All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.4499969 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 A Farmingdale (11- 8, 86.9) 17- 6 403 A Northport (16- 3, 93.7) 10-11 408 A Sachem North (13- 5, 87.3) 8- 6 410 H Smithtown East (11- 7, 87.8) 8- 7 414 H William Floyd (10- 7, 81.0) 16- 4 416 H Commack (10- 8, 84.1) 17- 7 422 A Bay Shore ( 6-10, 80.2) 13- 4 424 A Longwood ( 5-11, 78.6) 15- 4 426 A South Fork Unified ( 8- 8, 76.2) 18- 6 428 A Cold Spring Harbor (14- 7, 87.5) 14- 5 430 H Connetquot (12- 5, 85.7) 8- 9 502 A Middle Country ( 9- 8, 77.6) 18- 5 506 A Ward Melville ( 8-10, 85.1) 13- 4 509 H North Babylon ( 3-13, 68.0) 16- 2 513 H Half Hollow Hills (23- 0, 95.7) 7-12 515 A Sachem East ( 7- 9, 78.6) 13- 7 522 H Commack (10- 8, 84.1) 12- 7 527 A Northport (16- 3, 93.7) 8-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Farmingdale 17- 6 11 2 ++ 4.03 403 A Northport 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.84 408 A Sachem North 8- 6 2 2 -0.54 410 H Smithtown East 8- 7 1 3 - -2.26 414 H William Floyd 16- 4 12 10 0.00 416 H Commack 17- 7 10 6 0.05 422 A Bay Shore 13- 4 9 9 0.00 424 A Longwood 15- 4 11 11 0.00 426 A South Fork Unified 18- 6 12 13 0.00 428 A Cold Spring Harbor 14- 5 9 2 ++ 4.65 430 H Connetquot 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.36 502 A Middle Country 18- 5 13 12 0.00 506 A Ward Melville 13- 4 9 4 + 2.24 509 H North Babylon 16- 2 14 23 0.00 513 H Half Hollow Hills 7-12 -5 -4 -0.35 515 A Sachem East 13- 7 6 11 -1.00 522 H Commack 12- 7 5 6 -1.95 527 A Northport 8-17 -9 -3 - -3.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Connetquot 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.36 410 H Smithtown East 8- 7 1 3 - -2.26 527 A Northport 8-17 -9 -3 - -3.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Farmingdale 17- 6 11 2 ++ 4.03 428 A Cold Spring Harbor 14- 5 9 2 ++ 4.65 403 A Northport 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.84 506 A Ward Melville 13- 4 9 4 + 2.24
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.45 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 65.43 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 28 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6895 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 24 RPI Rating............... .6378 RPI Rank................... 28 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 365 Selection sum ........... 81 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 31 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 20. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 29 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7