All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.6200027 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Watertown (12- 5, 83.1) 5-14 410 H Cicero-North Syracuse (11- 5, 85.2) 7-13 415 H Auburn (10- 8, 77.4) 19-12 417 A Christian Brothers Syr (14- 4, 82.3) 10-13 419 A Rome Free Academy ( 5-10, 66.8) 17- 8 422 A Baldwinsville ( 9- 8, 87.5) 5-13 424 H Corcoran-Syracuse City ( 5-11, 65.5) 17- 4 426 H Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 9, 86.4) 12-11 430 A Oswego ( 1-14, 64.6) 14- 1 501 H New Hartford (11- 5, 76.7) 12- 5 508 A Auburn (10- 8, 77.4) 12-16 510 A Fulton (11- 6, 73.3) 12- 8 513 H Jamesville-DeWitt (17- 4, 91.5) 6-17 515 H Central Square ( 7- 9, 66.9) 16- 5 517 A South Jefferson ( 6-11, 74.2) 15- 7 521 H West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 9-16 531 A Watertown (12- 5, 83.1) 6-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Watertown 5-14 -9 -2 -- -4.10 410 H Cicero-North Syracuse 7-13 -6 -4 -1.01 415 H Auburn 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.24 417 A Christian Brothers Syr 10-13 -3 -3 0.23 419 A Rome Free Academy 17- 8 9 12 0.00 422 A Baldwinsville 5-13 -8 -8 0.00 424 H Corcoran-Syracuse City 17- 4 13 14 0.00 426 H Fayetteville-Manlius 12-11 1 -6 +++ 7.24 430 A Oswego 14- 1 13 14 0.00 501 H New Hartford 12- 5 7 3 + 3.46 508 A Auburn 12-16 -4 1 -- -5.62 510 A Fulton 12- 8 4 5 -1.71 513 H Jamesville-DeWitt 6-17 -11 -11 0.00 515 H Central Square 16- 5 11 13 0.00 517 A South Jefferson 15- 7 8 4 + 2.15 521 H West Genesee 9-16 -7 -11 0.00 531 A Watertown 6-15 -9 -4 - -2.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Watertown 5-14 -9 -2 -- -4.10 508 A Auburn 12-16 -4 1 -- -5.62 531 A Watertown 6-15 -9 -4 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H Fayetteville-Manlius 12-11 1 -6 +++ 7.24 415 H Auburn 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.24 501 H New Hartford 12- 5 7 3 + 3.46 517 A South Jefferson 15- 7 8 4 + 2.15
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.62 Power Rank................. 95 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.74 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 86 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6503 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 65 RPI Rating............... .5495 RPI Rank................... 111 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 157 Selection sum ........... 344 Selection Rank ............ 94 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -125. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 165 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -125. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 168 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7