List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 RIT Liberty League 21 3 2 7 1 1 2 1 4 16.50
2 Tufts NESCAC 18 3 1 3 2 3 4 3 10 15.00
3 Bowdoin NESCAC 14 6 4 5 5 10 9 17 36 8.00
4 Middlebury NESCAC 12 9 8 1 13 19 6 31 56 8.00
5 Salisbury CLC 21 1 3 28 4 2 15 2 19 7.00
6 St Lawrence Liberty League 15 4 5 13 11 5 14 9 28 6.50
7 Christopher Newp CLC 16 6 9 11 10 4 1 5 10 6.00
8 Wesleyan NESCAC 15 4 7 10 6 15 38 14 67 4.00
9 Dickinson Centennial 17 3 16 17 12 7 30 10 47 3.50
10 Swarthmore Centennial 15 3 14 26 14 13 45 12 70 3.50
11 RPI Liberty League 17 3 6 8 3 6 11 4 21 3.00
12 Union Liberty League 12 6 13 6 15 8 5 16 29 3.00
13 Babson NEWMAC 16 4 12 32 7 21 26 8 55 2.50
14 Washington & Lee ODAC 16 6 15 36 19 9 3 11 23 2.00
15 Williams NESCAC 9 7 17 2 17 32 18 32 82 2.00
16 Amherst NESCAC 10 6 10 4 16 28 24 30 82 0.00
17 Cortland SUNYAC 11 5 26 40 43 29 51 43 123 0.00
18 Gettysburg Centennial 10 8 21 12 58 30 7 46 83 0.00
19 Grove City PAC 15 5 31 79 18 20 16 13 49 0.00
20 Lynchburg ODAC 16 6 11 34 23 11 17 18 46 0.00
21 Stevens MAC-Freedom 18 3 18 51 9 18 34 6 58 0.00
22 Endicott CCC 16 2 19 46 8 16 36 7 59 0.00
23 Hamilton NESCAC 9 7 20 9 22 51 28 44 123 0.00
24 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 8 28 20 86 36 21 72 129 0.00
25 Roanoke ODAC 15 6 24 50 33 25 12 29 66 0.00
26 St John Fisher Empire 8 14 8 25 37 36 34 10 34 78 0.00
27 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 27 14 34 55 53 65 173 0.00
28 York MAC-Commonwlth 10 8 22 25 55 37 8 39 84 0.00
29 Adrian MIAA 8 8 119 115 132 98 144 132 374 0.00
30 Albertus Magnus GNAC 3 12 207 217 223 224 187 224 635 0.00
31 Albion MIAA 8 11 107 81 192 74 40 169 283 0.00
32 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 6 10 147 124 178 187 184 177 548 0.00
33 Alfred Empire 8 10 5 87 88 65 69 125 66 260 0.00
34 Allegheny PAC 10 7 122 138 98 97 104 92 293 0.00
35 Alma MIAA 1 13 199 161 179 194 221 178 593 0.00
36 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 171 136 219 206 192 220 618 0.00
37 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 6 10 225 236 180 222 230 179 631 0.00
38 Anna Maria GNAC 2 14 203 186 239 220 183 239 642 0.00
39 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 10 8 73 70 106 103 96 104 303 0.00
40 Augustana CCIW 4 10 192 154 170 154 168 156 478 0.00
41 Aurora NACC 14 6 115 156 70 56 42 51 149 0.00
42 Averett ODAC 3 15 230 152 230 207 228 229 664 0.00
43 Baldwin Wallace OAC 10 7 97 117 99 76 83 93 252 0.00
44 Bates NESCAC 3 11 54 15 133 128 87 170 385 0.00
45 Beloit NACC 3 11 221 223 208 218 206 210 634 0.00
46 Benedictine (IL) NACC 6 11 162 166 197 139 75 193 407 0.00
47 Berry SAA 7 7 110 76 84 59 55 83 197 0.00
48 Bethany PAC 4 10 215 225 190 217 213 188 618 0.00
49 Birmingham South SAA 9 4 76 121 47 60 127 52 239 0.00
50 Brevard USA South 2 14 226 226 225 228 237 226 691 0.00
51 Bridgewater ODAC 6 11 128 83 193 145 76 194 415 0.00
52 Brockport SUNYAC 4 11 102 63 203 140 106 203 449 0.00
53 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 3 6 219 231 107 225 236 105 566 0.00
54 Cabrini AEC 15 5 34 74 27 41 59 25 125 0.00
55 Cairn UnitedEast 4 9 210 213 140 210 234 140 584 0.00
56 Calvin MIAA 12 6 120 140 56 62 167 60 289 0.00
57 Canton NAC 6 7 190 209 110 186 210 108 504 0.00
58 Capital OAC 9 9 116 131 141 105 103 141 349 0.00
59 Carroll CCIW 6 10 197 197 155 179 191 142 512 0.00
60 Carthage CCIW 8 9 118 125 146 87 54 124 265 0.00
61 Castleton LEC 3 14 189 132 238 191 149 238 578 0.00
62 Catholic Landmark 10 9 79 69 116 89 58 118 265 0.00
63 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 1 11 227 216 181 230 235 180 645 0.00
64 Centenary (NJ) AEC 1 12 234 208 229 237 227 230 694 0.00
65 Centre SAA 12 4 65 113 41 35 69 40 144 0.00
66 Chatham PAC 9 8 137 160 117 133 160 112 405 0.00
67 Clark NEWMAC 5 10 106 52 149 147 186 158 491 0.00
68 Clarkson Liberty League 8 9 33 23 89 58 35 84 177 0.00
69 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 12 104 47 212 185 152 215 552 0.00
70 Cobleskill NAC 1 11 231 232 213 235 229 212 676 0.00
71 Colby NESCAC 6 8 39 19 66 99 98 96 293 0.00
72 Colorado College HCLC South 8 6 56 72 67 50 101 53 204 0.00
73 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 12 235 221 231 231 226 231 688 0.00
74 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 13 6 141 194 73 101 128 71 300 0.00
75 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 9 45 16 85 111 79 113 303 0.00
76 Cornell College MLC 6 9 201 212 158 182 217 159 558 0.00
77 Curry CCC 4 14 129 86 236 165 88 236 489 0.00
78 Dean College GNAC 13 5 125 185 51 96 114 56 266 0.00
79 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 4 12 195 155 216 205 172 216 593 0.00
80 Delhi NAC 12 5 167 229 57 159 220 61 440 0.00
81 Denison NCAC 14 6 29 49 37 12 25 41 78 0.00
82 DePauw NCAC 8 8 146 144 124 104 99 114 317 0.00
83 DeSales MAC-Freedom 11 7 68 58 78 73 64 82 219 0.00
84 Drew Landmark 10 8 123 116 112 110 133 115 358 0.00
85 Dubuque MLC 10 7 134 172 100 83 73 94 250 0.00
86 Earlham HCLC North 7 9 228 237 150 226 232 151 609 0.00
87 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 8 11 58 44 182 106 81 181 368 0.00
88 Eastern Connecti LEC 6 11 143 122 198 164 122 199 485 0.00
89 Edgewood NACC 6 11 188 198 199 178 147 200 525 0.00
90 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 7 62 67 90 78 80 89 247 0.00
91 Elmhurst CCIW 13 4 57 92 35 17 20 26 63 0.00
92 Elms GNAC 5 9 202 211 159 196 204 160 560 0.00
93 Emerson NEWMAC 7 9 82 57 142 141 142 152 435 0.00
94 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 5 12 145 148 217 169 108 217 494 0.00
95 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 16 4 88 147 21 80 209 20 309 0.00
96 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 1 15 182 114 240 219 158 240 617 0.00
97 Ferrum ODAC 0 9 135 95 174 201 177 174 552 0.00
98 Franciscan PAC 10 7 185 222 101 177 205 97 479 0.00
99 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 7 10 48 35 160 90 70 153 313 0.00
100 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 7 32 38 32 26 29 36 91 0.00
101 Gordon CCC 4 10 156 100 187 166 131 189 486 0.00
102 Goucher Landmark 9 8 139 130 118 137 161 119 417 0.00
103 Greensboro USA South 7 9 186 201 156 189 223 157 569 0.00
104 Guilford ODAC 8 10 131 109 151 108 62 146 316 0.00
105 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 8 8 144 164 125 168 189 125 482 0.00
106 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 12 6 41 61 48 46 32 47 125 0.00
107 Hanover HCLC North 8 9 200 224 147 181 188 147 516 0.00
108 Hartford CCC 6 7 92 71 92 85 119 95 299 0.00
109 Hartwick Empire 8 5 9 113 77 161 131 123 161 415 0.00
110 Haverford Centennial 7 9 59 41 134 100 63 126 289 0.00
111 Heidelberg OAC 4 13 222 207 220 202 218 221 641 0.00
112 Hendrix SAA 5 9 148 139 162 149 134 162 445 0.00
113 Hilbert D3 Independent 3 6 220 240 91 236 239 90 565 0.00
114 Hiram NCAC 5 12 209 181 202 184 197 198 579 0.00
115 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 124 110 119 144 170 120 434 0.00
116 Hope MIAA 14 4 70 99 29 23 48 21 92 0.00
117 Huntingdon USA South 4 12 205 196 204 203 201 204 608 0.00
118 Husson NAC 6 10 204 230 183 209 215 182 606 0.00
119 Illinois Tech NACC 8 8 173 184 126 115 95 127 337 0.00
120 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 14 4 63 85 30 14 13 27 54 0.00
121 Immaculata AEC 9 7 153 169 103 158 179 102 439 0.00
122 Ithaca Liberty League 8 8 36 22 79 43 27 79 149 0.00
123 John Carroll OAC 11 5 72 108 60 48 65 54 167 0.00
124 Johnson & Wales GNAC 9 7 170 192 104 150 176 103 429 0.00
125 Juniata Landmark 2 15 198 137 241 212 162 241 615 0.00
126 Kalamazoo MIAA 5 8 155 145 136 130 137 135 402 0.00
127 Kean CLC 12 7 51 53 52 75 57 55 187 0.00
128 Keene State LEC 6 9 90 90 152 119 93 154 366 0.00
129 Kenyon NCAC 13 6 55 64 71 24 31 48 103 0.00
130 Keuka Empire 8 5 8 184 151 137 173 178 136 487 0.00
131 Keystone UnitedEast 6 10 206 214 184 199 211 183 593 0.00
132 Kings MAC-Freedom 3 11 172 127 205 195 173 205 573 0.00
133 La Roche D3 Independent 0 11 239 238 188 239 238 190 667 0.00
134 LaGrange USA South 8 10 180 189 175 171 222 175 568 0.00
135 Lake Forest MLC 16 3 111 176 20 52 91 15 158 0.00
136 Lasell GNAC 11 7 112 149 93 95 109 98 302 0.00
137 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 121 104 171 153 141 171 465 0.00
138 Lycoming Landmark 5 9 166 128 163 162 151 163 476 0.00
139 Maine Maritime NAC 11 5 158 190 61 126 196 63 385 0.00
140 Manhattanville Skyline 8 10 152 146 172 135 94 172 401 0.00
141 Marian (WI) NACC 3 10 213 220 194 213 200 196 609 0.00
142 Marietta OAC 7 10 168 157 176 148 153 176 477 0.00
143 Maritime Skyline 11 7 74 105 77 94 180 80 354 0.00
144 Mary Washington CLC 8 9 50 39 113 70 49 109 228 0.00
145 Marymount AEC 9 10 117 112 166 120 117 165 402 0.00
146 Marywood AEC 3 13 187 167 235 208 181 235 624 0.00
147 Massachusetts Ma LEC 8 7 109 141 108 121 148 106 375 0.00
148 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 13 5 83 101 44 88 105 57 250 0.00
149 McDaniel Centennial 6 9 93 56 143 124 130 133 387 0.00
150 MCLA NAC 2 12 232 234 226 234 224 227 685 0.00
151 Merchant Marine Skyline 10 5 99 142 68 102 138 67 307 0.00
152 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 12 6 61 62 74 79 118 76 273 0.00
153 Methodist USA South 9 8 174 193 120 155 157 121 433 0.00
154 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 103 93 138 117 86 137 340 0.00
155 MIT NEWMAC 6 10 47 29 127 112 82 148 342 0.00
156 Mitchell GNAC 0 12 236 199 232 229 198 232 659 0.00
157 Montclair State CLC 4 10 89 48 153 127 68 149 344 0.00
158 Moravian Landmark 9 9 126 119 144 114 121 143 378 0.00
159 Morrisville NAC 8 8 164 178 128 143 139 128 410 0.00
160 Mount St Joseph HCLC North 0 13 238 235 237 238 231 237 706 0.00
161 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 4 9 183 171 167 200 212 166 578 0.00
162 Mount St Vincent Skyline 6 8 193 195 135 188 203 134 525 0.00
163 Mount Union OAC 6 11 169 191 200 176 155 201 532 0.00
164 MSOE NACC 8 8 176 202 129 167 171 129 467 0.00
165 Muskingum OAC 9 8 154 182 121 125 159 122 406 0.00
166 Nazareth Empire 8 12 7 35 43 62 38 47 64 149 0.00
167 Neumann AEC 9 9 159 162 145 174 165 144 483 0.00
168 New England Coll GNAC 4 11 179 174 206 192 190 206 588 0.00
169 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 10 133 103 189 136 113 191 440 0.00
170 Nichols CCC 8 10 101 73 157 123 77 167 367 0.00
171 North Central CCIW 11 4 98 134 42 44 89 33 166 0.00
172 Northland MLC 3 10 218 219 173 197 214 173 584 0.00
173 Northwestern (MN MLC 6 6 191 203 87 146 195 87 428 0.00
174 Norwich GNAC 11 7 149 177 94 142 163 99 404 0.00
175 Oberlin NCAC 10 6 95 94 81 47 66 77 190 0.00
176 Oglethorpe SAA 5 10 194 163 168 175 193 168 536 0.00
177 Ohio Northern OAC 13 6 80 129 75 72 102 78 252 0.00
178 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 11 5 38 66 49 22 43 42 107 0.00
179 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 8 85 59 122 109 116 130 355 0.00
180 Oswego SUNYAC 10 6 71 68 82 84 112 85 281 0.00
181 Otterbein OAC 8 8 140 153 130 129 145 131 405 0.00
182 Penn College UnitedEast 10 9 160 180 139 170 185 138 493 0.00
183 Pfeiffer USA South 13 6 96 143 69 54 52 68 174 0.00
184 Piedmont USA South 15 3 105 183 26 65 129 28 222 0.00
185 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 4 12 163 98 221 172 146 222 540 0.00
186 Plymouth State LEC 15 5 77 118 38 64 71 37 172 0.00
187 Potsdam SUNYAC 10 6 60 80 72 81 100 73 254 0.00
188 Purchase Skyline 3 12 224 206 224 215 175 225 615 0.00
189 Randolph ODAC 5 11 217 170 191 198 182 192 572 0.00
190 Randolph-Macon ODAC 16 5 30 60 28 45 56 22 123 0.00
191 Regis (MA) GNAC 6 7 196 210 111 190 216 110 516 0.00
192 Rhodes SAA 9 7 69 82 88 66 60 88 214 0.00
193 Rivier GNAC 11 7 114 158 95 118 120 100 338 0.00
194 Roger Williams CCC 13 6 66 75 63 82 90 74 246 0.00
195 Rosemont UnitedEast 1 11 229 215 201 232 233 202 667 0.00
196 Sage Empire 8 6 10 151 123 185 160 124 184 468 0.00
197 Salem State LEC 4 11 208 188 207 211 208 207 626 0.00
198 Salve Regina NEWMAC 4 10 78 45 169 151 135 185 471 0.00
199 Scranton Landmark 14 8 52 54 83 39 37 75 151 0.00
200 Sewanee SAA 10 4 84 97 45 31 74 45 150 0.00
201 Shenandoah ODAC 12 7 86 91 80 86 78 81 245 0.00
202 Skidmore Liberty League 9 7 40 24 59 42 44 58 144 0.00
203 Southern Maine LEC 5 12 181 159 218 183 126 218 527 0.00
204 Southern Virgini USA South 8 11 138 120 195 113 61 195 369 0.00
205 Southwestern HCLC South 2 12 132 65 227 152 72 219 443 0.00
206 Spalding HCLC North 2 12 237 233 228 233 219 228 680 0.00
207 Springfield NEWMAC 7 10 44 21 105 92 33 139 264 0.00
208 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 17 4 130 179 24 77 84 23 184 0.00
209 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 1 11 214 175 214 204 169 213 586 0.00
210 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 10 8 136 150 114 116 132 116 364 0.00
211 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 14 7 53 102 50 57 22 49 128 0.00
212 St Vincent PAC 8 9 127 135 148 107 92 145 344 0.00
213 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 7 23 31 31 27 19 19 65 0.00
214 Stockton CLC 11 8 46 33 64 40 39 62 141 0.00
215 SUNY Poly NAC 10 7 178 204 102 138 156 101 395 0.00
216 Susquehanna Landmark 14 4 67 107 39 68 136 38 242 0.00
217 Thiel PAC 3 11 223 205 209 214 194 208 616 0.00
218 Thomas NAC 2 9 216 227 154 223 225 155 603 0.00
219 Transylvania HCLC North 11 7 100 173 96 93 85 91 269 0.00
220 Trine MIAA 6 10 161 187 186 180 154 186 520 0.00
221 U of New England CCC 4 13 142 89 233 163 97 233 493 0.00
222 Ursinus Centennial 7 9 43 27 123 71 41 111 223 0.00
223 Utica Empire 8 6 10 157 106 177 156 164 187 507 0.00
224 Vassar Liberty League 9 6 42 30 40 33 50 35 118 0.00
225 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 6 11 175 126 196 157 115 197 469 0.00
226 Wabash NCAC 8 8 165 168 131 122 140 117 379 0.00
227 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 10 240 239 164 240 240 164 644 0.00
228 Washington & Jef PAC 3 11 212 200 210 216 202 209 627 0.00
229 Washington Colle Centennial 6 11 49 18 165 91 46 150 287 0.00
230 Wentworth CCC 13 6 81 84 46 61 174 50 285 0.00
231 Western Connecti LEC 13 5 64 96 53 63 107 59 229 0.00
232 Western New Engl CCC 11 7 37 42 54 49 23 69 141 0.00
233 Westminster (PA) PAC 10 8 150 165 115 132 150 107 389 0.00
234 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 8 91 78 109 134 143 123 400 0.00
235 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 108 55 215 161 111 214 486 0.00
236 Wilkes Landmark 4 12 177 133 222 193 166 223 582 0.00
237 William Peace USA South 3 11 211 218 211 221 207 211 639 0.00
238 Wilmington (OH) OAC 4 13 233 228 234 227 199 234 660 0.00
239 Wittenberg NCAC 8 5 94 111 76 67 110 70 247 0.00
240 Wooster NCAC 11 7 75 87 97 53 67 86 206 0.00
241 Alfred State zz - Archived 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00