List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 12 0 1 5 2 2 30 1 33 58.89
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 12 0 2 8 1 1 15 2 18 23.33
3 Wesleyan NESCAC 9 3 4 3 4 8 5 13 26 5.56
4 Babson NEWMAC 12 1 3 23 3 6 16 3 25 4.44
5 RIT Liberty League 11 4 5 14 21 7 3 24 34 2.22
6 Amherst NESCAC 6 5 12 1 15 15 2 38 55 1.11
7 Bates NESCAC 9 4 6 11 10 23 23 25 71 1.11
8 Christopher Newp CLC 14 2 7 16 5 3 1 6 10 1.11
9 Cortland SUNYAC 8 5 20 33 72 37 17 65 119 1.11
10 St John Fisher Empire 8 11 1 16 38 9 5 32 8 45 1.11
11 Adrian MIAA 3 8 118 95 189 146 110 188 444 0.00
12 Albertus Magnus GNAC South 5 8 206 221 182 204 211 183 598 0.00
13 Albion MIAA 8 5 100 113 100 91 111 91 293 0.00
14 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 3 9 179 164 204 192 146 205 543 0.00
15 Alfred Empire 8 6 4 111 157 87 110 185 92 387 0.00
16 Alfred State AMCC 5 7 190 194 163 181 182 164 527 0.00
17 Allegheny PAC 5 7 174 176 164 142 176 165 483 0.00
18 Alma MIAA 3 9 216 191 205 202 175 197 574 0.00
19 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 7 5 155 165 105 141 206 105 452 0.00
20 Anna Maria NAC 1 11 217 210 229 227 209 229 665 0.00
21 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 9 4 72 87 68 76 86 72 234 0.00
22 Augustana CCIW 3 9 211 212 206 195 172 194 561 0.00
23 Aurora NACC 9 3 87 131 51 28 68 32 128 0.00
24 Averett ODAC 0 13 220 130 234 200 153 234 587 0.00
25 Baldwin Wallace OAC 11 3 54 101 39 46 93 40 179 0.00
26 Beloit NACC 5 7 198 196 165 179 183 166 528 0.00
27 Benedictine (IL) NACC 9 4 148 185 69 122 178 73 373 0.00
28 Berry SAA 5 7 129 108 166 113 95 153 361 0.00
29 Bethany PAC 1 12 231 228 235 229 203 235 667 0.00
30 Brevard USA South 0 14 232 219 238 230 221 238 689 0.00
31 Bridgewater ODAC 9 5 113 121 88 86 82 85 253 0.00
32 Brockport Empire 8 2 10 106 62 219 165 100 222 487 0.00
33 Cairn United East 2 6 230 220 148 226 228 149 603 0.00
34 Calvin MIAA 10 2 98 111 25 19 54 19 92 0.00
35 Canton SUNYAC 1 5 172 106 127 198 194 129 521 0.00
36 Capital OAC 6 6 123 116 131 90 88 130 308 0.00
37 Carroll CCIW 3 10 176 120 221 147 78 209 434 0.00
38 Carthage CCIW 7 7 120 129 149 99 67 138 304 0.00
39 Castleton LEC 2 10 181 142 222 167 140 223 530 0.00
40 Catholic Landmark 9 5 62 72 95 78 127 97 302 0.00
41 Centenary (LA) D3 Independent 10 3 166 216 45 134 201 46 381 0.00
42 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 2 223 205 61 211 168 64 443 0.00
43 Centre SAA 9 2 64 90 33 25 83 20 128 0.00
44 Chatham PAC 10 3 93 146 46 61 122 47 230 0.00
45 Clark NEWMAC 1 12 130 57 236 188 125 236 549 0.00
46 Clarkson Liberty League 7 4 38 28 57 33 49 62 144 0.00
47 Coast Guard NEWMAC 3 8 85 42 173 159 124 178 461 0.00
48 Cobleskill NAC 1 4 219 229 116 231 233 112 576 0.00
49 Colby NESCAC 3 8 37 7 96 101 35 139 275 0.00
50 Colby-Sawyer GNAC North 0 8 228 183 195 210 167 198 575 0.00
51 Colorado College D3 Independent 9 2 40 71 22 14 52 21 87 0.00
52 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 13 1 80 177 14 44 158 12 214 0.00
53 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 7 30 12 81 87 45 131 263 0.00
54 Cornell College NACC 4 9 207 180 207 178 199 206 583 0.00
55 Curry CNE 3 9 159 123 208 185 144 207 536 0.00
56 Dean College GNAC South 7 5 167 193 106 115 126 106 347 0.00
57 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 0 8 202 145 196 217 190 199 606 0.00
58 Delhi NAC 2 7 158 150 174 174 192 176 542 0.00
59 Denison NCAC 5 7 32 25 107 70 11 86 167 0.00
60 DePauw NCAC 5 6 117 105 138 135 151 136 422 0.00
61 DeSales MAC-Freedom 5 8 95 69 183 118 87 177 382 0.00
62 Dickinson Centennial 11 2 11 18 17 9 18 14 41 0.00
63 Drew Landmark 6 6 137 144 132 143 184 132 459 0.00
64 Dubuque NACC 4 9 162 147 200 176 134 202 512 0.00
65 Earlham HCLC North 1 11 229 233 230 233 225 230 688 0.00
66 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 2 11 91 30 216 151 62 214 427 0.00
67 Eastern Connecti LEC 3 4 119 103 101 125 143 102 370 0.00
68 Edgewood NACC 2 10 178 140 223 183 105 219 507 0.00
69 Elizabethtown Landmark 5 9 70 50 188 117 41 174 332 0.00
70 Elmhurst CCIW 10 2 42 76 26 12 24 22 58 0.00
71 Elmira Empire 8 2 4 210 227 108 214 232 107 553 0.00
72 Elms NAC 1 3 227 226 89 223 227 93 543 0.00
73 Emerson NEWMAC 3 10 126 58 197 124 39 213 376 0.00
74 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC North 6 7 170 199 154 191 204 154 549 0.00
75 Endicott CNE 10 3 25 66 34 66 104 33 203 0.00
76 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 8 3 86 143 55 94 162 52 308 0.00
77 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 7 6 168 174 118 149 165 123 437 0.00
78 Franciscan PAC 6 7 191 215 155 205 215 155 575 0.00
79 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 7 5 28 26 73 36 53 66 155 0.00
80 Geneseo Empire 8 7 5 55 40 82 67 79 77 223 0.00
81 Gettysburg Centennial 7 4 18 13 23 11 7 15 33 0.00
82 Gordon CNE 0 9 183 99 212 197 142 215 554 0.00
83 Goucher Landmark 5 8 136 138 184 161 129 184 474 0.00
84 Greensboro USA South 11 3 131 213 40 119 179 41 339 0.00
85 Grove City PAC 7 7 48 61 102 41 9 94 144 0.00
86 Guilford ODAC 2 9 209 118 201 177 118 200 495 0.00
87 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 5 4 152 184 92 153 217 98 468 0.00
88 Hamilton NESCAC 8 5 15 9 19 29 14 53 96 0.00
89 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 7 7 49 49 133 47 10 113 170 0.00
90 Hanover HCLC North 6 6 188 218 134 173 198 133 504 0.00
91 Hartford CNE 8 4 61 80 74 88 119 78 285 0.00
92 Hartwick Empire 8 2 9 115 64 202 158 109 210 477 0.00
93 Haverford Centennial 8 6 52 45 109 58 36 114 208 0.00
94 Heidelberg OAC 4 9 204 187 203 189 161 203 553 0.00
95 Hendrix SAA 2 8 196 163 192 193 191 192 576 0.00
96 Hilbert AMCC 2 4 215 231 110 221 229 108 558 0.00
97 Hiram PAC 6 8 212 230 177 216 222 179 617 0.00
98 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 7 4 114 126 83 95 149 87 331 0.00
99 Hope MIAA 13 0 51 149 6 22 94 4 120 0.00
100 Huntingdon USA South 6 8 184 207 156 170 213 156 539 0.00
101 Husson NAC 8 3 165 208 56 166 226 54 446 0.00
102 Illinois Tech NACC 6 8 143 152 178 109 50 175 334 0.00
103 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 9 4 73 85 70 32 34 63 129 0.00
104 Immaculata AEC 10 4 121 151 62 84 101 67 252 0.00
105 Ithaca Liberty League 9 4 24 19 41 27 25 42 94 0.00
106 John Carroll OAC 2 6 109 59 150 140 115 140 395 0.00
107 Johnson & Wales GNAC South 3 6 149 100 144 162 174 145 481 0.00
108 Juniata Landmark 1 12 197 159 237 219 170 237 626 0.00
109 Kalamazoo MIAA 5 6 150 128 139 108 117 127 352 0.00
110 Kean CLC 7 8 88 52 135 105 60 137 302 0.00
111 Keene State LEC 7 5 97 102 111 68 77 109 254 0.00
112 Kenyon NCAC 8 5 47 56 90 57 43 55 155 0.00
113 Keuka Empire 8 5 7 193 192 167 184 202 167 553 0.00
114 Kings MAC-Freedom 3 8 175 141 185 206 208 189 603 0.00
115 La Roche AMCC 0 9 234 234 198 234 234 201 669 0.00
116 LaGrange USA South 1 10 214 188 193 208 195 195 598 0.00
117 Lake Forest NACC 7 5 108 136 112 77 69 88 234 0.00
118 Lasell GNAC South 8 6 147 179 123 128 113 124 365 0.00
119 Lawrence NACC 6 7 160 169 157 163 186 157 506 0.00
120 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 9 4 92 119 58 96 112 68 276 0.00
121 Lycoming Landmark 2 10 187 158 224 213 197 224 634 0.00
122 Lynchburg ODAC 11 1 13 51 7 4 6 5 15 0.00
123 Maine Maritime NAC 7 3 128 168 59 100 193 58 351 0.00
124 Manhattanville Skyline 4 6 156 148 141 136 155 141 432 0.00
125 Marian (WI) NACC 0 9 226 190 213 228 218 216 662 0.00
126 Marietta OAC 6 7 173 171 158 155 148 158 461 0.00
127 Maritime Skyline 5 7 90 73 145 120 102 159 381 0.00
128 Mary Washington CLC 6 7 69 39 128 73 29 122 224 0.00
129 Marymount AEC 5 7 144 139 168 145 139 168 452 0.00
130 Marywood AEC 6 9 164 160 194 186 136 196 518 0.00
131 Massachusetts Ma LEC 9 2 77 115 35 39 121 34 194 0.00
132 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 6 6 84 55 97 71 58 103 232 0.00
133 McDaniel Centennial 5 8 138 78 175 116 57 169 342 0.00
134 MCLA NAC 4 4 195 217 98 180 220 99 499 0.00
135 Merchant Marine Skyline 6 5 76 86 117 82 98 115 295 0.00
136 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 6 4 65 70 84 40 74 74 188 0.00
137 Methodist USA South 7 7 180 198 151 172 163 150 485 0.00
138 Middlebury NESCAC 7 5 10 2 18 21 8 43 72 0.00
139 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 4 104 133 75 106 152 79 337 0.00
140 MIT NEWMAC 7 5 41 36 91 62 61 95 218 0.00
141 Mitchell GNAC South 0 9 233 200 214 225 212 217 654 0.00
142 Montclair State CLC 10 3 82 98 47 64 133 48 245 0.00
143 Moravian Landmark 8 4 132 167 76 132 181 80 393 0.00
144 Morrisville SUNYAC 7 5 134 153 113 112 156 110 378 0.00
145 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 3 8 205 203 190 220 223 190 633 0.00
146 Mount St Vincent Skyline 5 7 182 197 169 196 216 170 582 0.00
147 Mount Union OAC 6 6 163 178 136 127 150 134 411 0.00
148 MSOE NACC 10 4 135 182 63 121 169 69 359 0.00
149 Muhlenberg Centennial 8 6 39 27 119 83 72 118 273 0.00
150 Muskingum OAC 6 7 140 155 159 139 157 160 456 0.00
151 Nazareth Empire 8 7 6 34 44 114 63 47 104 214 0.00
152 Neumann AEC 0 11 189 125 233 218 196 233 647 0.00
153 New England Coll GNAC North 2 10 200 186 225 203 147 225 575 0.00
154 New Paltz SUNYAC 3 9 141 96 209 175 131 208 514 0.00
155 Nichols CNE 7 7 125 122 152 137 114 151 402 0.00
156 North Central CCIW 1 11 139 104 231 156 55 231 442 0.00
157 Norwich GNAC North 6 6 157 166 129 129 123 135 387 0.00
158 Oberlin NCAC 9 3 57 77 52 38 81 39 158 0.00
159 Oglethorpe SAA 2 11 213 175 210 199 219 211 629 0.00
160 Ohio Northern OAC 9 5 68 79 64 42 38 56 136 0.00
161 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 4 6 50 32 140 79 70 119 268 0.00
162 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 7 79 47 137 103 106 142 351 0.00
163 Oswego SUNYAC 8 3 81 91 53 69 135 57 261 0.00
164 Otterbein OAC 5 7 133 127 170 144 141 171 456 0.00
165 Penn College United East 10 4 96 117 65 89 92 70 251 0.00
166 Pfeiffer USA South 12 2 67 137 20 30 97 16 143 0.00
167 Piedmont USA South 6 7 169 170 160 150 128 161 439 0.00
168 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 10 3 199 232 48 171 230 49 450 0.00
169 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 7 3 101 132 60 93 180 59 332 0.00
170 Plymouth State LEC 4 6 110 109 142 160 189 143 492 0.00
171 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 4 66 81 77 98 166 75 339 0.00
172 Purchase Skyline 1 7 222 223 179 232 231 180 643 0.00
173 Randolph ODAC 3 11 221 195 226 212 160 227 599 0.00
174 Randolph-Macon ODAC 10 3 35 68 29 26 42 17 85 0.00
175 Regis (MA) GNAC North 5 7 186 209 171 169 214 172 555 0.00
176 Rhodes SAA 9 5 58 92 93 55 66 96 217 0.00
177 Rivier GNAC North 13 0 103 202 8 52 154 7 213 0.00
178 Roanoke ODAC 9 4 31 60 42 35 21 29 85 0.00
179 Roger Williams CNE 6 8 105 97 180 130 103 181 414 0.00
180 RPI Liberty League 8 6 33 17 99 48 48 116 212 0.00
181 Sage Empire 8 3 5 192 135 122 157 177 120 454 0.00
182 Salem State LEC 7 5 142 162 115 80 132 111 323 0.00
183 Salisbury CLC 12 2 8 20 13 10 12 9 31 0.00
184 Salve Regina NEWMAC 8 3 63 65 37 72 145 44 261 0.00
185 Scranton Landmark 8 6 45 46 78 59 26 81 166 0.00
186 Sewanee SAA 10 5 56 84 94 54 59 89 202 0.00
187 Shenandoah ODAC 5 10 153 112 215 164 89 218 471 0.00
188 Skidmore Liberty League 10 2 26 29 16 24 71 18 113 0.00
189 Southern Maine LEC 3 8 185 181 191 207 207 191 605 0.00
190 Southern Virgini USA South 6 9 116 107 161 111 85 162 358 0.00
191 Southwestern SAA 5 9 99 82 199 104 46 193 343 0.00
192 Spalding HCLC North 2 11 218 201 227 209 159 226 594 0.00
193 Springfield NEWMAC 8 4 46 34 49 43 56 60 159 0.00
194 St Joseph (CT) GNAC South 10 2 107 172 31 53 120 31 204 0.00
195 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 3 6 203 211 146 215 224 146 585 0.00
196 St Josephs (ME) GNAC North 8 6 145 189 124 123 108 121 352 0.00
197 St Lawrence Liberty League 9 4 22 15 32 16 28 35 79 0.00
198 St Marys (MD) United East 8 6 43 54 103 56 33 82 171 0.00
199 St Vincent PAC 7 6 124 161 130 114 107 128 349 0.00
200 Stevens MAC-Freedom 10 2 9 37 11 17 63 11 91 0.00
201 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 4 7 44 21 125 92 51 100 243 0.00
202 Stockton CLC 10 4 36 41 43 20 19 36 75 0.00
203 SUNY Poly Empire 8 5 7 161 134 162 152 171 152 475 0.00
204 Susquehanna Landmark 7 7 122 114 153 126 84 147 357 0.00
205 Swarthmore Centennial 9 5 27 35 66 45 31 51 127 0.00
206 Thiel PAC 2 11 225 225 228 224 200 228 652 0.00
207 Thomas NAC 7 4 171 204 85 148 210 90 448 0.00
208 Transylvania HCLC North 8 4 89 110 79 49 75 71 195 0.00
209 Trine MIAA 12 3 78 154 38 51 80 37 168 0.00
210 Trinity NESCAC 5 8 19 6 67 50 4 125 179 0.00
211 U of New England CNE 4 10 112 88 217 133 76 220 429 0.00
212 Union Liberty League 4 10 21 10 143 97 13 185 295 0.00
213 Ursinus Centennial 4 8 59 22 176 75 20 173 268 0.00
214 Utica Empire 8 4 7 102 83 172 107 90 163 360 0.00
215 Vassar Liberty League 5 7 53 24 120 102 65 144 311 0.00
216 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 10 5 83 124 86 81 73 83 237 0.00
217 Wabash NCAC 2 9 154 93 211 168 130 204 502 0.00
218 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 9 224 222 186 222 205 186 613 0.00
219 Washington & Jef PAC 6 8 208 214 181 182 137 182 501 0.00
220 Washington & Lee ODAC 10 5 23 48 54 34 22 45 101 0.00
221 Washington Colle Centennial 11 3 29 43 36 18 40 23 81 0.00
222 Wentworth CNE 6 6 94 75 121 131 138 117 386 0.00
223 Western Connecti LEC 10 3 74 94 50 60 96 50 206 0.00
224 Western New Engl CNE 9 5 71 63 80 65 64 76 205 0.00
225 Westminster (PA) PAC 8 6 146 173 126 138 164 126 428 0.00
226 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 4 60 67 44 31 27 61 119 0.00
227 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 2 10 127 53 220 154 91 212 457 0.00
228 Wilkes Landmark 4 10 177 156 218 201 173 221 595 0.00
229 William Peace USA South 8 7 201 224 147 190 188 148 526 0.00
230 Williams NESCAC 5 7 14 4 71 74 37 101 212 0.00
231 Wilmington (OH) OAC 5 8 194 206 187 194 187 187 568 0.00
232 Wittenberg NCAC 1 11 151 74 232 187 116 232 535 0.00
233 Wooster NCAC 8 5 75 89 104 85 99 84 268 0.00
234 York MAC-Commonwlth 12 1 17 31 12 13 44 10 67 0.00
235 Bryn Athyn United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
236 Northland D3 Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
237 Notre Dame (MD) United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
238 Rosemont United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00