All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.8700027 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Shelton ( 6-10, 64.9) 21- 4 410 A Wilton ( 5-12, 89.3) 5-17 412 N St Joseph Metuchen (17- 5, 84.7) 6-11 415 H Cheshire HS (15- 6, 86.5) 3- 8 417 A Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 15- 7 419 H Lakeland-Panas ( 7-10, 79.5) 15- 6 422 A Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 16- 4 424 A Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 11- 5 426 A La Salle Academy (17- 2, 88.0) 10-19 429 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 11- 6 506 A Fairfield Prep (14- 6, 92.8) 6-18 507 H Amity Regional (10- 7, 74.8) 13- 4 510 H Greenwich HS (11- 7, 88.3) 5-17 513 A Simsbury ( 8-11, 77.6) 13- 9 516 H Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 15- 6 520 A North Haven ( 5-11, 65.6) 18- 0 524 H Sheehan (15- 5, 76.0) 20- 6 527 A Cheshire HS (15- 6, 86.5) 7-11 604 H Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 17- 8 607 A New Canaan (18- 3, 96.0) 3-19
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Shelton 21- 4 17 19 0.00 410 A Wilton 5-17 -12 -6 -0.96 412 N St Joseph Metuchen 6-11 -5 0 n/a 415 H Cheshire HS 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.98 417 A Joel Barlow 15- 7 8 1 ++ 5.47 419 H Lakeland-Panas 15- 6 9 5 n/a 422 A Xavier 16- 4 12 9 0.00 424 A Guilford 11- 5 6 4 1.26 426 A La Salle Academy 10-19 -9 -4 n/a 429 H Daniel Hand 11- 6 5 3 1.95 506 A Fairfield Prep 6-18 -12 -9 0.00 507 H Amity Regional 13- 4 9 9 0.00 510 H Greenwich HS 5-17 -12 -3 - -3.24 513 A Simsbury 13- 9 4 5 -1.59 516 H Southington 15- 6 9 4 + 2.39 520 A North Haven 18- 0 18 17 0.00 524 H Sheehan 20- 6 14 8 0.00 527 A Cheshire HS 7-11 -4 -3 -0.70 604 H Southington 17- 8 9 4 + 2.39 607 A New Canaan 3-19 -16 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 N St Joseph Metuchen 6-11 -5 0 -- 415 H Cheshire HS 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.98 426 A La Salle Academy 10-19 -9 -4 - 510 H Greenwich HS 5-17 -12 -3 - -3.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Joel Barlow 15- 7 8 1 ++ 5.47 516 H Southington 15- 6 9 4 + 2.39 604 H Southington 17- 8 9 4 + 2.39
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.87 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 60.66 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 9 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6425 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 18 RPI Rating............... .6194 RPI Rank................... 12 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 66 Selection sum ........... 46 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 25. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 15 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 16 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7