List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 19 0 1 5 1 1 1 1 3 55.80
2 Boston College ACC 18 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 33.50
3 Northwestern Big Ten 17 2 3 9 3 3 8 3 14 6.50
4 Florida Big 12 19 2 4 29 5 5 15 4 24 1.95
5 Yale Ivy League 16 3 5 16 4 6 16 5 27 1.45
6 Penn Ivy League 12 6 6 6 9 7 7 14 28 0.00
7 Princeton Ivy League 16 3 7 10 6 4 13 6 23 0.00
8 Duke ACC 14 5 18 15 10 15 14 7 36 0.00
9 Akron MAC 11 8 95 113 65 83 109 68 260 0.00
10 Albany America East 9 10 49 40 59 48 31 71 150 0.00
11 American Patriot 5 11 83 74 112 89 75 113 277 0.00
12 Arizona State Big 12 11 8 36 35 45 29 38 47 114 0.00
13 Army Patriot 13 4 31 44 20 25 47 17 89 0.00
14 Binghamton America East 5 10 81 73 105 99 83 107 289 0.00
15 Boston Univ Patriot 8 8 66 69 66 63 68 62 193 0.00
16 Brown Ivy League 10 7 22 22 24 27 17 24 68 0.00
17 Bryant America East 11 7 57 64 53 47 64 57 168 0.00
18 Bucknell Patriot 6 10 74 61 96 75 65 93 233 0.00
19 Butler Big East 0 14 120 76 128 122 96 131 349 0.00
20 California ACC 6 10 58 32 70 67 49 69 185 0.00
21 Campbell Colonial 3 12 84 53 117 102 79 117 298 0.00
22 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 10 100 98 89 104 104 89 297 0.00
23 Central Conn. Northeast 2 13 129 122 119 125 107 119 351 0.00
24 Central Mich MAC 5 10 106 92 92 109 118 102 329 0.00
25 Cincinnati Big 12 8 9 60 71 77 72 85 77 234 0.00
26 Clemson ACC 14 7 14 14 13 13 5 13 31 0.00
27 Coastal Car Atlantic Sun 8 10 73 82 93 74 76 94 244 0.00
28 Colgate Patriot 9 8 62 67 73 62 74 72 208 0.00
29 Colorado Big 12 8 8 30 18 43 28 20 48 96 0.00
30 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 72 34 90 77 48 90 215 0.00
31 Connecticut Big East 11 6 29 42 35 32 34 36 102 0.00
32 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 23 27 26 30 30 27 87 0.00
33 Dartmouth Ivy League 9 6 27 20 28 21 23 28 72 0.00
34 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 5 59 87 33 49 77 31 157 0.00
35 Delaware Colonial 10 6 42 50 40 34 51 39 124 0.00
36 Delaware State Northeast 1 14 131 130 132 131 131 132 394 0.00
37 Denver Big East 14 6 20 33 25 26 36 29 91 0.00
38 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 9 111 108 87 96 114 87 297 0.00
39 Drexel Colonial 14 4 26 46 15 22 41 22 85 0.00
40 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 10 108 100 106 93 91 103 287 0.00
41 East Carolina AAC 7 10 63 49 81 60 58 78 196 0.00
42 Ea Michigan MAC 8 9 89 99 80 98 115 82 295 0.00
43 Elon Colonial 9 8 50 43 60 55 54 64 173 0.00
44 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 11 8 61 72 61 52 56 65 173 0.00
45 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 5 11 122 131 116 127 130 116 373 0.00
46 Furman Big South 14 4 77 119 29 65 100 30 195 0.00
47 Gardner Webb Big South 3 14 126 115 124 120 106 124 350 0.00
48 George Mason Atlantic 10 7 10 112 114 97 108 94 95 297 0.00
49 G Washington Atlantic 10 7 9 98 107 86 100 99 85 284 0.00
50 Georgetown Big East 9 8 38 39 57 53 37 58 148 0.00
51 Harvard Ivy League 9 6 19 19 32 24 28 32 84 0.00
52 High Point Big South 12 6 54 90 46 56 52 40 148 0.00
53 Hofstra Colonial 9 7 55 58 54 57 55 53 165 0.00
54 Holy Cross Patriot 10 8 41 48 67 36 45 63 144 0.00
55 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 14 130 127 129 130 127 128 385 0.00
56 Iona Metro Atlantic 9 9 90 97 82 88 97 83 268 0.00
57 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 10 6 48 63 38 43 50 37 130 0.00
58 James Madison AAC 14 5 25 28 12 12 12 11 35 0.00
59 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 13 7 11 3 11 10 6 10 26 0.00
60 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 110 91 109 97 98 109 304 0.00
61 Kent State MAC 6 11 114 117 113 113 129 114 356 0.00
62 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 15 123 103 133 124 93 133 350 0.00
63 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 97 79 98 87 84 96 267 0.00
64 Le Moyne Northeast 4 13 121 121 121 121 111 120 352 0.00
65 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 79 55 99 78 67 91 236 0.00
66 Liberty Atlantic Sun 12 8 53 56 51 40 40 43 123 0.00
67 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 10 6 93 110 52 69 119 52 240 0.00
68 LIU Northeast 12 7 102 118 55 68 80 49 197 0.00
69 Longwood Big South 1 14 125 109 130 126 112 129 367 0.00
70 Louisville ACC 7 10 46 23 62 46 25 61 132 0.00
71 Loyola (MD) Patriot 13 7 16 24 23 19 9 18 46 0.00
72 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 2 14 116 94 126 118 95 126 339 0.00
73 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 14 103 86 125 119 105 125 349 0.00
74 Marquette Big East 10 6 45 51 36 50 59 41 150 0.00
75 Maryland Big Ten 15 6 10 7 8 11 18 8 37 0.00
76 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 15 4 24 59 16 17 29 15 61 0.00
77 Mass-Lowell America East 11 6 64 80 41 54 62 42 158 0.00
78 Mercer Big South 12 8 56 78 48 51 32 46 129 0.00
79 Mercyhurst Northeast 6 9 124 129 88 116 126 88 330 0.00
80 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 14 118 111 131 128 113 130 371 0.00
81 Michigan Big Ten 13 7 13 17 17 18 21 23 62 0.00
82 MonmouthNJ Colonial 3 13 85 62 120 111 88 121 320 0.00
83 Mt St Marys Metro Atlantic 11 6 70 89 49 64 108 50 222 0.00
84 Navy Patriot 15 6 21 36 27 20 26 25 71 0.00
85 New Hamp America East 2 13 105 66 123 115 78 123 316 0.00
86 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 11 91 75 101 80 70 104 254 0.00
87 Notre Dame ACC 7 8 17 11 34 31 24 35 90 0.00
88 Ohio State Big Ten 8 7 34 31 42 42 57 45 144 0.00
89 Old Dominion AAC 8 9 86 102 84 95 101 81 277 0.00
90 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 68 45 78 86 73 80 239 0.00
91 Penn State Big Ten 7 9 32 12 56 33 27 54 114 0.00
92 Pittsburgh ACC 8 8 39 26 44 41 43 44 128 0.00
93 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 125 118 123 125 118 366 0.00
94 Queens Atlantic Sun 6 11 87 81 110 82 86 110 278 0.00
95 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 80 95 63 84 92 66 242 0.00
96 Radford Big South 2 14 128 124 127 129 124 127 380 0.00
97 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 8 8 96 106 75 79 87 76 242 0.00
98 Richmond Atlantic 10 11 8 47 60 68 38 39 55 132 0.00
99 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 10 94 101 94 101 120 97 318 0.00
100 Robert Morris MAC 8 11 99 104 111 90 116 111 317 0.00
101 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 33 21 50 39 19 56 114 0.00
102 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 6 10 92 93 102 107 103 105 315 0.00
103 San Diego State Big 12 5 11 75 57 107 92 89 108 289 0.00
104 Siena Metro Atlantic 9 9 82 85 83 76 69 84 229 0.00
105 South Florida AAC 13 5 40 70 30 37 60 26 123 0.00
106 So. California Big Ten 10 7 28 25 31 35 42 34 111 0.00
107 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 8 65 88 74 61 82 73 216 0.00
108 St Francis Northeast 7 10 119 128 100 114 123 99 336 0.00
109 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 8 43 54 64 45 44 59 148 0.00
110 Stanford ACC 15 6 8 4 7 8 11 9 28 0.00
111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 11 107 83 103 103 81 106 290 0.00
112 Stonehill Northeast 11 7 113 126 58 94 122 60 276 0.00
113 Stony Brook Colonial 16 5 12 30 18 16 22 16 54 0.00
114 Syracuse ACC 10 9 9 1 19 14 3 21 38 0.00
115 Temple AAC 4 12 69 38 114 71 46 112 229 0.00
116 Towson Colonial 7 9 44 41 72 58 35 74 167 0.00
117 UC Davis Big 12 6 10 52 37 76 70 53 79 202 0.00
118 UMBC America East 11 5 67 105 39 66 90 38 194 0.00
119 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 10 88 96 104 110 110 98 318 0.00
120 Vanderbilt AAC 9 9 51 52 79 59 63 75 197 0.00
121 VCU Atlantic 10 8 11 76 77 108 73 61 100 234 0.00
122 Vermont America East 6 9 78 84 85 85 66 86 237 0.00
123 Villanova Big East 11 7 35 47 47 44 33 51 128 0.00
124 Virginia ACC 12 7 15 8 14 9 4 12 25 0.00
125 Virginia Tech ACC 9 9 37 13 37 23 10 33 66 0.00
126 Wagner Northeast 8 7 117 123 69 91 102 67 260 0.00
127 William&Mary Colonial 6 10 71 68 95 81 71 101 253 0.00
128 Winthrop Big South 6 11 115 116 115 117 117 115 349 0.00
129 Wofford Big South 9 10 104 112 91 106 121 92 319 0.00
130 Xavier Big East 2 13 109 65 122 112 72 122 306 0.00
131 Youngstown St MAC 7 7 101 120 71 105 128 70 303 0.00
132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00