List of boy Div 31 Melrose List of Team Values for Massachusetts


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Beverly                 7- 6       1     3    -     -2.33
   402 H Belmont                12-11       1     3    -     -2.01
   409 H Winchester              6-15      -9    -6          -0.00
   411 A Reading Memorial        5-11      -6    -6           0.39
   416 H North Andover           8-11      -3     0    -     -2.13
   418 N Boston College HS       4-14     -10   -10           0.00
   420 N Needham                 5-12      -7    -9           0.00
   422 H Exeter HS               5-14      -9    -7          n/a  
   424 A Wakefield Memorial     11- 5       6     2    +      3.78
   426 H Burlington              8-12      -4    -4           0.11
   501 A Lexington               8- 4       4     0    ++     4.78
   503 H Arlington HS            7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.10
   508 A Woburn Memorial        16- 4      12     7           0.00
   510 A Wilmington             12- 7       5     4           0.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Arlington HS            7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.10
   328 A Beverly                 7- 6       1     3    -     -2.33
   402 H Belmont                12-11       1     3    -     -2.01
   416 H North Andover           8-11      -3     0    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Lexington               8- 4       4     0    ++     4.78
   424 A Wakefield Memorial     11- 5       6     2    +      3.78



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 72.52 Power Rank.................    60
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.91 SOS (PR) Rank..............    28
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6045 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    61
 RPI Rating............... .5322 RPI Rank...................    81
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   125
 Selection sum ...........   262 Selection Rank ............    72
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   104
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   120
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   8.1 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0