All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.1299973 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 310 H St James (13- 3, 88.5) 15-11 313 H Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 7- 8 314 A St Marys Ryken (11- 8, 89.5) 11-12 318 H Atlee (10- 9, 82.6) 14- 7 322 H Mount St Joseph (10- 8, 93.5) 5-10 322 H Kiski Prep (13- 9, 90.1) 9-12 325 H St Christophers (17- 5, 90.4) 12- 7 328 H Collegiate School (13- 6, 88.2) 10-12 401 A Woodberry Forest ( 9- 9, 85.9) 13- 3 405 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 8-10 408 N Episcopal ( 9- 9, 89.5) 17-14 415 H Norfolk Academy (13- 8, 85.7) 17- 8 428 H Fork Union Military Ac ( 6- 5, 77.7) 19- 6 430 H Catholic HS (13- 7, 85.6) 18- 7 502 A Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 8-13 506 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 67.2) 19- 4 513 H St Christophers (17- 5, 90.4) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H St James 15-11 4 3 n/a 313 H Paul VI 7- 8 -1 0 -0.86 314 A St Marys Ryken 11-12 -1 0 n/a 318 H Atlee 14- 7 7 9 0.00 322 H Mount St Joseph 5-10 -5 -1 n/a 322 H Kiski Prep 9-12 -3 2 n/a 325 H St Christophers 12- 7 5 1 + 3.53 328 H Collegiate School 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.69 401 A Woodberry Forest 13- 3 10 4 + 2.53 405 A St Annes-Belfield 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.81 408 N Episcopal 17-14 3 1 1.39 415 H Norfolk Academy 17- 8 9 6 0.83 428 H Fork Union Military Ac 19- 6 13 14 0.00 430 H Catholic HS 18- 7 11 6 0.70 502 A Blue Ridge School 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.73 506 H Trinity Episcopal 19- 4 15 24 0.00 513 H St Christophers 10-11 -1 1 - -2.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Kiski Prep 9-12 -3 2 -- 328 H Collegiate School 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.69 502 A Blue Ridge School 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.73 322 H Mount St Joseph 5-10 -5 -1 - 513 H St Christophers 10-11 -1 1 - -2.47OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H St Christophers 12- 7 5 1 + 3.53 401 A Woodberry Forest 13- 3 10 4 + 2.53 405 A St Annes-Belfield 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.81
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.13 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 71.90 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6667 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 21 RPI Rating............... .6416 RPI Rank................... 16 Champ. Probability ...... 9.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 59 Selection Rank ............ 13 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 22 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0