List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boston College ACC 9 0 2 14 1 2 9 1 12 12.00
2 North Carolina ACC 7 0 1 13 2 1 8 2 11 11.00
3 Northwestern Big Ten 6 1 4 17 5 14 31 8 53 7.00
4 Duke ACC 6 2 21 28 11 28 46 10 84 6.00
5 Maryland Big Ten 4 1 12 9 9 11 17 19 47 5.00
6 Ohio State Big Ten 7 0 17 57 4 10 43 6 59 5.00
7 Southern Califor Big Ten 6 1 14 24 10 12 27 9 48 5.00
8 Stanford ACC 7 1 5 12 6 5 11 3 19 5.00
9 Brown Ivy League 5 1 37 73 25 33 71 21 125 4.00
10 Florida Big 12 5 2 7 8 8 7 6 5 18 3.00
11 Michigan Big Ten 5 2 6 15 12 21 25 25 71 3.00
12 Pittsburgh ACC 5 3 38 39 48 26 24 35 85 3.00
13 Syracuse ACC 4 4 8 1 17 9 2 39 50 3.00
14 Yale Ivy League 7 0 3 56 3 3 16 4 23 3.00
15 Clemson ACC 6 2 16 43 29 30 54 27 111 2.00
16 Dartmouth Ivy League 4 2 26 25 20 23 22 32 77 2.00
17 Drexel Colonial 5 2 31 55 34 49 77 42 168 2.00
18 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 5 2 10 4 7 8 7 23 38 2.00
19 Penn Ivy League 4 2 9 10 16 15 13 33 61 2.00
20 Princeton Ivy League 6 1 11 18 13 6 15 7 28 2.00
21 Rutgers Big Ten 5 3 30 31 36 19 14 36 69 2.00
22 Villanova Big East 5 3 35 48 45 35 47 40 122 2.00
23 Arizona State Big 12 6 2 33 45 22 27 41 26 94 0.00
24 California ACC 3 4 49 40 74 50 36 60 146 0.00
25 Cornell Ivy League 5 2 24 34 15 29 39 17 85 0.00
26 Denver Big East 5 3 15 19 38 18 12 51 81 0.00
27 Harvard Ivy League 4 2 29 20 39 22 21 28 71 0.00
28 Louisville ACC 4 4 40 11 56 24 10 47 81 0.00
29 Oregon Big Ten 5 3 56 78 58 63 85 54 202 0.00
30 South Florida AAC 6 2 36 62 32 42 70 37 149 0.00
31 Virginia ACC 4 3 18 6 33 13 5 16 34 0.00
32 Akron MAC 4 4 101 111 76 82 89 78 249 0.00
33 Albany America East 1 6 69 7 98 70 20 120 210 0.00
34 American Patriot 4 4 72 86 73 57 62 75 194 0.00
35 Army Patriot 5 1 39 63 23 41 82 12 135 0.00
36 Binghamton America East 3 5 82 83 103 100 100 96 296 0.00
37 Boston Universit Patriot 5 3 74 82 46 72 94 46 212 0.00
38 Bryant America East 5 3 62 61 53 40 53 59 152 0.00
39 Bucknell Patriot 4 3 70 65 65 58 72 65 195 0.00
40 Butler Big East 0 5 120 102 120 123 87 121 331 0.00
41 Campbell Colonial 2 5 97 88 107 108 119 97 324 0.00
42 Canisius Metro Atlantic 3 5 99 98 89 107 110 102 319 0.00
43 Central Connecti Northeast 0 5 129 72 99 113 65 103 281 0.00
44 Central Michigan MAC 1 6 95 47 124 110 80 128 318 0.00
45 Cincinnati Big 12 5 4 55 69 75 74 86 76 236 0.00
46 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 4 4 78 100 80 103 118 84 305 0.00
47 Colgate Patriot 3 4 66 68 84 88 93 88 269 0.00
48 Colorado Big 12 2 4 25 3 42 20 1 61 82 0.00
49 Columbia Ivy League 3 3 75 60 51 65 69 50 184 0.00
50 Connecticut Big East 5 3 28 37 43 32 37 38 107 0.00
51 Davidson Atlantic 10 4 3 58 76 60 75 92 66 233 0.00
52 Delaware Colonial 4 3 44 53 54 36 38 41 115 0.00
53 Delaware State Northeast 1 5 131 121 121 130 108 110 348 0.00
54 Detroit Mercy MAC 3 4 98 99 85 61 56 89 206 0.00
55 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 2 108 127 44 85 121 43 249 0.00
56 East Carolina AAC 1 4 77 66 93 118 107 92 317 0.00
57 Eastern Michigan MAC 4 3 88 106 66 96 122 67 285 0.00
58 Elon Colonial 3 4 59 50 86 78 75 68 221 0.00
59 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 2 6 76 44 125 68 33 125 226 0.00
60 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 1 6 127 129 127 131 131 129 391 0.00
61 Furman Big South 5 1 68 125 27 53 99 13 165 0.00
62 Gardner Webb Big South 0 7 128 110 133 128 98 133 359 0.00
63 George Mason Atlantic 10 5 4 106 123 77 98 123 81 302 0.00
64 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 3 91 119 61 80 105 62 247 0.00
65 Georgetown Big East 4 4 34 35 55 39 29 73 141 0.00
66 High Point Big South 2 4 64 51 90 76 59 77 212 0.00
67 Hofstra Colonial 5 2 54 91 35 69 106 29 204 0.00
68 Holy Cross Patriot 5 3 47 59 62 51 67 52 170 0.00
69 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 6 130 107 130 116 76 126 318 0.00
70 Iona Metro Atlantic 1 5 116 108 113 124 111 114 349 0.00
71 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 2 4 57 26 78 66 44 85 195 0.00
72 James Madison AAC 4 2 19 2 14 4 3 14 21 0.00
73 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 3 6 112 84 122 105 79 122 306 0.00
74 Kent State MAC 4 5 105 109 100 84 83 104 271 0.00
75 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 7 123 122 132 129 120 132 381 0.00
76 Lafayette Patriot 4 3 110 118 67 97 125 69 291 0.00
77 Le Moyne Northeast 1 6 118 95 128 126 115 127 368 0.00
78 Lehigh Patriot 3 3 80 96 72 93 109 74 276 0.00
79 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 3 46 52 40 45 64 30 139 0.00
80 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 6 1 86 120 21 44 90 18 152 0.00
81 LIU Northeast 2 5 107 90 108 102 91 111 304 0.00
82 Longwood Big South 0 6 119 93 131 122 84 131 337 0.00
83 Loyola (MD) Patriot 4 4 13 5 30 17 4 44 65 0.00
84 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 1 5 117 92 114 117 101 115 333 0.00
85 Marist Metro Atlantic 1 6 96 80 129 115 95 130 340 0.00
86 Marquette Big East 4 3 41 29 41 52 63 55 170 0.00
87 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 4 3 32 46 50 31 28 48 107 0.00
88 Massachusetts-Lo America East 6 2 67 101 28 60 102 24 186 0.00
89 Mercer Big South 3 4 45 41 81 54 40 79 173 0.00
90 Mercyhurst Northeast 0 4 126 115 95 101 45 98 244 0.00
91 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 5 111 112 115 125 114 116 355 0.00
92 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 3 5 79 74 104 83 73 105 261 0.00
93 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 4 3 63 71 68 47 51 53 151 0.00
94 Navy Patriot 5 3 23 23 47 38 48 45 131 0.00
95 New Hampshire America East 2 5 90 70 109 94 78 106 278 0.00
96 Niagara Metro Atlantic 2 6 83 42 116 81 50 123 254 0.00
97 Notre Dame ACC 3 4 22 16 52 37 18 56 111 0.00
98 Old Dominion AAC 6 3 84 124 57 90 127 57 274 0.00
99 Penn State Big Ten 2 5 51 30 101 62 34 99 195 0.00
100 Presbyterian Big South 3 5 122 131 105 127 130 107 364 0.00
101 Queens Atlantic Sun 3 5 92 79 102 109 113 93 315 0.00
102 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 5 2 52 77 31 34 60 31 125 0.00
103 Radford Big South 2 5 125 130 110 120 124 112 356 0.00
104 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 4 3 100 116 69 99 128 70 297 0.00
105 Richmond Atlantic 10 3 5 53 49 96 71 57 80 208 0.00
106 Rider Metro Atlantic 4 3 89 113 70 92 116 71 279 0.00
107 Robert Morris MAC 1 6 109 87 126 89 52 124 265 0.00
108 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 2 4 87 75 91 77 61 86 224 0.00
109 San Diego State Big 12 5 3 61 81 49 55 74 49 178 0.00
110 Siena Metro Atlantic 2 5 85 64 111 87 68 113 268 0.00
111 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 5 3 65 94 63 64 88 63 215 0.00
112 St Francis Northeast 1 5 115 114 117 91 58 117 266 0.00
113 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 3 6 50 36 112 56 32 108 196 0.00
114 Stetson Atlantic Sun 3 4 102 89 82 95 104 90 289 0.00
115 Stonehill Northeast 1 5 114 104 118 119 103 118 340 0.00
116 Stony Brook Colonial 4 2 20 33 37 25 26 34 85 0.00
117 Temple AAC 2 5 73 32 83 59 30 91 180 0.00
118 Towson Colonial 3 3 43 21 59 43 35 72 150 0.00
119 UC Davis Big 12 2 5 48 27 87 73 42 87 202 0.00
120 UMBC America East 7 1 60 117 18 48 96 15 159 0.00
121 UNC-Charlotte AAC 5 4 104 126 79 111 129 82 322 0.00
122 Vanderbilt AAC 3 5 42 22 92 46 19 100 165 0.00
123 VCU Atlantic 10 3 5 81 67 106 79 66 94 239 0.00
124 Vermont America East 3 4 93 97 88 112 126 83 321 0.00
125 Virginia Tech ACC 7 2 27 38 19 16 23 11 50 0.00
126 Wagner Northeast 0 4 121 58 97 106 55 101 262 0.00
127 William & Mary Colonial 4 3 71 85 71 67 81 58 206 0.00
128 Winthrop Big South 1 4 124 105 94 121 112 95 328 0.00
129 Wofford Big South 1 5 113 103 119 114 97 119 330 0.00
130 Xavier Big East 0 5 103 54 123 104 49 109 262 0.00
131 Youngstown State MAC 5 3 94 128 64 86 117 64 267 0.00
132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00