All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.8000031 home-field advantage = -0.49 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Westlake (16- 7, 86.7) 17- 6 218 A Mater Dei Santa Ana (15- 4, 88.7) 14- 5 305 A Archie Williams ( 3-11, 57.9) 21- 0 308 H Valor Christian (16- 3, 94.4) 6-12 314 A Terra Linda (10-10, 73.6) 18- 3 315 H Branson ( 2-14, 60.9) 19- 0 317 H Legend (11- 6, 89.6) 8- 7 318 A Marin Academy (14- 8, 81.6) 12- 6 320 A De LaSalle (18- 5, 90.4) 14- 8 322 A St Ignatius Prep (20- 4, 94.7) 4-17 325 A Novato (12- 8, 73.8) 26- 5 327 H Tamalpais (16- 7, 85.5) 10- 7 328 A Sacred Heart Prep (17- 6, 90.4) 7- 8 402 H San Rafael ( 4- 8, 58.2) 19- 0 403 H Bishops School ( 9- 9, 87.3) 9- 6 405 H St Ignatius Prep (20- 4, 94.7) 10-14 416 H Redwood (13-10, 84.1) 17- 5 417 H San Marin (10-10, 74.6) 20- 0 424 A Rumson-Fair Haven (15- 9, 88.6) 6- 7 426 A Chatham (15- 6, 91.7) 8- 7 501 H Novato (12- 8, 73.8) 21- 4 503 H Redwood (13-10, 84.1) 9- 3 506 H Novato (12- 8, 73.8) 21- 7 508 A Berkeley (18- 4, 77.6) 20- 0 513 A De LaSalle (18- 5, 90.4) 14- 4 515 H Monte Vista Danville (19- 3, 88.0) 13- 6
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Westlake 17- 6 11 4 + 2.37 218 A Mater Dei Santa Ana 14- 5 9 2 ++ 4.36 305 A Archie Williams 21- 0 21 33 0.00 308 H Valor Christian 6-12 -6 -2 n/a 314 A Terra Linda 18- 3 15 17 0.00 315 H Branson 19- 0 19 31 0.00 317 H Legend 8- 7 1 2 n/a 318 A Marin Academy 12- 6 6 9 -1.00 320 A De LaSalle 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.05 322 A St Ignatius Prep 4-17 -13 -3 - -3.58 325 A Novato 26- 5 21 17 0.00 327 H Tamalpais 10- 7 3 6 - -3.81 328 A Sacred Heart Prep 7- 8 -1 0 -1.93 402 H San Rafael 19- 0 19 34 0.00 403 H Bishops School 9- 6 3 4 -1.99 405 H St Ignatius Prep 10-14 -4 -2 -1.56 416 H Redwood 17- 5 12 8 0.00 417 H San Marin 20- 0 20 17 0.00 424 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6- 7 -1 2 n/a 426 A Chatham 8- 7 1 0 n/a 501 H Novato 21- 4 17 18 0.00 503 H Redwood 9- 3 6 8 -1.00 506 H Novato 21- 7 14 18 0.00 508 A Berkeley 20- 0 20 13 0.00 513 A De LaSalle 14- 4 10 0 +++ 6.05 515 H Monte Vista Danville 13- 6 7 4 + 2.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Valor Christian 6-12 -6 -2 - 322 A St Ignatius Prep 4-17 -13 -3 - -3.58 327 H Tamalpais 10- 7 3 6 - -3.81 424 A Rumson-Fair Haven 6- 7 -1 2 -OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A De LaSalle 14- 4 10 0 +++ 6.05 218 A Mater Dei Santa Ana 14- 5 9 2 ++ 4.36 320 A De LaSalle 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.05 217 A Westlake 17- 6 11 4 + 2.37 515 H Monte Vista Danville 13- 6 7 4 + 2.68
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.80 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 62.98 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 14 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6178 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 85 RPI Rating............... .6972 RPI Rank................... 8 Champ. Probability ...... 6.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 96 Selection Rank ............ 20 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 150. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 145. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 12.3