List of boy Div 48 Erie-McDowell List of Team Values for Pennsylvania


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Morgantown              5-16     -11    -7          n/a  
   319 A West Geauga            17- 3      14    10          n/a  
   325 H St Francis              3-15     -12    -8          n/a  
   327 A Salamanca/Randolph      6-11      -5    -8          n/a  
   329 A Canon-McMillan          0-15     -15    -5          -1.92
   410 A Meadville-Crawford Cty 14-12       2    -1    +      3.05
   412 A Hickory                 6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.99
   413 H Bethel Park             1-12     -11    -7           0.00
   417 H Fairview               18- 0      18     5           1.07
   420 H Riverside Painesville   4-16     -12   -13          n/a  
   426 A Palmyra-Macedon         1-16     -15   -14          n/a  
   429 H Cathedral Prep         12- 8       4     0    +      3.15
   501 H Meadville-Crawford Cty  7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.51
   504 A Canisius HS             8-11      -3    -9          n/a  
   506 H Hickory                16- 6      10     5           1.45
   508 A Fairview               10- 6       4     5          -1.37
   514 A University School Clev  6-25     -19   -18          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Meadville-Crawford Cty  7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.51
   412 A Hickory                 6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Canisius HS             8-11      -3    -9    ++         
   327 A Salamanca/Randolph      6-11      -5    -8    +          
   410 A Meadville-Crawford Cty 14-12       2    -1    +      3.05
   429 H Cathedral Prep         12- 8       4     0    +      3.15



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 61.54 Power Rank.................   176
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.16 SOS (PR) Rank..............   190
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4274 SOS (RPI) Rank.............   216
 RPI Rating............... .4623 RPI Rank...................   138
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   123
 Selection sum ...........   441 Selection Rank ............   150
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    86
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    87
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   7.9 Ave Defensive Goals .......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7