List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 23 0 1 5 1 1 6 1 8 58.80
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 16 4 2 6 4 7 11 6 24 15.20
3 RIT Liberty League 21 2 4 13 2 2 5 2 9 9.00
4 Salisbury CLC 20 1 3 19 3 3 9 3 15 5.60
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 6 5 3 6 10 7 18 35 4.20
6 Christopher Newp CLC 18 4 7 18 7 4 2 5 11 2.60
7 RPI Liberty League 16 4 6 12 5 13 23 10 46 2.20
8 Amherst NESCAC 11 6 8 4 13 19 28 29 76 0.00
9 Gettysburg Centennial 15 5 9 14 10 6 4 8 18 0.00
10 St Lawrence Liberty League 12 7 13 10 18 15 3 28 46 0.00
11 Middlebury NESCAC 9 9 10 2 28 37 16 56 109 0.00
12 Adrian MIAA 11 7 87 96 81 48 51 69 168 0.00
13 Albertus Magnus GNAC South 5 10 215 220 183 206 206 183 595 0.00
14 Albion MIAA 11 9 85 75 146 41 39 108 188 0.00
15 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 16 141 87 236 189 143 236 568 0.00
16 Alfred Empire 8 6 9 131 123 165 145 169 161 475 0.00
17 Alfred State AMCC 9 6 209 233 82 198 231 83 512 0.00
18 Allegheny PAC 8 9 153 180 155 149 154 156 459 0.00
19 Alma MIAA 6 7 186 192 117 158 191 118 467 0.00
20 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 7 9 154 145 156 170 182 149 501 0.00
21 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 3 11 212 221 199 221 219 199 639 0.00
22 Anna Maria GNAC North 4 11 211 211 192 199 189 192 580 0.00
23 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 12 7 80 84 72 107 129 93 329 0.00
24 Augustana CCIW 0 3 221 214 43 236 235 42 513 0.00
25 Aurora NACC 14 6 106 149 63 63 63 43 169 0.00
26 Averett ODAC 4 13 201 143 224 180 133 222 535 0.00
27 Babson NEWMAC 14 6 28 26 22 32 47 33 112 0.00
28 Baldwin Wallace OAC 14 5 58 86 45 25 62 44 131 0.00
29 Bates NESCAC 9 7 20 17 25 55 60 50 165 0.00
30 Beloit NACC 4 11 202 205 193 202 197 193 592 0.00
31 Benedictine (IL) NACC 6 12 171 185 202 174 151 200 525 0.00
32 Berry SAA 4 9 136 109 171 154 150 171 475 0.00
33 Bethany PAC 7 10 193 208 160 178 225 162 565 0.00
34 Brevard USA South 2 13 226 224 218 217 226 217 660 0.00
35 Bridgewater ODAC 5 12 144 98 206 162 113 203 478 0.00
36 Brockport Empire 8 8 9 114 83 151 126 106 145 377 0.00
37 Bryn Athyn United East 3 7 224 227 135 220 228 135 583 0.00
38 Cairn United East 0 12 229 212 221 233 216 223 672 0.00
39 Calvin MIAA 6 10 115 108 178 116 91 173 380 0.00
40 Canton SUNYAC 1 11 180 122 200 213 192 201 606 0.00
41 Capital OAC 6 10 119 119 179 136 105 179 420 0.00
42 Carroll CCIW 5 8 188 169 152 159 160 121 440 0.00
43 Carthage CCIW 11 5 82 133 54 51 76 34 161 0.00
44 Castleton LEC 3 12 178 158 214 209 185 215 609 0.00
45 Catholic Landmark 9 10 78 69 157 112 98 151 361 0.00
46 Centenary (LA) D3 Independent 6 6 194 225 78 207 230 75 512 0.00
47 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 11 231 207 207 229 213 207 649 0.00
48 Centre SAA 9 7 71 95 105 64 49 84 197 0.00
49 Chatham PAC 13 6 93 136 66 91 116 64 271 0.00
50 Clark NEWMAC 9 6 89 77 83 83 122 85 290 0.00
51 Clarkson Liberty League 8 8 34 35 92 76 80 99 255 0.00
52 Coast Guard NEWMAC 9 6 59 57 84 86 107 86 279 0.00
53 Cobleskill NAC 2 7 222 231 142 222 227 142 591 0.00
54 Colby NESCAC 3 10 42 7 99 102 71 152 325 0.00
55 Colorado College D3 Independent 8 6 56 51 89 22 27 59 108 0.00
56 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 12 8 140 176 114 120 103 105 328 0.00
57 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 7 8 31 16 46 69 59 90 218 0.00
58 Cornell College NACC 5 11 195 199 194 204 214 194 612 0.00
59 Cortland SUNYAC 19 3 11 38 8 11 14 4 29 0.00
60 Curry CNE 2 14 155 94 233 171 100 233 504 0.00
61 Dean College GNAC South 12 4 134 203 36 129 193 41 363 0.00
62 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 4 12 204 186 203 212 198 212 622 0.00
63 Delhi NAC 11 5 152 215 55 140 203 55 398 0.00
64 Denison NCAC 13 7 26 34 37 16 8 19 43 0.00
65 DePauw NCAC 5 9 133 93 167 122 77 153 352 0.00
66 DeSales MAC-Freedom 10 10 75 64 143 97 114 163 374 0.00
67 Dickinson Centennial 17 6 12 15 9 5 1 9 15 0.00
68 Drew Landmark 10 7 109 116 100 113 126 106 345 0.00
69 Dubuque NACC 11 7 146 165 95 101 112 100 313 0.00
70 Earlham HCLC North 6 8 216 229 118 211 232 119 562 0.00
71 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 9 9 63 36 110 80 37 115 232 0.00
72 Eastern Connecti LEC 6 8 147 124 147 141 125 146 412 0.00
73 Edgewood NACC 5 11 179 179 195 179 205 195 579 0.00
74 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 7 53 65 90 77 95 94 266 0.00
75 Elmhurst CCIW 13 3 43 73 27 8 31 20 59 0.00
76 Elmira Empire 8 0 7 234 223 101 223 200 107 530 0.00
77 Emerson NEWMAC 2 12 105 58 215 168 135 218 521 0.00
78 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC North 10 8 137 155 121 94 73 122 289 0.00
79 Endicott CNE 13 4 24 46 20 43 54 25 122 0.00
80 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 16 4 52 135 16 36 190 16 242 0.00
81 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 10 6 143 168 69 139 159 76 374 0.00
82 Franciscan PAC 5 9 181 188 168 182 186 169 537 0.00
83 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 11 6 35 32 44 33 46 36 115 0.00
84 Geneseo Empire 8 11 7 55 60 67 61 55 65 181 0.00
85 Gordon CNE 1 11 176 112 204 216 201 204 621 0.00
86 Goucher Landmark 9 8 125 128 129 138 168 129 435 0.00
87 Greensboro USA South 6 12 190 200 208 193 196 208 597 0.00
88 Grove City PAC 14 8 32 63 47 29 17 31 77 0.00
89 Guilford ODAC 5 13 156 118 222 161 86 219 466 0.00
90 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 6 10 174 178 180 201 202 180 583 0.00
91 Hamilton NESCAC 7 8 19 9 29 59 42 60 161 0.00
92 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 12 6 60 68 59 50 33 45 128 0.00
93 Hanover HCLC North 10 3 169 228 30 143 215 32 390 0.00
94 Hartford CNE 9 6 69 79 85 92 127 87 306 0.00
95 Hartwick Empire 8 9 7 116 82 106 93 87 101 281 0.00
96 Haverford Centennial 9 7 47 41 73 68 57 70 195 0.00
97 Heidelberg OAC 4 12 200 182 213 181 142 213 536 0.00
98 Hendrix SAA 4 11 182 139 196 169 124 196 489 0.00
99 Hilbert AMCC 5 8 223 236 122 228 236 123 587 0.00
100 Hiram NCAC 3 14 214 161 230 196 161 229 586 0.00
101 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 5 117 99 60 114 175 52 341 0.00
102 Hope MIAA 11 5 83 103 56 39 66 46 151 0.00
103 Huntingdon USA South 4 10 206 219 172 210 223 172 605 0.00
104 Husson NAC 8 7 199 226 111 175 212 114 501 0.00
105 Illinois Tech NACC 8 9 164 177 158 146 158 157 461 0.00
106 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 14 3 65 78 21 12 25 15 52 0.00
107 Immaculata AEC 14 6 120 164 64 119 137 61 317 0.00
108 Ithaca Liberty League 10 9 22 20 74 46 22 77 145 0.00
109 John Carroll OAC 9 8 92 74 115 65 40 95 200 0.00
110 Johnson & Wales GNAC South 7 9 165 181 161 156 132 164 452 0.00
111 Juniata Landmark 3 14 187 146 231 205 149 231 585 0.00
112 Kalamazoo MIAA 6 7 138 131 119 100 134 120 354 0.00
113 Kean CLC 14 5 41 43 19 21 44 21 86 0.00
114 Keene State LEC 8 10 101 85 173 115 94 174 383 0.00
115 Kenyon NCAC 10 6 50 54 65 35 38 51 124 0.00
116 Keuka Empire 8 3 12 192 152 216 186 178 214 578 0.00
117 Kings MAC-Freedom 2 13 177 126 225 190 156 230 576 0.00
118 La Roche AMCC 1 13 235 235 219 235 234 220 689 0.00
119 LaGrange USA South 2 8 205 210 144 197 208 143 548 0.00
120 Lake Forest NACC 10 8 129 167 123 121 108 124 353 0.00
121 Lasell GNAC South 14 5 122 174 48 62 58 47 167 0.00
122 Lawrence NACC 4 11 184 190 197 192 173 197 562 0.00
123 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 132 101 174 150 157 176 483 0.00
124 Lycoming Landmark 6 9 163 144 166 157 174 168 499 0.00
125 Lynchburg ODAC 14 7 21 40 38 23 13 26 62 0.00
126 Maine Maritime NAC 10 6 124 166 75 98 140 78 316 0.00
127 Manhattanville Skyline 5 12 161 125 209 137 84 209 430 0.00
128 Marian (WI) NACC 2 12 213 195 220 218 220 221 659 0.00
129 Marietta OAC 8 8 142 175 136 147 179 136 462 0.00
130 Maritime Skyline 8 8 88 104 124 106 90 137 333 0.00
131 Mary Washington CLC 9 8 46 37 96 53 52 96 201 0.00
132 Marymount AEC 11 6 126 160 76 124 171 74 369 0.00
133 Marywood AEC 9 9 151 163 154 144 119 154 417 0.00
134 Massachusetts Ma LEC 9 7 107 130 107 110 147 109 366 0.00
135 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 14 5 79 107 49 40 68 48 156 0.00
136 McDaniel Centennial 4 13 112 61 205 148 110 205 463 0.00
137 MCLA NAC 2 9 227 230 176 219 222 177 618 0.00
138 Merchant Marine Skyline 10 6 74 115 79 73 79 79 231 0.00
139 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 6 11 86 47 181 127 88 185 400 0.00
140 Methodist USA South 12 7 149 193 93 108 118 97 323 0.00
141 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 99 81 145 118 93 158 369 0.00
142 MIT NEWMAC 7 8 39 24 102 79 67 116 262 0.00
143 Mitchell GNAC South 0 6 236 206 125 226 211 125 562 0.00
144 Montclair State CLC 8 8 73 53 103 71 56 102 229 0.00
145 Moravian Landmark 9 7 108 105 108 117 139 110 366 0.00
146 Morrisville SUNYAC 2 10 172 141 186 194 194 186 574 0.00
147 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 5 9 197 198 169 183 204 170 557 0.00
148 Mount St Vincent Skyline 5 10 198 202 184 187 187 184 558 0.00
149 Mount Union OAC 12 5 118 172 51 90 130 53 273 0.00
150 MSOE NACC 10 7 158 184 104 133 138 91 362 0.00
151 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 9 36 21 80 44 21 80 145 0.00
152 Muskingum OAC 5 12 173 151 210 166 144 210 520 0.00
153 Nazareth Empire 8 13 6 40 45 39 34 29 37 100 0.00
154 Neumann AEC 4 13 170 150 226 184 152 225 561 0.00
155 New England Coll GNAC North 7 9 167 183 162 152 155 165 472 0.00
156 New Paltz SUNYAC 6 11 159 114 188 153 131 189 473 0.00
157 Nichols CNE 3 14 157 80 232 176 123 232 531 0.00
158 North Central CCIW 7 6 100 100 94 60 89 62 211 0.00
159 Northland D3 Independent 0 7 220 201 126 231 207 126 564 0.00
160 Norwich GNAC North 4 11 162 156 198 165 136 198 499 0.00
161 Oberlin NCAC 11 5 49 71 57 27 43 30 100 0.00
162 Oglethorpe SAA 3 12 218 187 201 215 221 202 638 0.00
163 Ohio Northern OAC 16 5 57 97 31 24 30 27 81 0.00
164 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 15 4 30 42 26 9 18 22 49 0.00
165 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 10 90 66 148 111 85 159 355 0.00
166 Oswego SUNYAC 10 5 98 110 52 95 153 54 302 0.00
167 Otterbein OAC 9 7 111 113 109 85 81 111 277 0.00
168 Penn College United East 14 5 97 171 50 105 162 49 316 0.00
169 Pfeiffer USA South 14 4 95 173 33 70 104 35 209 0.00
170 Piedmont USA South 10 5 139 191 61 109 166 58 333 0.00
171 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 5 8 225 234 153 230 233 150 613 0.00
172 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 6 8 150 132 137 163 183 138 484 0.00
173 Plymouth State LEC 11 5 94 129 58 66 97 57 220 0.00
174 Potsdam SUNYAC 8 7 96 89 86 131 145 88 364 0.00
175 Purchase Skyline 3 12 230 222 217 227 210 216 653 0.00
176 Randolph ODAC 1 16 219 162 237 224 181 237 642 0.00
177 Randolph-Macon ODAC 12 8 61 70 112 87 65 103 255 0.00
178 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 10 191 189 190 191 184 191 566 0.00
179 Rhodes SAA 14 5 66 92 34 30 48 38 116 0.00
180 Rivier GNAC North 17 2 91 138 11 26 75 11 112 0.00
181 Roanoke ODAC 13 6 38 62 40 49 41 39 129 0.00
182 Roger Williams CNE 9 8 76 76 130 99 78 130 307 0.00
183 Rosemont United East 5 8 207 218 127 188 224 127 539 0.00
184 Sage Empire 8 5 12 166 140 211 173 146 206 525 0.00
185 Salem State LEC 8 8 185 196 138 164 188 139 491 0.00
186 Salve Regina NEWMAC 12 6 62 55 70 58 102 71 231 0.00
187 Scranton Landmark 12 9 44 44 87 45 36 72 153 0.00
188 Sewanee SAA 11 7 84 106 97 81 99 104 284 0.00
189 Shenandoah ODAC 8 11 130 91 189 142 82 187 411 0.00
190 Skidmore Liberty League 8 7 33 22 62 54 64 66 184 0.00
191 Southern Maine LEC 1 14 196 153 234 203 163 234 600 0.00
192 Southern Virgini USA South 9 9 168 154 163 135 176 166 477 0.00
193 Southwestern SAA 7 7 104 134 116 130 167 117 414 0.00
194 Spalding HCLC North 0 12 228 216 223 232 218 224 674 0.00
195 Springfield NEWMAC 10 7 37 23 53 42 45 89 176 0.00
196 St John Fisher Empire 8 16 5 27 48 17 18 20 17 55 0.00
197 St Joseph (CT) GNAC South 9 8 127 159 131 123 115 131 369 0.00
198 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 3 9 217 209 175 214 217 175 606 0.00
199 St Josephs (ME) GNAC North 7 9 160 170 164 160 164 167 491 0.00
200 St Marys (MD) United East 10 8 45 56 77 52 26 63 141 0.00
201 St Vincent PAC 9 8 123 137 132 125 120 132 377 0.00
202 Stevens MAC-Freedom 15 4 15 49 15 28 74 13 115 0.00
203 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 6 25 28 24 20 10 14 44 0.00
204 Stockton CLC 9 10 51 29 98 56 34 112 202 0.00
205 SUNY Poly Empire 8 5 10 175 142 185 172 177 181 530 0.00
206 Susquehanna Landmark 13 6 72 102 68 74 128 67 269 0.00
207 Swarthmore Centennial 12 5 14 33 32 31 53 24 108 0.00
208 Thiel PAC 1 14 232 194 235 225 195 235 655 0.00
209 Thomas NAC 4 11 189 213 187 208 209 188 605 0.00
210 Transylvania HCLC North 8 6 103 127 91 75 70 81 226 0.00
211 Trine MIAA 12 6 102 157 71 89 148 73 310 0.00
212 Trinity NESCAC 9 8 17 11 41 38 24 68 130 0.00
213 U of New England CNE 8 9 135 120 159 134 92 160 386 0.00
214 Union Liberty League 4 10 29 8 113 82 32 147 261 0.00
215 Ursinus Centennial 5 10 68 25 149 84 35 140 259 0.00
216 Utica Empire 8 6 10 145 111 177 167 165 178 510 0.00
217 Vassar Liberty League 6 9 54 27 120 96 111 133 340 0.00
218 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 7 11 148 121 191 155 121 190 466 0.00
219 Wabash NCAC 8 8 113 117 139 103 83 113 299 0.00
220 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 1 12 233 232 182 234 229 182 645 0.00
221 Washington & Jef PAC 5 12 208 204 212 200 180 211 591 0.00
222 Washington & Lee ODAC 17 4 23 39 12 17 19 7 43 0.00
223 Washington Colle Centennial 7 10 48 30 140 78 50 134 262 0.00
224 Wentworth CNE 13 4 70 88 35 67 109 40 216 0.00
225 Western Connecti LEC 13 7 64 72 88 57 72 92 221 0.00
226 Western New Engl CNE 8 9 67 50 133 104 69 141 314 0.00
227 Westminster (PA) PAC 10 8 121 148 128 128 141 128 397 0.00
228 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 8 81 59 141 88 96 144 328 0.00
229 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 14 110 52 229 151 101 226 478 0.00
230 Wilkes Landmark 4 13 183 147 227 185 172 227 584 0.00
231 William Peace USA South 6 8 203 217 150 177 199 148 524 0.00
232 Williams NESCAC 7 10 18 1 42 47 12 82 141 0.00
233 Wilmington (OH) OAC 4 13 210 197 228 195 170 228 593 0.00
234 Wittenberg NCAC 5 9 128 90 170 132 117 155 404 0.00
235 Wooster NCAC 9 8 77 67 134 72 61 98 231 0.00
236 York MAC-Commonwlth 17 4 16 31 14 14 15 12 41 0.00
237 Notre Dame (MD) zz - Archived 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00