List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Middlebury NESCAC 18 0 1 4 1 2 7 1 10 38.89
2 Tufts NESCAC 14 3 2 3 4 5 4 5 14 24.44
3 Wesleyan NESCAC 15 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 8 20.00
4 Salisbury Coast to Coast 17 0 4 14 2 1 10 2 13 10.00
5 Amherst NESCAC 12 4 5 8 8 16 15 9 40 4.44
6 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 10 8 12 7 37 19 3 53 75 1.11
7 Gettysburg Centennial 12 6 9 12 26 15 11 42 68 1.11
8 Adrian MIAA 12 5 101 167 73 82 209 73 364 0.00
9 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 4 12 256 241 245 236 162 243 641 0.00
10 Albion MIAA 3 12 237 157 235 209 182 235 626 0.00
11 Albright MAC Commonweal 8 9 135 119 160 146 120 169 435 0.00
12 Alfred Empire Eight 6 8 198 186 161 197 200 161 558 0.00
13 Alfred State AMCC 12 5 202 270 68 171 254 70 495 0.00
14 Allegheny Presidents 5 9 227 244 190 204 185 192 581 0.00
15 Alma MIAA 2 10 236 175 227 233 239 226 698 0.00
16 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 3 14 147 70 270 193 117 274 584 0.00
17 Anna Maria MASCAC 1 15 265 232 279 274 248 279 801 0.00
18 Arcadia MAC Freedom 13 4 102 162 47 106 197 49 352 0.00
19 Augsburg WIAC 0 12 270 169 257 240 184 253 677 0.00
20 Augustana (IL) CCIW 9 8 205 226 151 179 258 149 586 0.00
21 Aurora NACC 12 7 176 204 104 112 110 106 328 0.00
22 Babson NEWMAC 11 7 57 51 86 56 37 74 167 0.00
23 Baldwin Wallace Ohio 12 3 85 123 41 48 99 39 186 0.00
24 Bard Liberty League 1 13 232 58 260 213 141 261 615 0.00
25 Bates NESCAC 7 9 28 13 62 61 14 79 154 0.00
26 Beloit NACC 0 14 267 257 277 270 243 277 790 0.00
27 Berry SAA 5 9 141 79 191 121 66 183 370 0.00
28 Bethany Presidents 8 9 238 260 152 195 237 153 585 0.00
29 Bowdoin NESCAC 6 9 25 11 80 74 35 99 208 0.00
30 Brevard USA South Atl. 3 12 257 249 234 237 250 234 721 0.00
31 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 9 100 112 153 135 134 154 423 0.00
32 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 9 11 128 111 215 163 176 217 556 0.00
33 Brockport Empire Eight 12 6 76 82 87 92 90 85 267 0.00
34 Bryn Mawr Centennial 2 8 254 250 183 267 271 184 722 0.00
35 Buffalo State SUNYAC 9 8 125 158 147 143 118 143 404 0.00
36 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 3 12 155 59 230 177 124 231 532 0.00
37 Calvin MIAA 13 6 86 130 56 42 139 54 235 0.00
38 Canton SUNYAC 5 9 160 105 192 158 116 193 467 0.00
39 Capital Ohio 5 9 187 183 177 169 180 170 519 0.00
40 Carroll CCIW 15 3 84 174 23 44 67 18 129 0.00
41 Carthage CCIW 15 3 81 165 24 33 60 19 112 0.00
42 Castleton Little East 6 10 189 185 209 222 224 207 653 0.00
43 Catholic Landmark 11 8 37 37 74 39 22 69 130 0.00
44 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 8 9 245 271 178 243 247 178 668 0.00
45 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 4 9 258 265 195 269 272 195 736 0.00
46 Centre SAA 6 7 139 110 131 125 129 130 384 0.00
47 Chapman SCIAC 9 7 63 55 63 64 104 63 231 0.00
48 Chatham Presidents 13 4 132 224 49 94 135 50 279 0.00
49 Chicago CCIW 10 5 19 23 39 4 1 25 30 0.00
50 Christopher Newp Coast to Coast 13 6 22 15 34 14 9 36 59 0.00
51 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 12 5 29 28 25 22 23 20 65 0.00
52 Clark NEWMAC 3 12 178 93 247 185 94 244 523 0.00
53 Clarkson Liberty League 10 8 56 53 125 93 64 128 285 0.00
54 Coast Guard NEWMAC 14 3 55 76 35 38 83 27 148 0.00
55 Colby NESCAC 9 7 16 9 36 35 26 43 104 0.00
56 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 14 5 129 209 60 88 77 59 224 0.00
57 Colorado College WIAC 15 3 31 63 15 11 12 12 35 0.00
58 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 7 9 213 247 184 223 228 185 636 0.00
59 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 3 11 54 6 128 97 28 150 275 0.00
60 Cornell College NACC 5 11 214 231 229 214 187 229 630 0.00
61 Cortland SUNYAC 14 4 39 74 42 31 30 41 102 0.00
62 Curry Conference of 4 12 200 184 246 235 195 245 675 0.00
63 Dean Great Northeas 3 13 243 222 264 225 131 264 620 0.00
64 Delaware Valley MAC Freedom 5 12 211 172 237 224 175 239 638 0.00
65 Denison North Coast 18 1 11 36 5 6 17 4 27 0.00
66 DePauw North Coast 6 11 112 72 218 95 32 209 336 0.00
67 DeSales MAC Freedom 13 6 74 95 75 78 85 80 243 0.00
68 Dickinson Centennial 7 11 49 22 179 73 43 197 313 0.00
69 Drew Landmark 10 7 107 138 108 147 192 118 457 0.00
70 Eastern MAC Commonweal 4 11 217 132 204 216 211 210 637 0.00
71 Eastern Connecti Little East 9 8 114 102 121 119 216 122 457 0.00
72 Eastern Mennonit Old Dominion 2 13 230 144 261 231 164 262 657 0.00
73 Edgewood NACC 8 11 193 201 219 180 121 220 521 0.00
74 Elizabethtown Landmark 9 8 142 121 139 153 173 144 470 0.00
75 Elmhurst CCIW 4 11 226 246 231 247 230 232 709 0.00
76 Elmira Empire Eight 0 11 271 243 240 271 259 240 770 0.00
77 Elms Great Northeas 3 14 247 230 276 234 145 276 655 0.00
78 Emerson NEWMAC 4 13 171 108 262 210 128 258 596 0.00
79 Emmanuel (MA) Great Northeas 15 5 137 193 59 63 51 57 171 0.00
80 Endicott Conference of 15 4 38 77 30 54 101 32 187 0.00
81 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 9 9 161 147 162 140 114 155 409 0.00
82 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 6 8 207 182 154 200 207 162 569 0.00
83 Fitchburg State MASCAC 8 10 175 188 198 199 202 198 599 0.00
84 Framingham State MASCAC 8 11 138 120 220 162 137 221 520 0.00
85 Franklin Heartland 2 8 251 253 163 255 253 163 671 0.00
86 Fredonia SUNYAC 9 9 130 118 171 115 80 171 366 0.00
87 Geneseo Empire Eight 11 8 51 65 116 83 61 123 267 0.00
88 Geneva College Presidents 3 14 269 263 248 242 225 248 715 0.00
89 George Fox Northwest 14 4 91 136 50 67 189 51 307 0.00
90 Gordon Conference of 0 15 259 152 280 257 205 280 742 0.00
91 Goucher Landmark 6 11 173 143 222 183 171 227 581 0.00
92 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 13 244 266 211 220 240 211 671 0.00
93 Grove City Presidents 16 3 93 200 27 57 73 28 158 0.00
94 Guilford Old Dominion 8 9 215 179 180 189 246 179 614 0.00
95 Gwynedd Mercy Atlantic East 2 13 231 173 267 246 214 266 726 0.00
96 Hamilton NESCAC 5 10 26 10 91 84 29 119 232 0.00
97 Hamline WIAC 10 6 150 196 92 122 148 86 356 0.00
98 Hanover Heartland 3 9 250 251 181 252 269 180 701 0.00
99 Hartford Conference of 11 7 103 116 109 126 147 109 382 0.00
100 Hartwick Empire Eight 7 10 154 149 205 188 170 204 562 0.00
101 Haverford Centennial 13 6 18 16 54 24 44 64 132 0.00
102 Hilbert AMCC 1 9 272 272 210 272 270 208 750 0.00
103 Hiram Presidents 1 13 276 248 271 261 212 271 744 0.00
104 Hood MAC Commonweal 7 8 105 80 140 145 133 151 429 0.00
105 Hope MIAA 14 3 73 113 31 28 56 21 105 0.00
106 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 5 9 234 262 169 205 263 166 634 0.00
107 Husson North Atlantic 11 4 164 213 57 117 208 55 380 0.00
108 Illinois Tech NACC 5 12 240 259 241 245 221 241 707 0.00
109 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 6 11 218 177 223 160 63 212 435 0.00
110 Immaculata Atlantic East 6 12 201 164 238 218 177 238 633 0.00
111 Ithaca Liberty League 12 6 35 25 69 45 48 75 168 0.00
112 John Carroll North Coast 9 7 71 64 98 47 25 89 161 0.00
113 Johnson & Wales Conference of 10 8 117 122 141 129 153 131 413 0.00
114 Juniata Landmark 4 12 152 78 242 184 151 246 581 0.00
115 Kalamazoo MIAA 10 9 118 156 142 113 199 134 446 0.00
116 Kean NJAC 6 9 111 88 155 148 172 138 458 0.00
117 Keene State Little East 8 10 134 115 199 152 122 199 473 0.00
118 Kenyon North Coast 9 8 68 47 132 30 13 100 143 0.00
119 Keuka Empire Eight 2 12 252 195 252 258 218 254 730 0.00
120 Kings MAC Freedom 2 13 253 168 265 239 181 267 687 0.00
121 La Roche AMCC 7 6 246 276 110 229 274 110 613 0.00
122 Lake Forest NACC 11 5 148 212 70 114 149 71 334 0.00
123 Lasell Great Northeas 13 4 144 228 51 96 125 52 273 0.00
124 Lawrence NACC 2 12 255 268 236 273 275 236 784 0.00
125 Lebanon Valley MAC Freedom 10 8 88 99 122 107 70 120 297 0.00
126 Lewis & Clark Northwest 11 7 131 171 111 128 142 111 381 0.00
127 Linfield Northwest 5 11 183 154 221 206 186 222 614 0.00
128 Lycoming Landmark 4 12 181 124 243 203 169 247 619 0.00
129 Lynchburg Old Dominion 11 7 75 107 105 99 223 96 418 0.00
130 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 8 5 174 229 81 132 201 81 414 0.00
131 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 4 11 206 225 232 227 204 233 664 0.00
132 Manhattanville Skyline 7 9 203 237 185 221 222 186 629 0.00
133 Marian (WI) NACC 3 13 242 219 266 228 140 265 633 0.00
134 Marietta Ohio 7 8 156 176 156 150 166 156 472 0.00
135 Maritime Skyline 2 9 241 240 206 259 255 205 719 0.00
136 Mary Washington Coast to Coast 10 8 36 27 88 41 27 90 158 0.00
137 Marymount Atlantic East 9 8 108 137 148 136 130 145 411 0.00
138 Marywood Atlantic East 11 7 94 125 106 134 155 112 401 0.00
139 Massachusetts Ma MASCAC 1 12 225 192 253 262 232 255 749 0.00
140 Massachusetts-Bo Little East 6 12 158 151 239 196 144 237 577 0.00
141 Massachusetts-Da Little East 4 13 182 139 263 215 161 263 639 0.00
142 McDaniel Centennial 6 11 95 52 207 139 109 223 471 0.00
143 Merchant Marine Skyline 11 4 133 205 58 124 190 56 370 0.00
144 Meredith USA South Atl. 17 4 78 190 43 65 112 37 214 0.00
145 Messiah MAC Commonweal 13 5 21 29 19 27 78 40 145 0.00
146 Methodist USA South Atl. 13 6 179 239 82 142 193 82 417 0.00
147 Misericordia MAC Freedom 9 8 109 87 133 116 88 146 350 0.00
148 MIT NEWMAC 16 3 27 44 12 17 20 10 47 0.00
149 Mitchell Great Northeas 0 14 262 216 278 248 163 278 689 0.00
150 Montclair State NJAC 6 8 61 43 134 102 84 124 310 0.00
151 Moravian Landmark 13 6 65 75 71 71 89 72 232 0.00
152 Morrisville SUNYAC 5 8 165 153 170 186 196 167 549 0.00
153 Mount Aloysius AMCC 4 8 249 274 172 232 244 172 648 0.00
154 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 8 7 149 145 126 164 174 125 463 0.00
155 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 8 6 192 238 99 190 238 101 529 0.00
156 Mount St Vincent Skyline 3 9 233 255 200 250 251 200 701 0.00
157 Mount Union Ohio 11 5 83 86 64 34 47 60 141 0.00
158 MSOE NACC 9 11 186 206 216 166 97 218 481 0.00
159 Muhlenberg Centennial 12 5 23 31 45 43 62 46 151 0.00
160 Muskingum Ohio 6 11 212 218 228 208 188 228 624 0.00
161 Nazareth Empire Eight 4 14 145 92 275 191 113 275 579 0.00
162 Neumann Atlantic East 9 8 77 84 93 98 198 91 387 0.00
163 New England Coll Great Northeas 12 7 162 233 123 149 213 126 488 0.00
164 New Paltz SUNYAC 12 6 80 98 78 80 108 76 264 0.00
165 Nichols Conference of 6 7 151 133 135 167 191 135 493 0.00
166 North Carolina W USA South Atl. 2 10 261 264 208 249 252 206 707 0.00
167 North Central (I CCIW 4 9 219 235 196 219 215 196 630 0.00
168 Norwich Great Northeas 14 4 157 220 48 86 91 47 224 0.00
169 Notre Dame (MD) UnitedEast 0 11 268 242 244 276 273 242 791 0.00
170 Oberlin North Coast 10 7 98 104 107 89 100 97 286 0.00
171 Occidental SCIAC 6 9 119 54 157 108 69 157 334 0.00
172 Oglethorpe SAA 5 11 159 141 212 156 138 213 507 0.00
173 Ohio Northern Ohio 9 9 140 148 173 127 93 173 393 0.00
174 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 9 7 87 67 112 60 65 102 227 0.00
175 Old Westbury Skyline 2 10 264 254 224 266 261 224 751 0.00
176 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 6 106 103 94 110 143 93 346 0.00
177 Oswego SUNYAC 13 5 64 96 65 68 87 65 220 0.00
178 Otterbein Ohio 10 7 113 142 117 90 76 113 279 0.00
179 Pacific Northwest 8 8 197 208 158 192 260 158 610 0.00
180 Pacific Lutheran Northwest 3 13 235 197 268 260 264 268 792 0.00
181 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 10 7 204 267 95 182 268 94 544 0.00
182 Piedmont USA South Atl. 11 9 169 191 143 111 203 139 453 0.00
183 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 10 7 239 275 118 202 241 121 564 0.00
184 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 13 180 114 269 212 132 269 613 0.00
185 Plymouth State Little East 8 10 121 90 193 131 75 190 396 0.00
186 Pomona Pitzer SCIAC 16 1 7 39 9 8 16 6 30 0.00
187 Potsdam SUNYAC 3 12 177 85 249 198 127 249 574 0.00
188 Puget Sound Northwest 4 12 229 198 250 251 266 250 767 0.00
189 Purchase Skyline 0 12 274 269 258 275 267 259 801 0.00
190 Ramapo NJAC 5 11 168 128 225 181 158 214 553 0.00
191 Randolph Old Dominion 1 14 263 214 254 264 265 256 785 0.00
192 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 13 6 46 57 67 53 52 61 166 0.00
193 Redlands SCIAC 8 7 50 45 97 79 58 98 235 0.00
194 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 4 10 209 223 217 201 167 219 587 0.00
195 Rhode Island Col Little East 1 12 223 166 255 263 236 257 756 0.00
196 Rhodes SAA 15 3 48 83 38 23 160 29 212 0.00
197 RIT Liberty League 10 7 53 42 100 70 72 103 245 0.00
198 Rivier Great Northeas 8 10 167 211 201 161 105 201 467 0.00
199 Roanoke Old Dominion 10 9 42 40 119 69 41 127 237 0.00
200 Rochester Liberty League 12 6 41 32 66 49 46 66 161 0.00
201 Roger Williams Conference of 9 9 89 69 164 123 115 168 406 0.00
202 Rowan NJAC 14 4 24 24 21 13 21 22 56 0.00
203 RPI Liberty League 6 9 62 33 165 105 86 174 365 0.00
204 Sage Empire Eight 2 10 228 160 226 253 242 225 720 0.00
205 Salem State MASCAC 8 6 163 202 101 187 233 104 524 0.00
206 Salve Regina NEWMAC 8 9 115 106 182 141 82 175 398 0.00
207 Scranton Landmark 15 3 17 41 11 21 102 17 140 0.00
208 Sewanee SAA 14 4 70 97 52 36 157 44 237 0.00
209 Shenandoah Old Dominion 13 7 44 56 72 55 45 67 167 0.00
210 Simmons Great Northeas 5 10 191 221 213 194 150 215 559 0.00
211 Skidmore Liberty League 7 10 52 30 174 85 42 176 303 0.00
212 Smith NEWMAC 10 8 92 62 113 75 55 114 244 0.00
213 Southern Maine Little East 14 5 79 101 55 76 106 62 244 0.00
214 Southern Virgini USA South Atl. 8 7 199 227 127 144 154 129 427 0.00
215 Southwestern SAA 1 13 222 150 272 241 183 270 694 0.00
216 Spalding Heartland 7 9 208 236 186 207 235 187 629 0.00
217 Springfield NEWMAC 11 7 60 61 83 59 50 87 196 0.00
218 St Benedict WIAC 6 7 123 126 129 104 98 107 309 0.00
219 St John Fisher Empire Eight 15 4 33 71 40 46 54 33 133 0.00
220 St Joseph (CT) Great Northeas 10 8 170 210 144 130 96 140 366 0.00
221 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 7 9 195 178 187 173 146 188 507 0.00
222 St Josephs Colle Great Northeas 17 3 110 180 22 51 68 26 145 0.00
223 St Lawrence Liberty League 9 7 40 34 89 77 57 92 226 0.00
224 St Marys (IN) MIAA 10 7 190 217 102 174 262 105 541 0.00
225 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 7 10 69 73 189 133 71 181 385 0.00
226 St Vincent Presidents 8 7 216 258 130 165 245 132 542 0.00
227 Stevens MAC Freedom 15 4 20 50 17 25 36 23 84 0.00
228 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 10 8 45 38 90 72 40 115 227 0.00
229 Stockton NJAC 11 6 59 60 79 52 59 68 179 0.00
230 Suffolk Conference of 8 10 146 163 202 175 179 202 556 0.00
231 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 3 12 224 170 251 244 219 251 714 0.00
232 Susquehanna Landmark 10 9 82 66 159 103 79 159 341 0.00
233 Swarthmore Centennial 13 5 32 46 46 58 81 58 197 0.00
234 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 1 13 260 203 273 256 220 272 748 0.00
235 TCNJ NJAC 16 2 14 35 13 9 33 8 50 0.00
236 Thiel Presidents 0 14 273 261 274 254 256 273 783 0.00
237 Thomas North Atlantic 4 8 221 245 175 238 249 177 664 0.00
238 Transylvania Heartland 10 7 172 189 120 159 217 116 492 0.00
239 Trine MIAA 8 8 184 194 166 176 234 164 574 0.00
240 Trinity NESCAC 12 5 6 2 6 10 5 14 29 0.00
241 Trinity Washingt D3 Independent 0 3 266 273 76 268 257 77 602 0.00
242 U New England Conference of 6 8 127 131 167 157 168 165 490 0.00
243 Union Liberty League 13 6 30 19 53 26 24 45 95 0.00
244 Ursinus Centennial 8 9 43 20 136 66 49 133 248 0.00
245 Utica Empire Eight 11 7 116 135 114 137 126 117 380 0.00
246 Vassar Liberty League 7 8 67 48 145 101 119 141 361 0.00
247 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 9 8 143 159 137 155 165 136 456 0.00
248 Warren Wilson Coast to Coast 6 10 248 252 146 226 276 142 644 0.00
249 Washington & Jef Presidents 10 6 124 207 96 109 111 95 315 0.00
250 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 15 4 15 26 10 12 19 13 44 0.00
251 Washington Colle Centennial 10 7 34 17 77 40 34 83 157 0.00
252 Wellesley NEWMAC 4 11 166 94 233 178 107 230 515 0.00
253 Wentworth Tech Conference of 5 10 196 181 214 230 210 216 656 0.00
254 Western Connecti Little East 15 3 58 81 18 37 178 16 231 0.00
255 Western New Engl Conference of 9 8 126 155 149 154 152 147 453 0.00
256 Westfield State MASCAC 9 9 90 68 138 120 103 160 383 0.00
257 Westminster (PA) Presidents 10 8 153 215 150 138 227 148 513 0.00
258 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 11 7 96 91 115 91 92 108 291 0.00
259 Whitman Northwest 14 6 97 140 84 87 194 78 359 0.00
260 Whitworth Northwest 8 9 136 134 188 151 123 189 463 0.00
261 Widener MAC Commonweal 10 8 66 49 124 81 74 137 292 0.00
262 Wilkes Landmark 8 9 210 199 176 217 206 182 605 0.00
263 Willamette Northwest 8 10 120 100 194 118 136 194 448 0.00
264 William Peace USA South Atl. 0 12 275 256 259 265 229 260 754 0.00
265 William Smith Liberty League 17 2 8 18 7 7 6 7 20 0.00
266 Williams NESCAC 9 7 13 5 20 29 8 38 75 0.00
267 Wilson UnitedEast 8 10 220 234 203 211 226 203 640 0.00
268 Wisconsin-Eau Cl WIAC 8 6 122 117 103 62 53 88 203 0.00
269 Wisconsin-La Cro WIAC 13 5 104 146 61 50 39 48 137 0.00
270 Wisconsin-River WIAC 15 4 72 127 44 32 31 24 87 0.00
271 Wisconsin-Steven WIAC 8 8 194 187 168 172 231 152 555 0.00
272 Wisconsin-Stout WIAC 6 9 188 161 197 170 156 191 517 0.00
273 Wittenberg North Coast 4 13 185 109 256 168 95 252 515 0.00
274 Wooster North Coast 16 2 47 89 14 20 38 11 69 0.00
275 Worcester State MASCAC 13 6 99 129 85 100 159 84 343 0.00
276 York MAC Commonweal 15 4 10 21 16 18 18 15 51 0.00
277 Averett Old Dominion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Brandeis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Wisconsin-Superi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00