List of boy Div 44 Page List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Cardinal Gibbons        2-17     -15   -14           0.00
   301 H Bishop McGuinness      15-16      -1     1    -     -2.50
   305 H Lake Norman HS          4-18     -14   -15           0.00
   307 A Reagan                 13-14      -1    -1           0.61
   311 H Mooresville            14-20      -6    -1    --    -4.58
   315 H Ardrey Kell             6-14      -8    -8           0.00
   316 H Topsail                 6-18     -12    -8           0.00
   319 A Chapel Hill            11-10       1    -2    +      3.61
   321 A RJ Reynolds            11-16      -5     0    --    -4.09
   402 A Forsyth Country Day     9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.38
   404 A Southwest Guilford     15- 2      13    15           0.00
   406 H Apex                    7-10      -3    -4           1.44
   409 H Ragsdale               24- 0      24    15           0.00
   411 H Northwest Guilford     13-12       1    -4    ++     5.59
   413 H Myers Park              4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   416 H Western Guilford       16- 6      10     7           0.00
   418 A Northern Guilford       5-17     -12    -6          -0.23
   422 A Lake Norman Charter     3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   423 H Grimsley               17- 5      12     8           0.00
   425 H Southeast Guilford     16- 5      11     6           0.14
   501 A Weddington              7-15      -8    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Mooresville            14-20      -6    -1    --    -4.58
   321 A RJ Reynolds            11-16      -5     0    --    -4.09
   301 H Bishop McGuinness      15-16      -1     1    -     -2.50
   402 A Forsyth Country Day     9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Northwest Guilford     13-12       1    -4    ++     5.59
   319 A Chapel Hill            11-10       1    -2    +      3.61



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 71.22 Power Rank.................    56
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 47.27 SOS (PR) Rank..............    26
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6796 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    18
 RPI Rating............... .5162 RPI Rank...................    59
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    97
 Selection sum ...........   191 Selection Rank ............    60
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -235. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   108
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -250. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   114
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.4 Ave Defensive Goals .......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0