List of Probabilities for Women D1
 

Women D1 Championship Probabilties

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boston College Atlantic Coast 19 3 2 8 2 2 3 2 7 19.00 2 Northwestern Big Ten 18 2 1 2 1 1 4 1 6 17.50 3 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 16 6 3 1 5 3 1 5 9 8.00 4 Florida American 20 3 4 24 4 7 15 6 28 7.50 5 Michigan Big Ten 16 4 9 14 9 6 12 7 25 6.00 6 Yale Ivy League 17 3 5 12 3 5 11 3 19 6.00 7 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 10 7 16 6 17 18 7 21 46 4.50 8 Loyola (MD) Patriot League 18 3 8 20 6 13 14 4 31 4.00 9 Denver Big East 16 4 13 15 7 10 5 8 23 3.50 10 Penn Ivy League 15 5 7 5 8 4 6 11 21 3.50 11 Stony Brook Colonial 18 3 11 25 11 8 22 9 39 3.50 12 Princeton Ivy League 11 7 15 4 14 16 9 18 43 3.00 13 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 16 4 6 17 10 11 10 10 31 2.50 14 Stanford Pac-12 13 5 14 22 23 15 17 16 48 2.50 15 Harvard Ivy League 10 5 19 33 26 30 49 27 106 0.00 16 James Madison American 13 7 22 19 30 20 27 32 79 0.00 17 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 8 17 3 16 9 2 15 26 0.00 18 Maryland Big Ten 14 6 10 7 13 12 8 12 32 0.00 19 Penn State Big Ten 11 8 20 10 36 23 13 36 72 0.00 20 Virginia Atlantic Coast 15 5 12 9 12 14 16 13 43 0.00 21 Brown Ivy League 10 5 21 27 25 22 41 30 93 0.00 22 Clemson Atlantic Coast 11 7 23 23 33 27 28 35 90 0.00 23 Colorado Pac-12 13 6 27 30 28 25 25 28 78 0.00 24 Drexel Colonial 13 6 24 32 29 21 21 26 68 0.00 25 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 13 5 28 55 35 24 38 33 95 0.00 26 Southern Califor Pac-12 12 5 26 35 34 28 57 31 116 0.00 27 Akron MAC 7 9 113 119 86 113 123 86 322 0.00 28 Albany America East 8 10 47 29 70 35 24 64 123 0.00 29 American Patriot League 7 9 83 76 80 75 77 81 233 0.00 30 Arizona State Pac-12 9 10 39 36 66 48 19 65 132 0.00 31 Army Patriot League 9 8 38 39 57 49 44 58 151 0.00 32 Binghamton America East 12 7 52 64 52 42 63 53 158 0.00 33 Boston Universit Patriot League 5 11 85 59 94 77 56 95 228 0.00 34 Bryant America East 9 6 58 73 53 47 69 48 164 0.00 35 Bucknell Patriot League 5 10 86 63 89 84 92 92 268 0.00 36 Butler Big East 2 14 102 65 125 111 89 124 324 0.00 37 California Pac-12 5 10 75 70 96 87 86 96 269 0.00 38 Campbell Colonial 4 13 90 66 117 91 72 114 277 0.00 39 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 7 79 101 63 63 78 62 203 0.00 40 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 125 122 118 122 115 119 356 0.00 41 Central Michigan MAC 5 13 99 80 105 100 73 106 279 0.00 42 Cincinnati American 10 7 64 75 48 70 93 49 212 0.00 43 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 14 6 51 72 40 33 70 44 147 0.00 44 Colgate Patriot League 3 14 78 45 123 81 58 128 267 0.00 45 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 76 41 92 83 60 93 236 0.00 46 Connecticut Big East 11 7 32 44 43 44 39 38 121 0.00 47 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 35 18 44 40 31 50 121 0.00 48 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 21 45 36 26 45 107 0.00 49 Davidson Atlantic 10 11 7 50 74 59 45 54 59 158 0.00 50 Delaware Colonial 10 6 48 68 49 54 90 46 190 0.00 51 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 13 126 126 126 121 118 125 364 0.00 52 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 12 109 111 112 119 125 112 356 0.00 53 Duke Atlantic Coast 10 9 29 13 37 31 18 39 88 0.00 54 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 112 98 97 99 110 97 306 0.00 55 East Carolina American 4 12 74 48 106 85 67 105 257 0.00 56 Eastern Michigan MAC 7 9 107 114 76 112 122 79 313 0.00 57 Elon Colonial 9 8 62 58 67 59 68 66 193 0.00 58 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 16 3 31 69 15 17 46 14 77 0.00 59 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 2 14 123 127 129 126 120 129 375 0.00 60 Furman Big South 8 10 88 88 87 80 76 87 243 0.00 61 Gardner Webb Big South 0 17 124 108 132 125 111 132 368 0.00 62 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 8 82 110 73 88 108 73 269 0.00 63 George Washingto Atlantic 10 4 13 110 99 121 115 99 122 336 0.00 64 Georgetown Big East 7 11 40 31 81 64 51 80 195 0.00 65 High Point Big South 12 6 69 91 46 60 80 47 187 0.00 66 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 42 52 71 50 59 69 178 0.00 67 Holy Cross Patriot League 12 6 44 56 38 32 29 37 98 0.00 68 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 16 127 125 130 127 121 130 378 0.00 69 Iona Metro Atlantic 12 5 81 100 41 57 83 40 180 0.00 70 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 9 9 54 46 60 51 42 63 156 0.00 71 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 103 104 107 110 124 107 341 0.00 72 Kent State MAC 6 11 106 107 102 106 113 102 321 0.00 73 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 11 114 94 110 114 105 110 329 0.00 74 Lafayette Patriot League 5 11 84 77 101 95 88 100 283 0.00 75 Le Moyne Northeast 9 9 105 115 83 89 94 82 265 0.00 76 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 56 50 72 61 65 76 202 0.00 77 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 12 63 42 98 72 62 98 232 0.00 78 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 13 5 66 103 39 68 114 41 223 0.00 79 LIU Northeast 11 8 87 113 68 71 79 70 220 0.00 80 Longwood Big South 8 10 104 112 95 109 112 94 315 0.00 81 Louisville Atlantic Coast 8 11 34 16 69 43 23 71 137 0.00 82 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 111 87 122 101 71 120 292 0.00 83 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 98 78 124 102 75 123 300 0.00 84 Marquette Big East 6 11 65 51 90 73 64 89 226 0.00 85 Massachusetts-Lo America East 12 6 55 96 50 62 81 51 194 0.00 86 Mercer Big South 14 6 49 85 32 41 35 34 110 0.00 87 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 118 116 113 116 106 113 335 0.00 88 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 6 10 72 61 91 86 84 91 261 0.00 89 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 8 10 70 83 93 55 40 90 185 0.00 90 Navy Patriot League 15 4 18 47 18 19 33 25 77 0.00 91 New Hampshire America East 2 12 95 71 115 103 85 115 303 0.00 92 Niagara Metro Atlantic 16 4 46 84 27 26 34 17 77 0.00 93 Ohio State Big Ten 8 9 43 37 61 58 43 60 161 0.00 94 Old Dominion American 3 13 91 67 116 107 91 116 314 0.00 95 Oregon Pac-12 8 7 57 81 64 74 97 67 238 0.00 96 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 5 13 59 28 99 76 47 101 224 0.00 97 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 122 121 127 123 127 126 376 0.00 98 Queens Atlantic Sun 9 8 77 95 74 79 103 74 256 0.00 99 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 92 82 119 96 53 117 266 0.00 100 Radford Big South 6 11 119 123 103 120 116 103 339 0.00 101 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 5 33 60 31 29 32 29 90 0.00 102 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 9 96 109 84 92 101 83 276 0.00 103 Robert Morris MAC 8 12 108 93 100 97 102 99 298 0.00 104 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 25 11 51 37 20 55 112 0.00 105 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 6 94 117 54 69 96 52 217 0.00 106 San Diego State Pac-12 2 14 93 40 120 93 66 121 280 0.00 107 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 6 61 79 47 34 50 42 126 0.00 108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 9 80 92 85 78 95 85 258 0.00 109 St Francis Northeast 8 8 116 124 77 104 117 77 298 0.00 110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 7 37 54 56 39 48 56 143 0.00 111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 100 97 108 105 87 108 300 0.00 112 Stonehill Northeast 9 9 97 120 82 90 100 84 274 0.00 113 Temple American 9 7 41 34 42 38 30 43 111 0.00 114 Towson Colonial 7 9 45 38 79 53 52 78 183 0.00 115 UC Davis Pac-12 9 8 68 62 65 56 45 68 169 0.00 116 UMBC America East 9 6 67 90 58 65 98 57 220 0.00 117 Vanderbilt American 9 8 53 43 55 52 36 54 142 0.00 118 VCU Atlantic 10 5 13 73 57 114 82 55 118 255 0.00 119 Vermont America East 8 8 71 86 78 66 82 75 223 0.00 120 Villanova Big East 7 9 60 49 75 67 61 72 200 0.00 121 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 36 26 62 46 37 61 144 0.00 122 Wagner Northeast 6 11 115 118 104 108 107 104 319 0.00 123 William & Mary Colonial 4 13 89 53 111 94 74 111 279 0.00 124 Winthrop Big South 2 13 120 102 128 118 104 127 349 0.00 125 Wofford Big South 7 9 101 105 88 98 109 88 295 0.00 126 Xavier Big East 4 11 117 89 109 117 126 109 352 0.00 127 Youngstown State MAC 0 16 121 106 131 124 119 131 374 0.00 128 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 129 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 130 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 131 South Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 132 UNC-Charlotte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00