List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 13 0 1 3 1 4 14 3 21 41.00
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 11 1 2 10 5 11 62 13 86 20.00
3 Salisbury CLC 15 0 3 16 2 1 3 1 5 9.50
4 Wesleyan NESCAC 9 3 4 4 7 12 17 19 48 7.00
5 RIT Liberty League 14 1 5 11 4 2 2 2 6 6.00
6 RPI Liberty League 13 1 6 14 3 8 31 5 44 6.00
7 Chris Newport CLC 14 2 7 17 6 3 4 4 11 4.00
8 Amherst NESCAC 9 3 8 6 9 13 23 15 51 3.00
9 Middlebury NESCAC 7 6 9 2 29 26 11 48 85 1.50
10 Bates NESCAC 8 6 16 13 21 37 28 59 124 0.00
11 Dickinson Centennial 9 5 22 20 36 18 10 43 71 0.00
12 Gettysburg Centennial 10 3 10 12 12 6 6 10 22 0.00
13 Swarthmore Centennial 11 3 13 35 26 28 56 20 104 0.00
14 Adrian MIAA 10 6 91 96 82 51 26 72 149 0.00
15 Alb Magnus GNAC South 5 8 217 224 175 197 225 175 597 0.00
16 Albion MIAA 8 7 84 77 137 41 16 100 157 0.00
17 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 13 135 89 236 184 133 235 552 0.00
18 Alfred Empire 8 4 7 143 134 162 162 184 161 507 0.00
19 Alfred State AMCC 6 6 212 231 123 215 231 127 573 0.00
20 Allegheny PAC 6 8 150 167 170 159 147 170 476 0.00
21 Alma MIAA 6 6 185 198 124 158 179 128 465 0.00
22 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 6 7 163 147 138 165 178 129 472 0.00
23 Anderson-IN HCLC North 1 11 213 210 223 219 206 223 648 0.00
24 Anna Maria GNAC North 4 9 210 221 191 203 201 191 595 0.00
25 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 10 4 68 92 45 82 130 55 267 0.00
26 Augustana CCIW 0 3 222 208 56 235 232 56 523 0.00
27 Aurora NACC 9 5 108 138 75 71 69 57 197 0.00
28 Averett ODAC 4 11 203 151 219 180 148 218 546 0.00
29 Babson NEWMAC 10 4 21 27 17 40 59 27 126 0.00
30 Bald Wallace OAC 12 4 57 80 46 25 50 35 110 0.00
31 Beloit NACC 4 9 200 204 192 195 191 192 578 0.00
32 Benedictine NACC 6 9 170 184 188 166 141 186 493 0.00
33 Berry SAA 3 8 132 86 182 150 131 182 463 0.00
34 Bethany PAC 6 8 195 213 154 183 215 152 550 0.00
35 Brevard USA South 2 13 226 223 232 218 224 231 673 0.00
36 Bridgewater ODAC 5 11 145 103 216 167 108 215 490 0.00
37 Brockport SUNYAC 6 7 107 74 139 118 109 141 368 0.00
38 Bryn Athyn United East 3 4 224 236 83 231 236 85 552 0.00
39 Cairn United East 0 11 228 222 225 232 218 226 676 0.00
40 Calvin MIAA 6 8 120 116 171 103 77 165 345 0.00
41 Canton NAC 1 8 178 104 183 207 186 183 576 0.00
42 Capital OAC 5 9 121 117 190 131 91 189 411 0.00
43 Carroll CCIW 5 6 187 192 130 173 195 134 502 0.00
44 Carthage CCIW 10 4 87 142 57 64 80 36 180 0.00
45 Castleton LEC 3 9 181 166 196 211 200 196 607 0.00
46 Catholic Landmark 6 9 77 54 172 112 71 166 349 0.00
47 CentenaryLA HCLC South 5 6 194 218 102 206 228 105 539 0.00
48 CentenaryNJ AEC 0 10 231 214 217 228 216 219 663 0.00
49 Centre SAA 8 6 70 93 106 61 39 86 186 0.00
50 Chatham PAC 10 5 95 135 72 97 122 73 292 0.00
51 Clark NEWMAC 8 5 89 78 84 67 94 87 248 0.00
52 Clarkson Liberty League 8 6 30 33 68 53 49 74 176 0.00
53 Coast Guard NEWMAC 7 5 63 59 88 88 115 90 293 0.00
54 Cobleskill NAC 2 5 220 232 117 220 229 117 566 0.00
55 Colby NESCAC 3 8 44 5 76 73 30 138 241 0.00
56 Colorado Col HCLC South 7 6 54 50 118 27 18 91 136 0.00
57 Con-Wisc NACC 8 7 146 172 140 132 106 118 356 0.00
58 Conn Col NESCAC 7 6 29 15 34 44 27 69 140 0.00
59 Cornell Col NACC 5 9 191 199 193 205 211 193 609 0.00
60 Cortland SUNYAC 12 2 11 40 10 16 22 8 46 0.00
61 Curry CNE 2 12 160 97 233 174 79 232 485 0.00
62 Dean Col GNAC South 11 3 134 203 35 121 203 30 354 0.00
63 Del Val MAC-Freedom 4 9 204 196 194 209 202 194 605 0.00
64 Delhi NAC 9 4 153 215 60 139 196 60 395 0.00
65 Denison NCAC 10 4 25 31 19 7 1 16 24 0.00
66 DePauw NCAC 5 6 124 95 131 83 66 101 250 0.00
67 DeSales MAC-Freedom 6 8 85 62 155 127 112 162 401 0.00
68 Drew Landmark 8 6 104 101 107 114 120 109 343 0.00
69 Dubuque NACC 8 6 147 158 108 109 96 110 315 0.00
70 Earlham HCLC North 6 7 215 229 125 214 230 130 574 0.00
71 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 6 8 61 30 126 74 29 119 222 0.00
72 Ea Conn LEC 5 6 141 100 132 106 116 135 357 0.00
73 Edgewood NACC 4 9 179 173 197 186 189 197 572 0.00
74 Elizab'town Landmark 9 6 52 68 89 87 92 97 276 0.00
75 Elmhurst CCIW 10 1 41 66 15 5 33 9 47 0.00
76 Elmira Empire 8 0 5 235 212 100 224 227 102 553 0.00
77 Emerson NEWMAC 2 10 103 57 211 169 105 212 486 0.00
78 Emmanuel(MA) GNAC North 8 6 138 155 109 108 117 111 336 0.00
79 Endicott CNE 11 3 26 38 22 24 67 18 109 0.00
80 Farm'dale St Skyline 13 2 43 157 8 23 98 6 127 0.00
81 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 8 5 144 163 73 141 166 88 395 0.00
82 Franciscan PAC 4 8 183 191 179 198 194 179 571 0.00
83 FrankMarsh Centennial 10 4 38 36 47 30 43 37 110 0.00
84 Geneseo SUNYAC 6 7 59 43 110 75 46 106 227 0.00
85 Gordon CNE 1 10 177 126 214 221 208 216 645 0.00
86 Goucher Landmark 8 7 125 124 141 136 137 142 415 0.00
87 Greensboro USA South 6 10 192 200 203 190 204 204 598 0.00
88 Grove City PAC 10 7 32 53 65 38 12 52 102 0.00
89 Guilford ODAC 5 10 164 128 204 152 89 202 443 0.00
90 Gwynedd Mer ` AEC 6 8 173 181 173 193 210 171 574 0.00
91 Hamilton NESCAC 6 7 19 8 30 55 20 75 150 0.00
92 Hampden-Syd ODAC 9 5 62 58 66 48 25 53 126 0.00
93 Hanover HCLC North 9 3 169 225 41 148 209 39 396 0.00
94 Hartford CNE 8 6 75 79 111 100 90 112 302 0.00
95 Hartwick Empire 8 6 5 115 81 95 105 136 98 339 0.00
96 Haverford Centennial 9 5 48 51 67 56 64 67 187 0.00
97 Heidelberg OAC 4 11 201 190 220 188 151 221 560 0.00
98 Hendrix SAA 4 10 180 139 208 170 111 208 489 0.00
99 Hilbert AMCC 3 6 221 235 112 233 235 113 581 0.00
100 Hiram NCAC 3 11 216 178 221 208 170 211 589 0.00
101 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 8 3 111 107 42 115 190 38 343 0.00
102 Hope MIAA 9 4 79 91 61 39 55 40 134 0.00
103 Huntingdon USA South 3 10 205 207 198 212 220 198 630 0.00
104 Husson NAC 7 5 198 226 90 172 212 92 476 0.00
105 Ill Tech NACC 8 6 152 177 113 142 164 114 420 0.00
106 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 10 2 65 82 23 17 74 21 112 0.00
107 Immaculata AEC 11 5 118 160 69 119 150 70 339 0.00
108 Ithaca Liberty League 8 7 23 26 77 57 41 93 191 0.00
109 John Carroll OAC 8 6 86 75 96 60 47 64 171 0.00
110 JohnsonWales GNAC South 7 6 162 188 119 154 185 120 459 0.00
111 Juniata Landmark 3 12 188 152 230 199 154 230 583 0.00
112 Kalamazoo MIAA 6 6 136 131 127 98 113 131 342 0.00
113 Kean CLC 13 3 42 46 11 19 32 11 62 0.00
114 Keene State LEC 7 6 99 94 114 110 110 121 341 0.00
115 Kenyon NCAC 9 5 51 56 70 29 34 68 131 0.00
116 Keuka Empire 8 3 9 190 169 199 196 188 199 583 0.00
117 Kings MAC-Freedom 1 12 176 120 231 191 142 233 566 0.00
118 La Roche AMCC 0 10 236 233 205 236 233 205 674 0.00
119 LaGrange USA South 2 8 206 206 167 200 199 167 566 0.00
120 Lake Forest NACC 7 7 133 165 146 133 128 145 406 0.00
121 Lasell GNAC South 10 4 131 171 58 78 118 58 254 0.00
122 Lawrence NACC 2 11 186 179 222 204 160 222 586 0.00
123 Leb Valley MAC-Freedom 7 7 126 109 147 145 143 146 434 0.00
124 Lycoming Landmark 6 7 154 143 156 153 180 153 486 0.00
125 Lynchburg ODAC 9 5 27 37 39 20 5 22 47 0.00
126 Maine Mar NAC 7 5 119 159 85 122 167 94 383 0.00
127 Manhattanv'e Skyline 3 10 155 121 212 151 101 206 458 0.00
128 Marian (WI) NACC 2 10 211 195 215 217 205 217 639 0.00
129 Marietta OAC 8 7 142 180 142 149 168 143 460 0.00
130 Maritime Skyline 5 7 88 85 148 123 126 147 396 0.00
131 Mary Wash CLC 8 6 46 41 74 50 36 71 157 0.00
132 Marymount AEC 9 5 127 156 78 130 174 78 382 0.00
133 Marywood AEC 8 8 149 161 166 135 95 163 393 0.00
134 Mass Maritime LEC 7 5 101 118 91 94 129 95 318 0.00
135 Mass Boston LEC 11 3 72 115 37 33 78 31 142 0.00
136 McDaniel Centennial 4 11 113 65 209 144 72 213 429 0.00
137 MCLA NAC 1 8 232 227 189 226 219 188 633 0.00
138 Mer Marine Skyline 7 5 78 90 92 69 86 79 234 0.00
139 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 5 9 83 48 180 126 81 190 397 0.00
140 Methodist USA South 9 6 158 194 103 128 146 107 381 0.00
141 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 7 7 100 87 135 113 82 139 334 0.00
142 MIT NEWMAC 5 7 40 23 104 89 53 122 264 0.00
143 Mitchell GNAC South 0 5 233 174 133 202 162 136 500 0.00
144 Montclair St CLC 8 6 76 63 97 76 83 80 239 0.00
145 Moravian Landmark 8 5 110 110 86 107 153 81 341 0.00
146 Morrisville NAC 1 8 172 129 184 187 171 184 542 0.00
147 Mt St Mary Skyline 4 8 197 189 181 176 183 180 539 0.00
148 Mt St Vin Skyline 5 8 199 217 176 185 187 176 548 0.00
149 Mt Union OAC 11 4 117 183 52 96 149 54 299 0.00
150 MSOE NACC 9 5 151 175 79 116 124 65 305 0.00
151 Muhlenberg Centennial 8 7 34 21 80 36 15 76 127 0.00
152 Muskingum OAC 5 11 175 154 218 163 123 220 506 0.00
153 Nazareth Empire 8 10 4 37 45 31 34 45 32 111 0.00
154 Neumann AEC 4 12 171 144 227 179 132 224 535 0.00
155 NewEngCol GNAC North 7 7 167 186 149 147 169 148 464 0.00
156 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 9 159 105 187 143 99 181 423 0.00
157 Nichols CNE 3 13 161 83 235 175 87 236 498 0.00
158 No Central CCIW 7 3 97 123 48 49 121 44 214 0.00
159 Northland D3 Independent 0 5 214 170 101 222 198 103 523 0.00
160 Norwich GNAC North 4 9 166 164 195 171 156 195 522 0.00
161 Oberlin NCAC 9 3 50 72 43 15 42 23 80 0.00
162 Oglethorpe SAA 3 11 218 187 213 213 221 214 648 0.00
163 Ohio No OAC 12 4 60 99 49 42 52 41 135 0.00
164 Ohio Wes NCAC 10 3 33 55 25 14 21 24 59 0.00
165 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 8 94 71 163 134 139 172 445 0.00
166 Oswego SUNYAC 8 3 93 106 44 81 163 45 289 0.00
167 Otterbein OAC 7 6 116 119 120 104 104 123 331 0.00
168 Penn Col United East 11 4 98 150 53 92 140 46 278 0.00
169 Pfeiffer USA South 12 3 96 182 32 79 114 28 221 0.00
170 Piedmont USA South 9 4 130 185 62 111 159 61 331 0.00
171 Pitt-Brad AMCC 4 6 225 234 136 229 234 140 603 0.00
172 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 5 6 157 133 121 160 193 124 477 0.00
173 Plymouth St LEC 6 5 105 125 98 85 107 99 291 0.00
174 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 5 92 98 93 146 181 96 423 0.00
175 Purchase Skyline 3 9 229 228 200 223 223 200 646 0.00
176 Randolph ODAC 1 13 219 168 237 225 177 237 639 0.00
177 Ran-Macon ODAC 10 5 56 84 71 95 103 62 260 0.00
178 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 9 193 193 201 189 182 201 572 0.00
179 Rhodes SAA 11 4 66 112 54 52 68 49 169 0.00
180 Rivier GNAC North 11 1 90 148 13 35 138 17 190 0.00
181 Roanoke ODAC 11 4 39 64 33 45 37 33 115 0.00
182 Rog Williams CNE 8 7 71 73 143 101 60 137 298 0.00
183 Rosemont United East 5 8 207 219 159 182 217 158 557 0.00
184 Sage Empire 8 4 10 174 149 210 178 161 209 548 0.00
185 Salem State LEC 7 6 184 202 122 164 197 125 486 0.00
186 Salve Regina NEWMAC 11 3 55 70 38 46 85 34 165 0.00
187 Scranton Landmark 8 8 45 42 105 66 24 115 205 0.00
188 Sewanee SAA 9 5 81 113 81 80 100 82 262 0.00
189 Shenandoah ODAC 5 10 129 76 206 140 76 203 419 0.00
190 Skidmore Liberty League 7 5 31 28 55 54 65 66 185 0.00
191 So Maine LEC 1 12 196 153 234 192 144 234 570 0.00
192 So Virginia USA South 8 7 156 146 157 129 127 154 410 0.00
193 Southwestern HCLC South 6 6 112 137 128 120 152 132 404 0.00
194 Spalding HCLC North 0 11 227 209 226 227 207 227 661 0.00
195 Springfield NEWMAC 7 6 36 19 63 58 58 104 220 0.00
196 St John Fish Empire 8 10 4 35 47 27 32 44 29 105 0.00
197 St Joseph-CT GNAC South 6 7 128 141 158 138 135 155 428 0.00
198 St JosephsLI Skyline 2 7 223 197 168 210 213 168 591 0.00
199 St JosephsME NAC North 5 8 165 162 177 168 165 177 510 0.00
200 St Lawrence Liberty League 9 4 20 18 40 22 48 42 112 0.00
201 St Marys MD United East 7 6 47 52 94 77 51 83 211 0.00
202 St Vincent PAC 8 7 122 127 144 117 119 144 380 0.00
203 Stevens MAC-Freedom 10 3 12 39 18 47 102 25 174 0.00
204 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 10 4 18 22 20 10 9 14 33 0.00
205 Stockton CLC 8 8 53 32 115 59 40 133 232 0.00
206 SUNY Poly NAC 5 7 168 140 160 161 175 159 495 0.00
207 Susquehanna Landmark 12 4 69 114 50 62 97 50 209 0.00
208 Thiel PAC 1 11 230 216 224 230 214 225 669 0.00
209 Thomas NAC 3 9 189 220 185 216 226 185 627 0.00
210 Transylvania HCLC North 8 5 102 130 87 70 61 77 208 0.00
211 Trine MIAA 9 4 109 176 64 102 157 63 322 0.00
212 Trinity NESCAC 8 5 14 9 28 31 35 47 113 0.00
213 U New Eng CNE 7 8 137 122 169 124 88 169 381 0.00
214 Union Liberty League 3 9 28 7 145 90 38 173 301 0.00
215 Ursinus Centennial 4 10 73 25 186 86 19 187 292 0.00
216 Utica Empire 8 6 7 140 108 150 155 173 156 484 0.00
217 Vassar Liberty League 5 8 58 29 134 91 70 149 310 0.00
218 Va Wesleyan ODAC 6 8 148 136 174 157 158 174 489 0.00
219 Wabash NCAC 7 7 114 102 151 93 63 116 272 0.00
220 War Wilson D3 Independent 0 10 234 230 178 234 222 178 634 0.00
221 WashJeff PAC 5 10 208 205 207 194 176 207 577 0.00
222 WashLee ODAC 12 3 24 49 16 21 13 7 41 0.00
223 Wash College Centennial 7 8 49 34 164 84 73 164 321 0.00
224 Wentworth CNE 12 4 74 88 51 72 84 51 207 0.00
225 We Conn LEC 9 6 64 69 99 68 75 108 251 0.00
226 WNE CNE 7 8 67 44 152 99 54 150 303 0.00
227 Westminster PAC 7 7 123 132 153 125 145 151 421 0.00
228 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 6 82 61 116 65 93 126 284 0.00
229 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 10 106 67 202 156 125 210 491 0.00
230 Wilkes Landmark 4 12 182 145 228 181 155 228 564 0.00
231 Wil Peace USA South 5 7 202 211 161 177 192 160 529 0.00
232 Williams NESCAC 5 8 15 1 59 43 8 89 140 0.00
233 Wilmington OAC 4 12 209 201 229 201 172 229 602 0.00
234 Wittenberg NCAC 4 7 139 111 165 137 134 157 428 0.00
235 Wooster NCAC 6 6 80 60 129 63 57 84 204 0.00
236 York MAC-Commonwlth 11 3 17 24 14 9 7 12 28 0.00
237 Lyndon NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00