List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Champ % = Championship Probability
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings
which determines selection standing
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Adrian MIAA 9 8 124 113 129 77 62 115 254 0.00
2 Albertus Magnus GNAC 9 7 184 213 109 167 182 106 455 0.00
3 Albion MIAA 14 5 77 106 49 24 43 33 100 0.00
4 Albright MAC-C 2 14 168 90 236 199 147 236 582 0.00
5 Alfred Empire 8 11 5 75 107 60 95 128 55 278 0.00
6 Allegheny PAC 8 8 128 151 136 126 138 133 397 0.00
7 Alma MIAA 2 11 188 145 219 189 184 220 593 0.00
8 Alvernia MAC-C 4 11 193 122 202 181 146 204 531 0.00
9 Amherst NESCAC 12 6 8 2 9 16 11 22 49 0.00
10 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 7 5 215 240 71 209 241 72 522 0.00
11 Anna Maria GNAC 2 15 198 141 242 187 109 242 538 0.00
12 Arcadia MAC-F 7 10 92 68 178 129 103 176 408 0.00
13 Augustana CCIW 6 10 190 176 187 175 140 184 499 0.00
14 Aurora NACC 15 5 111 182 44 53 78 41 172 0.00
15 Averett ODAC 3 10 209 140 194 198 163 190 551 0.00
16 Babson NEWMAC 11 5 16 28 21 35 65 34 134 0.00
17 Baldwin Wallace OAC 16 3 51 99 22 17 29 10 56 0.00
18 Bates NESCAC 1 12 80 4 156 134 56 200 390 0.00
19 Beloit NACC 2 12 232 222 226 225 188 226 639 0.00
20 Benedictine (IL) NACC 5 12 179 175 222 148 97 221 466 0.00
21 Berry SAA 6 7 104 92 104 98 94 93 285 0.00
22 Bethany PAC 5 9 216 212 175 212 205 174 591 0.00
23 Birmingham-South SAA 10 7 91 120 105 70 89 94 253 0.00
24 Bowdoin NESCAC 11 5 10 11 16 33 51 35 119 0.00
25 Brevard USA South 3 13 217 204 225 229 218 225 672 0.00
26 Bridgewater ODAC 8 8 100 80 122 106 112 119 337 0.00
27 Brockport SUNYAC 4 10 103 63 195 128 93 197 418 0.00
28 Bryn Athyn CSAC 4 6 223 243 110 235 245 107 587 0.00
29 Cabrini AEC 14 5 22 57 13 25 21 15 61 0.00
30 Cairn CSAC 6 7 220 238 117 221 236 120 577 0.00
31 Calvin MIAA 7 10 148 153 184 121 98 185 404 0.00
32 Canton NAC 6 9 202 224 169 197 201 168 566 0.00
33 Capital OAC 13 5 90 125 53 48 64 30 142 0.00
34 Carroll CCIW 3 14 228 197 239 214 151 239 604 0.00
35 Carthage CCIW 11 6 110 160 76 69 81 68 218 0.00
36 Castleton LEC 4 13 189 165 233 194 149 232 575 0.00
37 Catholic Landmark 6 10 66 37 130 93 28 128 249 0.00
38 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 2 10 227 215 203 237 234 202 673 0.00
39 Centre SAA 13 4 76 115 35 26 35 31 92 0.00
40 Chatham PAC 6 10 149 135 188 144 135 186 465 0.00
41 Christopher Newp CLC 19 3 4 9 4 2 1 3 6 0.00
42 Clark NEWMAC 5 9 86 44 139 137 187 147 471 0.00
43 Clarkson Liberty 11 5 29 33 30 31 60 40 131 0.00
44 Coast Guard NEWMAC 5 8 62 36 137 120 116 148 384 0.00
45 Cobleskill NAC 8 5 207 244 68 173 228 69 470 0.00
46 Colby NESCAC 4 10 53 26 123 125 86 163 374 0.00
47 Colorado College HCLC South 9 7 65 61 72 65 82 56 203 0.00
48 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 11 6 171 214 77 124 159 76 359 0.00
49 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 6 8 24 8 61 59 26 84 169 0.00
50 Cornell College MLC 5 13 211 206 210 188 223 210 621 0.00
51 Cortland SUNYAC 13 5 19 42 34 21 45 25 91 0.00
52 Curry CCC 5 11 132 104 211 166 150 211 527 0.00
53 Dean College GNAC 10 6 133 191 80 118 139 80 337 0.00
54 Delaware Valley MAC-F 6 11 160 143 199 186 179 205 570 0.00
55 Delhi NAC 8 9 183 209 157 151 144 159 454 0.00
56 Denison NCAC 16 4 26 52 11 6 10 7 23 0.00
57 DePauw NCAC 7 9 154 155 161 113 88 134 335 0.00
58 DeSales MAC-F 10 8 67 58 88 94 80 116 290 0.00
59 Dickinson Centennial 15 4 9 16 8 5 3 11 19 0.00
60 Drew Landmark 6 10 136 117 180 165 152 191 508 0.00
61 Dubuque MLC 10 8 143 192 124 115 91 121 327 0.00
62 Earlham HCLC North 4 8 229 241 152 233 240 155 628 0.00
63 Eastern MAC-C 9 9 54 53 131 87 73 137 297 0.00
64 Eastern Connecti LEC 6 10 140 134 189 160 123 192 475 0.00
65 Eastern Nazarene NECC 3 8 236 239 158 240 243 160 643 0.00
66 Edgewood NACC 6 10 204 225 190 203 194 193 590 0.00
67 Elizabethtown Landmark 12 5 43 60 57 51 95 51 197 0.00
68 Elmhurst CCIW 10 5 97 129 64 49 75 58 182 0.00
69 Emerson NEWMAC 5 12 93 49 204 145 111 218 474 0.00
70 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 16 6 113 136 45 55 69 47 171 0.00
71 Endicott CCC 13 5 42 50 37 42 99 48 189 0.00
72 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 13 4 79 150 26 83 211 26 320 0.00
73 FDU-Florham MAC-F 8 10 142 130 176 163 141 179 483 0.00
74 Ferrum ODAC 3 11 200 142 212 207 157 212 576 0.00
75 Franciscan PAC 6 7 197 205 118 191 212 122 525 0.00
76 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 8 7 33 25 66 47 53 59 159 0.00
77 Geneseo SUNYAC 15 5 28 43 23 19 52 36 107 0.00
78 Gettysburg Centennial 13 4 7 10 10 8 9 8 25 0.00
79 Gordon CCC 3 12 144 124 217 196 173 217 586 0.00
80 Goucher Landmark 5 11 146 123 213 183 185 213 581 0.00
81 Greensboro USA South 5 11 172 162 215 185 221 215 621 0.00
82 Grove City PAC 11 9 56 62 95 34 6 60 100 0.00
83 Guilford ODAC 7 8 126 111 119 127 113 117 357 0.00
84 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 7 9 139 154 162 176 181 164 521 0.00
85 Hamilton NESCAC 7 8 23 12 54 76 50 85 211 0.00
86 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 13 5 37 66 27 38 24 19 81 0.00
87 Hanover HCLC North 7 8 194 220 140 182 193 139 514 0.00
88 Hartwick Empire 8 6 6 101 108 99 141 189 95 425 0.00
89 Haverford Centennial 5 10 48 24 159 82 37 140 259 0.00
90 Heidelberg OAC 4 10 219 173 198 180 166 187 533 0.00
91 Hendrix SAA 6 11 152 149 205 143 100 206 449 0.00
92 Hilbert United East 3 8 225 211 160 213 214 161 588 0.00
93 Hiram NCAC 5 12 210 185 223 190 134 203 527 0.00
94 Hood MAC-C 9 7 123 103 96 135 171 96 402 0.00
95 Hope MIAA 13 6 88 112 58 29 48 54 131 0.00
96 Huntingdon USA South 6 10 195 200 196 220 217 198 635 0.00
97 Husson NAC 9 8 206 235 132 193 209 135 537 0.00
98 Illinois Tech NACC 10 6 165 196 81 100 119 81 300 0.00
99 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 14 4 71 105 31 18 22 20 60 0.00
100 Immaculata AEC 10 8 156 170 125 155 190 129 474 0.00
101 Ithaca Liberty 7 8 32 22 84 50 34 92 176 0.00
102 John Carroll OAC 15 3 44 85 17 11 23 13 47 0.00
103 Johnson & Wales GNAC 10 7 163 195 106 142 153 101 396 0.00
104 Juniata Landmark 3 13 191 126 234 204 168 234 606 0.00
105 Kalamazoo MIAA 7 9 177 180 141 132 180 141 453 0.00
106 Kean CLC 11 8 57 56 69 46 31 70 147 0.00
107 Keene State LEC 8 6 83 100 89 90 90 86 266 0.00
108 Kenyon NCAC 15 3 41 69 19 9 15 12 36 0.00
109 Keuka Empire 8 5 7 185 187 126 210 231 130 571 0.00
110 LaGrange USA South 8 9 174 181 163 169 220 165 554 0.00
111 Lake Forest MLC 13 5 150 203 55 108 129 49 286 0.00
112 Lasell GNAC 11 7 121 139 97 72 84 97 253 0.00
113 Lebanon Valley MAC-C 8 9 102 86 145 158 154 149 461 0.00
114 Lycoming MAC-F 6 11 141 98 200 177 162 207 546 0.00
115 Lynchburg ODAC 15 7 14 29 20 12 2 17 31 0.00
116 Maine Maritime NAC 14 4 145 219 36 110 199 39 348 0.00
117 Manhattanville Skyline 7 9 173 186 164 184 197 166 547 0.00
118 Marian (WI) NACC 9 7 203 234 111 179 196 108 483 0.00
119 Marietta OAC 5 10 159 146 197 149 122 180 451 0.00
120 Maritime Skyline 13 5 59 79 43 45 66 52 163 0.00
121 Mary Washington CLC 7 11 60 41 177 96 61 175 332 0.00
122 Marymount AEC 9 10 131 121 179 139 132 177 448 0.00
123 Marywood AEC 6 9 167 174 170 205 206 169 580 0.00
124 Massachusetts Ma LEC 8 6 118 147 90 112 136 87 335 0.00
125 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 10 7 106 114 100 101 96 102 299 0.00
126 McDaniel Centennial 6 10 70 48 165 114 71 150 335 0.00
127 MCLA NAC 6 9 222 245 171 224 229 170 623 0.00
128 Medaille Empire 8 2 12 231 190 227 228 202 227 657 0.00
129 Merchant Marine Skyline 10 7 63 78 85 62 39 82 183 0.00
130 Messiah MAC-C 11 7 73 74 86 102 126 88 316 0.00
131 Methodist USA South 7 9 161 168 172 164 224 171 559 0.00
132 Middlebury NESCAC 18 3 5 3 5 7 13 5 25 0.00
133 Misericordia MAC-F 10 9 95 82 133 123 118 151 392 0.00
134 MIT NEWMAC 11 5 25 39 50 64 117 61 242 0.00
135 Monmouth (IL) MLC 1 13 235 216 220 234 227 222 683 0.00
136 Montclair State CLC 10 8 58 54 73 63 33 73 169 0.00
137 Moravian Landmark 7 8 137 131 142 154 160 142 456 0.00
138 Morrisville United East 8 4 117 179 56 111 170 53 334 0.00
139 Mount St Joseph HCLC North 2 11 233 242 218 238 235 219 692 0.00
140 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 5 8 151 133 149 157 175 152 484 0.00
141 Mount St Vincent Skyline 4 11 212 194 216 216 195 216 627 0.00
142 Mount Union OAC 6 11 138 144 206 133 85 199 417 0.00
143 MSOE NACC 8 6 169 210 91 138 167 89 394 0.00
144 Muhlenberg Centennial 11 5 27 23 32 23 46 24 93 0.00
145 Muskingum OAC 7 9 155 152 166 146 127 153 426 0.00
146 Nazareth Empire 8 10 9 55 51 107 85 79 131 295 0.00
147 Neumann AEC 6 11 158 157 207 206 204 208 618 0.00
148 New England Coll NECC 6 13 187 202 228 201 142 229 572 0.00
149 New Paltz SUNYAC 8 7 109 94 112 103 105 103 311 0.00
150 Nichols CCC 11 8 99 88 120 105 106 123 334 0.00
151 North Central (I CCIW 10 6 85 119 82 66 76 74 216 0.00
152 Northern Vermont NAC 1 8 238 233 173 226 225 172 623 0.00
153 Northland MLC 5 8 224 237 150 215 226 154 595 0.00
154 Northwestern (MN MLC 3 9 218 221 181 217 213 181 611 0.00
155 Norwich GNAC 6 12 164 166 221 159 104 223 486 0.00
156 Oberlin NCAC 8 8 74 75 138 61 49 90 200 0.00
157 Oglethorpe SAA 5 9 192 148 182 170 208 182 560 0.00
158 Ohio Northern OAC 12 6 81 116 74 74 83 62 219 0.00
159 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 12 5 61 76 59 20 20 27 67 0.00
160 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 7 89 64 113 117 125 118 360 0.00
161 Oswego SUNYAC 7 6 105 65 87 86 108 91 285 0.00
162 Otterbein OAC 6 11 116 110 208 109 36 188 333 0.00
163 Penn College United East 11 6 135 183 78 140 174 77 391 0.00
164 Pfeiffer USA South 16 2 84 177 12 57 130 16 203 0.00
165 Piedmont USA South 11 6 125 171 79 107 143 78 328 0.00
166 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 13 157 70 232 178 110 235 523 0.00
167 Plymouth State LEC 13 3 122 164 28 97 169 28 294 0.00
168 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 8 108 89 127 122 121 138 381 0.00
169 Purchase Skyline 6 10 208 201 191 200 186 194 580 0.00
170 Randolph ODAC 2 14 221 159 229 222 210 228 660 0.00
171 Randolph-Macon ODAC 12 6 52 72 46 79 92 44 215 0.00
172 Regis (MA) GNAC 3 11 201 199 201 202 177 201 580 0.00
173 Rhodes SAA 12 6 78 102 75 41 42 65 148 0.00
174 RIT Liberty 21 2 3 7 3 4 7 4 15 0.00
175 Rivier GNAC 12 4 114 169 39 78 137 42 257 0.00
176 Roanoke ODAC 11 8 40 47 67 40 18 50 108 0.00
177 Roger Williams CCC 9 7 82 71 108 99 115 109 323 0.00
178 Rosemont CSAC 6 8 205 230 146 218 239 144 601 0.00
179 RPI Liberty 9 7 20 13 51 37 38 66 141 0.00
180 Sage Empire 8 6 11 170 163 209 195 172 209 576 0.00
181 Salem State LEC 1 16 230 189 244 230 215 243 688 0.00
182 Salve Regina CCC 11 7 72 67 98 81 101 98 280 0.00
183 Scranton Landmark 14 6 46 55 40 39 41 45 125 0.00
184 Sewanee SAA 11 5 94 96 62 44 87 63 194 0.00
185 Shenandoah ODAC 9 10 98 81 151 116 107 143 366 0.00
186 Skidmore Liberty 10 6 36 32 47 43 63 64 170 0.00
187 Southern Maine LEC 4 12 182 161 224 168 114 224 506 0.00
188 Southern Virgini USA South 9 8 112 109 134 73 40 124 237 0.00
189 Southwestern HCLC South 9 9 127 138 153 119 102 156 377 0.00
190 Springfield NEWMAC 6 9 45 20 92 80 32 125 237 0.00
191 St John Fisher Empire 8 10 10 30 40 93 67 30 110 207 0.00
192 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 11 9 153 167 121 104 124 126 354 0.00
193 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 9 9 147 158 154 131 131 157 419 0.00
194 St Josephs (NY) Skyline 1 5 214 178 101 219 219 99 537 0.00
195 St Lawrence Liberty 12 6 15 19 25 27 19 29 75 0.00
196 St Marys (MD) United East 13 6 50 84 41 60 58 37 155 0.00
197 St Vincent PAC 15 3 96 156 24 68 155 21 244 0.00
198 Stevens MAC-F 18 3 12 59 6 28 54 6 88 0.00
199 Stevenson MAC-C 11 8 31 31 33 36 17 32 85 0.00
200 Stockton CLC 11 6 39 35 52 22 25 46 93 0.00
201 SUNY Poly NAC 10 5 180 226 65 136 191 67 394 0.00
202 Susquehanna Landmark 10 8 87 97 116 130 148 111 389 0.00
203 Swarthmore Centennial 13 3 21 30 15 15 57 18 90 0.00
204 Thiel PAC 4 8 196 172 135 171 198 136 505 0.00
205 Thomas NAC 4 8 213 218 155 192 200 158 550 0.00
206 Transylvania CCIW 6 10 120 91 192 88 47 178 313 0.00
207 Trine MIAA 9 5 175 207 70 152 203 71 426 0.00
208 Trinity NESCAC 8 8 35 15 63 89 59 100 248 0.00
209 Tufts NESCAC 22 0 1 5 1 3 5 1 9 0.00
210 U New England CCC 8 10 129 128 183 156 133 183 472 0.00
211 Union Liberty 12 7 13 6 18 14 14 38 66 0.00
212 Ursinus Centennial 7 8 38 18 83 54 44 75 173 0.00
213 Utica Empire 8 7 10 162 127 185 162 161 189 512 0.00
214 Vassar Liberty 7 8 47 34 102 75 67 104 246 0.00
215 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 5 9 166 118 167 153 145 167 465 0.00
216 Wabash NCAC 7 9 181 184 143 150 158 112 420 0.00
217 Warren Wilson Independent 1 8 240 227 174 244 244 173 661 0.00
218 Washington & Jef PAC 4 6 186 217 114 208 238 113 559 0.00
219 Washington & Lee ODAC 18 5 11 38 7 10 12 9 31 0.00
220 Washington Colle Centennial 8 9 34 21 103 52 27 83 162 0.00
221 Wells United East 1 10 241 208 193 231 232 195 658 0.00
222 Wentworth Tech CCC 5 12 115 73 214 147 164 214 525 0.00
223 Wesleyan NESCAC 8 7 18 14 48 56 55 79 190 0.00
224 Western Connecti LEC 13 5 68 95 42 58 68 43 169 0.00
225 Western New Engl CCC 12 9 49 45 94 71 70 132 273 0.00
226 Westminster (PA) PAC 9 7 107 132 115 92 120 105 317 0.00
227 Wheaton NEWMAC 6 10 130 83 186 172 176 196 544 0.00
228 Whittier Independent 2 9 134 77 168 161 156 162 479 0.00
229 Widener MAC-C 9 9 64 46 128 91 77 127 295 0.00
230 Wilkes MAC-F 4 13 178 137 230 211 192 233 636 0.00
231 William Peace USA South 6 8 176 188 147 174 183 145 502 0.00
232 Williams NESCAC 10 8 17 1 29 32 16 57 105 0.00
233 Wilmington (OH) OAC 3 13 226 198 235 223 178 230 631 0.00
234 Wittenberg NCAC 7 8 119 87 144 84 72 114 270 0.00
235 Wooster NCAC 13 4 69 93 38 30 74 23 127 0.00
236 York MAC-C 15 6 6 27 14 13 8 14 35 0.00
237 Cazenovia NAC 0 7 244 236 148 239 233 146 0 0.00
238 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 15 237 193 245 236 207 244 0 0.00
239 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 15 239 223 240 232 222 240 0 0.00
240 Keystone CSAC 0 13 234 229 237 241 230 237 0 0.00
241 Kings MAC-F 0 15 199 101 243 227 165 245 0 0.00
242 La Roche United East 0 12 243 228 231 243 237 231 0 0.00
243 Mitchell NECC 0 14 245 232 238 245 242 238 0 0.00
244 Spalding HCLC North 0 14 242 231 241 242 216 241 0 0.00