List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Champ % = Championship Probability
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings
which determines selection standing
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Akron MAC 2 15 117 120 120 119 107 120 346 0.00
2 Albany America East 13 7 34 27 23 18 14 22 54 0.00
3 American Patriot League 6 10 78 74 84 80 68 85 233 0.00
4 Army Patriot League 15 4 23 39 14 16 22 17 55 0.00
5 Arizona State Pac-12 6 13 59 42 104 79 47 106 232 0.00
6 Binghamton America East 11 6 41 54 36 39 60 33 132 0.00
7 Boston College Atlantic Coast 18 3 3 2 3 3 2 4 9 0.00
8 Boston Universit Patriot League 9 9 64 69 64 58 67 65 190 0.00
9 Brown Ivy League 6 8 46 28 47 48 50 54 152 0.00
10 Bryant Northeast 7 7 77 78 65 82 101 62 245 0.00
11 Bucknell Patriot League 6 10 68 67 85 74 74 86 234 0.00
12 Butler Big East 5 10 111 85 86 96 79 80 255 0.00
13 California Pac-12 5 13 81 65 112 107 104 113 324 0.00
14 Campbell Big South 12 7 70 100 52 55 72 50 177 0.00
15 Canisius Metro Atlantic 8 8 83 96 70 81 93 69 243 0.00
16 Central Connecti Northeast 4 11 119 115 93 115 114 94 323 0.00
17 Central Michigan MAC 10 9 79 97 55 73 102 51 226 0.00
18 Clemson Atlantic Coast 12 6 21 48 17 27 27 19 73 0.00
19 Cincinnati American 11 7 50 59 37 40 57 31 128 0.00
20 Colgate Patriot League 4 11 74 36 90 67 32 88 187 0.00
21 Colorado Pac-12 11 8 38 35 48 51 46 52 149 0.00
22 Columbia Ivy League 3 12 94 62 105 106 85 101 292 0.00
23 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 35 30 58 50 45 55 150 0.00
24 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 12 7 57 89 41 61 84 43 188 0.00
25 Dartmouth Ivy League 6 9 52 34 68 63 62 70 195 0.00
26 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 6 54 84 33 46 51 39 136 0.00
27 Delaware Colonial 8 8 53 40 53 47 43 47 137 0.00
28 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 14 118 118 111 118 106 111 335 0.00
29 Denver Big East 22 0 6 23 4 4 21 3 28 0.00
30 Detroit Mercy MAC 3 11 115 116 95 117 117 93 327 0.00
31 Drexel Colonial 12 6 30 32 24 25 41 26 92 0.00
32 Duke Atlantic Coast 8 10 19 14 42 35 17 53 105 0.00
33 Duquesne Atlantic 10 2 14 105 87 117 110 81 117 308 0.00
34 East Carolina American 10 8 37 49 40 42 66 41 149 0.00
35 Eastern Michigan 2 14 116 114 115 116 108 112 336 0.00
36 Elon Colonial 4 11 80 45 94 87 86 95 268 0.00
37 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 14 5 31 71 25 22 40 23 85 0.00
38 Florida American 17 4 11 20 8 9 10 8 27 0.00
39 Furman Big South 10 8 84 90 66 65 92 63 220 0.00
40 Gardner Webb Big South 4 13 107 99 107 102 98 107 307 0.00
41 Georgetown Big East 7 10 42 26 69 44 34 59 137 0.00
42 George Mason Atlantic 10 2 13 102 83 113 112 82 115 309 0.00
43 George Washingto Atlantic 10 6 12 93 86 98 90 63 102 255 0.00
44 Harvard Ivy League 8 7 48 38 49 59 89 48 196 0.00
45 High Point Big South 8 10 88 80 74 64 38 76 178 0.00
46 Hofstra Colonial 4 12 62 46 102 76 52 97 225 0.00
47 Holy Cross Patriot League 7 11 71 53 87 68 105 90 263 0.00
48 Iona Metro Atlantic 9 7 87 93 60 75 97 60 232 0.00
49 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 12 8 36 37 43 28 29 38 95 0.00
50 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 9 9 14 4 27 13 8 30 51 0.00
51 James Madison Colonial 19 3 7 13 5 6 11 5 22 0.00
52 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 4 13 108 103 103 113 103 103 319 0.00
53 Kent State MAC 10 8 100 117 56 94 120 56 270 0.00
54 Lafayette Patriot League 2 15 95 63 118 103 71 118 292 0.00
55 Lehigh Patriot League 12 6 49 66 26 36 55 28 119 0.00
56 Liberty Atlantic Sun 12 7 39 51 34 38 30 36 104 0.00
57 LIU Northeast 7 10 89 106 80 101 100 81 282 0.00
58 Longwood Big South 4 12 112 108 99 108 96 99 303 0.00
59 Louisville Atlantic Coast 5 12 44 7 77 52 37 78 167 0.00
60 Loyola Patriot League 19 3 5 21 7 7 9 6 22 0.00
61 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 6 11 92 92 91 93 88 91 272 0.00
62 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 12 98 75 108 89 65 105 259 0.00
63 Marquette WBig East 15 4 33 58 19 20 49 15 84 0.00
64 Maryland Big Ten 15 7 10 6 13 8 3 10 21 0.00
65 Mercer Big South 17 3 43 94 15 24 54 13 91 0.00
66 Merrimack Northeast 4 13 110 113 110 114 118 110 342 0.00
67 Michigan Big Ten 12 8 17 10 21 12 16 20 48 0.00
68 Monmouth (NJ) Metro Atlantic 9 8 63 60 59 66 76 57 199 0.00
69 Mount St Marys Northeast 4 13 82 77 114 97 70 114 281 0.00
70 Navy Patriot League 13 6 25 47 31 31 35 32 98 0.00
71 Niagara Metro Atlantic 12 7 61 82 44 49 44 42 135 0.00
72 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 15 6 9 12 9 10 5 9 24 0.00
73 Old Dominion American 3 13 91 55 109 91 64 108 263 0.00
74 Oregon Pac-12 5 12 75 52 106 99 115 109 323 0.00
75 Ohio State Big Ten 5 12 40 11 78 43 15 73 131 0.00
76 Penn Ivy League 14 5 12 22 16 14 19 16 49 0.00
77 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 4 13 65 19 88 69 33 92 194 0.00
78 Presbyterian Big South 6 11 109 111 81 92 109 82 283 0.00
79 Princeton Ivy League 7 9 29 17 54 45 36 66 147 0.00
80 Penn State Big Ten 11 7 22 15 22 30 25 24 79 0.00
81 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 69 88 67 56 75 68 199 0.00
82 Radford Big South 5 12 114 110 96 109 119 98 326 0.00
83 Richmond Atlantic 10 17 4 16 68 11 21 95 14 130 0.00
84 Robert Morris MAC 10 9 96 101 75 83 110 75 268 0.00
85 Rutgers Big Ten 8 9 27 8 38 29 20 37 86 0.00
86 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 8 85 98 61 71 99 61 231 0.00
87 San Diego State MPSF 6 10 73 57 79 70 53 83 206 0.00
88 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 7 58 70 45 41 48 45 134 0.00
89 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 6 12 97 91 100 100 77 104 281 0.00
90 St Francis Northeast 1 10 6 101 119 50 98 111 49 258 0.00
91 St Josephs Atlantic 10 10 9 55 61 62 54 31 67 152 0.00
92 Stanford Pac-12 10 8 26 24 39 33 18 40 91 0.00
93 Stetson Atlantic Sun 8 9 99 109 63 95 112 64 271 0.00
94 Stony Brook America East 15 4 8 18 10 11 23 11 45 0.00
95 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 18 2 2 1 2 2 4 2 8 0.00
96 Temple American 7 9 45 41 71 62 61 71 194 0.00
97 Towson Colonial 11 7 32 31 35 34 42 34 110 0.00
98 UC Davis MPSF 8 6 66 95 46 85 116 44 245 0.00
99 UConn Big East 12 7 28 29 28 15 7 27 49 0.00
100 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 16 3 15 64 12 19 26 12 57 0.00
101 Massachusetts-Lo America East 6 10 90 72 89 78 78 89 245 0.00
102 UMBC America East 8 6 56 81 51 72 94 46 212 0.00
103 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 16 5 4 3 6 5 1 7 13 0.00
104 New Hampshire America East 5 10 72 76 92 84 73 87 244 0.00
105 USC Pac-12 16 4 18 43 18 23 39 18 80 0.00
106 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 10 9 24 25 29 37 13 35 85 0.00
107 Vanderbilt American 4 11 60 16 82 60 24 79 163 0.00
108 VCU Atlantic 10 8 9 67 79 72 77 69 77 223 0.00
109 Vermont America East 8 8 51 50 73 53 83 72 208 0.00
110 Villanova Big East 11 6 47 44 30 26 28 25 79 0.00
111 Virginia Atlantic Coast 11 7 13 9 20 17 12 21 50 0.00
112 William & Mary Colonial 8 8 76 56 57 57 58 58 173 0.00
113 Wagner Northeast 9 8 86 104 76 86 91 74 251 0.00
114 Winthrop Big South 4 12 113 107 101 105 90 100 295 0.00
115 Wofford Big South 7 10 104 102 83 88 87 84 259 0.00
116 Yale Ivy League 11 6 20 33 32 32 56 29 117 0.00
117 Youngstown State MAC 6 12 103 105 97 104 80 96 280 0.00
118 Howard Northeast 0 15 120 112 116 120 113 116 0 0.00
119 La Salle Atlantic 10 0 15 106 73 119 111 59 119 0 0.00