List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 18 0 1 4 1 3 7 2 12 49.10
2 Salisbury CLC 19 0 3 19 2 1 5 1 7 18.70
3 Bowdoin NESCAC 13 3 2 7 4 12 30 14 56 11.15
4 RIT Liberty League 18 1 4 13 3 2 4 3 9 7.55
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 12 5 5 3 5 8 9 19 36 5.95
6 Chris Newport CLC 16 3 6 17 6 4 1 4 9 3.85
7 RPI Liberty League 14 3 7 15 7 14 42 12 68 0.00
8 Amherst NESCAC 10 5 8 5 9 19 38 28 85 0.00
9 Gettysburg Centennial 13 4 10 16 15 6 6 9 21 0.00
10 Stevens MAC-Freedom 15 3 12 54 12 28 89 13 130 0.00
11 Cortland SUNYAC 17 2 11 46 8 16 31 6 53 0.00
12 York MAC-Commonwlth 16 3 16 32 13 10 11 8 29 0.00
13 Middlebury NESCAC 9 8 9 2 24 30 14 53 97 0.00
14 Dickinson Centennial 13 5 20 18 22 9 13 22 44 0.00
15 Endicott CNE 13 3 24 51 20 38 79 20 137 0.00
16 Lynchburg ODAC 13 6 23 45 37 23 10 24 57 0.00
17 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 5 21 28 19 17 8 7 32 0.00
18 WashLee ODAC 16 3 26 43 11 18 16 5 39 0.00
19 Williams NESCAC 7 9 14 1 36 45 12 75 132 0.00
20 Adrian MIAA 11 7 87 95 81 48 48 68 164 0.00
21 Alb Magnus GNAC South 5 10 215 220 182 207 205 183 595 0.00
22 Albion MIAA 11 9 86 77 145 42 32 109 183 0.00
23 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 16 141 86 236 187 137 236 560 0.00
24 Alfred Empire 8 6 9 131 123 165 145 168 161 474 0.00
25 Alfred State AMCC 9 6 209 233 82 200 230 82 512 0.00
26 Allegheny PAC 8 9 153 181 155 148 152 155 455 0.00
27 Alma MIAA 6 7 186 192 118 160 192 117 469 0.00
28 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 7 9 154 142 156 170 181 145 496 0.00
29 Anderson-IN HCLC North 3 11 212 221 199 221 219 199 639 0.00
30 Anna Maria GNAC North 4 11 211 211 192 197 188 192 577 0.00
31 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 12 7 81 83 77 106 130 94 330 0.00
32 Augustana CCIW 0 3 221 214 44 236 235 43 514 0.00
33 Aurora NACC 14 6 106 148 63 65 62 44 171 0.00
34 Averett ODAC 4 13 201 144 224 179 131 223 533 0.00
35 Babson NEWMAC 14 5 25 29 21 31 51 32 114 0.00
36 Bald Wallace OAC 14 5 59 87 46 25 53 42 120 0.00
37 Bates NESCAC 9 7 18 14 25 52 56 52 160 0.00
38 Beloit NACC 4 11 202 205 193 202 197 193 592 0.00
39 Benedictine NACC 6 12 171 185 202 174 151 200 525 0.00
40 Berry SAA 4 9 137 108 171 153 149 171 473 0.00
41 Bethany PAC 7 10 192 208 160 177 224 162 563 0.00
42 Brevard USA South 2 13 226 224 218 217 226 217 660 0.00
43 Bridgewater ODAC 5 12 144 97 205 162 113 203 478 0.00
44 Brockport SUNYAC 8 9 114 84 150 128 108 146 382 0.00
45 Bryn Athyn United East 3 7 224 227 135 220 227 134 581 0.00
46 Cairn United East 0 12 229 212 221 232 216 224 672 0.00
47 Calvin MIAA 6 10 117 106 178 117 92 173 382 0.00
48 Canton NAC 1 11 180 122 200 213 193 201 607 0.00
49 Capital OAC 6 10 119 118 179 136 103 179 418 0.00
50 Carroll CCIW 5 8 188 170 151 157 160 120 437 0.00
51 Carthage CCIW 11 5 83 133 54 54 75 34 163 0.00
52 Castleton LEC 3 12 178 156 214 209 186 215 610 0.00
53 Catholic Landmark 9 10 78 68 157 108 91 153 352 0.00
54 CentenaryLA HCLC South 6 6 194 225 78 206 229 76 511 0.00
55 CentenaryNJ AEC 0 11 231 207 206 229 213 207 649 0.00
56 Centre SAA 9 7 71 94 105 64 46 83 193 0.00
57 Chatham PAC 13 6 94 136 66 91 115 65 271 0.00
58 Clark NEWMAC 9 6 89 74 83 83 123 84 290 0.00
59 Clarkson Liberty League 8 8 34 34 91 74 77 104 255 0.00
60 Coast Guard NEWMAC 9 6 58 55 84 86 106 85 277 0.00
61 Cobleskill NAC 2 7 222 231 141 222 228 141 591 0.00
62 Colby NESCAC 3 10 41 6 92 100 67 156 323 0.00
63 Colorado Col HCLC South 8 6 56 49 88 21 20 62 103 0.00
64 Con-Wisc NACC 12 8 140 176 113 121 107 105 333 0.00
65 Conn Col NESCAC 7 8 30 12 41 66 69 95 230 0.00
66 Cornell Col NACC 5 11 195 199 194 205 214 194 613 0.00
67 Curry CNE 2 14 155 93 233 171 98 233 502 0.00
68 Dean Col GNAC South 12 4 134 203 40 129 191 40 360 0.00
69 Del Val MAC-Freedom 4 12 204 186 203 212 198 212 622 0.00
70 Delhi NAC 11 5 152 215 55 142 206 56 404 0.00
71 Denison NCAC 13 6 27 35 32 13 2 17 32 0.00
72 DePauw NCAC 5 9 133 92 167 120 73 149 342 0.00
73 DeSales MAC-Freedom 10 10 76 62 142 97 111 167 375 0.00
74 Drew Landmark 10 7 108 116 100 113 126 106 345 0.00
75 Dubuque NACC 11 7 146 166 96 104 116 100 320 0.00
76 Earlham HCLC North 6 8 216 229 119 211 231 118 560 0.00
77 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 9 9 63 36 114 78 24 114 216 0.00
78 Ea Conn LEC 6 8 147 124 146 141 129 147 417 0.00
79 Edgewood NACC 5 11 179 179 195 181 204 195 580 0.00
80 Elizab'town Landmark 11 7 49 64 93 75 94 96 265 0.00
81 Elmhurst CCIW 13 3 44 75 28 5 22 18 45 0.00
82 Elmira Empire 8 0 7 234 223 101 223 201 107 531 0.00
83 Emerson NEWMAC 2 12 104 56 215 167 132 218 517 0.00
84 Emmanuel(MA) GNAC North 10 8 136 152 121 95 74 121 290 0.00
85 Farm'dale St Skyline 16 4 47 135 14 39 190 16 245 0.00
86 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 10 6 142 167 69 139 176 77 392 0.00
87 Franciscan PAC 5 9 181 189 168 182 185 169 536 0.00
88 FrankMarsh Centennial 11 6 35 31 50 33 44 35 112 0.00
89 Geneseo SUNYAC 11 7 55 59 67 62 54 69 185 0.00
90 Gordon CNE 1 11 176 110 204 215 200 204 619 0.00
91 Goucher Landmark 9 8 125 127 129 138 166 129 433 0.00
92 Greensboro USA South 6 12 190 200 207 196 196 208 600 0.00
93 Grove City PAC 14 7 32 66 42 29 18 29 76 0.00
94 Guilford ODAC 5 13 156 119 222 161 84 219 464 0.00
95 Gwynedd Mer ` AEC 6 10 174 178 180 201 202 180 583 0.00
96 Hamilton NESCAC 7 8 17 9 29 57 41 66 164 0.00
97 Hampden-Syd ODAC 12 6 61 69 60 50 25 45 120 0.00
98 Hanover HCLC North 10 3 169 228 33 143 215 33 391 0.00
99 Hartford CNE 9 6 69 78 85 92 125 86 303 0.00
100 Hartwick Empire 8 9 7 116 82 106 94 86 101 281 0.00
101 Haverford Centennial 9 7 50 39 86 71 63 70 204 0.00
102 Heidelberg OAC 4 12 200 183 212 180 143 213 536 0.00
103 Hendrix SAA 4 11 182 138 196 169 124 196 489 0.00
104 Hilbert AMCC 5 8 223 236 122 228 236 122 586 0.00
105 Hiram NCAC 3 14 214 161 230 193 158 229 580 0.00
106 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 5 115 96 61 111 171 50 332 0.00
107 Hope MIAA 11 5 82 102 56 41 65 46 152 0.00
108 Huntingdon USA South 4 10 206 219 172 210 223 172 605 0.00
109 Husson NAC 8 7 199 226 111 176 212 115 503 0.00
110 Ill Tech NACC 8 9 164 177 158 147 159 157 463 0.00
111 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 14 2 65 81 17 11 35 11 57 0.00
112 Immaculata AEC 14 6 120 164 64 119 141 63 323 0.00
113 Ithaca Liberty League 10 9 22 20 73 47 19 87 153 0.00
114 John Carroll OAC 9 8 92 73 115 61 29 91 181 0.00
115 JohnsonWales GNAC South 7 9 165 180 161 154 128 163 445 0.00
116 Juniata Landmark 3 14 187 145 231 203 147 231 581 0.00
117 Kalamazoo MIAA 6 7 138 131 120 101 136 119 356 0.00
118 Kean CLC 14 5 40 38 23 22 40 23 85 0.00
119 Keene State LEC 8 10 101 85 173 114 99 174 387 0.00
120 Kenyon NCAC 10 6 53 52 70 34 34 51 119 0.00
121 Keuka Empire 8 3 12 193 153 216 186 179 214 579 0.00
122 Kings MAC-Freedom 2 13 177 126 225 191 157 230 578 0.00
123 La Roche AMCC 1 13 235 235 219 235 234 220 689 0.00
124 LaGrange USA South 2 8 205 210 143 198 208 142 548 0.00
125 Lake Forest NACC 10 8 129 168 123 122 110 123 355 0.00
126 Lasell GNAC South 14 5 122 173 47 63 60 47 170 0.00
127 Lawrence NACC 4 11 185 191 197 192 175 197 564 0.00
128 Leb Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 132 99 174 150 156 176 482 0.00
129 Lycoming Landmark 6 9 163 143 166 158 173 168 499 0.00
130 Maine Mar NAC 10 6 124 165 74 99 140 78 317 0.00
131 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 12 160 125 208 137 87 209 433 0.00
132 Marian (WI) NACC 2 12 213 195 220 218 220 221 659 0.00
133 Marietta OAC 8 8 143 175 136 146 177 135 458 0.00
134 Maritime Skyline 8 8 88 101 124 107 90 136 333 0.00
135 Mary Wash CLC 9 8 46 37 97 51 47 97 195 0.00
136 Marymount AEC 11 6 126 160 75 127 169 74 370 0.00
137 Marywood AEC 9 9 151 163 153 144 121 154 419 0.00
138 Mass Maritime LEC 9 7 107 128 107 115 148 110 373 0.00
139 Mass Boston LEC 14 5 79 104 48 43 68 48 159 0.00
140 McDaniel Centennial 4 13 113 60 213 149 117 205 471 0.00
141 MCLA NAC 2 9 227 230 176 219 222 177 618 0.00
142 Mer Marine Skyline 10 6 73 114 79 76 78 79 233 0.00
143 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 6 11 85 42 183 124 81 184 389 0.00
144 Methodist USA South 12 7 149 193 94 110 119 98 327 0.00
145 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 99 80 144 116 93 158 367 0.00
146 MIT NEWMAC 7 8 38 24 98 79 59 124 262 0.00
147 Mitchell GNAC South 0 6 236 206 125 226 211 125 562 0.00
148 Montclair St CLC 8 8 72 50 102 68 52 102 222 0.00
149 Moravian Landmark 9 7 109 103 108 118 139 111 368 0.00
150 Morrisville NAC 2 10 172 140 186 195 195 186 576 0.00
151 Mt St Mary Skyline 5 9 197 198 169 183 203 170 556 0.00
152 Mt St Vin Skyline 5 10 198 202 184 189 187 185 561 0.00
153 Mt Union OAC 12 5 118 172 51 90 133 54 277 0.00
154 MSOE NACC 10 7 158 184 103 135 144 92 371 0.00
155 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 9 36 21 89 44 17 80 141 0.00
156 Muskingum OAC 5 12 173 150 209 166 142 210 518 0.00
157 Nazareth Empire 8 13 6 42 41 43 32 21 38 91 0.00
158 Neumann AEC 4 13 170 149 226 184 153 226 563 0.00
159 NewEngCol GNAC North 7 9 168 182 162 152 155 164 471 0.00
160 New Paltz SUNYAC 6 11 161 115 188 155 134 189 478 0.00
161 Nichols CNE 3 14 157 79 232 175 120 232 527 0.00
162 No Central CCIW 7 6 100 98 95 60 85 64 209 0.00
163 Northland D3 Independent 0 7 220 201 126 231 207 126 564 0.00
164 Norwich GNAC North 4 11 162 155 198 163 135 198 496 0.00
165 Oberlin NCAC 11 5 48 71 57 27 39 30 96 0.00
166 Oglethorpe SAA 3 12 218 187 201 214 221 202 637 0.00
167 Ohio No OAC 16 4 57 109 30 24 45 27 96 0.00
168 Ohio Wes NCAC 15 3 29 40 18 7 15 15 37 0.00
169 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 10 90 65 147 112 82 159 353 0.00
170 Oswego SUNYAC 10 5 98 107 52 96 154 55 305 0.00
171 Otterbein OAC 9 7 111 113 109 85 80 112 277 0.00
172 Penn Col United East 14 5 97 171 49 105 161 49 315 0.00
173 Pfeiffer USA South 14 4 96 174 34 72 105 36 213 0.00
174 Piedmont USA South 10 5 139 190 62 109 165 58 332 0.00
175 Pitt-Brad AMCC 5 8 225 234 152 230 232 150 612 0.00
176 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 6 8 150 132 137 164 183 137 484 0.00
177 Plymouth St LEC 11 5 93 129 58 69 102 57 228 0.00
178 Potsdam SUNYAC 8 7 95 89 87 132 145 88 365 0.00
179 Purchase Skyline 3 12 230 222 217 227 210 216 653 0.00
180 Randolph ODAC 1 16 219 162 237 224 182 237 643 0.00
181 Ran-Macon ODAC 12 8 62 70 112 87 58 99 244 0.00
182 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 10 191 188 190 190 184 191 565 0.00
183 Rhodes SAA 14 4 66 112 35 36 70 37 143 0.00
184 Rivier GNAC North 17 1 91 159 10 26 100 10 136 0.00
185 Roanoke ODAC 13 6 39 61 45 49 37 41 127 0.00
186 Rog Williams CNE 9 8 75 76 130 98 72 130 300 0.00
187 Rosemont United East 5 8 207 218 127 188 225 127 540 0.00
188 Sage Empire 8 5 12 166 139 210 173 146 206 525 0.00
189 Salem State LEC 8 8 184 196 138 165 189 138 492 0.00
190 Salve Regina NEWMAC 12 6 60 53 71 59 101 71 231 0.00
191 Scranton Landmark 12 8 43 44 65 46 43 59 148 0.00
192 Sewanee SAA 11 7 84 105 99 82 97 103 282 0.00
193 Shenandoah ODAC 8 11 130 91 189 140 83 187 410 0.00
194 Skidmore Liberty League 8 7 33 22 59 53 61 72 186 0.00
195 So Maine LEC 1 14 196 151 234 204 164 234 602 0.00
196 So Virginia USA South 9 9 167 154 163 134 174 165 473 0.00
197 Southwestern HCLC South 7 7 105 134 116 130 163 116 409 0.00
198 Spalding HCLC North 0 12 228 216 223 233 218 225 676 0.00
199 Springfield NEWMAC 10 7 37 23 53 40 33 89 162 0.00
200 St John Fish Empire 8 15 4 31 58 16 20 27 21 68 0.00
201 St Joseph-CT GNAC South 9 8 127 158 131 123 112 131 366 0.00
202 St JosephsLI Skyline 3 9 217 209 175 216 217 175 608 0.00
203 St JosephsME NAC North 7 9 159 169 164 159 170 166 495 0.00
204 St Lawrence Liberty League 11 6 15 11 27 15 3 31 49 0.00
205 St Marys MD United East 10 7 45 63 76 56 50 60 166 0.00
206 St Vincent PAC 9 8 123 137 132 125 118 132 375 0.00
207 Stockton CLC 9 10 52 27 104 55 23 113 191 0.00
208 SUNY Poly NAC 5 10 175 141 185 172 178 181 531 0.00
209 Susquehanna Landmark 13 6 74 100 68 77 127 67 271 0.00
210 Swarthmore Centennial 12 5 19 33 38 37 57 26 120 0.00
211 Thiel PAC 1 14 232 194 235 225 194 235 654 0.00
212 Thomas NAC 4 11 189 213 187 208 209 188 605 0.00
213 Transylvania HCLC North 8 6 103 130 90 73 66 81 220 0.00
214 Trine MIAA 12 6 102 157 72 89 150 73 312 0.00
215 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 13 10 31 35 26 61 122 0.00
216 U New Eng CNE 8 9 135 120 159 133 88 160 381 0.00
217 Union Liberty League 4 10 28 8 110 80 28 151 259 0.00
218 Ursinus Centennial 5 10 68 25 154 84 36 139 259 0.00
219 Utica Empire 8 6 10 145 111 177 168 162 178 508 0.00
220 Vassar Liberty League 6 9 54 26 117 93 104 140 337 0.00
221 Va Wesleyan ODAC 7 11 148 121 191 156 122 190 468 0.00
222 Wabash NCAC 8 8 112 117 139 102 76 108 286 0.00
223 War Wilson D3 Independent 1 13 233 232 181 234 233 182 649 0.00
224 WashJeff PAC 5 12 208 204 211 199 180 211 590 0.00
225 Wash College Centennial 7 10 51 30 148 81 49 133 263 0.00
226 Wentworth CNE 13 4 70 88 39 67 109 39 215 0.00
227 We Conn LEC 13 7 64 72 80 58 71 93 222 0.00
228 WNE CNE 8 9 67 47 133 103 64 143 310 0.00
229 Westminster PAC 10 8 121 147 128 126 138 128 392 0.00
230 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 8 80 57 140 88 96 144 328 0.00
231 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 14 110 48 229 151 95 222 468 0.00
232 Wilkes Landmark 4 13 183 146 227 185 172 227 584 0.00
233 Wil Peace USA South 6 8 203 217 149 178 199 148 525 0.00
234 Wilmington OAC 4 13 210 197 228 194 167 228 589 0.00
235 Wittenberg NCAC 5 9 128 90 170 131 114 152 397 0.00
236 Wooster NCAC 9 8 77 67 134 70 55 90 215 0.00
237 Lyndon NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00