List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 16 1 1 7 2 2 8 2 12 43.33
2 Northwestern Big Ten 15 3 2 3 1 1 1 1 3 23.33
3 Colorado Big 12 14 3 5 15 5 8 3 6 17 6.67
4 Maryland Big Ten 16 3 4 6 3 3 5 3 11 5.56
5 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 14 4 8 8 8 7 7 7 21 4.44
6 Stony Brook Colonial 17 2 6 32 4 5 24 5 34 4.44
7 Clemson ACC 14 5 7 19 15 13 19 17 49 2.22
8 Florida Big 12 15 3 11 25 7 10 17 8 35 2.22
9 Stanford ACC 15 4 3 9 9 11 16 9 36 2.22
10 Denver Big East 15 3 9 41 12 14 30 10 54 1.11
11 Georgetown Big East 12 6 25 35 22 28 28 28 84 1.11
12 Loyola (MD) Patriot 12 7 28 26 33 23 18 26 67 1.11
13 Navy Patriot 18 1 13 42 6 4 22 4 30 1.11
14 Notre Dame ACC 12 5 16 28 17 30 42 18 90 1.11
15 Akron MAC 12 5 86 114 42 74 107 42 223 0.00
16 Albany America East 12 5 50 57 29 35 68 24 127 0.00
17 American Patriot 4 12 87 59 109 95 74 108 277 0.00
18 Arizona State Big 12 8 10 38 31 51 38 11 52 101 0.00
19 Army Patriot 14 4 19 37 14 12 4 12 28 0.00
20 Austin Peay Atlantic Sun 4 13 124 115 121 122 119 121 362 0.00
21 Binghamton America East 6 9 83 86 88 88 83 88 259 0.00
22 Boston College ACC 9 7 18 2 20 19 13 27 59 0.00
23 Boston Universit Patriot 8 10 54 52 85 65 39 84 188 0.00
24 Brown Ivy League 8 7 33 21 54 39 50 55 144 0.00
25 Bryant America East 10 7 55 69 56 49 77 56 182 0.00
26 Bucknell Patriot 10 7 57 55 49 51 51 46 148 0.00
27 Butler Big East 3 13 121 96 119 125 108 119 352 0.00
28 California ACC 6 11 66 30 79 79 52 80 211 0.00
29 Campbell Colonial 11 6 70 84 45 62 103 44 209 0.00
30 Canisius Metro Atlantic 12 5 77 116 43 66 87 43 196 0.00
31 Central Connecti Northeast 1 14 132 129 130 132 128 130 390 0.00
32 Central Michigan MAC 4 12 114 72 106 104 70 106 280 0.00
33 Cincinnati Big 12 9 8 63 67 57 76 86 57 219 0.00
34 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 10 8 76 99 69 87 118 69 274 0.00
35 Colgate Patriot 5 10 71 48 82 69 48 81 198 0.00
36 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 65 60 70 86 91 73 250 0.00
37 Connecticut Big East 7 10 45 33 72 47 14 74 135 0.00
38 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 23 16 32 27 37 36 100 0.00
39 Dartmouth Ivy League 8 7 31 39 53 43 45 53 141 0.00
40 Davidson Atlantic 10 15 4 48 82 21 34 66 21 121 0.00
41 Delaware Atlantic Sun 13 5 41 64 35 36 64 32 132 0.00
42 Delaware State Northeast 0 17 133 124 133 133 122 133 388 0.00
43 Detroit Mercy MAC 0 12 131 104 120 130 127 120 377 0.00
44 Drexel Colonial 5 11 62 47 102 68 54 102 224 0.00
45 Duke ACC 9 8 22 11 36 31 15 38 84 0.00
46 Duquesne Atlantic 10 2 13 119 103 125 119 99 125 343 0.00
47 East Carolina AAC 8 9 59 50 73 63 57 64 184 0.00
48 Eastern Michigan MAC 10 7 90 109 58 84 101 58 243 0.00
49 Elon Colonial 7 10 58 44 75 61 46 75 182 0.00
50 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 15 3 46 74 16 24 63 15 102 0.00
51 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 10 8 115 131 71 108 125 70 303 0.00
52 Florida State ACC 4 12 69 36 104 93 58 104 255 0.00
53 Furman Big South 10 9 97 110 76 96 110 76 282 0.00
54 Gardner Webb Big South 2 15 126 117 131 131 133 131 395 0.00
55 George Mason Atlantic 10 6 10 107 106 99 109 109 98 316 0.00
56 George Washingto Atlantic 10 9 8 82 98 74 85 97 72 254 0.00
57 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 36 24 80 60 62 85 207 0.00
58 High Point Big South 8 10 72 80 83 80 75 86 241 0.00
59 Hofstra Colonial 10 7 53 58 46 42 49 45 136 0.00
60 Holy Cross Patriot 7 10 56 46 91 57 40 87 184 0.00
61 Howard (DC) Northeast 3 13 129 128 122 128 121 122 371 0.00
62 Iona Metro Atlantic 3 13 116 123 123 127 129 123 379 0.00
63 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 13 5 29 63 23 32 34 22 88 0.00
64 James Madison AAC 13 6 20 22 27 15 21 25 61 0.00
65 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 8 10 105 102 92 105 114 89 308 0.00
66 Kent State MAC 7 10 108 105 97 112 123 97 332 0.00
67 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 14 122 113 128 126 111 128 365 0.00
68 Lafayette Patriot 5 10 88 65 95 91 94 94 279 0.00
69 Le Moyne Northeast 14 4 98 130 28 59 98 30 187 0.00
70 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 80 75 94 100 93 90 283 0.00
71 Liberty Atlantic Sun 8 11 68 56 96 67 31 96 194 0.00
72 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 8 11 96 94 105 99 84 105 288 0.00
73 LIU Northeast 10 7 106 126 59 83 85 59 227 0.00
74 Longwood Big South 3 12 117 107 118 118 120 118 356 0.00
75 Louisville ACC 6 9 43 20 64 56 56 67 179 0.00
76 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 14 118 118 129 117 96 129 342 0.00
77 Marist Metro Atlantic 4 12 95 79 115 103 82 112 297 0.00
78 Marquette Big East 9 7 44 53 47 52 55 49 156 0.00
79 Massachusetts MAC 16 2 32 92 13 26 76 13 115 0.00
80 Massachusetts-Lo America East 6 10 89 78 98 82 72 99 253 0.00
81 Mercer Big South 13 6 49 83 38 55 80 39 174 0.00
82 Mercyhurst Northeast 3 11 130 132 108 129 132 109 370 0.00
83 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 6 11 113 120 107 114 130 107 351 0.00
84 Michigan Big Ten 12 6 10 5 10 9 2 11 22 0.00
85 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 9 8 81 93 65 90 115 62 267 0.00
86 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 10 7 73 100 60 75 88 60 223 0.00
87 New Hampshire America East 4 12 104 76 117 106 112 117 335 0.00
88 New Haven Northeast 5 9 128 133 93 115 131 95 341 0.00
89 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 9 93 81 84 70 67 82 219 0.00
90 Ohio State Big Ten 9 8 26 23 30 37 20 31 88 0.00
91 Old Dominion AAC 5 12 103 89 112 111 100 110 321 0.00
92 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 74 43 66 73 43 65 181 0.00
93 Penn Ivy League 8 8 34 12 50 29 27 50 106 0.00
94 Penn State Big Ten 12 6 14 14 19 18 12 19 49 0.00
95 Pittsburgh ACC 9 7 30 18 39 41 35 40 116 0.00
96 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 127 116 124 126 115 365 0.00
97 Princeton Ivy League 11 6 15 10 31 16 29 34 79 0.00
98 Queens Atlantic Sun 3 12 99 70 113 107 90 116 313 0.00
99 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 78 111 67 81 71 71 223 0.00
100 Radford Big South 4 14 125 121 127 123 117 126 366 0.00
101 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 6 10 94 90 100 89 61 100 250 0.00
102 Richmond Atlantic 10 13 4 27 61 24 25 41 23 89 0.00
103 Rider Metro Atlantic 1 16 120 87 132 121 92 132 345 0.00
104 Robert Morris MAC 6 12 111 88 110 98 60 113 271 0.00
105 Rutgers Big Ten 10 8 24 13 26 20 10 29 59 0.00
106 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 5 10 109 112 103 110 116 103 329 0.00
107 San Diego State Big 12 3 13 92 51 114 102 81 114 297 0.00
108 Siena Metro Atlantic 12 7 75 95 55 53 65 54 172 0.00
109 South Florida AAC 12 5 35 40 25 17 23 20 60 0.00
110 Southern Califor Big Ten 8 9 39 17 44 44 26 47 117 0.00
111 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 11 8 67 85 68 58 79 68 205 0.00
112 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 7 10 60 62 89 64 32 91 187 0.00
113 Stetson Atlantic Sun 3 13 100 54 111 97 47 111 255 0.00
114 Stonehill Northeast 13 6 85 125 48 71 105 48 224 0.00
115 Syracuse ACC 13 5 12 1 11 6 9 14 29 0.00
116 Temple AAC 12 5 42 66 40 48 73 33 154 0.00
117 Towson Colonial 8 11 52 27 77 40 25 77 142 0.00
118 UC Davis Big 12 7 9 47 49 62 72 53 63 188 0.00
119 UMBC America East 7 8 79 101 78 94 113 78 285 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 9 91 71 86 78 69 83 230 0.00
121 Vanderbilt AAC 8 9 51 45 63 54 44 66 164 0.00
122 VCU Atlantic 10 13 5 61 91 41 50 78 41 169 0.00
123 Vermont America East 10 7 64 73 61 46 59 61 166 0.00
124 Villanova Big East 9 6 40 38 34 33 33 35 101 0.00
125 Virginia ACC 8 9 21 4 37 22 6 37 65 0.00
126 Virginia Tech ACC 9 8 37 29 52 45 38 51 134 0.00
127 Wagner Northeast 6 9 110 122 90 101 104 92 297 0.00
128 William & Mary Colonial 7 9 84 68 81 77 89 79 245 0.00
129 Winthrop Big South 6 10 112 119 101 113 124 101 338 0.00
130 Wofford Big South 9 10 101 108 87 92 95 93 280 0.00
131 Xavier Big East 2 14 102 77 126 120 102 127 349 0.00
132 Yale Ivy League 13 4 17 34 18 21 36 16 73 0.00
133 Youngstown State MAC 3 13 123 97 124 116 106 124 346 0.00