Conf = AAC ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = tGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.5282288 home-field advantage = -0.84 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Vermont America East ( 4- 3, 87.5) 10-21 211 A Davidson Atlantic 10 ( 6- 1, 86.5) 5-15 214 A VCU Atlantic 10 ( 4- 3, 84.2) 16-15 218 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 5- 2, 84.3) 10-11 225 H Campbell Colonial ( 8- 1, 85.7) 9-13 228 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 5- 2, 82.8) 20- 8 304 H Winthrop Big South ( 3- 3, 80.8) 21-12 308 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 0- 6, 80.3) 16-14 314 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5- 3, 80.3) 317 A Denver Big East ( 6- 1, 96.1) 321 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 0- 5, 77.4) 328 A Vanderbilt AAC ( 3- 4, 88.4) 404 H James Madison AAC ( 2- 4, 92.7) 411 A South Florida AAC ( 4- 2, 90.3) 417 H Temple AAC ( 8- 1, 89.8) 425 A East Carolina AAC ( 3- 3, 84.1)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Vermont 10-21 -11 -3 - -3.89 211 A Davidson 5-15 -10 -3 - -3.24 214 A VCU 16-15 1 -1 + 2.47 218 H Coastal Carolina 10-11 -1 0 -1.08 225 H Campbell 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.68 228 A George Washington 20- 8 12 0 +++ 7.13 304 H Winthrop 21-12 9 3 + 3.36 308 H Stetson 16-14 2 4 - -2.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Vermont 10-21 -11 -3 - -3.89 211 A Davidson 5-15 -10 -3 - -3.24 225 H Campbell 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.68 308 H Stetson 16-14 2 4 - -2.11OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A George Washington 20- 8 12 0 +++ 7.13 214 A VCU 16-15 1 -1 + 2.47 304 H Winthrop 21-12 9 3 + 3.36
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.55 Power Rank................. 83 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 64.78 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 88 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5575 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 45 RPI Rating............... .5430 RPI Rank................... 46 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 121 Selection sum ........... 180 Selection Rank ............ 60 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -80. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 90 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 89 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.7