List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 21 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 68.89
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 19 2 2 7 2 2 2 2 6 14.44
3 RIT Liberty League 19 4 3 13 3 3 4 3 10 5.56
4 Babson NEWMAC 18 3 5 23 4 6 17 6 29 4.44
5 Stevens MAC-Freedom 18 3 9 43 8 13 35 9 57 2.22
6 Wesleyan NESCAC 14 5 4 5 6 9 7 12 28 2.22
7 Gettysburg Centennial 12 5 15 15 18 7 9 15 31 1.11
8 Middlebury NESCAC 9 8 7 1 19 21 3 36 60 1.11
9 Adrian MIAA 3 12 120 78 211 138 46 201 385 0.00
10 Albertus Magnus GNAC South 5 11 208 225 197 206 201 196 603 0.00
11 Albion MIAA 12 7 97 110 98 80 52 65 197 0.00
12 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 3 13 178 132 220 200 149 221 570 0.00
13 Alfred Empire 8 7 9 111 117 146 130 126 148 404 0.00
14 Alfred State AMCC 7 8 196 215 134 180 213 133 526 0.00
15 Allegheny PAC 6 10 185 187 179 157 132 180 469 0.00
16 Alma MIAA 3 10 216 184 184 204 200 174 578 0.00
17 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 8 8 156 133 123 156 186 122 464 0.00
18 Amherst NESCAC 8 8 14 2 23 28 14 50 92 0.00
19 Anna Maria NAC 1 14 220 217 233 229 217 233 679 0.00
20 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 12 7 75 82 69 76 64 83 223 0.00
21 Augustana CCIW 3 12 211 201 212 213 206 210 629 0.00
22 Aurora NACC 13 4 83 150 39 43 60 32 135 0.00
23 Averett ODAC 1 15 214 130 232 203 211 230 644 0.00
24 Baldwin Wallace OAC 14 5 59 90 44 38 75 41 154 0.00
25 Bates NESCAC 12 6 6 11 13 20 16 23 59 0.00
26 Beloit NACC 5 10 195 190 182 188 194 183 565 0.00
27 Benedictine (IL) NACC 11 6 136 177 85 113 168 84 365 0.00
28 Berry SAA 6 8 132 121 137 119 131 138 388 0.00
29 Bethany PAC 1 15 232 220 235 226 195 235 656 0.00
30 Brevard USA South 0 17 230 221 238 230 225 238 693 0.00
31 Bridgewater ODAC 10 8 105 104 121 89 82 108 279 0.00
32 Brockport Empire 8 4 12 107 68 204 145 81 211 437 0.00
33 Cairn United East 2 9 229 206 173 227 227 175 629 0.00
34 Calvin MIAA 13 4 90 98 40 19 34 22 75 0.00
35 Canton SUNYAC 1 8 174 100 154 199 208 160 567 0.00
36 Capital OAC 8 9 122 123 147 105 86 144 335 0.00
37 Carroll CCIW 4 12 172 131 213 168 158 204 530 0.00
38 Carthage CCIW 9 9 113 119 141 92 37 123 252 0.00
39 Castleton LEC 2 13 179 141 227 181 108 227 516 0.00
40 Catholic Landmark 13 6 58 86 70 81 112 72 265 0.00
41 Centenary (LA) D3 Independent 10 4 161 207 49 135 210 42 387 0.00
42 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 2 225 208 50 211 204 51 466 0.00
43 Centre SAA 10 3 66 97 34 35 93 33 161 0.00
44 Chatham PAC 14 4 88 163 37 75 107 40 222 0.00
45 Christopher Newp CLC 18 4 11 16 7 4 8 7 19 0.00
46 Clark NEWMAC 1 14 131 47 229 176 106 231 513 0.00
47 Clarkson Liberty League 8 6 41 25 71 53 95 73 221 0.00
48 Coast Guard NEWMAC 5 10 81 36 142 126 114 161 401 0.00
49 Cobleskill NAC 1 4 217 231 86 232 232 85 549 0.00
50 Colby NESCAC 3 10 40 9 109 127 71 140 338 0.00
51 Colby-Sawyer GNAC North 1 10 228 203 189 210 197 188 595 0.00
52 Colorado College D3 Independent 12 3 34 60 20 14 85 17 116 0.00
53 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 19 2 80 173 14 40 98 14 152 0.00
54 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 9 27 10 76 86 66 121 273 0.00
55 Cornell College NACC 4 12 206 179 214 191 221 215 627 0.00
56 Cortland SUNYAC 15 6 19 41 41 22 47 43 112 0.00
57 Curry CNE 3 12 163 128 215 189 165 216 570 0.00
58 Dean College GNAC South 9 7 169 210 113 134 135 113 382 0.00
59 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 1 14 204 153 231 217 178 232 627 0.00
60 Delhi NAC 5 8 164 180 140 155 173 141 469 0.00
61 Denison NCAC 7 9 36 29 114 72 27 100 199 0.00
62 DePauw NCAC 6 9 110 87 160 148 146 162 456 0.00
63 DeSales MAC-Freedom 8 10 96 73 161 109 63 154 326 0.00
64 Dickinson Centennial 15 4 13 19 16 12 45 19 76 0.00
65 Drew Landmark 7 9 141 137 155 154 160 155 469 0.00
66 Dubuque NACC 6 10 157 160 180 165 157 181 503 0.00
67 Earlham HCLC North 1 12 227 232 221 233 228 222 683 0.00
68 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 5 13 95 40 185 117 57 186 360 0.00
69 Eastern Connecti LEC 4 8 123 103 143 137 120 145 402 0.00
70 Edgewood NACC 4 12 177 146 207 161 79 205 445 0.00
71 Elizabethtown Landmark 9 10 77 65 144 100 72 139 311 0.00
72 Elmhurst CCIW 15 4 46 64 28 15 25 20 60 0.00
73 Elmira Empire 8 2 5 210 230 99 220 229 101 550 0.00
74 Elms NAC 1 3 231 229 61 223 231 59 513 0.00
75 Emerson NEWMAC 4 11 127 59 181 133 80 185 398 0.00
76 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC North 8 9 171 200 148 163 170 149 482 0.00
77 Endicott CNE 14 4 30 62 31 54 99 31 184 0.00
78 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 12 4 94 157 45 87 179 44 310 0.00
79 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 8 9 167 171 138 159 172 142 473 0.00
80 Franciscan PAC 8 9 184 214 149 179 203 150 532 0.00
81 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 7 8 31 21 100 45 41 93 179 0.00
82 Geneseo Empire 8 12 6 56 55 53 51 61 54 166 0.00
83 Gordon CNE 0 12 181 115 223 215 188 224 627 0.00
84 Goucher Landmark 7 10 135 147 174 158 155 176 489 0.00
85 Greensboro USA South 12 5 151 219 56 141 205 57 403 0.00
86 Grove City PAC 14 8 43 83 62 26 15 47 88 0.00
87 Guilford ODAC 2 12 218 127 208 187 125 212 524 0.00
88 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 7 6 162 192 101 174 219 102 495 0.00
89 Hamilton NESCAC 9 8 16 6 29 33 12 52 97 0.00
90 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 10 9 48 51 115 58 19 103 180 0.00
91 Hanover HCLC North 7 8 187 205 135 164 183 134 481 0.00
92 Hartford CNE 11 6 65 74 87 84 129 86 299 0.00
93 Hartwick Empire 8 5 11 117 72 186 143 102 189 434 0.00
94 Haverford Centennial 9 7 49 37 88 60 76 87 223 0.00
95 Heidelberg OAC 5 11 203 198 198 196 185 197 578 0.00
96 Hendrix SAA 2 10 188 151 187 178 169 187 534 0.00
97 Hilbert AMCC 3 5 219 234 95 228 234 97 559 0.00
98 Hiram PAC 6 11 212 222 190 209 191 190 590 0.00
99 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 8 7 108 101 104 106 128 106 340 0.00
100 Hope MIAA 20 1 39 94 5 10 13 4 27 0.00
101 Huntingdon USA South 7 10 183 212 156 173 230 156 559 0.00
102 Husson NAC 12 5 155 199 57 125 187 58 370 0.00
103 Illinois Tech NACC 7 11 148 142 188 124 48 182 354 0.00
104 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 11 7 76 85 105 48 29 74 151 0.00
105 Immaculata AEC 12 6 124 155 77 98 136 77 311 0.00
106 Ithaca Liberty League 11 7 26 20 65 30 31 61 122 0.00
107 John Carroll OAC 3 8 102 56 150 153 162 143 458 0.00
108 Johnson & Wales GNAC South 4 8 158 113 145 170 174 146 490 0.00
109 Juniata Landmark 1 15 198 159 236 221 196 236 653 0.00
110 Kalamazoo MIAA 5 9 147 122 164 118 83 147 348 0.00
111 Kean CLC 7 11 89 39 151 108 73 151 332 0.00
112 Keene State LEC 9 7 101 116 116 91 113 114 318 0.00
113 Kenyon NCAC 10 7 53 48 92 67 36 78 181 0.00
114 Keuka Empire 8 5 11 197 169 191 185 199 191 575 0.00
115 Kings MAC-Freedom 4 11 175 143 192 195 190 198 583 0.00
116 La Roche AMCC 0 11 234 233 199 234 233 199 666 0.00
117 LaGrange USA South 2 10 207 195 157 193 215 157 565 0.00
118 Lake Forest NACC 11 7 100 136 106 55 30 88 173 0.00
119 Lasell GNAC South 10 8 150 186 125 128 116 124 368 0.00
120 Lawrence NACC 7 10 160 170 175 160 147 177 484 0.00
121 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 13 5 86 120 38 82 104 45 231 0.00
122 Lycoming Landmark 3 12 194 168 216 214 212 217 643 0.00
123 Lynchburg ODAC 17 4 22 46 11 11 10 10 31 0.00
124 Maine Maritime NAC 10 5 134 182 66 102 164 62 328 0.00
125 Manhattanville Skyline 7 9 165 156 158 136 101 158 395 0.00
126 Marian (WI) NACC 0 12 223 176 224 218 189 225 632 0.00
127 Marietta OAC 6 9 173 172 162 166 166 163 495 0.00
128 Maritime Skyline 10 9 84 99 132 94 54 135 283 0.00
129 Mary Washington CLC 8 9 63 34 126 70 39 109 218 0.00
130 Marymount AEC 9 8 129 138 127 111 134 125 370 0.00
131 Marywood AEC 6 11 166 167 193 183 181 192 556 0.00
132 Massachusetts Ma LEC 16 3 64 108 17 24 62 21 107 0.00
133 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 11 8 85 71 94 69 49 98 216 0.00
134 McDaniel Centennial 5 11 138 63 183 146 118 184 448 0.00
135 MCLA NAC 5 6 200 224 110 194 226 110 530 0.00
136 Merchant Marine Skyline 11 6 78 135 89 97 153 89 339 0.00
137 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 9 6 67 61 78 78 97 79 254 0.00
138 Methodist USA South 8 9 170 188 152 151 139 152 442 0.00
139 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 9 7 116 125 102 115 121 107 343 0.00
140 MIT NEWMAC 9 8 35 26 79 65 51 94 210 0.00
141 Mitchell GNAC South 0 12 233 209 225 224 198 226 648 0.00
142 Montclair State CLC 11 3 82 105 33 41 142 34 217 0.00
143 Moravian Landmark 9 7 139 166 117 149 184 115 448 0.00
144 Morrisville SUNYAC 8 7 133 134 118 131 171 117 419 0.00
145 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 4 11 201 193 201 212 216 202 630 0.00
146 Mount St Vincent Skyline 6 11 180 189 194 201 193 193 587 0.00
147 Mount Union OAC 9 8 152 164 128 114 154 126 394 0.00
148 MSOE NACC 13 6 121 175 72 101 111 66 278 0.00
149 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 8 42 27 107 79 92 111 282 0.00
150 Muskingum OAC 7 10 137 152 176 150 141 178 469 0.00
151 Nazareth Empire 8 12 7 29 49 68 42 32 67 141 0.00
152 Neumann AEC 0 14 190 124 234 216 167 234 617 0.00
153 New England Coll GNAC North 4 11 191 202 202 186 175 203 564 0.00
154 New Paltz SUNYAC 3 12 140 88 209 172 143 218 533 0.00
155 Nichols CNE 8 10 126 118 171 142 140 172 454 0.00
156 North Central CCIW 3 13 128 111 226 147 55 219 421 0.00
157 Norwich GNAC North 9 8 154 185 129 123 109 127 359 0.00
158 Oberlin NCAC 12 6 57 67 80 59 74 68 201 0.00
159 Oglethorpe SAA 2 13 213 158 203 197 202 206 605 0.00
160 Ohio Northern OAC 14 7 54 76 51 29 20 48 97 0.00
161 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 10 7 45 38 96 63 67 92 222 0.00
162 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 8 74 50 108 74 44 118 236 0.00
163 Oswego SUNYAC 9 5 98 95 67 96 156 69 321 0.00
164 Otterbein OAC 8 8 146 149 133 139 163 132 434 0.00
165 Penn College United East 13 5 92 144 54 83 138 55 276 0.00
166 Pfeiffer USA South 16 3 62 140 21 27 148 18 193 0.00
167 Piedmont USA South 9 8 153 174 130 121 127 128 376 0.00
168 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 11 6 199 228 90 175 220 90 485 0.00
169 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 8 6 112 109 93 110 159 99 368 0.00
170 Plymouth State LEC 7 9 106 114 159 129 96 159 384 0.00
171 Potsdam SUNYAC 10 5 68 93 63 88 151 60 299 0.00
172 Purchase Skyline 1 11 222 216 205 231 222 207 660 0.00
173 Randolph ODAC 3 14 221 165 230 208 117 229 554 0.00
174 Randolph-Macon ODAC 13 5 38 69 46 44 58 37 139 0.00
175 Regis (MA) GNAC North 5 9 189 211 165 169 150 165 484 0.00
176 Rhodes SAA 13 7 60 77 73 31 23 75 129 0.00
177 Rivier GNAC North 18 1 109 194 10 39 110 11 160 0.00
178 Roanoke ODAC 14 6 28 54 42 23 22 28 73 0.00
179 Roger Williams CNE 9 10 103 96 166 120 119 167 406 0.00
180 RPI Liberty League 9 8 32 17 91 50 65 116 231 0.00
181 Sage Empire 8 3 9 192 129 167 184 209 168 561 0.00
182 Salem State LEC 8 7 144 161 120 112 115 119 346 0.00
183 Salisbury CLC 17 4 8 18 12 5 6 8 19 0.00
184 Salve Regina NEWMAC 9 6 72 58 74 95 123 80 298 0.00
185 Scranton Landmark 14 7 50 53 43 34 28 46 108 0.00
186 Sewanee SAA 12 6 55 75 81 37 53 70 160 0.00
187 Shenandoah ODAC 5 13 149 89 210 152 87 214 453 0.00
188 Skidmore Liberty League 10 6 25 22 58 52 103 63 218 0.00
189 Southern Maine LEC 3 12 186 162 217 192 161 220 573 0.00
190 Southern Virgini USA South 9 10 115 126 131 85 133 129 347 0.00
191 Southwestern SAA 7 10 93 91 177 104 68 169 341 0.00
192 Spalding HCLC North 3 12 215 197 218 207 176 208 591 0.00
193 Springfield NEWMAC 10 6 52 35 55 62 78 64 204 0.00
194 St John Fisher Empire 8 17 3 17 45 15 17 40 16 73 0.00
195 St Joseph (CT) GNAC South 14 3 118 191 30 66 145 29 240 0.00
196 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 4 9 205 218 168 219 224 170 613 0.00
197 St Josephs (ME) GNAC North 11 9 142 183 139 93 42 130 265 0.00
198 St Lawrence Liberty League 12 7 21 14 32 16 24 49 89 0.00
199 St Marys (MD) United East 12 7 47 70 82 36 56 71 163 0.00
200 St Vincent PAC 10 7 125 178 111 107 130 112 349 0.00
201 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 8 10 44 32 112 64 18 95 177 0.00
202 Stockton CLC 12 5 37 44 35 32 43 30 105 0.00
203 SUNY Poly Empire 8 6 10 168 139 178 167 182 179 528 0.00
204 Susquehanna Landmark 9 10 119 106 169 116 100 171 387 0.00
205 Swarthmore Centennial 11 8 24 28 83 47 59 91 197 0.00
206 Thiel PAC 2 13 224 223 228 222 207 228 657 0.00
207 Thomas NAC 7 8 182 204 136 177 218 136 531 0.00
208 Transylvania HCLC North 12 5 87 145 59 61 88 53 202 0.00
209 Trine MIAA 14 5 79 148 52 68 69 35 172 0.00
210 Trinity NESCAC 6 9 23 8 60 77 38 104 219 0.00
211 U of New England CNE 6 11 114 107 195 144 124 194 462 0.00
212 Union Liberty League 8 12 20 12 119 56 21 137 214 0.00
213 Ursinus Centennial 5 10 61 30 170 103 89 166 358 0.00
214 Utica Empire 8 7 10 104 92 172 132 105 173 410 0.00
215 Vassar Liberty League 6 9 51 24 124 99 90 131 320 0.00
216 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 11 7 91 112 97 90 84 96 270 0.00
217 Wabash NCAC 3 12 145 80 219 171 122 209 502 0.00
218 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 1 11 226 227 163 225 223 164 612 0.00
219 Washington & Jef PAC 6 11 209 213 196 182 152 195 529 0.00
220 Washington & Lee ODAC 16 6 12 42 22 18 5 13 36 0.00
221 Washington Colle Centennial 12 6 33 31 47 25 33 38 96 0.00
222 Wentworth CNE 8 8 99 84 122 140 144 120 404 0.00
223 Western Connecti LEC 15 4 71 102 36 46 70 39 155 0.00
224 Western New Engl CNE 13 7 69 52 75 57 50 81 188 0.00
225 Westminster (PA) PAC 12 7 143 181 103 122 177 105 404 0.00
226 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 6 70 57 64 73 91 76 240 0.00
227 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 3 13 130 66 222 162 94 223 479 0.00
228 Wilkes Landmark 5 12 176 154 206 190 180 213 583 0.00
229 William Peace USA South 8 9 202 226 153 202 214 153 569 0.00
230 Williams NESCAC 8 10 18 4 48 49 11 82 142 0.00
231 Wilmington (OH) OAC 5 11 193 196 200 205 192 200 597 0.00
232 Wittenberg NCAC 1 15 159 79 237 198 137 237 572 0.00
233 Wooster NCAC 12 6 73 81 84 71 77 56 204 0.00
234 York MAC-Commonwlth 20 2 10 33 9 8 26 5 39 0.00
235 Bryn Athyn United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
236 Northland D3 Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
237 Notre Dame (MD) United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
238 Rosemont United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00