All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.0400009 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 326 H Hamburg (12- 7, 78.7) 5-15 328 A Grand Island (15- 3, 78.0) 6-16 331 A East Aurora (15- 4, 76.5) 6-10 404 H Amherst (12- 5, 74.9) 11-10 407 A Williamsville North ( 7-11, 70.2) 10- 9 409 H Williamsville East ( 8-10, 71.1) 9-12 411 H Iroquois ( 4-13, 69.8) 19-13 423 H West Seneca East ( 5-12, 69.4) 18-10 425 A Hamburg (12- 7, 78.7) 4-11 430 H Grand Island (15- 3, 78.0) 10-11 502 A Iroquois ( 4-13, 69.8) 8- 7 503 A Lancaster ( 7-10, 68.1) 10- 3 507 H Eden/North Collins (12- 6, 74.9) 12-11 510 A Williamsville East ( 8-10, 71.1) 4- 7 512 A Amherst (12- 5, 74.9) 6- 7 514 A West Seneca East ( 5-12, 69.4) 8- 9 520 A Williamsville East ( 8-10, 71.1) 6-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Hamburg 5-15 -10 -6 -0.94 328 A Grand Island 6-16 -10 -6 -0.46 331 A East Aurora 6-10 -4 -5 1.05 404 H Amherst 11-10 1 -2 + 3.33 407 A Williamsville North 10- 9 1 1 -0.22 409 H Williamsville East 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.50 411 H Iroquois 19-13 6 2 + 3.15 423 H West Seneca East 18-10 8 3 + 3.77 425 A Hamburg 4-11 -7 -7 0.00 430 H Grand Island 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.40 502 A Iroquois 8- 7 1 1 -0.71 503 A Lancaster 10- 3 7 3 + 3.65 507 H Eden/North Collins 12-11 1 -2 + 3.31 510 A Williamsville East 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.36 512 A Amherst 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.47 514 A West Seneca East 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09 520 A Williamsville East 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.36UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Williamsville East 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.50 520 A Williamsville East 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.36 510 A Williamsville East 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.36 514 A West Seneca East 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Grand Island 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.40 404 H Amherst 11-10 1 -2 + 3.33 411 H Iroquois 19-13 6 2 + 3.15 423 H West Seneca East 18-10 8 3 + 3.77 503 A Lancaster 10- 3 7 3 + 3.65 507 H Eden/North Collins 12-11 1 -2 + 3.31 512 A Amherst 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.47
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 72.04 Power Rank................. 204 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 46.08 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 186 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6020 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 137 RPI Rating............... .4883 RPI Rank................... 197 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 271 Selection sum ........... 602 Selection Rank ............ 191 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -215. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 268 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -215. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 268 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3