All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 65.0100021 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Grays Creek ( 5-13, 60.8) 16-17 310 A Union Pines (16- 9, 69.6) 16-17 314 A Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 65.9) 14-15 321 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 64.9) 10- 9 322 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 62.9) 10- 9 324 H Jack Britt ( 5-16, 58.6) 19- 7 328 A Jordan (12- 9, 74.7) 7-19 401 A Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 65.7) 14-12 403 A Hunt ( 1-15, 51.9) 17- 0 410 H Union Pines (16- 9, 69.6) 8-18 424 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 74.6) 5-17 425 H Pine Forest ( 0-12, 50.0) 18- 1 428 H Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 63.0) 14-15 430 A Grays Creek ( 5-13, 60.8) 16- 8 501 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 58.6) 15-12 505 A Pine Forest ( 0-12, 50.0) 19- 2 507 A Wake Prep ( 5- 7, 57.7) 15- 2 513 H North Brunswick (10-14, 62.7) 15-11 517 A First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 4-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Grays Creek 16-17 -1 4 -- -5.57 310 A Union Pines 16-17 -1 -5 ++ 4.00 314 A Riverside Durham 14-15 -1 -1 0.27 321 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 0 1.28 322 A Swansboro 10- 9 1 1 -0.77 324 H Jack Britt 19- 7 12 6 0.23 328 A Jordan 7-19 -12 -10 0.00 401 A Southeast Guilford 14-12 2 -1 + 3.11 403 A Hunt 17- 0 17 12 0.00 410 H Union Pines 8-18 -10 -4 - -2.76 424 A Pinecrest 5-17 -12 -9 0.00 425 H Pine Forest 18- 1 17 15 0.00 428 H Cape Fear HS 14-15 -1 2 - -3.44 430 A Grays Creek 16- 8 8 3 + 3.19 501 A Jack Britt 15-12 3 6 - -3.01 505 A Pine Forest 19- 2 17 14 0.00 507 A Wake Prep 15- 2 13 6 0.04 513 H North Brunswick 15-11 4 2 1.29 517 A First Flight 4-20 -16 -15 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Grays Creek 16-17 -1 4 -- -5.57 410 H Union Pines 8-18 -10 -4 - -2.76 428 H Cape Fear HS 14-15 -1 2 - -3.44 501 A Jack Britt 15-12 3 6 - -3.01OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Union Pines 16-17 -1 -5 ++ 4.00 401 A Southeast Guilford 14-12 2 -1 + 3.11 430 A Grays Creek 16- 8 8 3 + 3.19
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 65.01 Power Rank................. 96 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 32.76 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 133 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4998 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 117 RPI Rating............... .4380 RPI Rank................... 95 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 133 Selection sum ........... 280 Selection Rank ............ 94 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -145. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 72 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -130. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 68 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3