List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 15 0 1 6 1 2 4 1 7 52.00
2 Boston College ACC 15 1 2 4 2 1 2 2 5 43.50
3 Northwestern Big Ten 13 2 3 7 3 3 13 3 19 4.00
4 Florida Big 12 13 2 4 23 4 5 6 4 15 0.00
5 Akron MAC 8 6 100 119 62 91 120 62 273 0.00
6 Albany America East 5 9 71 39 79 63 32 86 181 0.00
7 American Patriot 5 9 77 76 103 79 68 102 249 0.00
8 Arizona State Big 12 9 6 40 42 54 35 55 51 141 0.00
9 Army Patriot 11 2 28 48 10 21 49 11 81 0.00
10 Binghamton America East 4 9 76 66 109 82 50 110 242 0.00
11 Boston Univ Patriot 7 7 67 64 63 61 53 63 177 0.00
12 Brown Ivy League 10 3 20 32 12 20 33 15 68 0.00
13 Bryant America East 8 6 61 61 53 51 51 57 159 0.00
14 Bucknell Patriot 6 8 74 70 93 70 74 92 236 0.00
15 Butler Big East 0 12 120 75 129 120 94 129 343 0.00
16 California ACC 6 10 60 29 80 65 36 79 180 0.00
17 Campbell Colonial 3 11 81 53 116 97 63 117 277 0.00
18 Canisius Metro Atlantic 5 10 99 94 113 106 100 113 319 0.00
19 Central Conn. Northeast 2 11 129 120 117 124 112 118 354 0.00
20 Central Mich MAC 5 9 105 89 101 104 105 103 312 0.00
21 Cincinnati Big 12 8 7 59 77 71 71 92 71 234 0.00
22 Clemson ACC 12 5 17 27 17 22 21 18 61 0.00
23 Coastal Car Atlantic Sun 5 9 78 81 110 86 77 111 274 0.00
24 Colgate Patriot 8 6 64 71 59 62 79 58 199 0.00
25 Colorado Big 12 6 7 30 11 44 26 9 47 82 0.00
26 Columbia Ivy League 4 9 69 36 82 72 42 87 201 0.00
27 Connecticut Big East 9 5 31 40 39 31 30 38 99 0.00
28 Cornell Ivy League 9 4 22 33 23 25 34 19 78 0.00
29 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 5 26 17 29 17 16 31 64 0.00
30 Davidson Atlantic 10 10 4 56 79 35 37 72 34 143 0.00
31 Delaware Colonial 9 5 41 46 40 34 35 43 112 0.00
32 Delaware State Northeast 1 12 131 131 130 131 131 130 392 0.00
33 Denver Big East 10 5 24 28 32 29 38 35 102 0.00
34 Detroit Mercy MAC 5 7 108 105 83 87 102 81 270 0.00
35 Drexel Colonial 11 3 29 45 19 27 47 28 102 0.00
36 Duke ACC 12 4 19 19 8 15 18 9 42 0.00
37 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 9 112 100 111 93 86 104 283 0.00
38 East Carolina AAC 5 8 66 43 81 68 78 80 226 0.00
39 Ea Michigan MAC 7 7 88 102 69 103 122 72 297 0.00
40 Elon Colonial 7 6 57 47 55 58 69 64 191 0.00
41 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 8 7 65 68 72 55 59 73 187 0.00
42 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 3 11 124 128 121 127 129 121 377 0.00
43 Furman Big South 10 3 79 121 30 66 109 29 204 0.00
44 Gardner Webb Big South 2 12 125 112 127 126 124 127 377 0.00
45 George Mason Atlantic 10 6 9 115 114 104 109 93 105 307 0.00
46 G Washington Atlantic 10 7 7 96 109 76 99 110 74 283 0.00
47 Georgetown Big East 8 6 33 41 48 50 39 44 133 0.00
48 Harvard Ivy League 7 5 18 14 36 19 23 36 78 0.00
49 High Point Big South 10 5 50 88 45 59 75 46 180 0.00
50 Hofstra Colonial 8 6 53 60 56 53 56 55 164 0.00
51 Holy Cross Patriot 8 6 43 51 60 41 41 59 141 0.00
52 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 12 130 127 128 130 128 128 386 0.00
53 Iona Metro Atlantic 6 8 97 98 94 105 103 93 301 0.00
54 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 9 5 48 57 37 39 44 39 122 0.00
55 James Madison AAC 10 4 23 21 13 12 10 10 32 0.00
56 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 11 4 8 2 6 6 7 6 19 0.00
57 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 10 107 90 114 94 87 114 295 0.00
58 Kent State MAC 6 9 116 116 105 107 119 106 332 0.00
59 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 13 123 101 132 121 91 132 344 0.00
60 Lafayette Patriot 6 8 94 80 86 74 73 88 235 0.00
61 Le Moyne Northeast 4 11 121 123 119 122 115 119 356 0.00
62 Lehigh Patriot 5 8 75 54 89 77 71 90 238 0.00
63 Liberty Atlantic Sun 10 6 51 55 46 44 37 40 121 0.00
64 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 9 4 92 113 41 64 108 41 213 0.00
65 LIU Northeast 8 6 103 118 64 83 99 60 242 0.00
66 Longwood Big South 1 11 122 104 125 125 111 125 361 0.00
67 Louisville ACC 7 10 47 18 73 45 19 75 139 0.00
68 Loyola (MD) Patriot 10 5 14 15 14 13 8 14 35 0.00
69 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 12 113 95 126 116 88 126 330 0.00
70 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 101 85 131 119 101 131 351 0.00
71 Marquette Big East 9 5 44 49 38 46 43 42 131 0.00
72 Maryland Big Ten 11 4 13 9 15 10 22 12 44 0.00
73 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 10 3 25 62 27 23 40 20 83 0.00
74 Mass-Lowell America East 11 3 58 91 25 49 76 24 149 0.00
75 Mercer Big South 8 6 49 74 51 57 54 53 164 0.00
76 Mercyhurst Northeast 5 7 126 130 84 115 125 82 322 0.00
77 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 13 118 111 133 128 121 133 382 0.00
78 Michigan Big Ten 10 5 12 20 20 18 26 26 70 0.00
79 MonmouthNJ Colonial 3 11 86 65 118 108 81 122 311 0.00
80 Mt St Marys Metro Atlantic 10 5 68 86 49 56 97 48 201 0.00
81 Navy Patriot 10 5 21 31 33 16 25 30 71 0.00
82 New Hamp America East 2 11 109 69 122 110 67 116 293 0.00
83 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 9 89 73 95 73 57 94 224 0.00
84 Notre Dame ACC 7 8 16 10 42 33 14 45 92 0.00
85 Ohio State Big Ten 8 6 36 34 50 43 48 49 140 0.00
86 Old Dominion AAC 8 7 83 108 74 88 96 69 253 0.00
87 Oregon Big Ten 6 9 63 44 77 76 66 77 219 0.00
88 Penn Ivy League 7 5 10 3 18 14 5 16 35 0.00
89 Penn State Big Ten 7 8 34 13 57 30 20 56 106 0.00
90 Pittsburgh ACC 8 8 39 25 52 40 28 54 122 0.00
91 Presbyterian Big South 4 11 127 125 120 123 117 120 360 0.00
92 Princeton Ivy League 11 2 6 12 5 4 24 7 35 0.00
93 Queens Atlantic Sun 5 9 87 82 106 89 90 107 286 0.00
94 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 8 7 82 97 67 90 95 70 255 0.00
95 Radford Big South 2 11 128 126 123 129 130 123 382 0.00
96 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 7 7 93 106 78 85 80 76 241 0.00
97 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 6 46 67 58 47 45 50 142 0.00
98 Rider Metro Atlantic 6 9 95 103 107 112 116 108 336 0.00
99 Robert Morris MAC 5 9 98 93 112 98 106 112 316 0.00
100 Rutgers Big Ten 8 8 35 24 47 36 15 52 103 0.00
101 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 6 8 91 96 90 102 107 91 300 0.00
102 San Diego State Big 12 5 9 73 59 100 84 84 101 269 0.00
103 Siena Metro Atlantic 7 8 84 84 91 80 70 85 235 0.00
104 South Florida AAC 11 3 37 72 26 38 82 25 145 0.00
105 So. California Big Ten 9 6 27 22 34 32 29 32 93 0.00
106 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 9 6 62 92 61 67 89 61 217 0.00
107 St Francis Northeast 6 8 119 129 96 117 123 95 335 0.00
108 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 8 7 45 58 70 52 46 66 164 0.00
109 Stanford ACC 13 4 7 8 9 8 12 13 33 0.00
110 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 9 102 83 98 101 83 97 281 0.00
111 Stonehill Northeast 8 6 111 124 65 96 113 65 274 0.00
112 Stony Brook Colonial 12 4 15 35 28 24 31 27 82 0.00
113 Syracuse ACC 9 7 9 1 16 11 1 17 29 0.00
114 Temple AAC 2 11 72 30 115 81 52 115 248 0.00
115 Towson Colonial 6 7 42 37 66 48 27 67 142 0.00
116 UC Davis Big 12 5 8 52 38 75 69 61 78 208 0.00
117 UMBC America East 11 2 55 110 21 54 98 21 173 0.00
118 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 8 90 99 97 100 104 89 293 0.00
119 Vanderbilt AAC 7 8 54 50 87 60 60 83 203 0.00
120 VCU Atlantic 10 6 9 80 78 102 78 62 98 238 0.00
121 Vermont America East 5 8 85 87 88 92 85 96 273 0.00
122 Villanova Big East 10 4 32 52 31 42 58 33 133 0.00
123 Virginia ACC 11 5 11 5 11 7 3 8 18 0.00
124 Virginia Tech ACC 9 8 38 16 43 28 11 37 76 0.00
125 Wagner Northeast 6 6 114 117 68 95 114 68 277 0.00
126 William&Mary Colonial 5 8 70 63 92 75 64 99 238 0.00
127 Winthrop Big South 5 8 117 115 99 118 127 100 345 0.00
128 Wofford Big South 6 9 104 107 108 113 118 109 340 0.00
129 Xavier Big East 1 11 110 56 124 111 65 124 300 0.00
130 Yale Ivy League 10 3 5 26 7 9 17 5 31 0.00
131 Youngstown St MAC 5 7 106 122 85 114 126 84 324 0.00
132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00