List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 22 0 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 62.00
2 Boston College ACC 19 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 28.20
3 Northwestern Big Ten 19 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 9 6.20
4 Florida Big 12 20 3 4 24 4 4 7 4 15 1.80
5 Stanford ACC 15 6 8 7 7 7 16 9 32 0.00
6 Yale Ivy League 16 4 5 14 5 6 14 5 25 0.00
7 Virginia ACC 12 7 15 10 14 9 6 12 27 0.00
8 Penn Ivy League 12 7 7 6 10 8 8 13 29 0.00
9 Akron MAC 11 8 95 113 65 83 108 68 259 0.00
10 Albany America East 9 10 49 40 59 49 34 69 152 0.00
11 American Patriot 5 11 83 74 112 89 75 113 277 0.00
12 Arizona State Big 12 11 8 36 35 45 29 39 49 117 0.00
13 Army Patriot 13 4 33 45 20 25 47 17 89 0.00
14 Binghamton America East 5 10 81 73 105 99 83 107 289 0.00
15 Boston Universit Patriot 8 8 66 69 66 63 68 61 192 0.00
16 Brown Ivy League 10 7 22 23 24 28 20 24 72 0.00
17 Bryant America East 11 7 57 65 53 46 63 57 166 0.00
18 Bucknell Patriot 6 10 74 61 96 75 65 93 233 0.00
19 Butler Big East 0 14 120 76 128 122 96 131 349 0.00
20 California ACC 6 10 58 31 70 67 48 72 187 0.00
21 Campbell Colonial 3 12 84 53 117 102 79 117 298 0.00
22 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 10 100 97 89 104 104 89 297 0.00
23 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 129 122 119 125 109 119 353 0.00
24 Central Michigan MAC 5 10 106 92 92 109 119 102 330 0.00
25 Cincinnati Big 12 8 9 60 71 77 72 84 77 233 0.00
26 Clemson ACC 14 7 14 16 13 13 4 14 31 0.00
27 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 8 10 73 82 93 74 76 94 244 0.00
28 Colgate Patriot 9 8 62 67 73 62 73 73 208 0.00
29 Colorado Big 12 8 8 30 18 43 27 19 46 92 0.00
30 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 72 34 90 79 50 90 219 0.00
31 Connecticut Big East 11 6 29 42 35 32 33 35 100 0.00
32 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 24 28 26 30 37 28 95 0.00
33 Dartmouth Ivy League 9 6 27 21 28 22 25 29 76 0.00
34 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 5 59 87 33 47 77 31 155 0.00
35 Delaware Colonial 10 6 42 50 40 34 52 37 123 0.00
36 Delaware State Northeast 1 14 131 130 132 131 131 132 394 0.00
37 Denver Big East 14 6 20 33 25 24 31 27 82 0.00
38 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 9 111 108 87 96 114 87 297 0.00
39 Drexel Colonial 14 4 26 46 15 21 41 19 81 0.00
40 Duke ACC 14 6 17 15 11 16 11 7 34 0.00
41 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 10 108 100 106 93 90 103 286 0.00
42 East Carolina AAC 7 10 63 49 81 60 57 79 196 0.00
43 Eastern Michigan MAC 8 9 89 99 80 98 115 82 295 0.00
44 Elon Colonial 9 8 50 43 60 55 54 62 171 0.00
45 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 11 8 61 72 61 52 56 65 173 0.00
46 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 5 11 122 131 116 127 130 116 373 0.00
47 Furman Big South 14 4 77 119 29 65 100 30 195 0.00
48 Gardner Webb Big South 3 14 126 115 124 120 106 124 350 0.00
49 George Mason Atlantic 10 7 10 112 114 97 107 94 95 296 0.00
50 George Washingto Atlantic 10 7 9 98 107 86 100 99 85 284 0.00
51 Georgetown Big East 9 8 39 39 57 53 35 58 146 0.00
52 Harvard Ivy League 9 6 19 19 32 26 28 32 86 0.00
53 High Point Big South 12 6 53 90 46 56 51 42 149 0.00
54 Hofstra Colonial 9 7 55 58 54 57 55 52 164 0.00
55 Holy Cross Patriot 10 8 41 48 67 36 44 63 143 0.00
56 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 14 130 127 129 130 127 128 385 0.00
57 Iona Metro Atlantic 9 9 90 98 82 88 97 83 268 0.00
58 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 10 6 48 63 38 43 49 38 130 0.00
59 James Madison AAC 14 5 25 29 12 12 15 11 38 0.00
60 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 13 7 11 5 9 10 9 10 29 0.00
61 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 110 91 109 97 98 109 304 0.00
62 Kent State MAC 6 11 114 117 113 113 129 114 356 0.00
63 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 15 123 103 133 124 93 133 350 0.00
64 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 97 79 98 87 82 96 265 0.00
65 Le Moyne Northeast 4 13 121 121 121 121 111 121 353 0.00
66 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 79 56 99 77 67 91 235 0.00
67 Liberty Atlantic Sun 12 8 54 55 51 39 40 43 122 0.00
68 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 10 6 93 110 52 69 118 53 240 0.00
69 LIU Northeast 12 7 102 118 55 68 78 50 196 0.00
70 Longwood Big South 1 14 125 109 130 126 112 129 367 0.00
71 Louisville ACC 7 10 46 20 62 48 24 64 136 0.00
72 Loyola (MD) Patriot 13 7 16 25 23 20 13 18 51 0.00
73 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 2 14 116 94 126 118 95 126 339 0.00
74 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 14 103 86 125 119 105 125 349 0.00
75 Marquette Big East 10 6 45 51 36 50 59 40 149 0.00
76 Maryland Big Ten 15 6 10 9 8 11 17 8 36 0.00
77 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 15 4 23 60 16 17 29 15 61 0.00
78 Massachusetts-Lo America East 11 6 64 80 41 54 64 41 159 0.00
79 Mercer Big South 12 8 56 78 48 51 32 47 130 0.00
80 Mercyhurst Northeast 6 9 124 129 88 116 126 88 330 0.00
81 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 14 118 111 131 128 113 130 371 0.00
82 Michigan Big Ten 13 7 12 17 17 18 22 23 63 0.00
83 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 3 13 85 62 120 111 88 120 319 0.00
84 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 11 6 70 89 49 64 107 51 222 0.00
85 Navy Patriot 15 6 21 36 27 19 26 25 70 0.00
86 New Hampshire America East 2 13 105 66 123 115 85 123 323 0.00
87 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 11 91 75 101 80 69 104 253 0.00
88 Notre Dame ACC 7 8 18 11 34 31 23 36 90 0.00
89 Ohio State Big Ten 8 7 34 32 42 42 58 44 144 0.00
90 Old Dominion AAC 8 9 86 102 84 95 101 81 277 0.00
91 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 68 44 78 86 72 80 238 0.00
92 Penn State Big Ten 7 9 31 12 56 33 27 54 114 0.00
93 Pittsburgh ACC 8 8 38 27 44 41 46 45 132 0.00
94 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 125 118 123 125 118 366 0.00
95 Princeton Ivy League 16 4 6 8 6 5 10 6 21 0.00
96 Queens Atlantic Sun 6 11 87 81 110 82 86 110 278 0.00
97 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 10 8 80 95 63 85 92 66 243 0.00
98 Radford Big South 2 14 128 124 127 129 124 127 380 0.00
99 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 8 8 96 106 75 78 87 76 241 0.00
100 Richmond Atlantic 10 11 8 47 59 68 38 38 55 131 0.00
101 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 10 94 101 94 101 120 97 318 0.00
102 Robert Morris MAC 8 11 99 104 111 90 116 111 317 0.00
103 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 32 22 50 40 18 56 114 0.00
104 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 6 10 92 93 102 108 103 105 316 0.00
105 San Diego State Big 12 5 11 75 57 107 92 91 108 291 0.00
106 Siena Metro Atlantic 9 9 82 85 83 76 74 84 234 0.00
107 South Florida AAC 13 5 40 70 30 37 61 26 124 0.00
108 Southern Califor Big Ten 10 7 28 26 31 35 42 33 110 0.00
109 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 8 65 88 74 61 80 74 215 0.00
110 St Francis Northeast 7 10 119 128 100 114 123 100 337 0.00
111 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 8 43 54 64 45 43 59 147 0.00
112 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 11 107 83 103 103 81 106 290 0.00
113 Stonehill Northeast 11 7 113 126 58 94 122 60 276 0.00
114 Stony Brook Colonial 16 5 13 30 18 15 21 16 52 0.00
115 Syracuse ACC 10 9 9 1 19 14 5 22 41 0.00
116 Temple AAC 4 12 69 38 114 71 45 112 228 0.00
117 Towson Colonial 7 9 44 41 72 59 36 70 165 0.00
118 UC Davis Big 12 6 10 52 37 76 70 53 78 201 0.00
119 UMBC America East 11 5 67 105 39 66 89 39 194 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 10 88 96 104 110 110 98 318 0.00
121 Vanderbilt AAC 9 9 51 52 79 58 62 75 195 0.00
122 VCU Atlantic 10 8 11 76 77 108 73 60 101 234 0.00
123 Vermont America East 6 9 78 84 85 84 66 86 236 0.00
124 Villanova Big East 11 7 35 47 47 44 30 48 122 0.00
125 Virginia Tech ACC 9 9 37 13 37 23 12 34 69 0.00
126 Wagner Northeast 8 7 117 123 69 91 102 67 260 0.00
127 William & Mary Colonial 6 10 71 68 95 81 70 99 250 0.00
128 Winthrop Big South 6 11 115 116 115 117 117 115 349 0.00
129 Wofford Big South 9 10 104 112 91 106 121 92 319 0.00
130 Xavier Big East 2 13 109 64 122 112 71 122 305 0.00
131 Youngstown State MAC 7 7 101 120 71 105 128 71 304 0.00
132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00