List of boy Div 44 Northern Durham List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A South Garner            7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.91
   305 A Vance Charter           4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.98
   307 H Riverside Durham        2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.36
   312 H East Chapel Hill        1-11     -10   -14           0.00
   314 H Walter M Williams       3-11      -8    -8           0.00
   315 A Cedar Ridge             8-15      -7    -7           0.00
   319 H Vance Charter           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.84
   321 H Cary HS                 1- 8      -7    -6          -0.34
   402 A Voyager Academy         3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.94
   404 H Voyager Academy        11- 7       4     1    +      2.20
   408 H Cedar Ridge             5-17     -12    -6          -0.37
   410 H Roxboro Community      11- 3       8     5           1.96
   412 A Roxboro Community      11- 8       3     4          -1.18
   416 A Carrboro                3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   419 H Chapel Hill             1-15     -14   -17           0.00
   423 A Jordan                  0-17     -17   -17           0.00
   425 H Carrboro                1-16     -15   -15           0.00
   426 A Riverside Durham        3- 8      -5    -6           1.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Vance Charter           4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.98
   402 A Voyager Academy         3- 7      -4     0    --    -4.94
   319 H Vance Charter           7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A South Garner            7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.91
   307 H Riverside Durham        2- 3      -1    -5    ++     4.36
   404 H Voyager Academy        11- 7       4     1    +      2.20



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 55.25 Power Rank.................   130
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 30.51 SOS (PR) Rank..............   131
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4655 SOS (RPI) Rank.............   123
 RPI Rating............... .3372 RPI Rank...................   132
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    93
 Selection sum ...........   391 Selection Rank ............   139
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -330. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   135
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -330. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   136
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   4.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3