List of boy Div 44 Middle Creek List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Willow Spring          16- 6      10     8           0.00
   301 H Christ Church Episcopa 14- 1      13     8          n/a  
   302 A Christ School           2- 3      -1     0          -0.08
   304 A Green Hope             13- 5       8     8           0.00
   308 A Cary HS                19- 0      19    19           0.00
   311 H Holly Springs           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.59
   314 H Cary HS                18- 1      17    20           0.00
   316 H Northwest Guilford     14- 5       9     6           0.39
   319 A Apex                   13- 6       7     5           1.10
   322 H Green Level            13- 9       4    -3    +++    7.35
   402 A Panther Creek          18- 0      18    15           0.00
   405 H Green Hope             16- 3      13     9           0.00
   406 H Lake Norman HS          2-13     -11    -4    -     -2.86
   409 H Apex Friendship        13- 8       5     2    +      2.32
   411 A Holly Springs          11-10       1    -1    +      2.27
   417 A Apex Friendship         6- 5       1     1          -0.82
   419 H Apex                    9- 7       2     6    --    -4.76
   423 A Green Level             5-11      -6    -4          -1.79
   426 H Panther Creek          17- 2      15    16           0.00
   501 A Enloe                  19- 2      17    13           0.00
   503 A New Bern               18- 3      15    15           0.00
   507 A Green Level             8-14      -6    -4          -1.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Holly Springs           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.59
   419 H Apex                    9- 7       2     6    --    -4.76
   406 H Lake Norman HS          2-13     -11    -4    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Green Level            13- 9       4    -3    +++    7.35
   409 H Apex Friendship        13- 8       5     2    +      2.32
   411 A Holly Springs          11-10       1    -1    +      2.27



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 82.42 Power Rank.................    10
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.45 SOS (PR) Rank..............    16
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5809 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    69
 RPI Rating............... .6257 RPI Rank...................    14
 Champ. Probability ......   2.0 Championship Rank .........    10
 Selection sum ...........    94 Selection Rank ............    26
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   90. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     9
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    11
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.2 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7