List of boy Div 17 Trumbull List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H New Fairfield           5- 9      -4    -3          -0.53
   404 H Danbury                14- 0      14    15           0.00
   406 H Norwalk                13- 3      10    13           0.00
   409 A New Canaan              0-16     -16   -17           0.00
   411 A Westhill                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.46
   413 H Conard                  8-10      -2     0          -1.59
   416 A Fairfield Warde         2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.07
   420 A Stamford                5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   423 H Staples                 2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   425 H Fairfield Ludlowe       8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.00
   427 H Newtown                 5- 2       3     1           1.48
   502 A Guilford                6-10      -4    -5           1.68
   504 A St Joseph Trumbull      5-17     -12    -9           0.00
   509 A Amity Regional          8- 5       3     3          -0.23
   511 H Masuk                  13- 8       5     2    +      2.57
   514 H Brien McMahon          12- 4       8     4    +      2.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Westhill                9- 7       2     6    --    -4.46
   416 A Fairfield Warde         2- 7      -5    -1    -     -3.07
   420 A Stamford                5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Fairfield Ludlowe       8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.00
   511 H Masuk                  13- 8       5     2    +      2.57
   514 H Brien McMahon          12- 4       8     4    +      2.03



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 72.95 Power Rank.................    25
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.35 SOS (PR) Rank..............    20
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6399 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    17
 RPI Rating............... .5060 RPI Rank...................    51
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    86
 Selection sum ...........   128 Selection Rank ............    39
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -125. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    58
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    60
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   7.2 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3