List of boy Div 44 East Chapel Hill List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Seaforth               12- 9       3     2           0.86
   228 A Apex Friendship         7-21     -14   -10           0.00
   305 A Athens Drive            6-16     -10    -8           0.00
   311 A Northwood              13- 4       9     3    +      3.65
   312 A Northern Durham        11- 1      10    14           0.00
   313 H Broughton               7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.67
   319 H Northern Guilford       8-13      -5    -7    +      2.00
   320 A Green Hope              3- 5      -2    -3           1.85
   322 A Chapel Hill            13-14      -1    -3    +      2.70
   326 H Durham Academy          5-13      -8    -8           0.00
   409 H Ravenscroft School      3- 5      -2     0          -1.04
   412 H Hillsborough Orange     8-17      -9    -7           0.00
   416 H Jordan                  7- 9      -2    -1          -0.29
   417 A Wakefield               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.73
   419 A Carrboro                4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.80
   422 H Grimsley               14- 0      14     7           0.00
   423 A Riverside Durham        8- 4       4     8    -     -3.00
   426 H Chapel Hill             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Carrboro                4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.80
   426 H Chapel Hill             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.16
   417 A Wakefield               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.73
   423 A Riverside Durham        8- 4       4     8    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Broughton               7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.67
   311 A Northwood              13- 4       9     3    +      3.65
   319 H Northern Guilford       8-13      -5    -7    +      2.00
   322 A Chapel Hill            13-14      -1    -3    +      2.70



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 70.13 Power Rank.................    61
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 44.03 SOS (PR) Rank..............    40
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6397 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    40
 RPI Rating............... .4940 RPI Rank...................    69
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    51
 Selection sum ...........   229 Selection Rank ............    70
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -290. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........   126
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -270. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........   120
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   7.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7