List of Probabilities for Women D1
 

Women D1 Championship Probabilties

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 18 0 1 7 1 1 1 1 3 62.45 2 Boston College ACC 17 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 32.50 3 Northwestern Big Ten 16 2 3 9 3 3 8 3 14 3.20 4 Florida Big 12 17 2 4 29 4 5 13 4 22 1.10 5 Yale Ivy League 14 3 5 18 5 6 18 5 29 0.00 6 Stanford ACC 14 5 7 6 9 11 12 9 32 0.00 7 Virginia ACC 11 6 12 4 13 7 3 10 20 0.00 8 Penn Ivy League 10 6 6 5 11 12 5 16 33 0.00 9 Princeton Ivy League 14 3 9 10 6 4 16 6 26 0.00 10 Akron MAC 11 7 96 117 59 87 125 60 272 0.00 11 Albany America East 9 9 53 48 64 49 40 66 155 0.00 12 American Patriot 5 11 83 74 109 89 70 109 268 0.00 13 Arizona State Big 12 11 8 36 33 45 29 38 48 115 0.00 14 Army Patriot 13 3 31 49 12 21 48 12 81 0.00 15 Binghamton America East 5 10 82 72 104 99 82 107 288 0.00 16 Boston Univ Patriot 8 8 65 66 62 60 68 64 192 0.00 17 Brown Ivy League 10 6 22 25 26 27 19 24 70 0.00 18 Bryant America East 11 7 57 67 55 46 63 58 167 0.00 19 Bucknell Patriot 6 10 74 57 92 75 66 91 232 0.00 20 Butler Big East 0 14 120 76 128 122 96 131 349 0.00 21 California ACC 6 10 58 31 74 68 49 72 189 0.00 22 Campbell Colonial 3 12 84 58 117 103 83 117 303 0.00 23 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 10 100 98 89 104 104 89 297 0.00 24 Central Conn. Northeast 2 13 129 121 119 125 107 119 351 0.00 25 Central Mich MAC 5 10 106 92 95 109 119 102 330 0.00 26 Cincinnati Big 12 8 9 60 71 78 72 85 77 234 0.00 27 Clemson ACC 13 6 16 22 21 17 15 18 50 0.00 28 Coastal Car Atlantic Sun 8 10 73 80 96 74 76 94 244 0.00 29 Colgate Patriot 9 8 62 64 70 61 71 69 201 0.00 30 Colorado Big 12 8 8 30 16 42 28 17 49 94 0.00 31 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 72 34 90 79 51 95 225 0.00 32 Connecticut Big East 11 6 29 41 34 30 30 35 95 0.00 33 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 24 27 27 31 34 29 94 0.00 34 Dartmouth Ivy League 9 6 26 17 28 22 21 30 73 0.00 35 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 5 59 84 33 48 79 31 158 0.00 36 Delaware Colonial 10 6 42 50 40 36 54 40 130 0.00 37 Delaware State Northeast 1 14 131 130 132 131 131 132 394 0.00 38 Denver Big East 14 5 18 32 25 24 33 26 83 0.00 39 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 9 111 108 87 96 115 87 298 0.00 40 Drexel Colonial 14 4 27 45 19 23 44 25 92 0.00 41 Duke ACC 12 5 25 15 16 20 24 13 57 0.00 42 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 10 108 99 105 93 89 103 285 0.00 43 East Carolina AAC 7 10 63 47 85 62 58 80 200 0.00 44 Ea Michigan MAC 8 9 89 100 79 98 112 82 292 0.00 45 Elon Colonial 9 8 50 46 65 56 56 70 182 0.00 46 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 11 7 61 73 58 52 64 61 177 0.00 47 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 5 11 122 131 116 127 130 116 373 0.00 48 Furman Big South 14 4 77 118 29 65 101 28 194 0.00 49 Gardner Webb Big South 3 14 126 114 124 121 106 124 351 0.00 50 George Mason Atlantic 10 7 10 112 112 99 108 94 96 298 0.00 51 G Washington Atlantic 10 7 9 98 107 86 100 99 85 284 0.00 52 Georgetown Big East 9 8 37 39 56 51 29 55 135 0.00 53 Harvard Ivy League 9 6 20 21 32 26 27 33 86 0.00 54 High Point Big South 12 6 54 91 46 55 50 43 148 0.00 55 Hofstra Colonial 9 7 55 59 57 57 52 56 165 0.00 56 Holy Cross Patriot 10 8 41 43 60 33 36 62 131 0.00 57 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 14 130 127 129 130 127 128 385 0.00 58 Iona Metro Atlantic 9 9 90 97 81 88 97 83 268 0.00 59 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 10 6 48 60 35 44 47 37 128 0.00 60 James Madison AAC 14 4 23 28 8 9 11 7 27 0.00 61 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 6 8 3 10 10 7 11 28 0.00 62 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 109 90 110 97 98 110 305 0.00 63 Kent State MAC 6 11 114 116 113 113 129 114 356 0.00 64 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 15 123 101 133 124 93 133 350 0.00 65 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 97 78 93 84 77 92 253 0.00 66 Le Moyne Northeast 4 13 121 120 121 120 110 120 350 0.00 67 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 78 54 91 77 65 90 232 0.00 68 Liberty Atlantic Sun 12 7 52 61 47 39 41 38 118 0.00 69 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 10 6 93 110 53 69 114 52 235 0.00 70 LIU Northeast 12 6 102 123 48 67 84 45 196 0.00 71 Longwood Big South 1 14 125 109 130 126 111 129 366 0.00 72 Louisville ACC 7 10 47 19 68 47 20 65 132 0.00 73 Loyola (MD) Patriot 13 6 14 24 14 15 9 14 38 0.00 74 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 2 14 116 94 126 118 95 126 339 0.00 75 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 14 103 85 125 119 105 125 349 0.00 76 Marquette Big East 10 6 45 51 36 50 60 41 151 0.00 77 Maryland Big Ten 14 5 10 8 7 8 10 8 26 0.00 78 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 15 3 21 68 15 16 37 15 68 0.00 79 Mass-Lowell America East 11 6 66 79 41 54 62 42 158 0.00 80 Mercer Big South 12 7 56 87 49 53 43 46 142 0.00 81 Mercyhurst Northeast 6 9 124 129 88 116 126 88 330 0.00 82 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 14 118 111 131 128 116 130 374 0.00 83 Michigan Big Ten 12 6 11 14 17 19 25 23 67 0.00 84 MonmouthNJ Colonial 3 13 85 62 120 111 88 121 320 0.00 85 Mt St Marys Metro Atlantic 11 6 70 89 51 64 108 50 222 0.00 86 Navy Patriot 15 5 19 37 22 14 23 20 57 0.00 87 New Hamp America East 2 13 105 65 122 115 78 123 316 0.00 88 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 11 91 75 101 81 73 104 258 0.00 89 Notre Dame ACC 7 8 17 11 37 32 22 36 90 0.00 90 Ohio State Big Ten 8 7 34 30 38 42 55 44 141 0.00 91 Old Dominion AAC 8 9 86 103 83 95 100 81 276 0.00 92 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 68 42 75 85 74 78 237 0.00 93 Penn State Big Ten 7 9 32 12 54 34 26 53 113 0.00 94 Pittsburgh ACC 8 8 39 26 52 41 45 47 133 0.00 95 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 125 118 123 124 118 365 0.00 96 Queens Atlantic Sun 6 11 87 81 112 83 86 111 280 0.00 97 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 80 95 66 86 92 67 245 0.00 98 Radford Big South 2 14 128 124 127 129 123 127 379 0.00 99 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 8 8 95 105 76 78 87 76 241 0.00 100 Richmond Atlantic 10 11 8 46 55 67 38 32 57 127 0.00 101 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 10 94 102 97 101 118 97 316 0.00 102 Robert Morris MAC 8 11 99 104 111 90 113 112 315 0.00 103 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 33 20 50 40 14 54 108 0.00 104 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 6 10 92 93 102 107 103 105 315 0.00 105 San Diego State Big 12 5 11 75 56 106 92 91 108 291 0.00 106 Siena Metro Atlantic 9 9 81 86 82 76 69 84 229 0.00 107 South Florida AAC 13 5 40 69 30 37 57 27 121 0.00 108 So. California Big Ten 10 7 28 23 31 35 42 32 109 0.00 109 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 8 64 88 73 63 80 73 216 0.00 110 St Francis Northeast 7 10 119 128 100 114 122 99 335 0.00 111 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 8 43 53 63 45 39 59 143 0.00 112 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 11 107 82 107 102 81 106 289 0.00 113 Stonehill Northeast 11 7 113 126 61 94 121 63 278 0.00 114 Stony Brook Colonial 15 4 15 38 20 18 31 19 68 0.00 115 Syracuse ACC 9 8 13 1 18 13 4 17 34 0.00 116 Temple AAC 4 12 69 36 114 71 46 113 230 0.00 117 Towson Colonial 7 9 44 40 71 59 35 74 168 0.00 118 UC Davis Big 12 6 10 51 35 77 70 53 79 202 0.00 119 UMBC America East 11 5 67 106 39 66 90 39 195 0.00 120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 10 88 96 103 110 109 98 317 0.00 121 Vanderbilt AAC 9 9 49 52 80 58 59 75 192 0.00 122 VCU Atlantic 10 8 11 76 77 108 73 61 100 234 0.00 123 Vermont America East 6 9 79 83 84 80 67 86 233 0.00 124 Villanova Big East 11 7 35 44 43 43 28 51 122 0.00 125 Virginia Tech ACC 9 9 38 13 44 25 6 34 65 0.00 126 Wagner Northeast 8 7 117 122 69 91 102 68 261 0.00 127 William&Mary Colonial 6 10 71 70 98 82 72 101 255 0.00 128 Winthrop Big South 6 11 115 115 115 117 117 115 349 0.00 129 Wofford Big South 9 10 104 113 94 106 120 93 319 0.00 130 Xavier Big East 2 13 110 63 123 112 75 122 309 0.00 131 Youngstown St MAC 7 7 101 119 72 105 128 71 304 0.00 132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00