All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.8600006 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H North Branford (11- 8, 71.1) 13- 7 410 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 77.8) 20- 8 412 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 62.1) 13- 7 415 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 8- 8, 63.4) 15- 5 422 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 47.0) 23- 3 424 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 68.3) 13-12 426 H Fitch Groton ( 4-12, 64.1) 18- 7 429 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 77.8) 4-14 503 A St Bernard-Wheeler (11- 7, 72.1) 15-16 507 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 62.1) 19- 2 508 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 47.0) 25- 1 509 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 65.8) 18- 5 513 A North Branford (11- 8, 71.1) 11- 8 515 H Valley Regional (10- 9, 68.3) 15-16 517 H Branford ( 9- 8, 67.1) 16- 5 520 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 65.8) 14- 5 527 H North Branford (11- 8, 71.1) 11- 6 529 N Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 77.8) 5-11 604 H Canton (12- 5, 71.4) 9- 7 607 A Somers (20- 2, 79.8) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H North Branford 13- 7 6 3 + 2.61 410 H Haddam-Killingworth 20- 8 12 -3 +++ 10.35 412 A Old Lyme 13- 7 6 11 -1.00 415 A Ledyard-Griswold 15- 5 10 9 0.00 422 H Cromwell 23- 3 20 27 0.00 424 A Valley Regional 13-12 1 4 - -3.96 426 H Fitch Groton 18- 7 11 10 0.00 429 A Haddam-Killingworth 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.37 503 A St Bernard-Wheeler 15-16 -1 1 - -2.10 507 H Old Lyme 19- 2 17 12 0.00 508 A Cromwell 25- 1 24 26 0.00 509 A Morgan School 18- 5 13 7 0.00 513 A North Branford 11- 8 3 2 0.89 515 H Valley Regional 15-16 -1 6 --- -7.24 517 H Branford 16- 5 11 7 0.00 520 H Morgan School 14- 5 9 8 0.00 527 H North Branford 11- 6 5 3 1.61 529 N Haddam-Killingworth 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.01 604 H Canton 9- 7 2 3 -1.07 607 A Somers 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 H Valley Regional 15-16 -1 6 --- -7.24 424 A Valley Regional 13-12 1 4 - -3.96 429 A Haddam-Killingworth 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.37 503 A St Bernard-Wheeler 15-16 -1 1 - -2.10 529 N Haddam-Killingworth 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.01OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Haddam-Killingworth 20- 8 12 -3 +++ 10.35 408 H North Branford 13- 7 6 3 + 2.61 607 A Somers 8-12 -4 -6 + 2.58
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.86 Power Rank................. 35 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 38.63 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 65 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6909 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .5944 RPI Rank................... 17 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 68 Selection sum ........... 42 Selection Rank ............ 9 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 22 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 20 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7