All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.2600021 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 57.0) 18- 1 226 H Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 77.2) 11- 3 228 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 74.6) 12- 1 304 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 68.3) 15- 3 307 A Southern Alamance (19- 5, 71.1) 12- 6 311 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 66.9) 13- 4 313 H Seaforth (18- 4, 76.4) 6-11 315 H Apex Friendship (16- 8, 84.4) 7-16 319 H Millbrook (16- 5, 76.5) 12-15 321 H Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 57.0) 19- 0 324 A Walter M Williams (11-11, 68.3) 11- 6 325 A Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 59.8) 18- 3 408 H Southern Alamance (19- 5, 71.1) 12- 4 409 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 56.7) 16- 4 415 A Seaforth (18- 4, 76.4) 10- 8 417 A Northwood ( 8-13, 67.9) 9- 5 421 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 9- 6 425 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 59.8) 18- 4 429 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 56.7) 18- 4 502 H Northwood ( 8-13, 67.9) 14- 5 505 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 66.9) 14- 3 507 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 76.3) 10-11 508 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 65.9) 8- 5 516 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 11- 7 520 A Seaforth (18- 4, 76.4) 10- 8 523 A First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Southeast Alamance 18- 1 17 18 0.00 226 H Northern Guilford 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.51 228 H Pinecrest 12- 1 11 2 ++ 4.92 304 H Walter M Williams 15- 3 12 8 0.00 307 A Southern Alamance 12- 6 6 4 1.19 311 A Cedar Ridge 13- 4 9 8 0.00 313 H Seaforth 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.27 315 H Apex Friendship 7-16 -9 -7 0.00 319 H Millbrook 12-15 -3 0 - -3.14 321 H Southeast Alamance 19- 0 19 19 0.00 324 A Walter M Williams 11- 6 5 7 - -2.00 325 A Eastern Alamance 18- 3 15 16 0.00 408 H Southern Alamance 12- 4 8 5 1.43 409 A Western Alamance 16- 4 12 19 0.00 415 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.49 417 A Northwood 9- 5 4 7 - -3.00 421 A Carrboro 9- 6 3 3 -0.40 425 H Eastern Alamance 18- 4 14 16 0.00 429 A Western Alamance 18- 4 14 19 0.00 502 H Northwood 14- 5 9 8 0.00 505 H Cedar Ridge 14- 3 11 9 0.00 507 H East Chapel Hill 10-11 -1 0 -1.32 508 H Riverside Durham 8- 5 3 10 -- -4.00 516 H Carrboro 11- 7 4 4 -0.16 520 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.49 523 A First Flight 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Seaforth 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.27 508 H Riverside Durham 8- 5 3 10 -- -4.00 319 H Millbrook 12-15 -3 0 - -3.14 324 A Walter M Williams 11- 6 5 7 - -2.00 417 A Northwood 9- 5 4 7 - -3.00 523 A First Flight 5-12 -7 -3 - -3.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Northern Guilford 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.51 228 H Pinecrest 12- 1 11 2 ++ 4.92 415 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.49 520 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.49
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.26 Power Rank................. 48 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 41.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 83 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7103 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6120 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 70 Selection sum ........... 49 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -5. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 31 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 20. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 24 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 21- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3