List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Army Patriot 1 0 14 81 6 48 23 9 80 11.00
2 Florida State ACC 2 0 12 75 2 21 13 6 40 6.00
3 North Carolina ACC 1 0 8 99 31 75 92 32 199 6.00
4 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 1 0 20 87 17 61 51 18 130 5.00
5 Southern Califor Big Ten 1 0 3 66 41 3 8 42 53 5.00
6 Vermont America East 1 0 10 101 45 89 126 46 261 5.00
7 Boston Universit Patriot 1 0 15 82 8 50 27 11 88 4.00
8 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 1 0 27 76 20 64 65 21 150 4.00
9 Stanford ACC 1 0 26 93 43 86 116 44 246 4.00
10 Villanova Big East 1 0 2 58 46 4 10 2 16 4.00
11 Bucknell Patriot 1 0 4 94 10 52 30 12 94 3.00
12 George Washingto Atlantic 10 1 0 21 88 18 62 57 19 138 3.00
13 Michigan Big Ten 0 1 40 31 122 24 6 119 149 3.00
14 Northwestern Big Ten 1 0 9 100 32 76 93 33 202 3.00
15 Clemson ACC 1 0 17 84 11 55 34 13 102 2.00
16 Duke ACC 1 0 5 96 15 59 47 17 123 2.00
17 Marist Metro Atlantic 1 0 28 77 25 69 79 26 174 2.00
18 Notre Dame ACC 2 0 31 62 4 25 14 4 43 2.00
19 Robert Morris MAC 1 0 45 64 38 82 107 39 228 2.00
20 Virginia Tech ACC 1 0 39 70 47 90 128 47 265 2.00
21 Binghamton America East 0 1 72 26 105 94 25 100 219 0.00
22 Bryant America East 1 0 16 83 9 51 29 3 83 0.00
23 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 2 0 11 74 1 20 12 5 37 0.00
24 Colgate Patriot 1 0 36 67 12 56 35 14 105 0.00
25 Connecticut Big East 0 1 49 51 108 97 38 103 238 0.00
26 Davidson Atlantic 10 1 0 18 85 13 57 41 15 113 0.00
27 East Carolina AAC 1 0 19 86 16 60 49 1 110 0.00
28 Georgetown Big East 1 0 6 97 19 63 58 20 141 0.00
29 Holy Cross Patriot 0 1 78 14 115 107 62 84 253 0.00
30 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 0 1 58 43 118 112 74 115 301 0.00
31 LIU Northeast 1 0 44 63 24 68 75 25 168 0.00
32 Marquette Big East 2 0 1 32 3 1 1 7 9 0.00
33 Maryland Big Ten 1 0 29 78 26 70 80 27 177 0.00
34 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 1 0 34 72 29 73 86 30 189 0.00
35 Navy Patriot 1 0 37 68 30 74 88 31 193 0.00
36 Ohio State Big Ten 0 1 67 35 125 119 94 122 335 0.00
37 Richmond Atlantic 10 0 1 59 44 126 122 105 125 352 0.00
38 Rider Metro Atlantic 1 0 30 79 37 81 106 38 225 0.00
39 Siena Metro Atlantic 1 0 38 69 39 83 111 40 234 0.00
40 South Florida AAC 1 0 25 92 40 84 112 41 237 0.00
41 Syracuse ACC 0 1 75 29 129 128 119 129 376 0.00
42 Temple AAC 1 0 46 55 44 87 120 45 252 0.00
43 Akron MAC 1 0 13 80 5 47 19 8 74 0.00
44 American Patriot 0 1 93 1 86 92 21 98 211 0.00
45 Arizona State Big 12 0 1 47 49 104 93 22 99 214 0.00
46 Austin Peay Atlantic Sun 1 0 48 50 7 49 24 10 83 0.00
47 Boston College ACC 0 1 94 2 87 95 26 83 204 0.00
48 Butler Big East 1 1 54 71 98 53 15 94 162 0.00
49 California ACC 1 1 61 45 50 54 16 95 165 0.00
50 Campbell Colonial 0 1 73 27 106 96 31 101 228 0.00
51 Central Michigan MAC 0 1 91 30 107 18 3 102 123 0.00
52 Cincinnati Big 12 1 1 33 41 53 19 11 52 82 0.00
53 Delaware Atlantic Sun 0 1 53 48 109 98 42 104 244 0.00
54 Delaware State Northeast 0 1 76 12 110 99 43 105 247 0.00
55 Detroit Mercy MAC 0 1 100 56 111 100 45 106 251 0.00
56 Drexel Colonial 1 0 50 52 14 58 46 16 120 0.00
57 Duquesne Atlantic 10 0 1 77 13 91 101 48 107 256 0.00
58 Eastern Michigan MAC 1 1 32 11 59 2 2 58 62 0.00
59 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 0 1 74 28 112 102 52 85 239 0.00
60 Gardner Webb Big South 0 1 51 53 113 103 55 108 266 0.00
61 George Mason Atlantic 10 0 2 60 46 134 104 56 133 293 0.00
62 High Point Big South 0 1 95 3 85 105 60 109 274 0.00
63 Hofstra Colonial 0 1 62 37 114 106 61 110 277 0.00
64 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 1 79 15 116 108 63 111 282 0.00
65 James Madison AAC 0 1 96 4 88 109 66 112 287 0.00
66 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 1 0 7 98 21 65 67 22 154 0.00
67 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 0 1 68 7 92 22 4 90 116 0.00
68 Kent State MAC 1 0 41 59 22 66 68 23 157 0.00
69 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 0 22 89 23 67 69 24 160 0.00
70 Lehigh Patriot 0 1 57 42 117 110 72 113 295 0.00
71 Liberty Atlantic Sun 0 1 97 5 89 111 73 114 298 0.00
72 Longwood Big South 0 1 69 8 93 23 5 116 144 0.00
73 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 0 1 80 16 119 113 78 96 287 0.00
74 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 1 0 23 90 27 71 81 28 180 0.00
75 Massachusetts-Lo America East 1 0 24 91 28 72 82 29 183 0.00
76 Mercer Big South 0 1 63 38 120 114 83 117 314 0.00
77 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 0 1 66 34 121 115 85 118 318 0.00
78 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 0 1 99 57 123 116 87 86 289 0.00
79 New Hampshire America East 0 1 81 17 94 117 89 120 326 0.00
80 Niagara Metro Atlantic 0 1 82 18 124 118 91 121 330 0.00
81 Old Dominion AAC 1 0 55 95 33 77 95 34 206 0.00
82 Oregon Big Ten 1 0 52 54 34 78 96 35 209 0.00
83 Penn State Big Ten 1 0 42 60 35 79 98 36 213 0.00
84 Pittsburgh ACC 1 0 35 73 36 80 99 37 216 0.00
85 Presbyterian Big South 0 1 70 9 95 26 7 123 156 0.00
86 Queens Atlantic Sun 0 1 83 19 99 120 101 87 308 0.00
87 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 0 1 84 20 100 121 104 124 349 0.00
88 Rutgers Big Ten 0 1 85 21 96 123 108 91 322 0.00
89 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 0 1 86 22 101 124 109 126 359 0.00
90 San Diego State Big 12 0 1 90 65 127 125 110 127 362 0.00
91 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 0 1 64 39 128 126 113 128 367 0.00
92 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 1 0 43 61 42 85 115 43 243 0.00
93 Stetson Atlantic Sun 0 1 71 10 97 27 9 92 128 0.00
94 Towson Colonial 1 1 56 47 78 88 17 88 193 0.00
95 UC Davis Big 12 0 1 87 23 130 129 121 130 380 0.00
96 UNC-Charlotte AAC 0 1 98 6 90 130 123 93 346 0.00
97 Vanderbilt AAC 0 1 88 24 102 131 124 89 344 0.00
98 Virginia ACC 0 1 65 40 131 132 127 131 390 0.00
99 Wofford Big South 0 1 89 25 103 133 132 97 362 0.00
100 Xavier Big East 0 1 101 33 132 91 18 132 241 0.00
101 Youngstown State MAC 0 2 92 36 133 134 134 134 402 0.00
102 Albany America East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
103 Brown Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
104 Canisius Metro Atlantic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
105 Central Connecti Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
106 Colorado Big 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
107 Columbia Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
108 Cornell Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
109 Dartmouth Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
110 Denver Big East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
111 Elon Colonial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
112 Florida Big 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
113 Furman Big South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
114 Harvard Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
115 Iona Metro Atlantic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
116 Lafayette Patriot 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
117 Le Moyne Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
118 Louisville ACC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
119 Loyola (MD) Patriot 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
120 Mercyhurst Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
121 New Haven Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
122 Penn Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
123 Princeton Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
124 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
125 Radford Big South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
126 St Francis Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
127 Stonehill Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
128 Stony Brook Colonial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
129 UMBC America East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
130 VCU Atlantic 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
131 Wagner Northeast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
132 William & Mary Colonial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Winthrop Big South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
134 Yale Ivy League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00