List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 19 2 3 38 2 43 28.00
2 St Margarets Epi 19 2 1 24 1 26 16.00
3 Marin Catholic 17 5 4 3 4 11 15.00
4 Torrey Pines 16 3 2 5 3 10 14.00
5 Sacred Heart Pre 16 6 12 67 11 90 7.00
6 La Costa Canyon 13 5 6 17 9 32 4.00
7 Monte Vista Danv 16 4 17 6 8 31 3.00
8 Loyola Los Ange 17 6 7 20 13 40 3.00
9 Redwood 12 9 18 153 33 204 2.00
10 Mater Dei Santa 15 4 5 11 5 21 2.00
11 Santa Margarita 14 5 16 112 16 144 2.00
12 De LaSalle 17 6 20 15 14 49 0.00
13 Marin Academy 14 7 22 4 50 76 0.00
14 Bishops School 13 6 9 14 10 33 0.00
15 Cathedral Cathol 12 8 25 18 41 84 0.00
16 Acalanes 3 12 210 143 247 600 0.00
17 Alhambra 3 11 247 223 238 708 0.00
18 Amador Valley 7 8 123 100 155 378 0.00
19 Archie Williams 0 5 274 274 126 674 0.00
20 Bear River 4 10 248 251 218 717 0.00
21 Bella Vista 9 9 134 136 162 432 0.00
22 Berkeley 16 7 122 149 94 365 0.00
23 Bishop ODowd 8 8 116 126 156 398 0.00
24 Branson 2 7 265 272 163 700 0.00
25 California 4 11 182 118 229 529 0.00
26 Campolindo 11 6 77 79 91 247 0.00
27 Cardinal Newman 14 4 95 190 53 338 0.00
28 Casa Grande 11 7 91 55 95 241 0.00
29 Christian Brothe 14 4 58 103 54 215 0.00
30 Clayton Valley C 6 12 154 63 239 456 0.00
31 College Park 4 11 236 219 234 689 0.00
32 Davis 10 8 67 31 114 212 0.00
33 Del Oro 6 10 166 99 200 465 0.00
34 Dougherty Valley 4 15 226 116 275 617 0.00
35 Dublin 1 13 229 148 261 638 0.00
36 Folsom 2 14 159 35 262 456 0.00
37 Foothill Pleasa 9 9 101 39 174 314 0.00
38 Granada 8 9 150 86 181 417 0.00
39 Granite Bay 14 6 28 9 55 92 0.00
40 Grant Union 5 12 239 221 244 704 0.00
41 Jesuit Sacramen 8 8 64 30 127 221 0.00
42 Justin Siena 19 4 30 49 21 100 0.00
43 Las Lomas 8 11 185 166 220 571 0.00
44 Lick Wilmerding 3 7 184 226 157 567 0.00
45 Lincoln Stockto 8 8 208 249 158 615 0.00
46 Lincoln Sacramen 0 14 270 260 276 806 0.00
47 Livermore 14 6 83 69 81 233 0.00
48 Miramonte 11 6 110 122 92 324 0.00
49 Moreau Catholic 1 10 269 270 226 765 0.00
50 Napa 0 9 260 262 213 735 0.00
51 Nevada Union 9 6 118 155 104 377 0.00
52 Northgate 17 2 45 131 17 193 0.00
53 Novato 7 11 137 61 207 405 0.00
54 Oak Ridge 18 5 19 54 45 118 0.00
55 Oakmont 5 11 238 239 230 707 0.00
56 Petaluma 5 9 161 111 193 465 0.00
57 Piedmont 8 6 171 225 109 505 0.00
58 Rancho Cotate 8 10 144 94 201 439 0.00
59 Rio Americano 5 10 172 175 202 549 0.00
60 Rocklin 8 8 81 47 144 272 0.00
61 Roseville 8 7 145 182 133 460 0.00
62 San Marin 9 6 120 187 86 393 0.00
63 San Rafael 6 9 194 163 169 526 0.00
64 San Ramon Valley 13 7 42 21 93 156 0.00
65 Sonoma Academy 8 6 175 259 110 544 0.00
66 Sonoma Valley 3 10 231 207 221 659 0.00
67 St Marys Stockto 7 6 148 228 99 475 0.00
68 St Vincent de Pa 0 2 275 275 68 618 0.00
69 Stuart Hall 6 8 180 186 170 536 0.00
70 Tamalpais 8 13 72 12 198 282 0.00
71 Terra Linda 8 7 112 161 111 384 0.00
72 University SF 12 7 88 171 121 380 0.00
73 Urban School 4 8 237 265 148 650 0.00
74 Vintage 4 11 187 147 235 569 0.00
75 Vista del Lago 17 3 10 23 15 48 0.00
76 Washington Frem 1 18 272 234 286 792 0.00
77 West Park 11 4 69 127 56 252 0.00
78 Whitney 14 4 29 26 34 89 0.00
79 Windsor 3 11 249 213 240 702 0.00
80 Woodcreek 6 8 162 174 171 507 0.00
81 Aptos 6 6 163 208 122 493 0.00
82 Aragon 0 10 240 220 231 691 0.00
83 Archbishop Mitty 4 10 142 84 189 415 0.00
84 Archbishop Riord 10 7 189 237 128 554 0.00
85 Bellarmine Prep 8 11 47 7 172 226 0.00
86 Burlingame 4 9 168 134 184 486 0.00
87 Carlmont 11 8 99 62 129 290 0.00
88 Carmel 14 4 65 65 57 187 0.00
89 Christopher 13 3 113 216 46 375 0.00
90 Gunn 13 5 135 198 75 408 0.00
91 Harbor 0 7 261 263 175 699 0.00
92 Hillsdale 11 6 102 159 96 357 0.00
93 Hollister-San Be 0 13 225 144 264 633 0.00
94 Latino College P 8 8 213 231 159 603 0.00
95 Leland 2 9 218 236 208 662 0.00
96 Live Oak 11 4 60 135 67 262 0.00
97 Los Altos 0 15 250 184 278 712 0.00
98 Los Gatos 11 9 53 44 138 235 0.00
99 Menlo School 5 11 71 34 136 241 0.00
100 Menlo-Atherton 20 1 15 40 6 61 0.00
101 Monte Vista Chri 2 8 258 271 190 719 0.00
102 Monterey 7 6 140 180 115 435 0.00
103 Mountain View 9 10 165 93 185 443 0.00
104 Pacific Collegia 3 8 219 243 186 648 0.00
105 Pacific Grove 1 10 221 197 227 645 0.00
106 Palma 7 6 164 215 116 495 0.00
107 Palo Alto 14 5 63 74 59 196 0.00
108 Pioneer 4 7 192 246 149 587 0.00
109 Priory 9 3 78 185 58 321 0.00
110 Sacred Heart Cat 7 12 129 82 209 420 0.00
111 Salinas 4 5 173 254 105 532 0.00
112 Saratoga 0 9 253 248 214 715 0.00
113 Sequoia 6 9 157 98 194 449 0.00
114 Serra San Mateo 10 9 51 8 106 165 0.00
115 Sobrato 2 7 197 229 164 590 0.00
116 Soquel 12 3 133 242 49 424 0.00
117 St Francis-Mtn V 13 5 26 32 47 105 0.00
118 Stevenson School 11 8 57 162 87 306 0.00
119 Valley Christian 5 4 181 266 82 529 0.00
120 Woodside 6 9 191 181 195 567 0.00
121 Agoura 15 4 21 19 43 83 0.00
122 Aliso Niguel 15 4 32 29 44 105 0.00
123 Beckman 14 7 80 36 97 213 0.00
124 Beverly Hills 0 7 271 269 176 716 0.00
125 Birmingham Chart 6 14 228 164 263 655 0.00
126 Brentwood School 10 7 115 109 123 347 0.00
127 Cabrillo 0 9 273 273 215 761 0.00
128 Calabasas 4 15 211 81 265 557 0.00
129 Canyon 14 6 49 157 78 284 0.00
130 Capistrano Valle 2 12 245 206 253 704 0.00
131 Castaic 5 13 233 222 256 711 0.00
132 Cate School 7 4 136 244 76 456 0.00
133 Centennial 20 4 121 212 37 370 0.00
134 Chaminade Prep 9 9 132 114 165 411 0.00
135 Chaparral 8 10 147 89 203 439 0.00
136 Compton 12 7 196 250 117 563 0.00
137 Corona 17 5 143 204 63 410 0.00
138 Corona Del Mar 11 10 33 1 71 105 0.00
139 Crean Lutheran 14 8 62 45 118 225 0.00
140 Crescenta Valley 6 12 186 138 243 567 0.00
141 Crespi 11 8 39 80 130 249 0.00
142 Culver City 3 9 262 268 204 734 0.00
143 Damien 7 11 209 199 223 631 0.00
144 Dana Hills 7 11 188 189 224 601 0.00
145 Dos Pueblos 13 3 75 142 48 265 0.00
146 Downey 5 9 246 258 199 703 0.00
147 Edison 9 7 84 87 131 302 0.00
148 El Camino Real C 5 10 200 179 216 595 0.00
149 El Dorado 10 6 124 158 88 370 0.00
150 El Modena 6 11 205 167 219 591 0.00
151 El Segundo 10 9 117 43 150 310 0.00
152 Eleanor Roosevel 8 11 139 95 222 456 0.00
153 Esperanza 3 15 222 124 273 619 0.00
154 Foothill Santa 14 8 8 28 7 43 0.00
155 Glendale 4 11 241 211 236 688 0.00
156 Grace Brethren 8 8 198 257 160 615 0.00
157 Great Oak 13 6 79 76 89 244 0.00
158 Hart 15 4 61 128 51 240 0.00
159 Harvard-Westlake 4 7 103 104 134 341 0.00
160 Heritage Christi 7 13 201 156 254 611 0.00
161 Heritage HS 0 13 268 253 266 787 0.00
162 Huntington Beach 15 9 43 90 124 257 0.00
163 Irvine 2 16 235 101 283 619 0.00
164 JSerra Catholic 17 3 14 13 12 39 0.00
165 King 6 12 106 37 241 384 0.00
166 La Canada 1 14 232 168 274 674 0.00
167 Laguna Hills 1 18 266 173 287 726 0.00
168 Lakewood 4 8 217 233 182 632 0.00
169 Liberty 6 8 227 255 173 655 0.00
170 Linfield Christi 15 7 146 150 100 396 0.00
171 Long Beach Poly 2 8 223 247 191 661 0.00
172 Los Alamitos 9 10 40 10 119 169 0.00
173 Lynwood 0 13 267 261 267 795 0.00
174 Millikan 8 3 104 230 60 394 0.00
175 Mira Costa 16 7 27 97 39 163 0.00
176 Mission Viejo 10 9 149 130 177 456 0.00
177 Murrieta Mesa 4 12 179 57 248 484 0.00
178 Murrieta Valley 2 16 224 73 284 581 0.00
179 Newbury Park 10 8 141 92 132 365 0.00
180 Newport Harbor 3 13 195 146 259 600 0.00
181 Norco 3 15 230 177 280 687 0.00
182 Northwood 12 8 131 102 137 370 0.00
183 Notre Dame Sher 14 9 59 119 139 317 0.00
184 Oak Park 11 8 82 191 140 413 0.00
185 Oaks Christian 14 6 23 16 69 108 0.00
186 Orange Lutheran 8 9 128 96 145 369 0.00
187 Palisades Charte 15 3 86 170 24 280 0.00
188 Paloma Valley 2 14 263 232 270 765 0.00
189 Palos Verdes 10 10 56 33 146 235 0.00
190 Peninsula 5 11 155 106 217 478 0.00
191 Portola 4 14 243 202 269 714 0.00
192 Redondo Union 4 11 167 115 237 519 0.00
193 Riverside Poly 9 8 178 183 151 512 0.00
194 San Clemente 14 6 35 50 83 168 0.00
195 San Juan Hills 7 13 125 27 249 401 0.00
196 San Marcos SB 2 14 255 214 271 740 0.00
197 Santa Barbara 5 11 204 193 232 629 0.00
198 Santa Monica 12 7 97 46 112 255 0.00
199 Santiago 14 6 44 88 84 216 0.00
200 Saugus 10 9 94 42 178 314 0.00
201 Segerstrom 9 9 193 210 183 586 0.00
202 Servite 9 11 52 52 147 251 0.00
203 Sierra Canyon 11 8 50 48 101 199 0.00
204 Simi Royal 5 12 234 224 245 703 0.00
205 Simi Valley 12 4 119 217 64 400 0.00
206 St Francis-La Ca 14 8 41 22 77 140 0.00
207 St John Bosco 2 14 174 72 257 503 0.00
208 Temecula Valley 13 6 70 60 90 220 0.00
209 Tesoro 14 5 36 56 72 164 0.00
210 Thacher School 1 10 251 241 228 720 0.00
211 Trabuco Hills 11 8 31 25 107 163 0.00
212 University Irvin 17 5 85 77 65 227 0.00
213 University Los A 0 7 254 256 179 689 0.00
214 Valencia Santa C 6 10 176 154 210 540 0.00
215 Viewpoint School 10 6 138 188 102 428 0.00
216 Village Christia 19 3 54 172 22 248 0.00
217 Vista Murrieta 17 3 37 71 23 131 0.00
218 West Ranch 6 10 152 91 212 455 0.00
219 Westlake 16 5 11 2 18 31 0.00
220 Woodbridge 9 8 156 121 152 429 0.00
221 Woodrow Wilson 9 6 153 201 108 462 0.00
222 Yorba Linda 10 10 107 70 187 364 0.00
223 Army-Navy Academ 3 15 214 107 281 602 0.00
224 Bonita Vista 15 4 105 113 52 270 0.00
225 Canyon Crest 4 12 212 192 250 654 0.00
226 Canyon Hills 1 16 264 205 285 754 0.00
227 Carlsbad 12 7 34 58 61 153 0.00
228 Clairemont 12 7 207 264 120 591 0.00
229 Classical Academ 11 10 158 85 196 439 0.00
230 Coronado 13 6 38 68 62 168 0.00
231 Del Lago Academy 5 11 203 165 233 601 0.00
232 Del Norte 11 6 68 196 79 343 0.00
233 Eastlake 16 6 114 66 80 260 0.00
234 El Camino 3 11 190 160 242 592 0.00
235 El Capitan 7 9 183 209 192 584 0.00
236 Fallbrook 15 6 55 41 85 181 0.00
237 Foothills Christ 15 5 98 117 70 285 0.00
238 Francis Parker 16 3 24 75 19 118 0.00
239 Granite Hills 11 10 108 105 197 410 0.00
240 Grossmont 9 8 92 110 153 355 0.00
241 Helix Charter 8 7 111 120 135 366 0.00
242 Hilltop 5 15 242 132 277 651 0.00
243 La Jolla CDS 3 14 169 195 252 616 0.00
244 La Jolla HS 7 13 151 145 205 501 0.00
245 Mar Vista 0 13 257 200 268 725 0.00
246 Mater Dei Chula 12 9 160 141 166 467 0.00
247 Mira Mesa 8 8 220 252 161 633 0.00
248 Mission Bay 3 15 252 235 282 769 0.00
249 Mission Hills 8 10 127 51 206 384 0.00
250 Monte Vista Spri 4 15 202 140 279 621 0.00
251 Morse 3 13 256 245 260 761 0.00
252 Mt Carmel 2 14 206 178 272 656 0.00
253 Olympian 12 9 130 83 167 380 0.00
254 Otay Ranch 2 12 244 194 255 693 0.00
255 Pacific Ridge 12 4 76 151 66 293 0.00
256 Patrick Henry 9 10 100 59 188 347 0.00
257 Point Loma 15 3 48 129 42 219 0.00
258 Poway 8 12 90 53 141 284 0.00
259 Preuss School 9 8 199 227 154 580 0.00
260 Rancho Bernardo 11 6 109 139 98 346 0.00
261 Rancho Buena Vis 5 12 215 218 246 679 0.00
262 Sage Creek 4 13 216 176 258 650 0.00
263 San Diego 14 6 93 240 73 406 0.00
264 San Dieguito 11 8 73 64 142 279 0.00
265 San Marcos SD 10 9 66 137 103 306 0.00
266 San Ysidro 2 9 259 267 211 737 0.00
267 Santa Fe Christi 13 6 13 78 20 111 0.00
268 Santana 12 9 89 125 143 357 0.00
269 Scripps Ranch 8 13 87 169 168 424 0.00
270 St Augustine 9 11 96 238 113 447 0.00
271 University City 7 11 177 133 225 535 0.00
272 Valhalla 10 9 126 123 180 429 0.00
273 Valley Center 11 7 74 108 125 307 0.00
274 West Hills 14 6 46 203 74 323 0.00
275 Westview 4 12 170 152 251 573 0.00
276 Bay School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
277 Bentley School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Berean Christian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Casa Roble 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
282 Head-Royce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
283 Newark Memorial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Scotts Valley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Watsonville 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Hemet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
287 North Valley Mil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00