List of boy Div 17 Fairfield Prep List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Darien                 12-11       1    -1    +      2.54
   408 A Sheehan                19- 4      15    16           0.00
   410 H Xavier                 18- 3      15    19           0.00
   413 A Don Bosco Prep          9- 6       3    -2          n/a  
   415 H St Ignatius Prep        8-13      -5    -1          n/a  
   419 A Seton Hall Prep         7-14      -7    -4          n/a  
   422 H Daniel Hand            20- 2      18    12           0.00
   426 A Chaminade               5-13      -8    -6          n/a  
   429 A Amity Regional         17- 3      14    17           0.00
   501 A Cheshire HS            15- 3      12     5           1.34
   506 H Notre Dame-West Haven  18- 6      12     9           0.00
   510 A New Canaan              8-12      -4    -3          -0.18
   515 A Wilton                  7- 4       3     2           0.08
   517 H Delbarton               9-13      -4    -1          n/a  
   520 A Foran                  20- 4      16    17           0.00
   521 H Guilford               17- 0      17    14           0.00
   527 H Daniel Hand            16- 4      12    12           0.00
   529 N Cheshire HS            15- 5      10     6           0.70
   604 H Hamden                 18- 2      16    22           0.00
   607 A Darien                  5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   607 A Darien                  5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.18
   415 H St Ignatius Prep        8-13      -5    -1    -          
   419 A Seton Hall Prep         7-14      -7    -4    -          
   517 H Delbarton               9-13      -4    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Don Bosco Prep          9- 6       3    -2    ++         
   405 H Darien                 12-11       1    -1    +      2.54



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 92.83 Power Rank.................     5
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 70.39 SOS (PR) Rank..............     6
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6428 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    17
 RPI Rating............... .7060 RPI Rank...................     1
 Champ. Probability ......  10.0 Championship Rank .........     5
 Selection sum ...........    21 Selection Rank ............     3
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  135. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     4
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  140. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     3
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.1 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3