List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 19 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 6 54.44
2 Northwestern Big Ten 19 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 22.22
3 Stony Brook Colonial 19 3 7 29 4 7 17 4 28 5.56
4 Maryland Big Ten 18 4 4 5 3 3 4 3 10 4.44
5 Denver Big East 16 4 5 36 11 14 18 10 42 3.33
6 Stanford ACC 17 5 3 8 6 10 10 8 28 3.33
7 Colorado Big 12 16 4 6 13 5 5 3 7 15 2.22
8 Notre Dame ACC 12 6 16 24 17 31 35 20 86 2.22
9 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 17 5 8 9 7 4 5 5 14 1.11
10 Richmond Atlantic 10 13 4 27 62 23 24 41 22 87 1.11
11 Akron MAC 12 5 86 114 40 74 108 39 221 0.00
12 Albany America East 12 6 49 53 30 35 46 30 111 0.00
13 American Patriot 4 12 87 60 109 95 75 108 278 0.00
14 Arizona State Big 12 8 10 38 32 52 38 21 51 110 0.00
15 Army Patriot 15 5 20 35 14 12 6 12 30 0.00
16 Austin Peay Atlantic Sun 4 13 124 115 121 121 119 121 361 0.00
17 Binghamton America East 6 9 83 87 88 88 84 88 260 0.00
18 Boston College ACC 10 8 15 2 18 16 9 26 51 0.00
19 Boston Universit Patriot 8 10 54 54 85 67 44 84 195 0.00
20 Brown Ivy League 8 7 33 26 55 39 57 55 151 0.00
21 Bryant America East 10 7 55 69 56 50 81 56 187 0.00
22 Bucknell Patriot 10 7 58 56 48 52 54 45 151 0.00
23 Butler Big East 3 13 120 95 119 125 107 119 351 0.00
24 California ACC 6 11 66 30 77 79 50 81 210 0.00
25 Campbell Colonial 11 6 70 84 46 62 105 46 213 0.00
26 Canisius Metro Atlantic 12 5 77 116 41 65 86 40 191 0.00
27 Central Connecti Northeast 1 14 132 129 130 132 129 130 391 0.00
28 Central Michigan MAC 4 12 114 73 106 102 71 106 279 0.00
29 Cincinnati Big 12 9 8 63 67 62 76 89 57 222 0.00
30 Clemson ACC 15 6 9 17 13 13 22 15 50 0.00
31 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 10 8 76 98 69 86 118 69 273 0.00
32 Colgate Patriot 5 10 71 48 83 71 51 79 201 0.00
33 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 65 61 71 87 96 73 256 0.00
34 Connecticut Big East 7 10 45 34 72 48 24 74 146 0.00
35 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 23 19 34 27 38 35 100 0.00
36 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 7 32 42 53 44 55 54 153 0.00
37 Davidson Atlantic 10 15 5 48 74 22 34 47 27 108 0.00
38 Delaware Atlantic Sun 13 5 41 64 33 37 68 32 137 0.00
39 Delaware State Northeast 0 17 133 125 133 133 122 133 388 0.00
40 Detroit Mercy MAC 0 12 131 104 120 131 127 120 378 0.00
41 Drexel Colonial 5 11 62 46 102 69 58 103 230 0.00
42 Duke ACC 9 8 21 11 32 29 19 36 84 0.00
43 Duquesne Atlantic 10 2 13 119 103 125 119 100 125 344 0.00
44 East Carolina AAC 8 9 59 50 73 60 60 66 186 0.00
45 Eastern Michigan MAC 10 7 90 107 57 84 103 58 245 0.00
46 Elon Colonial 7 10 57 44 75 61 48 77 186 0.00
47 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 15 4 46 70 16 23 42 16 81 0.00
48 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 10 8 115 131 70 106 124 70 300 0.00
49 Florida Big 12 15 4 13 22 10 11 16 9 36 0.00
50 Florida State ACC 4 12 69 39 103 93 63 104 260 0.00
51 Furman Big South 10 9 97 110 76 96 111 75 282 0.00
52 Gardner Webb Big South 2 15 126 117 131 130 133 131 394 0.00
53 George Mason Atlantic 10 6 10 107 106 99 107 109 98 314 0.00
54 George Washingto Atlantic 10 9 8 82 99 74 85 98 72 255 0.00
55 Georgetown Big East 12 6 25 38 20 28 29 24 81 0.00
56 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 36 27 80 63 70 85 218 0.00
57 High Point Big South 8 10 72 82 82 80 77 86 243 0.00
58 Hofstra Colonial 10 7 53 59 47 42 49 47 138 0.00
59 Holy Cross Patriot 7 10 56 47 91 59 43 87 189 0.00
60 Howard (DC) Northeast 3 13 129 128 122 128 121 122 371 0.00
61 Iona Metro Atlantic 3 13 116 124 123 127 128 123 378 0.00
62 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 13 6 28 58 28 32 27 25 84 0.00
63 James Madison AAC 14 7 19 18 25 15 14 21 50 0.00
64 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 8 10 104 102 92 105 115 93 313 0.00
65 Kent State MAC 7 10 108 105 97 112 123 97 332 0.00
66 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 14 122 113 128 126 110 128 364 0.00
67 Lafayette Patriot 5 10 89 66 95 91 94 94 279 0.00
68 Le Moyne Northeast 14 4 98 130 27 58 101 28 187 0.00
69 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 81 77 94 100 93 89 282 0.00
70 Liberty Atlantic Sun 8 11 68 57 96 66 33 95 194 0.00
71 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 8 11 96 94 105 98 85 105 288 0.00
72 LIU Northeast 10 7 106 126 58 82 87 59 228 0.00
73 Longwood Big South 3 12 117 108 118 118 120 118 356 0.00
74 Louisville ACC 6 9 44 21 64 56 59 67 182 0.00
75 Loyola (MD) Patriot 12 8 29 25 37 26 20 31 77 0.00
76 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 14 118 118 129 117 97 129 343 0.00
77 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 12 95 81 114 103 83 112 298 0.00
78 Marquette Big East 9 7 43 51 44 51 53 48 152 0.00
79 Massachusetts MAC 16 3 31 85 15 25 56 14 95 0.00
80 Massachusetts-Lo America East 6 10 88 80 98 83 76 99 258 0.00
81 Mercer Big South 13 7 50 76 45 55 72 42 169 0.00
82 Mercyhurst Northeast 3 11 130 132 108 129 132 109 370 0.00
83 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 6 11 113 120 107 114 130 107 351 0.00
84 Michigan Big Ten 13 7 10 7 9 9 7 11 27 0.00
85 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 9 8 80 93 65 90 114 62 266 0.00
86 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 10 7 73 100 59 75 88 60 223 0.00
87 Navy Patriot 20 2 14 37 8 6 13 6 25 0.00
88 New Hampshire America East 4 12 105 79 117 108 113 117 338 0.00
89 New Haven Northeast 5 9 128 133 93 115 131 96 342 0.00
90 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 9 93 83 84 70 66 82 218 0.00
91 Ohio State Big Ten 9 8 26 23 29 36 23 29 88 0.00
92 Old Dominion AAC 5 12 103 90 112 111 99 110 320 0.00
93 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 74 43 66 72 40 63 175 0.00
94 Penn Ivy League 8 8 34 14 50 30 30 50 110 0.00
95 Penn State Big Ten 12 7 12 15 19 19 15 17 51 0.00
96 Pittsburgh ACC 9 7 30 20 35 41 36 41 118 0.00
97 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 127 115 124 125 115 364 0.00
98 Princeton Ivy League 11 7 17 12 42 20 31 43 94 0.00
99 Queens Atlantic Sun 3 12 99 71 113 109 91 116 316 0.00
100 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 78 112 67 81 74 71 226 0.00
101 Radford Big South 4 14 125 121 127 123 116 126 365 0.00
102 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 6 10 94 91 100 89 65 100 254 0.00
103 Rider Metro Atlantic 1 16 121 88 132 122 92 132 346 0.00
104 Robert Morris MAC 6 12 111 89 110 99 67 113 279 0.00
105 Rutgers Big Ten 11 9 24 10 26 17 11 23 51 0.00
106 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 5 10 109 111 104 110 117 102 329 0.00
107 San Diego State Big 12 3 13 92 52 116 104 82 114 300 0.00
108 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 7 75 96 54 53 64 53 170 0.00
109 South Florida AAC 12 5 35 41 24 18 25 18 61 0.00
110 Southern Califor Big Ten 8 9 39 16 43 43 26 44 113 0.00
111 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 11 8 67 86 68 57 78 68 203 0.00
112 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 7 10 60 63 89 64 32 90 186 0.00
113 Stetson Atlantic Sun 3 13 100 55 111 97 52 111 260 0.00
114 Stonehill Northeast 13 7 85 122 49 68 80 49 197 0.00
115 Syracuse ACC 14 6 11 4 12 8 8 13 29 0.00
116 Temple AAC 12 5 42 65 38 47 73 33 153 0.00
117 Towson Colonial 8 11 52 28 78 40 28 78 146 0.00
118 UC Davis Big 12 7 9 47 49 63 73 61 64 198 0.00
119 UMBC America East 7 8 79 101 79 94 112 76 282 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 9 91 72 86 78 69 83 230 0.00
121 Vanderbilt AAC 8 9 51 45 60 54 45 65 164 0.00
122 VCU Atlantic 10 13 5 61 92 39 49 79 38 166 0.00
123 Vermont America East 10 7 64 75 61 46 62 61 169 0.00
124 Villanova Big East 9 6 40 40 31 33 34 34 101 0.00
125 Virginia ACC 8 9 22 6 36 21 12 37 70 0.00
126 Virginia Tech ACC 9 8 37 31 51 45 39 52 136 0.00
127 Wagner Northeast 6 9 110 123 90 101 106 91 298 0.00
128 William & Mary Colonial 7 9 84 68 81 77 90 80 247 0.00
129 Winthrop Big South 6 10 112 119 101 113 126 101 340 0.00
130 Wofford Big South 9 10 101 109 87 92 95 92 279 0.00
131 Xavier Big East 2 14 102 78 126 120 102 127 349 0.00
132 Yale Ivy League 13 5 18 33 21 22 37 19 78 0.00
133 Youngstown State MAC 3 13 123 97 124 116 104 124 344 0.00