List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 12 1 1 4 2 5 11 3 19 53.00
2 Middlebury NESCAC 13 0 2 3 1 1 3 1 5 34.00
3 Wesleyan NESCAC 9 4 3 2 12 8 7 22 37 4.00
4 Colby NESCAC 11 2 6 8 3 4 4 4 12 3.00
5 St John Fish Empire Eight 13 0 4 49 5 25 116 6 147 2.50
6 Amherst NESCAC 10 3 7 7 7 11 22 16 49 1.50
7 Gettysburg Centennial 12 2 5 9 6 3 2 5 10 0.00
8 TCNJ NJAC 10 3 20 30 21 12 26 13 51 0.00
9 Williams NESCAC 7 6 9 6 46 24 12 90 126 0.00
10 Adrian MIAA 9 5 158 227 110 152 222 109 483 0.00
11 Albertus Mag Great Northeas 0 12 271 265 277 275 252 278 805 0.00
12 Albion MIAA 4 9 168 120 235 158 145 211 514 0.00
13 Albright MAC Commonweal 5 10 162 87 236 175 108 234 517 0.00
14 Alfred Empire Eight 5 8 172 146 180 208 213 202 623 0.00
15 Alfred State AMCC 3 8 254 277 211 254 245 212 711 0.00
16 Allegheny Presidents 3 11 186 162 246 200 208 245 653 0.00
17 Alma MIAA 4 8 209 212 185 219 254 186 659 0.00
18 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 3 11 178 73 252 197 107 255 559 0.00
19 Anderson (IN) Heartland 5 7 250 270 143 255 262 145 662 0.00
20 Anna Maria Great Northeas 2 12 257 236 272 263 199 272 734 0.00
21 Arcadia MAC Freedom 8 7 149 132 159 156 153 164 473 0.00
22 Augsburg WIAC 0 8 265 138 225 222 150 225 597 0.00
23 Augustana(IL) CCIW 4 8 224 188 208 185 162 207 554 0.00
24 Aurora NACC 9 6 143 183 135 103 63 139 305 0.00
25 Averett Old Dominion 4 5 219 175 136 169 219 140 528 0.00
26 Babson NEWMAC 11 2 29 54 15 30 79 18 127 0.00
27 Bald Wallace Ohio 8 8 95 86 186 81 31 167 279 0.00
28 Bard Liberty League 1 11 237 78 266 242 190 266 698 0.00
29 Bates NESCAC 7 7 16 10 49 39 14 83 136 0.00
30 Beloit NACC 7 4 201 257 87 166 241 84 491 0.00
31 Berry SAA 11 5 114 134 93 52 47 91 190 0.00
32 Bethany Presidents 3 12 248 254 265 259 272 265 796 0.00
33 Bowdoin NESCAC 6 7 28 12 75 42 13 115 170 0.00
34 Brevard USA South Atl. 7 7 242 273 165 194 201 168 563 0.00
35 Bridgewater Old Dominion 9 6 122 157 137 114 93 129 336 0.00
36 Bridgewater St MASCAC 11 3 88 125 47 56 131 47 234 0.00
37 Brockport Empire Eight 5 8 64 38 166 123 86 189 398 0.00
38 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 7 3 196 268 61 212 276 61 549 0.00
39 Buffalo State SUNYAC 11 5 96 148 94 108 119 92 319 0.00
40 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 6 9 151 106 215 183 112 217 512 0.00
41 Calvin MIAA 10 3 110 151 51 57 182 48 287 0.00
42 Canton SUNYAC 7 8 138 137 191 191 185 190 566 0.00
43 Capital Ohio 8 5 90 92 111 80 88 99 267 0.00
44 Carroll CCIW 9 3 99 143 52 36 87 43 166 0.00
45 Carthage CCIW 9 3 85 154 53 60 127 44 231 0.00
46 Castleton Little East 4 10 205 176 245 202 126 242 570 0.00
47 Catholic Landmark 7 8 37 25 138 65 20 110 195 0.00
48 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 5 6 264 281 156 268 282 157 707 0.00
49 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 5 7 252 261 176 251 259 180 690 0.00
50 Centre SAA 7 6 130 153 151 131 133 152 416 0.00
51 Chapman SCIAC 5 8 102 68 203 127 71 203 401 0.00
52 Chatham Presidents 7 4 146 206 88 118 195 74 387 0.00
53 Chicago CCIW 11 4 36 47 54 13 19 51 83 0.00
54 Christ Newport Coast to Coast 7 8 30 16 144 38 15 130 183 0.00
55 Clar-Mudd-S SCIAC 9 5 50 52 76 47 51 75 173 0.00
56 Clark NEWMAC 6 9 171 122 216 157 111 218 486 0.00
57 Clarkson Liberty League 8 6 59 53 126 97 77 131 305 0.00
58 Coast Guard NEWMAC 7 5 79 69 112 96 97 116 309 0.00
59 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 9 6 161 207 139 143 146 141 430 0.00
60 Colorado Col WIAC 15 3 33 94 31 31 28 23 82 0.00
61 Con-Wisc NACC 5 8 210 221 204 173 128 204 505 0.00
62 Conn Col NESCAC 7 6 18 13 44 33 17 62 112 0.00
63 Cornell Col NACC 7 6 200 259 119 179 260 117 556 0.00
64 Cortland SUNYAC 9 6 52 48 70 66 36 100 202 0.00
65 Curry Conference of 4 11 207 193 257 239 200 259 698 0.00
66 Dean Great Northeas 8 6 199 253 145 189 221 146 556 0.00
67 DelVal MAC Freedom 6 8 191 204 195 232 240 194 666 0.00
68 Denison North Coast 8 4 26 27 62 21 41 45 107 0.00
69 DePauw North Coast 6 7 91 65 171 100 53 165 318 0.00
70 DeSales MAC Freedom 13 2 75 178 19 94 211 24 329 0.00
71 Dickinson Centennial 6 9 57 23 172 85 45 175 305 0.00
72 Drew Landmark 4 10 136 63 240 159 83 236 478 0.00
73 Eastern MAC Commonweal 2 10 230 127 242 241 207 243 691 0.00
74 EaConn Little East 11 3 82 131 45 98 160 49 307 0.00
75 EaMenn Old Dominion 6 9 216 229 217 204 191 219 614 0.00
76 Edgewood NACC 6 7 194 211 173 165 149 176 490 0.00
77 Elizab'town Landmark 8 5 124 142 113 151 209 111 471 0.00
78 Elmhurst CCIW 5 5 228 266 127 221 266 132 619 0.00
79 Elmira Empire Eight 0 4 281 255 128 280 277 133 690 0.00
80 Elms Great Northeas 2 10 245 233 250 247 194 249 690 0.00
81 Emerson NEWMAC 5 9 166 119 226 201 154 226 581 0.00
82 Emmanuel MA Great Northeas 9 6 145 155 140 64 59 127 250 0.00
83 Endicott Conference of 10 4 43 45 35 26 25 37 88 0.00
84 Farm'dale St Skyline 7 7 140 124 114 125 117 101 343 0.00
85 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 3 8 165 113 205 184 167 208 559 0.00
86 Ferrum Old Dominion 6 8 208 202 174 177 193 169 539 0.00
87 Fitchburg St MASCAC 2 12 188 126 273 209 123 273 605 0.00
88 Fram'ham St MASCAC 7 6 94 84 129 71 43 142 256 0.00
89 Franciscan Presidents 6 7 223 245 177 199 224 181 604 0.00
90 Franklin Heartland 1 7 277 274 206 282 278 205 765 0.00
91 F&M Centennial 12 2 8 11 4 2 1 2 5 0.00
92 Fredonia SUNYAC 7 7 117 108 167 124 103 170 397 0.00
93 Geneseo Empire Eight 8 6 34 33 97 83 62 134 279 0.00
94 Geneva Col Presidents 0 14 272 225 278 256 216 279 751 0.00
95 George Fox Northwest 9 4 98 139 77 46 60 76 182 0.00
96 Gordon Conference of 2 13 212 173 281 253 184 282 719 0.00
97 Goucher Landmark 6 9 163 133 218 188 166 220 574 0.00
98 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 11 259 269 227 225 238 227 690 0.00
99 Grove City Presidents 9 6 134 181 105 111 192 93 396 0.00
100 Guilford Old Dominion 4 11 236 164 258 206 138 256 600 0.00
101 Gwynedd Mer Atlantic East 4 12 221 189 271 237 196 271 704 0.00
102 Hamilton NESCAC 4 8 19 1 83 79 24 118 221 0.00
103 Hamline WIAC 6 7 213 217 175 182 186 177 545 0.00
104 Hanover Heartland 1 7 266 272 196 278 279 195 752 0.00
105 Hartford Conference of 10 5 93 111 98 78 69 102 249 0.00
106 Hartwick Empire Eight 5 6 120 102 157 192 230 158 580 0.00
107 Haverford Centennial 10 4 17 15 28 9 10 34 53 0.00
108 Hendrix SAA 7 6 176 185 130 135 246 135 516 0.00
109 Hilbert AMCC 1 8 273 276 219 266 258 221 745 0.00
110 Hood MAC Commonweal 5 9 147 105 228 164 122 228 514 0.00
111 Hope MIAA 8 5 73 71 115 41 44 79 164 0.00
112 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 3 7 263 263 187 234 248 187 669 0.00
113 Husson North Atlantic 5 6 170 170 155 207 236 159 602 0.00
114 Ill Tech NACC 1 14 262 224 286 262 177 285 724 0.00
115 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 7 7 157 172 168 128 73 161 362 0.00
116 Immaculata Atlantic East 2 14 240 150 285 231 113 286 630 0.00
117 Ithaca Liberty League 8 5 24 18 78 34 32 103 169 0.00
118 John Carroll Ohio 14 0 58 152 8 22 82 7 111 0.00
119 John&Wales Great Northeas 10 3 126 209 50 109 183 52 344 0.00
120 Juniata Landmark 6 8 89 57 197 139 121 196 456 0.00
121 Kalamazoo MIAA 3 11 156 79 237 148 89 213 450 0.00
122 Kean NJAC 3 7 135 67 181 142 132 178 452 0.00
123 Keene State Little East 10 4 106 118 71 40 46 70 156 0.00
124 Kenyon North Coast 5 8 69 29 188 54 16 147 217 0.00
125 Keuka Empire Eight 4 7 241 226 182 257 264 184 705 0.00
126 Kings MAC Freedom 4 9 206 166 220 217 198 229 644 0.00
127 La Roche AMCC 11 1 233 282 20 181 281 21 483 0.00
128 Lake Forest NACC 10 4 103 179 72 68 84 63 215 0.00
129 Lasell Great Northeas 10 5 190 252 99 178 235 104 517 0.00
130 Lawrence NACC 1 10 274 256 253 271 250 251 772 0.00
131 LebValley MAC Freedom 11 4 71 95 63 76 109 55 240 0.00
132 LewisClark Northwest 10 4 159 228 79 138 218 77 433 0.00
133 Linfield Northwest 8 5 173 243 116 170 214 112 496 0.00
134 Lycoming Landmark 7 7 121 121 169 155 148 171 474 0.00
135 Lynchburg Old Dominion 11 5 83 140 100 105 189 94 388 0.00
136 Maine Mar North Atlantic 9 1 154 240 22 132 267 25 424 0.00
137 Maine-Farm North Atlantic 2 8 220 218 212 233 229 215 677 0.00
138 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 6 211 250 158 236 261 160 657 0.00
139 Marian (WI) NACC 4 11 238 239 259 235 179 260 674 0.00
140 Marietta Ohio 4 11 183 159 260 171 80 252 503 0.00
141 Maritime Skyline 7 6 153 191 152 180 202 153 535 0.00
142 Mary Wash Coast to Coast 9 5 35 24 80 27 49 85 161 0.00
143 Marymount Atlantic East 13 2 80 169 29 74 173 27 274 0.00
144 Marywood Atlantic East 9 6 107 156 141 136 144 143 423 0.00
145 Mass Mar MASCAC 2 8 227 192 213 258 256 216 730 0.00
146 Mass-Boston Little East 5 9 175 184 229 198 170 230 598 0.00
147 Mass-Dart Little East 9 5 150 171 106 121 175 106 402 0.00
148 McDaniel Centennial 5 9 100 51 209 120 67 209 396 0.00
149 Merchant Mar Skyline 9 2 109 219 41 126 249 41 416 0.00
150 Meredith USA South Atl. 15 2 74 231 23 73 223 26 322 0.00
151 Messiah MAC Commonweal 12 3 22 35 16 20 23 12 55 0.00
152 Methodist USA South Atl. 10 6 142 220 131 122 114 128 364 0.00
153 Misericordia MAC Freedom 5 9 132 75 214 147 96 222 465 0.00
154 MIT NEWMAC 8 7 41 42 107 89 29 119 237 0.00
155 Mitchell Great Northeas 1 10 270 258 254 272 251 253 776 0.00
156 Montclair St NJAC 7 5 77 70 101 102 134 95 331 0.00
157 Moravian Landmark 10 6 87 85 123 119 151 113 383 0.00
158 Morrisville SUNYAC 0 10 244 99 255 244 187 257 688 0.00
159 Mnt Aloy AMCC 5 5 251 279 132 228 271 136 635 0.00
160 Mt Holyoke NEWMAC 3 11 192 123 261 211 156 261 628 0.00
161 Mt St Joseph Heartland 2 9 255 271 192 267 265 191 723 0.00
162 Mt St Mary Skyline 6 9 177 213 221 215 171 223 609 0.00
163 Mt St Vincent Skyline 2 7 249 237 170 260 270 172 702 0.00
164 Mt Union Ohio 11 4 67 100 66 62 101 65 228 0.00
165 MSOE NACC 3 11 222 222 262 227 155 262 644 0.00
166 Muhlenberg Centennial 11 3 42 43 32 28 90 28 146 0.00
167 Muskingum Ohio 6 9 195 205 222 205 165 214 584 0.00
168 Nazareth Empire Eight 9 5 70 74 108 93 120 107 320 0.00
169 Neumann Atlantic East 8 8 105 128 183 137 140 173 450 0.00
170 NEC Great Northeas 6 9 225 251 223 246 239 224 709 0.00
171 New Paltz SUNYAC 11 4 68 98 67 70 105 66 241 0.00
172 Nichols Conference of 10 4 129 180 73 129 203 71 403 0.00
173 NoCarWes USA South Atl. 0 10 276 247 256 261 227 258 746 0.00
174 NoCentral CCIW 8 4 187 249 84 149 234 80 463 0.00
175 Norwich Great Northeas 13 1 128 235 13 75 176 15 266 0.00
176 Notre DameMD UnitedEast 0 12 279 234 279 276 263 280 819 0.00
177 Oberlin North Coast 8 6 104 97 146 91 65 120 276 0.00
178 Occidental SCIAC 9 6 92 114 142 130 110 144 384 0.00
179 Oglethorpe SAA 5 9 125 149 207 141 74 206 421 0.00
180 Ohio No Ohio 10 6 148 163 133 113 106 121 340 0.00
181 Ohio Wes North Coast 9 5 81 103 109 69 68 81 218 0.00
182 Old West Skyline 1 7 275 267 198 273 268 197 738 0.00
183 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 8 108 89 199 172 161 198 531 0.00
184 Oswego SUNYAC 12 2 66 117 33 77 147 30 254 0.00
185 Otterbein Ohio 2 13 182 88 282 190 64 276 530 0.00
186 Pacific Northwest 3 10 243 196 251 230 210 250 690 0.00
187 Pac Luth Northwest 1 11 260 210 268 274 253 268 795 0.00
188 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 1 11 268 260 267 264 226 267 757 0.00
189 Piedmont USA South Atl. 12 5 115 215 64 84 136 64 284 0.00
190 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 3 11 174 93 263 196 102 263 561 0.00
191 Plymouth St e Little East 11 2 65 96 34 35 94 35 164 0.00
192 Pomona Pitz SCIAC 12 2 25 58 17 23 30 17 70 0.00
193 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 8 155 135 200 186 168 199 553 0.00
194 Puget Sound Northwest 3 10 231 182 238 216 244 237 697 0.00
195 Purchase Skyline 0 11 282 264 269 279 274 269 822 0.00
196 Ramapo NJAC 5 6 167 130 147 167 188 122 477 0.00
197 Randolph Old Dominion 1 12 267 198 275 252 174 274 700 0.00
198 Rand-Macon Old Dominion 11 4 48 91 57 49 39 46 134 0.00
199 Redlands SCIAC 11 4 72 81 68 58 55 67 180 0.00
200 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 7 8 218 244 193 195 169 192 556 0.00
201 R Island Col Little East 1 7 229 167 201 224 197 200 621 0.00
202 Rhodes SAA 9 6 78 55 148 44 129 123 296 0.00
203 RIT Liberty League 9 4 31 21 69 32 42 68 142 0.00
204 Rivier Great Northeas 7 5 181 232 120 174 217 124 515 0.00
205 Roanoke Old Dominion 10 5 39 61 102 51 81 86 218 0.00
206 Rochester Liberty League 4 10 55 20 233 146 92 244 482 0.00
207 Rog Williams Conference of 8 6 56 44 89 67 38 96 201 0.00
208 Rowan NJAC 12 1 13 31 11 6 34 10 50 0.00
209 RPI Liberty League 7 6 53 32 117 95 91 114 300 0.00
210 Sage Empire Eight 2 9 203 109 224 226 178 238 642 0.00
211 Salem State MASCAC 7 5 180 214 121 168 225 125 518 0.00
212 Salisbury Coast to Coast 10 4 14 14 30 7 5 19 31 0.00
213 Salve Regina NEWMAC 3 10 152 76 247 154 61 246 461 0.00
214 Scranton Landmark 10 5 23 41 55 37 21 53 111 0.00
215 Sewanee SAA 14 0 61 195 9 29 130 8 167 0.00
216 Shenandoah Old Dominion 11 5 32 60 65 50 52 54 156 0.00
217 Simmons Great Northeas 5 7 184 186 178 150 143 182 475 0.00
218 Skidmore Liberty League 6 8 62 34 189 101 33 188 322 0.00
219 Smith NEWMAC 10 6 86 82 124 88 56 137 281 0.00
220 So Maine Little East 9 5 97 80 90 43 35 87 165 0.00
221 Southern Va USA South Atl. 8 7 202 242 163 176 139 166 481 0.00
222 Southwestern WIAC 1 13 232 147 283 214 58 283 555 0.00
223 Spalding Heartland 4 9 247 246 234 223 181 235 639 0.00
224 Springfield NEWMAC 12 2 40 72 24 53 141 29 223 0.00
225 St Benedict WIAC 7 5 133 136 91 82 164 72 318 0.00
226 St JosephCT Great Northeas 3 11 234 201 264 240 180 264 684 0.00
227 St JosephsLI Skyline 3 5 185 199 149 203 237 148 588 0.00
228 St JosephsME Great Northeas 9 5 118 174 92 104 99 88 291 0.00
229 St Lawrence Liberty League 6 7 44 19 103 86 37 138 261 0.00
230 St Marys IN MIAA 5 8 198 194 179 161 204 183 548 0.00
231 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 7 7 49 56 153 112 70 149 331 0.00
232 St Vincent Presidents 3 11 256 248 248 243 247 247 737 0.00
233 Stevens MAC Freedom 11 4 15 28 25 16 9 20 45 0.00
234 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 9 6 38 40 85 87 76 89 252 0.00
235 Stockton NJAC 10 3 63 90 43 61 125 42 228 0.00
236 Suffolk Conference of 6 8 197 200 202 210 212 201 623 0.00
237 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 1 10 261 115 243 248 205 254 707 0.00
238 Susquehanna Landmark 7 8 101 77 184 160 158 179 497 0.00
239 Swarthmore Centennial 10 4 51 62 58 92 137 56 285 0.00
240 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 0 11 278 197 270 269 232 270 771 0.00
241 Thiel Presidents 9 3 204 275 59 187 275 59 521 0.00
242 Thomas North Atlantic 1 9 239 238 241 265 255 239 759 0.00
243 Transylvania Heartland 5 9 164 158 230 193 159 231 583 0.00
244 Trine MIAA 9 3 139 208 42 106 228 31 365 0.00
245 Trinity NESCAC 8 5 12 5 39 14 8 57 79 0.00
246 Trin Wash D3 Independent 0 10 280 278 231 277 269 232 778 0.00
247 UNeEng Conference of 7 7 127 101 160 116 78 174 368 0.00
248 Union Liberty League 9 3 27 37 48 45 85 50 180 0.00
249 Ursinus Centennial 6 8 60 36 161 110 50 154 314 0.00
250 Utica Empire Eight 6 6 113 116 134 153 163 156 472 0.00
251 Vassar Liberty League 9 3 46 50 56 59 135 58 252 0.00
252 Lyndon North Atlantic 0 2 246 216 74 281 280 73 634 0.00
253 Va Wesleyan Old Dominion 8 8 160 145 190 144 104 185 433 0.00
254 War Wilson Coast to Coast 5 7 253 280 81 229 273 78 580 0.00
255 WashJeff Presidents 9 4 131 203 82 107 142 69 318 0.00
256 WashLee Old Dominion 12 4 21 39 14 15 6 14 35 0.00
257 WashCol Centennial 7 7 47 22 125 63 48 150 261 0.00
258 Wellesley NEWMAC 1 12 193 110 276 238 157 277 672 0.00
259 WentTech Conference of 5 10 235 230 244 249 206 241 696 0.00
260 WeConn Little East 11 2 54 66 26 18 54 32 104 0.00
261 WNE Conference of 5 9 144 112 232 162 115 233 510 0.00
262 Westfield St MASCAC 4 10 84 46 239 140 66 240 446 0.00
263 Westminster ) Presidents 9 4 179 241 86 133 220 82 435 0.00
264 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 8 6 119 107 150 99 72 151 322 0.00
265 Whitman Northwest 9 4 141 168 95 134 242 97 473 0.00
266 Whittier SCIAC 0 12 214 59 280 218 95 281 594 0.00
267 Whitworth Northwest 6 6 169 177 162 163 215 162 540 0.00
268 Widener MAC Commonweal 7 7 76 64 164 117 98 163 378 0.00
269 Wilkes Landmark 0 13 258 129 284 270 233 284 787 0.00
270 Willamette Northwest 7 5 123 141 122 72 57 126 255 0.00
271 Will Peace USA South Atl. 2 7 269 262 194 245 243 193 681 0.00
272 Will Smith Liberty League 10 3 11 17 27 10 27 33 70 0.00
273 Wilson UnitedEast 3 10 215 165 249 213 152 248 613 0.00
274 WiscEauCla WIAC 8 5 137 160 118 115 124 108 347 0.00
275 Wisc-LaC WIAC 8 4 116 144 60 48 100 60 208 0.00
276 Wisc-RivF WIAC 10 5 111 161 104 55 40 105 200 0.00
277 Wisc-StevPt WIAC 2 12 226 223 274 250 172 275 697 0.00
278 Wisc-Stout WIAC 7 5 217 190 96 145 257 98 500 0.00
279 Wittenberg North Coast 4 8 189 187 210 220 231 210 661 0.00
280 Wooster North Coast 14 1 45 83 10 17 118 9 144 0.00
281 Wor St MASCAC 7 6 112 104 154 90 75 155 320 0.00
282 York MAC Commonweal 11 3 10 26 18 19 18 11 48 0.00
283 Bryn Mawr Centennial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Hiram 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Pitt-Brad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00