List of boy Div 17 Brien McMahon List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bethel                  4- 6      -2    -3           1.86
   402 A Horace Greeley          4-17     -13   -15          n/a  
   404 H Stamford                5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.00
   406 H Westhill                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.06
   409 H Wilton                  2-16     -14   -16           0.00
   411 A Danbury                17- 2      15    10           0.00
   413 H Notre Dame-West Haven   0-15     -15   -14           0.00
   416 A Fairfield Ludlowe       3-18     -15   -12           0.00
   425 A Kennedy Catholic        5- 8      -3    -4          n/a  
   430 H St Joseph Trumbull      1-15     -14   -13           0.00
   504 A Norwalk                10- 1       9     8           0.00
   507 A Ridgefield              1-15     -14   -21           0.00
   509 H Fairfield Warde         5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   511 H Newtown                 2-13     -11    -3    -     -3.74
   514 A Trumbull                4-12      -8    -4    -     -2.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Westhill                7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.06
   511 H Newtown                 2-13     -11    -3    -     -3.74
   514 A Trumbull                4-12      -8    -4    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Fairfield Warde         5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   404 H Stamford                5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.00



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 68.17 Power Rank.................    50
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 50.01 SOS (PR) Rank..............    18
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5218 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    75
 RPI Rating............... .4379 RPI Rank...................    73
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    16
 Selection sum ...........   225 Selection Rank ............    76
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -195. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    71
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -210. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    77
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   4.7 Ave Defensive Goals .......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7