All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.4899979 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Lyman Hall ( 5-11, 66.4) 13- 1 415 A St Bernard-Wheeler (11- 7, 72.1) 9- 5 417 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 78.4) 7-14 419 H New Milford ( 9- 9, 74.6) 7- 8 422 H Amity Regional (10- 7, 74.8) 8- 6 424 H Notre Dame-West Haven (12- 8, 83.9) 5-11 426 A Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 9-10 429 H Cheshire HS (15- 6, 86.5) 1-10 503 H Simsbury ( 8-11, 77.6) 8- 5 506 A Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 5 510 H Weston ( 9-10, 74.4) 10- 8 512 H Southington (11- 7, 79.9) 6- 5 515 A Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 9-11 517 A East Lyme (15- 4, 74.5) 9- 5 520 A Hamden (11- 6, 71.3) 18- 3 521 A Fairfield Prep (14- 6, 92.8) 0-17 524 A Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 5- 8 604 H Watertown ( 6-10, 57.9) 21- 1 607 H East Lyme (15- 4, 74.5) 12- 3 611 N Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 8- 7 614 N Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 12-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Lyman Hall 13- 1 12 12 0.00 415 A St Bernard-Wheeler 9- 5 4 5 -1.73 417 A Trumbull 7-14 -7 0 --- -6.43 419 H New Milford 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.50 422 H Amity Regional 8- 6 2 4 - -2.28 424 H Notre Dame-West Haven 5-11 -6 -4 -1.26 426 A Bethel 9-10 -1 1 - -2.10 429 H Cheshire HS 1-10 -9 -7 0.00 503 H Simsbury 8- 5 3 1 1.51 506 A Xavier 10- 5 5 3 1.37 510 H Weston 10- 8 2 4 - -2.68 512 H Southington 6- 5 1 0 1.77 515 A Daniel Hand 9-11 -2 -3 1.61 517 A East Lyme 9- 5 4 3 0.63 520 A Hamden 18- 3 15 6 0.48 521 A Fairfield Prep 0-17 -17 -14 0.00 524 A Daniel Hand 5- 8 -3 -3 0.61 604 H Watertown 21- 1 20 21 0.00 607 H East Lyme 12- 3 9 4 + 2.35 611 N Joel Barlow 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.21 614 N Daniel Hand 12-11 1 -2 + 3.97UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Trumbull 7-14 -7 0 --- -6.43 419 H New Milford 7- 8 -1 4 -- -5.50 422 H Amity Regional 8- 6 2 4 - -2.28 426 A Bethel 9-10 -1 1 - -2.10 510 H Weston 10- 8 2 4 - -2.68OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 611 N Joel Barlow 8- 7 1 -3 ++ 4.21 607 H East Lyme 12- 3 9 4 + 2.35 614 N Daniel Hand 12-11 1 -2 + 3.97
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 78.49 Power Rank................. 19 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 52.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 17 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6773 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 8 RPI Rating............... .6038 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 38 Selection sum ........... 50 Selection Rank ............ 13 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 31 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 26 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7