List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 17 1 1 6 2 2 5 1 8 61.55
2 Middlebury NESCAC 16 1 2 3 1 3 13 2 18 28.25
3 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 5 3 1 5 7 3 10 20 3.00
4 Gettysburg Centennial 16 3 6 12 7 4 1 4 9 2.30
5 Colby NESCAC 14 3 5 8 3 5 9 5 19 1.70
6 St John Fish Empire Eight 18 0 4 53 6 21 99 6 126 1.65
7 F&M Centennial 17 2 8 13 4 1 2 3 6 0.00
8 York MAC Commonweal 16 3 10 30 11 14 15 8 37 0.00
9 TCNJ NJAC 14 4 16 25 25 6 6 13 25 0.00
10 Salisbury Coast to Coast 14 4 13 18 17 8 19 15 42 0.00
11 Adrian MIAA 11 6 156 214 101 148 248 102 498 0.00
12 Albertus Mag Great Northeas 0 14 273 261 281 276 246 281 803 0.00
13 Albion MIAA 5 11 164 131 236 177 234 222 633 0.00
14 Albright MAC Commonweal 5 12 169 90 240 196 152 243 591 0.00
15 Alfred Empire Eight 6 10 176 144 191 212 199 208 619 0.00
16 Alfred State AMCC 4 9 257 280 198 254 252 199 705 0.00
17 Allegheny Presidents 5 13 188 189 248 205 258 248 711 0.00
18 Alma MIAA 4 9 214 212 173 232 259 174 665 0.00
19 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 4 13 161 80 260 198 133 261 592 0.00
20 Amherst NESCAC 11 5 7 7 8 16 17 17 50 0.00
21 Anderson (IN) Heartland 8 8 242 273 116 238 279 121 638 0.00
22 Anna Maria Great Northeas 2 14 253 241 277 262 187 277 726 0.00
23 Arcadia MAC Freedom 9 8 148 138 139 156 179 138 473 0.00
24 Augsburg WIAC 0 11 267 185 249 255 218 249 722 0.00
25 Augustana(IL) CCIW 5 10 222 195 214 178 157 213 548 0.00
26 Aurora NACC 11 7 152 204 117 106 86 122 314 0.00
27 Averett Old Dominion 5 6 215 156 118 154 205 111 470 0.00
28 Babson NEWMAC 14 3 35 52 22 38 74 25 137 0.00
29 Bald Wallace Ohio 10 9 94 96 162 73 43 162 278 0.00
30 Bard Liberty League 1 13 235 69 270 236 182 270 688 0.00
31 Bates NESCAC 7 9 18 9 52 47 12 81 140 0.00
32 Beloit NACC 7 7 211 263 131 194 236 131 561 0.00
33 Berry SAA 12 7 116 137 112 69 84 116 269 0.00
34 Bethany Presidents 3 14 247 257 269 261 257 269 787 0.00
35 Bowdoin NESCAC 6 9 30 10 63 55 26 112 193 0.00
36 Brevard USA South Atl. 7 8 244 272 152 206 228 153 587 0.00
37 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 9 111 132 159 119 87 150 356 0.00
38 Bridgewater St MASCAC 14 5 88 127 59 57 90 59 206 0.00
39 Brockport Empire Eight 9 9 55 49 132 115 61 163 339 0.00
40 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 8 5 197 234 85 209 267 87 563 0.00
41 Buffalo State SUNYAC 12 7 91 129 113 110 89 117 316 0.00
42 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 7 10 142 109 205 184 138 189 511 0.00
43 Calvin MIAA 12 6 121 150 96 83 211 96 390 0.00
44 Canton SUNYAC 7 9 135 130 181 195 185 183 563 0.00
45 Capital Ohio 10 6 95 112 102 79 83 93 255 0.00
46 Carroll CCIW 13 3 103 165 40 27 48 33 108 0.00
47 Carthage CCIW 13 4 102 167 53 49 81 46 176 0.00
48 Castleton Little East 4 13 203 155 265 192 76 262 530 0.00
49 Catholic Landmark 10 9 41 37 119 72 29 97 198 0.00
50 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 5 8 261 276 163 267 275 166 708 0.00
51 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 5 8 254 266 164 259 265 167 691 0.00
52 Centre SAA 7 8 145 145 153 132 115 154 401 0.00
53 Chapman SCIAC 6 10 106 66 209 127 68 193 388 0.00
54 Chatham Presidents 11 6 151 201 97 109 108 98 315 0.00
55 Chicago CCIW 12 4 33 50 46 9 11 34 54 0.00
56 Christ Newport Coast to Coast 8 11 28 14 154 43 10 125 178 0.00
57 Clar-Mudd-S SCIAC 12 7 45 51 91 48 23 67 138 0.00
58 Clark NEWMAC 6 11 175 116 224 176 102 227 505 0.00
59 Clarkson Liberty League 9 8 56 46 134 114 100 132 346 0.00
60 Coast Guard NEWMAC 10 6 74 76 103 77 78 103 258 0.00
61 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 11 7 157 209 120 135 122 123 380 0.00
62 Colorado Col WIAC 18 3 27 91 19 20 42 11 73 0.00
63 Con-Wisc NACC 5 10 219 237 215 191 155 214 560 0.00
64 Conn Col NESCAC 7 8 21 11 47 58 75 82 215 0.00
65 Cornell Col NACC 7 9 200 251 155 188 250 155 593 0.00
66 Cortland SUNYAC 11 7 51 48 71 56 27 99 182 0.00
67 Curry Conference of 4 13 204 168 266 237 192 266 695 0.00
68 Dean Great Northeas 8 9 198 243 174 187 161 175 523 0.00
69 DelVal MAC Freedom 6 11 195 187 221 240 233 220 693 0.00
70 Denison North Coast 13 4 25 36 41 12 25 27 64 0.00
71 DePauw North Coast 7 9 87 67 182 88 38 170 296 0.00
72 DeSales MAC Freedom 15 3 85 164 28 98 200 30 328 0.00
73 Dickinson Centennial 6 11 59 23 187 93 31 176 300 0.00
74 Drew Landmark 5 11 122 68 225 174 145 223 542 0.00
75 Eastern MAC Commonweal 2 12 234 126 250 253 217 256 726 0.00
76 EaConn Little East 13 6 84 117 86 91 77 83 251 0.00
77 EaMenn Old Dominion 6 11 220 207 226 197 172 228 597 0.00
78 Edgewood NACC 10 8 187 213 140 124 132 139 395 0.00
79 Elizab'town Landmark 9 8 138 139 145 172 197 148 517 0.00
80 Elmhurst CCIW 5 8 229 253 165 221 242 168 631 0.00
81 Elmira Empire Eight 0 4 282 262 104 282 281 104 667 0.00
82 Elms Great Northeas 2 11 245 239 242 249 209 241 699 0.00
83 Emerson NEWMAC 5 11 172 133 232 220 175 233 628 0.00
84 Emmanuel MA Great Northeas 14 6 133 158 83 45 44 84 173 0.00
85 Endicott Conference of 14 4 44 61 20 23 30 22 75 0.00
86 Farm'dale St Skyline 9 9 128 134 124 121 231 113 465 0.00
87 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 4 10 162 120 210 181 163 209 553 0.00
88 Ferrum Old Dominion 7 9 212 199 148 182 214 140 536 0.00
89 Fitchburg St MASCAC 2 15 186 128 283 222 153 283 658 0.00
90 Fram'ham St MASCAC 10 9 98 89 149 103 39 156 298 0.00
91 Franciscan Presidents 6 9 224 247 192 193 223 194 610 0.00
92 Franklin Heartland 1 8 275 277 193 281 277 195 753 0.00
93 Fredonia SUNYAC 8 9 118 114 175 147 116 177 440 0.00
94 Geneseo Empire Eight 12 7 32 40 60 75 62 108 245 0.00
95 Geneva Col Presidents 0 15 274 231 271 258 237 272 767 0.00
96 George Fox Northwest 14 4 99 163 48 42 52 49 143 0.00
97 Gordon Conference of 2 14 210 153 278 246 169 278 693 0.00
98 Goucher Landmark 6 11 167 140 227 202 195 229 626 0.00
99 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 12 262 267 216 223 262 215 700 0.00
100 Grove City Presidents 12 6 132 190 72 81 208 68 357 0.00
101 Guilford Old Dominion 5 12 240 188 244 213 165 238 616 0.00
102 Gwynedd Mer Atlantic East 4 14 221 171 274 225 141 274 640 0.00
103 Hamilton NESCAC 6 8 15 5 55 63 58 88 209 0.00
104 Hamline WIAC 6 9 217 210 188 180 156 190 526 0.00
105 Hanover Heartland 2 8 263 275 183 275 278 184 737 0.00
106 Hartford Conference of 13 6 90 108 87 86 88 89 263 0.00
107 Hartwick Empire Eight 7 8 115 88 135 162 154 157 473 0.00
108 Haverford Centennial 14 5 17 16 26 17 16 26 59 0.00
109 Hendrix SAA 7 8 185 179 141 153 249 141 543 0.00
110 Hilbert AMCC 1 11 272 278 245 264 240 244 748 0.00
111 Hood MAC Commonweal 7 10 149 110 194 160 120 200 480 0.00
112 Hope MIAA 13 5 71 99 64 34 53 53 140 0.00
113 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 3 9 265 255 199 228 227 201 656 0.00
114 Husson North Atlantic 7 7 166 172 129 163 158 133 454 0.00
115 Ill Tech NACC 2 15 264 242 284 260 210 284 754 0.00
116 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 8 9 159 173 176 130 93 178 401 0.00
117 Immaculata Atlantic East 3 14 233 162 275 233 159 275 667 0.00
118 Ithaca Liberty League 13 6 26 21 56 35 34 75 144 0.00
119 John Carroll Ohio 15 2 67 135 23 26 59 23 108 0.00
120 John&Wales Great Northeas 13 5 125 203 65 96 127 62 285 0.00
121 Juniata Landmark 9 9 86 62 168 129 147 171 447 0.00
122 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 13 160 97 237 149 171 224 544 0.00
123 Kean NJAC 4 9 130 65 189 142 114 172 428 0.00
124 Keene State Little East 11 7 107 115 121 70 46 118 234 0.00
125 Kenyon North Coast 7 9 66 33 169 51 22 127 200 0.00
126 Keuka Empire Eight 4 10 241 175 200 244 230 218 692 0.00
127 Kings MAC Freedom 5 10 202 177 206 219 221 205 645 0.00
128 La Roche AMCC 14 1 232 282 14 151 282 18 451 0.00
129 Lake Forest NACC 14 4 112 211 49 60 107 50 217 0.00
130 Lasell Great Northeas 12 6 190 258 92 186 241 94 521 0.00
131 Lawrence NACC 1 12 269 268 261 273 256 260 789 0.00
132 LebValley MAC Freedom 13 6 72 81 66 65 70 54 189 0.00
133 LewisClark Northwest 12 6 158 227 98 143 261 100 504 0.00
134 Linfield Northwest 8 8 177 221 150 166 137 151 454 0.00
135 Lycoming Landmark 8 8 119 124 151 168 168 152 488 0.00
136 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 6 78 147 88 101 207 76 384 0.00
137 Maine Mar North Atlantic 11 2 150 236 30 126 254 35 415 0.00
138 Maine-Farm North Atlantic 3 9 208 222 201 242 243 202 687 0.00
139 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 10 218 235 217 245 245 216 706 0.00
140 Marian (WI) NACC 5 12 239 252 251 231 201 250 682 0.00
141 Marietta Ohio 5 12 182 160 252 173 101 251 525 0.00
142 Maritime Skyline 10 7 154 206 125 171 215 126 512 0.00
143 Mary Wash Coast to Coast 10 7 38 24 93 30 51 90 171 0.00
144 Marymount Atlantic East 17 2 76 176 15 62 167 19 248 0.00
145 Marywood Atlantic East 9 8 109 146 146 152 162 149 463 0.00
146 Mass Mar MASCAC 4 10 205 169 219 227 204 219 650 0.00
147 Mass-Boston Little East 6 11 173 170 228 201 149 225 575 0.00
148 Mass-Dart Little East 9 8 144 141 147 128 105 142 375 0.00
149 McDaniel Centennial 6 11 101 45 202 123 82 196 401 0.00
150 Merchant Mar Skyline 13 2 108 224 27 108 212 28 348 0.00
151 Meredith USA South Atl. 18 3 75 232 29 61 225 31 317 0.00
152 Messiah MAC Commonweal 13 5 29 34 35 32 20 36 88 0.00
153 Methodist USA South Atl. 12 7 134 219 114 118 112 119 349 0.00
154 Misericordia MAC Freedom 6 11 139 73 218 144 92 217 453 0.00
155 MIT NEWMAC 13 7 34 42 61 46 14 71 131 0.00
156 Mitchell Great Northeas 1 11 270 264 246 274 263 245 782 0.00
157 Montclair St NJAC 9 7 70 59 108 94 95 91 280 0.00
158 Moravian Landmark 10 8 89 79 136 137 160 130 427 0.00
159 Morrisville SUNYAC 0 11 246 98 253 247 226 252 725 0.00
160 Mnt Aloy AMCC 7 7 251 281 133 200 239 134 573 0.00
161 Mt Holyoke NEWMAC 4 12 191 118 255 207 143 254 604 0.00
162 Mt St Joseph Heartland 3 10 260 274 177 272 271 179 722 0.00
163 Mt St Mary Skyline 8 10 180 223 203 211 191 203 605 0.00
164 Mt St Vincent Skyline 2 9 249 220 184 256 264 185 705 0.00
165 Mt Union Ohio 14 4 63 94 50 31 49 47 127 0.00
166 MSOE NACC 6 12 206 233 247 189 148 246 583 0.00
167 Muhlenberg Centennial 14 5 40 32 39 39 146 29 214 0.00
168 Muskingum Ohio 6 10 199 200 211 203 164 210 577 0.00
169 Nazareth Empire Eight 11 8 73 63 109 92 55 135 282 0.00
170 Neumann Atlantic East 10 9 96 125 160 125 224 158 507 0.00
171 NEC Great Northeas 6 11 225 246 229 239 216 230 685 0.00
172 New Paltz SUNYAC 13 5 68 93 67 80 124 55 259 0.00
173 Nichols Conference of 13 5 124 161 68 120 186 63 369 0.00
174 NoCarWes USA South Atl. 0 11 280 265 254 268 251 253 772 0.00
175 NoCentral CCIW 9 7 184 229 127 141 166 128 435 0.00
176 Norwich Great Northeas 15 3 146 225 36 84 128 39 251 0.00
177 Notre DameMD UnitedEast 0 12 278 244 262 278 269 263 810 0.00
178 Oberlin North Coast 8 9 104 87 178 112 96 169 377 0.00
179 Occidental SCIAC 9 9 97 95 170 140 73 143 356 0.00
180 Oglethorpe SAA 7 10 114 149 185 122 98 186 406 0.00
181 Ohio No Ohio 10 8 155 152 142 133 121 144 398 0.00
182 Ohio Wes North Coast 11 6 83 105 99 89 110 92 291 0.00
183 Old West Skyline 1 9 276 259 212 271 270 211 752 0.00
184 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 10 105 84 207 165 151 206 522 0.00
185 Oswego SUNYAC 15 2 57 103 24 50 123 24 197 0.00
186 Otterbein Ohio 2 14 192 104 279 204 125 279 608 0.00
187 Pacific Northwest 4 12 243 197 257 226 206 257 689 0.00
188 Pac Luth Northwest 1 14 259 196 282 270 268 282 820 0.00
189 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 2 11 268 270 243 263 244 242 749 0.00
190 Piedmont USA South Atl. 13 6 117 226 69 100 174 64 338 0.00
191 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 3 12 174 100 258 208 142 258 608 0.00
192 Plymouth St e Little East 15 3 65 92 31 25 50 32 107 0.00
193 Pomona Pitz SCIAC 17 2 24 56 10 19 41 14 74 0.00
194 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 8 153 142 156 185 203 159 547 0.00
195 Puget Sound Northwest 3 13 236 193 259 235 276 259 770 0.00
196 Purchase Skyline 0 12 281 254 263 277 266 264 807 0.00
197 Ramapo NJAC 5 8 165 123 157 179 184 145 508 0.00
198 Randolph Old Dominion 2 13 266 215 268 250 198 265 713 0.00
199 Rand-Macon Old Dominion 14 5 53 74 54 41 37 44 122 0.00
200 Redlands SCIAC 12 6 77 75 94 76 106 65 247 0.00
201 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 9 9 209 250 171 199 181 173 553 0.00
202 R Island Col Little East 1 10 227 151 230 229 183 226 638 0.00
203 Rhodes SAA 11 7 80 60 126 36 131 114 281 0.00
204 RIT Liberty League 11 5 31 22 70 37 60 66 163 0.00
205 Rivier Great Northeas 8 6 181 240 110 164 194 115 473 0.00
206 Roanoke Old Dominion 12 7 39 64 111 54 97 105 256 0.00
207 Rochester Liberty League 4 12 52 20 222 138 80 247 465 0.00
208 Rog Williams Conference of 10 7 61 55 80 71 33 77 181 0.00
209 Rowan NJAC 15 3 19 29 16 11 35 12 58 0.00
210 RPI Liberty League 9 7 50 27 105 90 71 106 267 0.00
211 Sage Empire Eight 3 11 216 113 223 224 170 239 633 0.00
212 Salem State MASCAC 8 9 178 192 179 190 180 180 550 0.00
213 Salve Regina NEWMAC 5 11 147 85 233 155 104 234 493 0.00
214 Scranton Landmark 14 5 23 41 42 33 28 43 104 0.00
215 Sewanee SAA 17 0 64 181 9 24 117 7 148 0.00
216 Shenandoah Old Dominion 13 7 36 47 75 44 32 52 128 0.00
217 Simmons Great Northeas 7 8 183 198 158 146 135 160 441 0.00
218 Skidmore Liberty League 6 10 60 28 204 116 57 204 377 0.00
219 Smith NEWMAC 10 8 82 77 143 107 79 136 322 0.00
220 So Maine Little East 13 6 92 102 73 52 40 60 152 0.00
221 Southern Va USA South Atl. 10 8 201 248 144 161 144 146 451 0.00
222 Southwestern WIAC 2 15 237 166 285 215 64 285 564 0.00
223 Spalding Heartland 4 12 248 256 256 243 213 255 711 0.00
224 Springfield NEWMAC 14 4 42 72 45 59 119 48 226 0.00
225 St Benedict WIAC 11 6 137 157 76 87 150 61 298 0.00
226 St JosephCT Great Northeas 4 13 231 217 267 241 173 267 681 0.00
227 St JosephsLI Skyline 6 6 171 216 122 175 222 124 521 0.00
228 St JosephsME Great Northeas 12 6 123 174 77 74 67 72 213 0.00
229 St Lawrence Liberty League 7 10 43 19 137 99 36 164 299 0.00
230 St Marys IN MIAA 5 10 196 178 195 159 189 197 545 0.00
231 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 10 7 48 82 106 97 103 109 309 0.00
232 St Vincent Presidents 3 12 256 249 241 234 235 240 709 0.00
233 Stevens MAC Freedom 15 4 14 39 18 15 18 20 53 0.00
234 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 12 7 37 35 62 64 45 78 187 0.00
235 Stockton NJAC 11 6 69 70 81 78 109 56 243 0.00
236 Suffolk Conference of 6 10 189 186 213 210 177 212 599 0.00
237 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 1 13 252 119 264 257 193 271 721 0.00
238 Susquehanna Landmark 9 10 93 71 196 145 140 191 476 0.00
239 Swarthmore Centennial 10 7 54 43 89 104 118 79 301 0.00
240 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 0 13 277 202 272 269 229 273 771 0.00
241 Thiel Presidents 10 5 207 271 84 183 274 85 542 0.00
242 Thomas North Atlantic 1 10 238 238 231 265 260 231 756 0.00
243 Transylvania Heartland 7 9 170 183 186 170 188 187 545 0.00
244 Trine MIAA 11 5 140 184 57 105 190 51 346 0.00
245 Trinity NESCAC 8 8 12 4 43 22 8 57 87 0.00
246 Trin Wash D3 Independent 0 10 279 279 197 279 272 198 749 0.00
247 UNeEng Conference of 8 9 129 107 172 139 91 181 411 0.00
248 Union Liberty League 13 4 22 26 44 40 66 45 151 0.00
249 Ursinus Centennial 7 11 62 31 190 117 47 165 329 0.00
250 Utica Empire Eight 7 9 110 101 161 169 136 188 493 0.00
251 Vassar Liberty League 10 6 46 44 95 95 113 95 303 0.00
252 Lyndon North Atlantic 0 2 250 230 58 280 273 58 611 0.00
253 Va Wesleyan Old Dominion 9 9 163 159 166 150 126 161 437 0.00
254 War Wilson Coast to Coast 5 8 255 269 78 214 280 69 563 0.00
255 WashJeff Presidents 10 5 141 208 82 111 130 80 321 0.00
256 WashLee Old Dominion 16 4 20 38 12 10 7 9 26 0.00
257 WashCol Centennial 7 10 49 17 130 68 24 147 239 0.00
258 Wellesley NEWMAC 1 14 194 106 280 230 134 280 644 0.00
259 WentTech Conference of 5 11 230 218 234 252 220 235 707 0.00
260 WeConn Little East 16 2 58 83 13 18 63 21 102 0.00
261 WNE Conference of 5 11 143 111 235 167 111 236 514 0.00
262 Westfield St MASCAC 6 11 81 54 220 131 94 221 446 0.00
263 Westminster ) Presidents 12 6 179 245 100 136 238 101 475 0.00
264 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 8 9 120 86 180 113 69 182 364 0.00
265 Whitman Northwest 14 5 127 182 79 102 253 73 428 0.00
266 Whittier SCIAC 0 13 213 58 273 218 129 268 615 0.00
267 Whitworth Northwest 8 7 168 205 138 158 202 137 497 0.00
268 Widener MAC Commonweal 8 10 79 57 167 134 85 192 411 0.00
269 Wilkes Landmark 0 15 258 122 286 266 232 286 784 0.00
270 Willamette Northwest 9 7 136 154 128 85 56 129 270 0.00
271 Will Peace USA South Atl. 2 9 271 260 208 251 247 207 705 0.00
272 Will Smith Liberty League 12 4 11 15 32 13 21 42 76 0.00
273 Williams NESCAC 7 9 9 2 51 29 4 74 107 0.00
274 Wilson UnitedEast 4 11 223 191 238 217 196 237 650 0.00
275 WiscEauCla WIAC 11 7 126 136 123 82 54 110 246 0.00
276 Wisc-LaC WIAC 10 7 131 148 107 67 219 107 393 0.00
277 Wisc-RivF WIAC 12 5 113 180 74 53 65 70 188 0.00
278 Wisc-StevPt WIAC 3 14 228 228 276 248 178 276 702 0.00
279 Wisc-Stout WIAC 8 7 226 194 115 157 255 120 532 0.00
280 Wittenberg North Coast 4 11 193 143 239 216 176 232 624 0.00
281 Wooster North Coast 16 3 47 78 21 28 139 16 183 0.00
282 Wor St MASCAC 13 6 100 121 90 66 72 86 224 0.00
283 Bryn Mawr Centennial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Hiram 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Pitt-Brad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00