All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.7799988 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 7- 8 324 A Fauquier ( 6- 9, 69.4) 20- 6 404 H Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 15- 4 407 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 16- 3 409 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 67.9) 10- 2 422 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 12-13 426 N Cosby (18- 2, 84.6) 3-11 429 H Broad Run (13- 6, 77.8) 11-10 502 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 15- 7 503 A Langley (16- 5, 84.8) 9- 8 506 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 11-12 508 H Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 5-15 513 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 15- 5 515 A Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 4-17 519 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 17-10 521 A Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 6- 9 522 A Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 4-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Freedom South Riding 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.22 324 A Fauquier 20- 6 14 9 0.00 404 H Woodgrove 15- 4 11 5 1.78 407 A Heritage Leesburg 16- 3 13 8 0.00 409 A Loudoun Valley 10- 2 8 11 0.00 422 A Loudoun County 12-13 -1 -2 1.92 426 N Cosby 3-11 -8 -4 - -2.20 429 H Broad Run 11-10 1 2 -1.71 502 A Lightridge 15- 7 8 5 1.75 503 A Langley 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.82 506 H Briar Woods 11-12 -1 -1 0.84 508 H Independence 5-15 -10 -5 -1.15 513 H Potomac Falls 15- 5 10 12 0.00 515 A Riverside 4-17 -13 -6 -0.76 519 H Lightridge 17-10 7 6 0.19 521 A Riverside 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.24 522 A Independence 4-12 -8 -7 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Freedom South Riding 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.22 426 N Cosby 3-11 -8 -4 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Langley 9- 8 1 -5 +++ 6.82 521 A Riverside 6- 9 -3 -6 + 3.24
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.78 Power Rank................. 34 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 54.95 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 27 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7289 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .5884 RPI Rank................... 32 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 150 Selection sum ........... 88 Selection Rank ............ 23 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 76 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -50. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 52 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3