128 392 0.00
202 Westlake 1 11 190 109 213 512 0.00
203 Westminster 7 9 53 6 112 171 0.00
204 Wheaton 2 11 194 167 216 577 0.00
205 Wicomico 0 9 187 141 198 526 0.00
206 Wilde Lake 7 7 100 74 139 313 0.00
207 Winston Churchil 12 3 13 19 23 55 0.00
208 Winters Mill 7 6 80 93 120 293 0.00
209 Woodlawn 9 3 136 192 65 393 0.00
210 Wootton 3 10 139 52 192 383 0.00
211 DC International 3 9 162 179 94 435 0.00
212 Jackson Reed 3 3 157 208 57 422 0.00
213 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Archbishop Carro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Capital City PCS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Lab School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 School Without W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00