List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 RPI Liberty League 7 0 7 41 4 14 70 2 86 10.00
2 Swarthmore Centennial 6 1 18 53 27 39 86 27 152 7.00
3 Bates NESCAC 5 0 6 35 5 6 39 7 52 6.00
4 Tufts NESCAC 2 0 2 16 23 1 1 28 30 6.00
5 Amherst NESCAC 3 0 9 21 18 33 122 19 174 5.00
6 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 5 2 21 39 53 27 40 83 150 5.00
7 RIT Liberty League 6 0 4 43 6 25 91 6 122 5.00
8 Wesleyan NESCAC 2 1 11 14 36 16 15 35 66 5.00
9 Williams NESCAC 2 1 12 4 28 21 22 72 115 5.00
10 Babson NEWMAC 4 1 15 40 29 98 178 45 321 4.00
11 Coast Guard NEWMAC 4 1 61 96 51 83 161 48 292 4.00
12 Bowdoin NESCAC 4 0 5 23 9 8 58 12 78 3.00
13 Christopher Newp CLC 7 0 8 38 2 7 46 4 57 3.00
14 Middlebury NESCAC 1 3 29 2 81 58 6 86 150 3.00
15 Salve Regina NEWMAC 6 1 37 82 33 24 63 32 119 3.00
16 Dickinson Centennial 3 2 27 25 63 34 29 94 157 2.00
17 Elmhurst CCIW 6 0 39 102 8 12 66 3 81 2.00
18 Hamilton NESCAC 1 2 25 27 75 47 8 109 164 2.00
19 Haverford Centennial 6 1 50 87 31 23 55 14 92 2.00
20 Salisbury CLC 7 0 3 11 1 4 27 1 32 2.00
21 Stevens MAC-Freedom 5 0 14 56 11 26 99 11 136 2.00
22 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 4 2 10 7 34 17 19 34 70 2.00
23 Trinity NESCAC 2 2 20 6 46 22 5 70 97 2.00
24 Washington Colle Centennial 5 2 35 47 83 104 162 88 354 2.00
25 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 4 2 75 113 93 80 116 58 254 0.00
26 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 2 1 34 19 30 20 21 49 90 0.00
27 Cortland SUNYAC 4 1 16 28 25 5 10 21 36 0.00
28 Denison NCAC 3 2 22 18 37 41 38 74 153 0.00
29 MIT NEWMAC 2 2 33 24 85 67 53 79 199 0.00
30 Skidmore Liberty League 2 3 26 34 140 73 45 162 280 0.00
31 St John Fisher Empire 8 4 1 31 49 58 15 36 33 84 0.00
32 Union Liberty League 1 4 28 15 179 196 158 205 559 0.00
33 Adrian MIAA 4 3 96 99 105 70 75 102 247 0.00
34 Albertus Magnus GNAC 2 2 221 229 106 178 176 103 457 0.00
35 Albion MIAA 3 3 80 97 142 106 95 145 346 0.00
36 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 7 164 137 237 183 105 237 525 0.00
37 Alfred Empire 8 1 3 154 165 162 201 175 167 543 0.00
38 Alfred State AMCC 2 3 200 199 153 197 193 154 544 0.00
39 Allegheny PAC 2 2 149 170 107 168 185 104 457 0.00
40 Alma MIAA 6 0 167 222 7 99 206 5 310 0.00
41 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 3 1 169 216 61 169 215 57 441 0.00
42 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 0 6 214 204 234 226 202 233 661 0.00
43 Anna Maria GNAC 3 0 193 232 19 45 228 20 293 0.00
44 Augustana CCIW 0 3 215 182 121 235 192 125 552 0.00
45 Aurora NACC 0 5 142 48 223 87 4 225 316 0.00
46 Averett ODAC 2 6 212 163 231 194 165 231 590 0.00
47 Baldwin Wallace OAC 3 3 73 52 143 52 35 146 233 0.00
48 Beloit NACC 2 1 183 195 74 69 94 36 199 0.00
49 Benedictine (IL) NACC 1 5 159 128 218 200 153 212 565 0.00
50 Berry SAA 0 4 136 73 207 199 93 210 502 0.00
51 Bethany PAC 2 5 190 167 192 212 201 195 608 0.00
52 Brevard USA South 2 5 227 224 193 206 212 176 594 0.00
53 Bridgewater ODAC 2 5 144 123 214 213 196 215 624 0.00
54 Brockport SUNYAC 2 3 132 84 144 65 31 155 251 0.00
55 Bryn Athyn United East 0 2 218 220 122 227 222 126 575 0.00
56 Cairn United East 0 5 232 223 224 234 226 226 686 0.00
57 Calvin MIAA 3 2 111 142 98 171 197 93 461 0.00
58 Canton NAC 1 2 185 191 118 173 157 119 449 0.00
59 Capital OAC 2 3 105 109 154 146 129 156 431 0.00
60 Carroll CCIW 4 1 174 193 49 136 199 46 381 0.00
61 Carthage CCIW 7 1 102 168 24 88 187 8 283 0.00
62 Castleton LEC 0 4 216 177 208 236 230 211 677 0.00
63 Catholic Landmark 2 4 87 61 172 174 159 196 529 0.00
64 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 2 3 180 190 155 180 183 157 520 0.00
65 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 2 220 214 123 225 216 127 568 0.00
66 Centre SAA 3 4 88 81 184 78 57 187 322 0.00
67 Chatham PAC 4 3 106 141 132 86 92 120 298 0.00
68 Clark NEWMAC 4 1 77 136 50 53 98 47 198 0.00
69 Clarkson Liberty League 4 2 70 105 94 72 103 90 265 0.00
70 Cobleskill NAC 1 1 206 230 78 76 68 77 221 0.00
71 Colby NESCAC 1 2 47 10 99 84 43 105 232 0.00
72 Colorado College HCLC South 5 3 53 72 124 50 59 128 237 0.00
73 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 1 3 139 106 163 135 67 168 370 0.00
74 Cornell College NACC 3 2 175 188 108 157 204 106 467 0.00
75 Curry CCC 0 6 171 92 235 161 42 235 438 0.00
76 Dean College GNAC 5 0 99 181 10 139 221 9 369 0.00
77 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 3 1 189 227 62 205 229 59 493 0.00
78 Delhi NAC 2 2 163 189 109 203 209 107 519 0.00
79 DePauw NCAC 2 2 130 154 110 132 132 108 372 0.00
80 DeSales MAC-Freedom 0 6 114 42 230 214 143 227 584 0.00
81 Drew Landmark 3 2 120 156 100 133 163 95 391 0.00
82 Dubuque NACC 1 3 172 117 164 150 85 169 404 0.00
83 Earlham HCLC North 1 5 209 176 203 141 51 197 389 0.00
84 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 3 4 71 36 145 120 87 129 336 0.00
85 Eastern Connecti LEC 3 1 117 125 64 64 106 29 199 0.00
86 Edgewood NACC 1 3 179 138 173 177 69 147 393 0.00
87 Elizabethtown Landmark 2 3 54 60 146 108 72 148 328 0.00
88 Emerson NEWMAC 2 5 95 68 209 176 148 216 540 0.00
89 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 0 5 213 66 225 192 81 228 501 0.00
90 Endicott CCC 4 2 32 33 65 75 107 60 242 0.00
91 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 4 2 41 112 12 42 219 13 274 0.00
92 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 4 1 155 208 52 148 210 50 408 0.00
93 Franciscan PAC 1 3 182 166 165 179 141 170 490 0.00
94 Geneseo SUNYAC 0 4 162 9 156 119 14 149 282 0.00
95 Gettysburg Centennial 3 1 1 1 3 2 2 30 34 0.00
96 Gordon CCC 0 2 156 114 125 232 61 130 423 0.00
97 Goucher Landmark 5 2 131 157 84 56 79 84 219 0.00
98 Greensboro USA South 2 6 208 171 233 215 169 234 618 0.00
99 Grove City PAC 3 5 30 32 133 68 32 150 250 0.00
100 Guilford ODAC 2 4 166 173 194 186 173 198 557 0.00
101 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 2 6 181 147 232 208 186 232 626 0.00
102 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 5 1 45 57 20 28 64 22 114 0.00
103 Hanover HCLC North 5 1 135 217 39 49 100 38 187 0.00
104 Hartford CCC 1 3 51 45 166 71 17 171 259 0.00
105 Hartwick Empire 8 0 4 143 62 210 184 73 188 445 0.00
106 Heidelberg OAC 3 3 187 200 147 130 131 110 371 0.00
107 Hendrix SAA 2 5 191 158 215 175 147 213 535 0.00
108 Hilbert AMCC 1 1 207 219 79 102 88 78 268 0.00
109 Hiram NCAC 1 5 219 194 219 217 191 217 625 0.00
110 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 3 0 85 169 21 37 25 23 85 0.00
111 Hope MIAA 3 4 103 75 185 74 49 177 300 0.00
112 Huntingdon USA South 2 3 210 226 111 216 227 111 554 0.00
113 Husson NAC 4 1 186 210 54 90 172 51 313 0.00
114 Illinois Tech NACC 1 4 160 143 204 191 145 207 543 0.00
115 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 6 1 72 107 32 51 112 31 194 0.00
116 Immaculata AEC 3 4 138 153 186 112 83 178 373 0.00
117 Ithaca Liberty League 4 2 44 88 95 167 203 91 461 0.00
118 John Carroll OAC 2 4 74 22 174 85 44 179 308 0.00
119 Johnson & Wales GNAC 3 3 134 133 148 156 166 151 473 0.00
120 Juniata Landmark 2 4 199 186 195 182 170 199 551 0.00
121 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 0 112 160 13 116 214 15 345 0.00
122 Kean CLC 6 1 36 86 14 55 125 10 190 0.00
123 Keene State LEC 1 4 86 31 182 109 37 208 354 0.00
124 Kenyon NCAC 5 2 49 51 80 29 41 85 155 0.00
125 Keuka Empire 8 1 2 195 207 119 209 194 121 524 0.00
126 Kings MAC-Freedom 0 5 202 145 226 198 89 218 505 0.00
127 La Roche AMCC 0 2 224 206 126 233 223 131 587 0.00
128 LaGrange USA South 0 4 204 152 175 222 198 180 600 0.00
129 Lake Forest NACC 1 4 129 115 205 195 154 186 535 0.00
130 Lasell GNAC 1 3 133 67 167 115 48 136 299 0.00
131 Lawrence NACC 0 3 177 129 176 105 7 181 293 0.00
132 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 3 4 145 95 187 77 52 158 287 0.00
133 Lycoming Landmark 3 2 152 183 101 121 150 96 367 0.00
134 Lynchburg ODAC 2 2 13 3 40 13 3 52 68 0.00
135 Maine Maritime NAC 3 2 101 126 102 100 123 97 320 0.00
136 Manhattanville Skyline 1 3 141 71 168 62 13 132 207 0.00
137 Marian (WI) NACC 0 2 217 185 127 122 220 122 464 0.00
138 Marietta OAC 5 1 125 212 42 137 205 40 382 0.00
139 Maritime Skyline 2 3 83 44 134 38 9 159 206 0.00
140 Mary Washington CLC 3 4 65 63 188 110 80 189 379 0.00
141 Marymount AEC 4 1 127 174 55 149 164 53 366 0.00
142 Marywood AEC 4 2 157 178 96 124 171 92 387 0.00
143 Massachusetts Ma LEC 3 0 79 144 22 35 126 24 185 0.00
144 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 4 0 40 116 15 18 78 16 112 0.00
145 McDaniel Centennial 3 4 128 122 189 153 144 190 487 0.00
146 MCLA NAC 0 3 226 213 177 185 74 182 441 0.00
147 Merchant Marine Skyline 3 1 67 79 66 19 30 61 110 0.00
148 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 1 5 91 30 212 117 33 221 371 0.00
149 Methodist USA South 4 3 173 187 135 152 182 137 471 0.00
150 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 0 5 119 55 227 172 62 200 434 0.00
151 Montclair State CLC 4 1 90 119 56 61 120 54 235 0.00
152 Moravian Landmark 3 2 122 131 103 94 115 98 307 0.00
153 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 2 2 198 205 112 210 217 112 539 0.00
154 Mount St Vincent Skyline 1 3 203 202 169 155 117 172 444 0.00
155 Mount Union OAC 4 0 68 221 16 101 207 17 325 0.00
156 MSOE NACC 2 2 123 148 113 66 50 113 229 0.00
157 Muhlenberg Centennial 4 3 42 37 86 103 111 99 313 0.00
158 Muskingum OAC 2 4 176 172 196 189 179 201 569 0.00
159 Nazareth Empire 8 3 4 46 20 149 57 24 160 241 0.00
160 Neumann AEC 2 4 161 134 197 163 130 173 466 0.00
161 New England Coll GNAC 2 1 178 198 76 187 218 75 480 0.00
162 New Paltz SUNYAC 2 4 153 127 198 113 65 174 352 0.00
163 Nichols CCC 1 5 147 74 213 165 82 219 466 0.00
164 North Central CCIW 5 1 76 132 45 59 121 43 223 0.00
165 Northland D3 Independent 0 1 194 149 87 237 237 87 561 0.00
166 Norwich GNAC 2 4 124 120 199 166 138 202 506 0.00
167 Oberlin NCAC 4 1 38 85 57 9 23 55 87 0.00
168 Oglethorpe SAA 2 6 222 215 220 229 225 222 676 0.00
169 Ohio Northern OAC 4 3 69 69 136 60 54 138 252 0.00
170 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 3 3 24 13 88 48 28 123 199 0.00
171 Oneonta SUNYAC 2 3 89 50 137 129 96 133 358 0.00
172 Oswego SUNYAC 3 1 115 130 67 111 180 62 353 0.00
173 Otterbein OAC 2 2 110 93 114 145 160 114 419 0.00
174 Penn College United East 5 2 93 140 89 63 97 76 236 0.00
175 Pfeiffer USA South 3 2 94 103 90 147 184 100 431 0.00
176 Piedmont USA South 4 3 148 162 138 193 213 139 545 0.00
177 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 2 4 230 231 200 231 231 203 665 0.00
178 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 3 151 124 157 144 127 161 432 0.00
179 Plymouth State LEC 3 1 58 101 68 32 26 63 121 0.00
180 Potsdam SUNYAC 3 1 100 161 69 126 188 64 378 0.00
181 Purchase Skyline 1 3 229 228 170 219 190 175 584 0.00
182 Randolph ODAC 0 5 225 179 228 228 208 229 665 0.00
183 Randolph-Macon ODAC 4 3 66 77 128 118 134 140 392 0.00
184 Regis (MA) GNAC 0 2 196 118 129 202 102 134 438 0.00
185 Rhodes SAA 5 3 82 110 130 89 119 135 343 0.00
186 Rivier GNAC 3 1 62 76 70 31 47 65 143 0.00
187 Roanoke ODAC 5 2 48 91 71 92 152 66 310 0.00
188 Roger Williams CCC 3 5 63 54 211 91 60 191 342 0.00
189 Rosemont United East 1 5 211 201 206 190 101 209 500 0.00
190 Sage Empire 8 2 4 146 139 201 160 124 183 467 0.00
191 Salem State LEC 3 1 188 218 72 143 195 67 405 0.00
192 Scranton Landmark 0 6 97 17 216 131 20 223 374 0.00
193 Sewanee SAA 4 3 84 104 139 127 151 141 419 0.00
194 Shenandoah ODAC 3 4 126 100 190 114 84 192 390 0.00
195 Southern Maine LEC 1 5 184 155 221 207 110 224 541 0.00
196 Southern Virgini USA South 3 5 150 70 222 170 109 220 499 0.00
197 Southwestern HCLC South 3 1 92 180 73 46 71 68 185 0.00
198 Spalding HCLC North 0 5 231 196 229 230 211 230 671 0.00
199 Springfield NEWMAC 1 4 43 8 171 134 56 204 394 0.00
200 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 2 3 121 98 158 159 139 163 461 0.00
201 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 1 1 223 233 82 223 232 80 535 0.00
202 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 2 3 137 151 159 164 156 164 484 0.00
203 St Lawrence Liberty League 3 1 23 26 59 10 16 69 95 0.00
204 St Marys (MD) United East 4 3 59 65 131 93 104 142 339 0.00
205 St Vincent PAC 2 3 113 90 160 140 108 143 391 0.00
206 Stockton CLC 4 3 57 58 115 125 146 115 386 0.00
207 SUNY Poly NAC 2 0 158 211 26 3 18 26 47 0.00
208 Susquehanna Landmark 6 1 55 121 35 44 90 25 159 0.00
209 Thiel PAC 0 6 228 175 236 221 189 236 646 0.00
210 Thomas NAC 0 3 170 150 178 218 181 184 583 0.00
211 Transylvania HCLC North 3 4 109 80 191 107 77 193 377 0.00
212 Trine MIAA 4 0 98 192 17 40 135 18 193 0.00
213 U of New England CCC 4 3 104 108 141 43 34 144 221 0.00
214 Ursinus Centennial 1 4 108 46 180 204 167 185 556 0.00
215 Utica Empire 8 1 2 168 111 120 220 224 124 568 0.00
216 Vassar Liberty League 4 1 56 83 60 96 177 56 329 0.00
217 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 3 3 165 164 150 138 140 152 430 0.00
218 Wabash NCAC 5 2 116 159 91 82 136 71 289 0.00
219 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 4 233 225 181 224 128 153 505 0.00
220 Washington & Jef PAC 2 3 201 197 161 154 137 165 456 0.00
221 Washington & Lee ODAC 2 2 17 5 77 30 12 81 123 0.00
222 Wentworth CCC 5 2 60 89 92 95 155 89 339 0.00
223 Western Connecti LEC 3 4 81 59 183 151 142 194 487 0.00
224 Western New Engl CCC 2 4 64 29 151 128 76 166 370 0.00
225 Westminster (PA) PAC 4 2 107 135 97 79 114 82 275 0.00
226 Wheaton NEWMAC 5 1 52 78 47 36 133 44 213 0.00
227 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 1 5 118 64 217 181 113 214 508 0.00
228 Wilkes Landmark 2 4 197 184 202 211 200 206 617 0.00
229 William Peace USA South 2 2 205 203 116 162 174 116 452 0.00
230 Wilmington (OH) OAC 3 3 192 209 152 158 168 117 443 0.00
231 Wittenberg NCAC 2 2 140 146 117 142 149 118 409 0.00
232 Wooster NCAC 3 2 78 94 104 97 118 101 316 0.00
233 York MAC-Commonwlth 4 2 19 12 48 11 11 73 95 0.00
234 Elmira Empire 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
235 Lyndon NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
236 Mitchell GNAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
237 Morrisville NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00