List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 18 1 1 6 1 2 3 2 7 48.89
2 Northwestern Big Ten 17 3 2 3 2 1 1 1 3 20.00
3 Denver Big East 16 4 5 36 11 14 20 11 45 5.56
4 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 17 4 6 9 6 4 4 4 12 5.56
5 Maryland Big Ten 18 3 4 8 3 3 6 3 12 5.56
6 Stanford ACC 17 5 3 7 7 10 9 8 27 4.44
7 Notre Dame ACC 12 6 17 24 17 31 36 20 87 2.22
8 Clemson ACC 15 6 9 16 13 12 22 15 49 1.11
9 Colorado Big 12 16 4 7 14 5 6 2 7 15 1.11
10 James Madison AAC 14 7 19 18 25 15 13 21 49 1.11
11 Michigan Big Ten 13 7 10 5 9 9 7 12 28 1.11
12 Penn State Big Ten 12 7 12 15 19 19 14 17 50 1.11
13 Stony Brook Colonial 19 3 8 29 4 7 17 6 30 1.11
14 Syracuse ACC 14 6 11 1 12 8 8 13 29 1.11
15 Akron MAC 12 5 86 114 40 74 108 39 221 0.00
16 Albany America East 12 6 49 53 30 34 45 31 110 0.00
17 American Patriot 4 12 87 60 109 95 75 108 278 0.00
18 Arizona State Big 12 8 10 38 33 52 38 23 52 113 0.00
19 Army Patriot 15 5 20 35 14 13 5 10 28 0.00
20 Austin Peay Atlantic Sun 4 13 124 115 121 121 119 121 361 0.00
21 Binghamton America East 6 9 83 87 88 88 84 89 261 0.00
22 Boston College ACC 10 8 15 2 18 17 11 25 53 0.00
23 Boston Universit Patriot 8 10 54 54 85 67 46 81 194 0.00
24 Brown Ivy League 8 7 33 26 55 39 59 55 153 0.00
25 Bryant America East 10 7 55 69 56 50 81 56 187 0.00
26 Bucknell Patriot 10 7 58 56 48 52 54 42 148 0.00
27 Butler Big East 3 13 120 95 119 125 107 119 351 0.00
28 California ACC 6 11 66 30 77 79 49 82 210 0.00
29 Campbell Colonial 11 6 70 84 46 62 104 46 212 0.00
30 Canisius Metro Atlantic 12 5 77 116 41 65 86 40 191 0.00
31 Central Connecti Northeast 1 14 132 129 130 132 129 130 391 0.00
32 Central Michigan MAC 4 12 114 73 106 103 71 106 280 0.00
33 Cincinnati Big 12 9 8 63 67 62 76 89 61 226 0.00
34 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 10 8 76 98 69 86 118 69 273 0.00
35 Colgate Patriot 5 10 71 48 83 72 51 77 200 0.00
36 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 65 61 71 87 96 73 256 0.00
37 Connecticut Big East 7 10 45 34 72 48 24 74 146 0.00
38 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 23 19 34 28 39 37 104 0.00
39 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 7 32 42 53 44 56 54 154 0.00
40 Davidson Atlantic 10 15 5 48 74 22 35 47 27 109 0.00
41 Delaware Atlantic Sun 13 5 41 64 33 37 67 32 136 0.00
42 Delaware State Northeast 0 17 133 125 133 133 122 133 388 0.00
43 Detroit Mercy MAC 0 12 131 104 120 130 127 120 377 0.00
44 Drexel Colonial 5 11 62 46 102 69 60 103 232 0.00
45 Duke ACC 9 8 21 11 32 29 18 35 82 0.00
46 Duquesne Atlantic 10 2 13 119 103 125 119 100 125 344 0.00
47 East Carolina AAC 8 9 59 50 73 59 55 65 179 0.00
48 Eastern Michigan MAC 10 7 90 107 57 84 103 57 244 0.00
49 Elon Colonial 7 10 57 44 75 61 48 78 187 0.00
50 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 15 4 46 70 16 24 43 16 83 0.00
51 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 10 8 115 131 70 106 124 70 300 0.00
52 Florida Big 12 15 4 13 22 10 11 16 9 36 0.00
53 Florida State ACC 4 12 69 39 103 93 63 104 260 0.00
54 Furman Big South 10 9 97 110 76 96 111 75 282 0.00
55 Gardner Webb Big South 2 15 126 117 131 131 133 131 395 0.00
56 George Mason Atlantic 10 6 10 107 106 99 107 109 98 314 0.00
57 George Washingto Atlantic 10 9 8 82 99 74 85 98 72 255 0.00
58 Georgetown Big East 12 6 25 37 20 27 28 24 79 0.00
59 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 36 27 80 63 70 86 219 0.00
60 High Point Big South 8 10 72 82 82 80 77 83 240 0.00
61 Hofstra Colonial 10 7 53 59 47 43 50 47 140 0.00
62 Holy Cross Patriot 7 10 56 47 91 60 42 87 189 0.00
63 Howard (DC) Northeast 3 13 129 128 122 128 121 122 371 0.00
64 Iona Metro Atlantic 3 13 116 124 123 127 128 123 378 0.00
65 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 13 6 28 58 28 33 27 26 86 0.00
66 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 8 10 104 102 92 105 115 94 314 0.00
67 Kent State MAC 7 10 108 105 97 112 123 97 332 0.00
68 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 14 122 113 128 126 110 128 364 0.00
69 Lafayette Patriot 5 10 89 66 95 91 94 90 275 0.00
70 Le Moyne Northeast 14 4 98 130 27 58 101 28 187 0.00
71 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 81 77 94 100 93 88 281 0.00
72 Liberty Atlantic Sun 8 11 68 57 96 66 33 95 194 0.00
73 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 8 11 96 94 105 98 85 105 288 0.00
74 LIU Northeast 10 7 106 126 58 82 87 58 227 0.00
75 Longwood Big South 3 12 117 108 118 118 120 118 356 0.00
76 Louisville ACC 6 9 44 21 64 56 53 67 176 0.00
77 Loyola (MD) Patriot 12 8 29 25 37 25 21 29 75 0.00
78 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 14 118 118 129 117 97 129 343 0.00
79 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 12 95 81 114 102 83 111 296 0.00
80 Marquette Big East 9 7 43 51 44 51 57 48 156 0.00
81 Massachusetts MAC 16 3 31 85 15 26 58 14 98 0.00
82 Massachusetts-Lo America East 6 10 88 80 98 83 76 99 258 0.00
83 Mercer Big South 13 7 50 76 45 55 72 43 170 0.00
84 Mercyhurst Northeast 3 11 130 132 108 129 132 109 370 0.00
85 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 6 11 113 120 107 114 130 107 351 0.00
86 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 9 8 80 93 65 90 113 62 265 0.00
87 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 10 7 73 100 59 75 88 59 222 0.00
88 Navy Patriot 20 2 14 38 8 5 15 5 25 0.00
89 New Hampshire America East 4 12 105 79 117 108 114 117 339 0.00
90 New Haven Northeast 5 9 128 133 93 115 131 96 342 0.00
91 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 9 93 83 84 70 68 84 222 0.00
92 Ohio State Big Ten 9 8 26 23 29 36 19 30 85 0.00
93 Old Dominion AAC 5 12 103 90 112 111 99 110 320 0.00
94 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 74 43 66 71 40 63 174 0.00
95 Penn Ivy League 8 8 34 13 50 30 30 50 110 0.00
96 Pittsburgh ACC 9 7 30 20 35 41 35 41 117 0.00
97 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 127 115 124 125 114 363 0.00
98 Princeton Ivy League 11 7 16 12 42 20 31 44 95 0.00
99 Queens Atlantic Sun 3 12 99 71 113 109 91 115 315 0.00
100 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 78 112 67 81 74 71 226 0.00
101 Radford Big South 4 14 125 121 127 123 116 126 365 0.00
102 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 6 10 94 91 100 89 65 100 254 0.00
103 Richmond Atlantic 10 13 4 27 62 23 23 41 22 86 0.00
104 Rider Metro Atlantic 1 16 121 88 132 122 92 132 346 0.00
105 Robert Morris MAC 6 12 111 89 110 99 66 112 277 0.00
106 Rutgers Big Ten 11 9 24 10 26 16 10 23 49 0.00
107 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 5 10 109 111 104 110 117 102 329 0.00
108 San Diego State Big 12 3 13 92 52 116 104 82 116 302 0.00
109 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 7 75 96 54 53 64 53 170 0.00
110 South Florida AAC 12 5 35 41 24 18 26 18 62 0.00
111 Southern Califor Big Ten 8 9 39 17 43 42 25 45 112 0.00
112 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 11 8 67 86 68 57 78 68 203 0.00
113 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 7 10 60 63 89 64 32 91 187 0.00
114 Stetson Atlantic Sun 3 13 100 55 111 97 52 113 262 0.00
115 Stonehill Northeast 13 7 85 122 49 68 80 49 197 0.00
116 Temple AAC 12 5 42 65 38 47 73 33 153 0.00
117 Towson Colonial 8 11 52 28 78 40 29 79 148 0.00
118 UC Davis Big 12 7 9 47 49 63 73 61 66 200 0.00
119 UMBC America East 7 8 79 101 79 94 112 76 282 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 9 91 72 86 78 69 85 232 0.00
121 Vanderbilt AAC 8 9 51 45 60 54 44 64 162 0.00
122 VCU Atlantic 10 13 5 61 92 39 49 79 38 166 0.00
123 Vermont America East 10 7 64 75 61 46 62 60 168 0.00
124 Villanova Big East 9 6 40 40 31 32 34 34 100 0.00
125 Virginia ACC 8 9 22 4 36 21 12 36 69 0.00
126 Virginia Tech ACC 9 8 37 31 51 45 38 51 134 0.00
127 Wagner Northeast 6 9 110 123 90 101 106 92 299 0.00
128 William & Mary Colonial 7 9 84 68 81 77 90 80 247 0.00
129 Winthrop Big South 6 10 112 119 101 113 126 101 340 0.00
130 Wofford Big South 9 10 101 109 87 92 95 93 280 0.00
131 Xavier Big East 2 14 102 78 126 120 102 127 349 0.00
132 Yale Ivy League 13 5 18 32 21 22 37 19 78 0.00
133 Youngstown State MAC 3 13 123 97 124 116 105 124 345 0.00