List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 7 0 1 13 2 6 39 3 48 20.00
2 Northwestern Big Ten 5 1 2 15 8 9 18 8 35 17.00
3 Maryland Big Ten 7 0 3 8 3 3 20 2 25 13.00
4 Stanford ACC 8 0 5 16 1 1 14 1 16 11.00
5 Penn State Big Ten 8 0 9 36 5 5 23 4 32 5.00
6 Yale Ivy League 6 0 10 73 6 12 52 10 74 5.00
7 Michigan Big Ten 5 2 15 12 10 10 13 44 67 4.00
8 Syracuse ACC 4 3 11 5 21 8 2 22 32 4.00
9 Denver Big East 6 1 8 43 11 13 37 7 57 3.00
10 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 7 1 12 24 7 11 29 5 45 3.00
11 Colorado Big 12 4 2 4 4 14 7 6 11 24 2.00
12 Duke ACC 5 3 18 29 32 27 28 27 82 2.00
13 Navy Patriot 7 0 7 27 4 4 21 6 31 2.00
14 Princeton Ivy League 2 2 16 7 37 22 12 24 58 2.00
15 Arizona State Big 12 4 3 47 55 52 30 26 54 110 0.00
16 Clemson ACC 4 4 14 21 40 42 34 59 135 0.00
17 Columbia Ivy League 4 2 58 89 31 54 76 49 179 0.00
18 Connecticut Big East 3 3 32 18 59 34 27 50 111 0.00
19 Notre Dame ACC 6 2 20 30 20 33 60 34 127 0.00
20 Ohio State Big Ten 5 2 27 56 24 36 59 29 124 0.00
21 Stony Brook Colonial 4 2 6 1 9 2 1 14 17 0.00
22 Akron MAC 5 1 98 130 22 83 127 20 230 0.00
23 Albany America East 4 2 43 44 29 56 83 25 164 0.00
24 American Patriot 1 5 114 86 108 97 61 109 267 0.00
25 Army Patriot 5 2 24 26 12 25 43 16 84 0.00
26 Austin Peay Atlantic Sun 4 3 110 129 67 103 123 73 299 0.00
27 Binghamton America East 3 5 70 61 104 80 63 103 246 0.00
28 Boston College ACC 3 4 30 9 50 49 36 77 162 0.00
29 Boston Universit Patriot 4 4 54 62 81 79 88 83 250 0.00
30 Brown Ivy League 3 3 34 32 76 38 32 63 133 0.00
31 Bryant America East 5 3 67 79 62 84 108 64 256 0.00
32 Bucknell Patriot 4 2 62 71 30 41 54 26 121 0.00
33 Butler Big East 2 5 116 123 109 122 124 110 356 0.00
34 California ACC 4 5 66 49 96 74 68 85 227 0.00
35 Campbell Colonial 8 1 69 107 13 55 107 12 174 0.00
36 Canisius Metro Atlantic 5 2 74 125 39 72 103 38 213 0.00
37 Central Connecti Northeast 0 6 133 96 121 132 119 127 378 0.00
38 Central Michigan MAC 1 6 105 41 105 89 49 120 258 0.00
39 Cincinnati Big 12 7 3 64 82 53 58 90 48 196 0.00
40 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 5 2 78 115 41 60 94 39 193 0.00
41 Colgate Patriot 2 4 61 39 82 62 35 65 162 0.00
42 Cornell Ivy League 3 3 22 17 42 40 33 55 128 0.00
43 Dartmouth Ivy League 5 2 35 70 43 59 93 40 192 0.00
44 Davidson Atlantic 10 6 1 65 103 17 39 89 17 145 0.00
45 Delaware Atlantic Sun 1 4 45 20 84 35 3 78 116 0.00
46 Delaware State Northeast 0 7 131 93 133 120 86 132 338 0.00
47 Detroit Mercy MAC 0 5 127 90 117 131 118 111 360 0.00
48 Drexel Colonial 3 3 37 46 60 68 67 56 191 0.00
49 Duquesne Atlantic 10 1 5 122 116 114 129 129 116 374 0.00
50 East Carolina AAC 3 3 80 72 68 76 78 66 220 0.00
51 Eastern Michigan MAC 5 4 87 87 85 64 71 86 221 0.00
52 Elon Colonial 3 3 75 76 69 95 102 79 276 0.00
53 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 4 3 50 35 54 44 50 41 135 0.00
54 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 4 4 112 113 87 102 113 88 303 0.00
55 Florida Big 12 4 2 13 22 18 31 47 31 109 0.00
56 Florida State ACC 2 7 72 40 123 104 77 121 302 0.00
57 Furman Big South 2 4 91 78 88 92 79 94 265 0.00
58 Gardner Webb Big South 0 5 120 114 118 126 100 118 344 0.00
59 George Mason Atlantic 10 5 3 108 133 63 108 130 67 305 0.00
60 George Washingto Atlantic 10 5 2 88 131 44 88 122 42 252 0.00
61 Georgetown Big East 5 2 17 28 19 24 41 13 78 0.00
62 Harvard Ivy League 1 4 49 25 91 81 46 98 225 0.00
63 High Point Big South 0 5 97 19 97 73 9 95 177 0.00
64 Hofstra Colonial 4 4 51 65 77 71 72 60 203 0.00
65 Holy Cross Patriot 3 4 63 57 92 53 40 90 183 0.00
66 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 6 130 117 124 124 117 123 364 0.00
67 Iona Metro Atlantic 1 4 99 110 100 121 112 99 332 0.00
68 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 4 2 28 47 33 23 31 32 86 0.00
69 James Madison AAC 2 4 25 2 55 28 5 51 84 0.00
70 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 4 3 96 122 70 117 132 74 323 0.00
71 Kent State MAC 5 3 89 120 64 94 121 68 283 0.00
72 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 5 121 132 106 109 111 106 326 0.00
73 Lafayette Patriot 4 2 82 99 49 50 73 52 175 0.00
74 Le Moyne Northeast 5 1 76 108 23 69 116 21 206 0.00
75 Lehigh Patriot 5 2 55 91 45 75 106 43 224 0.00
76 Liberty Atlantic Sun 1 4 113 52 93 85 48 84 217 0.00
77 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 3 4 92 112 94 100 101 91 292 0.00
78 LIU Northeast 3 4 93 80 95 86 82 92 260 0.00
79 Longwood Big South 0 5 129 94 119 116 75 119 310 0.00
80 Louisville ACC 3 4 46 31 71 43 25 61 129 0.00
81 Loyola (MD) Patriot 4 3 23 6 34 16 8 33 57 0.00
82 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 1 6 124 100 125 118 99 124 341 0.00
83 Marist Metro Atlantic 1 5 73 53 115 101 65 107 273 0.00
84 Marquette Big East 4 3 38 63 51 52 57 57 166 0.00
85 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 5 2 33 48 26 17 22 23 62 0.00
86 Massachusetts-Lo America East 3 4 77 69 83 65 51 93 209 0.00
87 Mercer Big South 2 4 59 58 89 99 91 96 286 0.00
88 Mercyhurst Northeast 0 4 132 109 102 130 115 104 349 0.00
89 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 2 5 117 121 110 123 126 112 361 0.00
90 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 5 2 85 118 46 82 120 28 230 0.00
91 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 3 3 84 105 78 91 98 80 269 0.00
92 New Hampshire America East 2 4 109 84 98 113 114 97 324 0.00
93 New Haven Northeast 1 4 126 124 101 133 133 100 366 0.00
94 Niagara Metro Atlantic 1 6 86 50 126 87 42 122 251 0.00
95 Old Dominion AAC 5 3 103 119 65 105 128 69 302 0.00
96 Oregon Big Ten 6 2 71 95 36 48 87 36 171 0.00
97 Penn Ivy League 2 3 41 14 72 29 10 53 92 0.00
98 Pittsburgh ACC 3 4 19 3 56 18 4 45 67 0.00
99 Presbyterian Big South 2 5 118 128 111 112 105 113 330 0.00
100 Queens Atlantic Sun 0 7 111 66 131 119 84 133 336 0.00
101 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 3 3 68 98 61 90 97 81 268 0.00
102 Radford Big South 0 6 128 126 129 128 109 128 365 0.00
103 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 2 5 101 102 112 115 110 114 339 0.00
104 Richmond Atlantic 10 4 2 29 51 27 19 19 18 56 0.00
105 Rider Metro Atlantic 1 7 115 75 132 98 53 131 282 0.00
106 Robert Morris MAC 2 5 106 77 113 93 74 105 272 0.00
107 Rutgers Big Ten 5 2 26 33 38 15 17 30 62 0.00
108 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 1 5 119 106 116 127 125 117 369 0.00
109 San Diego State Big 12 1 5 90 60 103 78 30 101 209 0.00
110 Siena Metro Atlantic 5 2 60 68 47 26 44 37 107 0.00
111 South Florida AAC 4 2 39 45 25 47 69 35 151 0.00
112 Southern Califor Big Ten 6 2 36 42 15 20 38 15 73 0.00
113 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 5 3 56 83 66 66 85 70 221 0.00
114 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 2 5 44 34 99 61 24 87 172 0.00
115 Stetson Atlantic Sun 0 6 102 54 122 125 96 129 350 0.00
116 Stonehill Northeast 3 5 95 81 107 107 104 108 319 0.00
117 Temple AAC 8 1 42 74 16 45 95 9 149 0.00
118 Towson Colonial 2 5 48 10 86 37 7 102 146 0.00
119 UC Davis Big 12 4 4 53 64 79 67 66 71 204 0.00
120 UMBC America East 5 2 81 127 48 106 131 46 283 0.00
121 UNC-Charlotte AAC 4 4 83 88 90 46 45 89 180 0.00
122 Vanderbilt AAC 3 4 52 23 57 32 15 62 109 0.00
123 VCU Atlantic 10 4 3 79 104 73 77 92 75 244 0.00
124 Vermont America East 4 3 57 67 74 51 56 72 179 0.00
125 Villanova Big East 5 2 31 37 28 14 16 19 49 0.00
126 Virginia ACC 4 4 21 11 35 21 11 47 79 0.00
127 Virginia Tech ACC 5 4 40 38 58 57 64 58 179 0.00
128 Wagner Northeast 0 5 123 59 120 114 70 115 299 0.00
129 William & Mary Colonial 4 3 94 101 75 70 80 76 226 0.00
130 Winthrop Big South 3 3 100 97 80 63 58 82 203 0.00
131 Wofford Big South 1 6 104 92 127 96 55 125 276 0.00
132 Xavier Big East 1 6 107 111 128 110 81 126 317 0.00
133 Youngstown State MAC 0 6 125 85 130 111 62 130 303 0.00