List of boy Div 17 Conard List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Lewis Mills            15- 5      10     9           0.00
   405 A Avon HS                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.59
   409 H South Windsor          16- 6      10     5           1.88
   411 A Norwich Free Academy   14- 7       7     9           0.00
   413 A Trumbull               10- 8       2     0           1.59
   416 H Somers                 13- 9       4     2           1.93
   418 H Northwest Catholic      9-12      -3    -1          -1.49
   422 A Daniel Hand             5-13      -8    -5          -1.43
   425 H Southington            15-16      -1    -4    +      3.58
   429 H Tolland                16- 1      15    13           0.00
   502 H Simsbury               10-16      -6    -4          -1.13
   506 A Farmington              9-10      -1     2    -     -3.03
   509 A East Catholic          17-10       7     4    +      2.30
   511 A East Lyme              12-11       1     0           0.11
   514 H Glastonbury             5-12      -7    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Avon HS                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.59
   506 A Farmington              9-10      -1     2    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Southington            15-16      -1    -4    +      3.58
   509 A East Catholic          17-10       7     4    +      2.30



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 73.55 Power Rank.................    24
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 43.85 SOS (PR) Rank..............    29
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6079 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    27
 RPI Rating............... .5460 RPI Rank...................    35
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    22
 Selection sum ...........    99 Selection Rank ............    27
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -65. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    37
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    37
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  11.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3