List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Christopher Newp CLC 7 0 15 29 1 15 51 1 67 15.00
2 Tufts NESCAC 2 0 14 97 39 113 180 34 327 11.00
3 Swarthmore Centennial 4 0 16 93 15 26 86 11 123 9.00
4 Haverford Centennial 4 1 2 37 3 27 57 41 125 7.00
5 Wooster NCAC 4 0 34 167 17 84 153 13 250 6.00
6 Skidmore Liberty League 3 0 29 133 27 17 60 23 100 5.00
7 Amherst NESCAC 1 0 94 147 40 209 208 35 452 3.00
8 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 1 0 18 63 43 23 72 38 133 3.00
9 Salve Regina NEWMAC 3 0 21 73 26 46 118 22 186 3.00
10 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 3 1 10 35 28 21 31 84 136 2.00
11 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 4 0 31 171 13 82 151 9 242 2.00
12 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 1 0 35 98 49 2 3 45 50 2.00
13 RIT Liberty League 3 1 17 32 75 60 92 32 184 2.00
14 Salisbury CLC 4 1 22 46 25 41 79 51 171 2.00
15 Trinity NESCAC 1 0 105 130 55 218 236 53 507 2.00
16 Babson NEWMAC 3 0 12 34 11 9 34 2 45 0.00
17 Bates NESCAC 3 0 37 89 18 66 142 14 222 0.00
18 Bowdoin NESCAC 1 0 101 139 41 210 209 36 455 0.00
19 Carthage CCIW 4 1 50 113 79 56 101 17 174 0.00
20 Centre SAA 2 1 48 42 59 38 52 94 184 0.00
21 Clarkson Liberty League 1 0 120 131 42 174 199 37 410 0.00
22 Dickinson Centennial 2 1 6 22 62 14 13 98 125 0.00
23 Elmhurst CCIW 3 0 7 41 21 11 43 18 72 0.00
24 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 2 0 167 214 31 167 197 28 392 0.00
25 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 2 1 20 48 66 34 46 40 120 0.00
26 Gettysburg Centennial 1 2 49 15 153 67 40 117 224 0.00
27 Lynchburg ODAC 3 0 3 10 5 3 4 19 26 0.00
28 Merchant Marine Skyline 3 0 25 87 22 4 5 20 29 0.00
29 Montclair State CLC 1 0 172 210 51 195 204 48 447 0.00
30 Oswego SUNYAC 1 0 153 218 52 152 194 49 395 0.00
31 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 0 64 174 34 137 190 30 357 0.00
32 Randolph-Macon ODAC 5 1 33 43 35 7 11 4 22 0.00
33 RPI Liberty League 5 1 30 45 14 24 48 72 144 0.00
34 St John Fisher Empire 8 3 0 5 40 6 10 39 24 73 0.00
35 St Marys (MD) United East 3 1 13 27 38 37 62 74 173 0.00
36 Stockton CLC 3 0 1 64 2 33 94 25 152 0.00
37 SUNY Poly Empire 8 1 0 82 193 54 179 201 52 432 0.00
38 Union Liberty League 0 4 52 12 226 117 42 201 360 0.00
39 Washington Colle Centennial 2 1 27 54 110 43 61 76 180 0.00
40 Wheaton NEWMAC 4 0 47 117 16 18 163 12 193 0.00
41 York MAC-Commonwlth 3 0 8 8 10 5 6 5 16 0.00
42 Adrian MIAA 1 3 121 56 202 154 113 202 469 0.00
43 Albertus Magnus GNAC South 1 1 165 173 112 93 206 111 410 0.00
44 Albion MIAA 2 2 109 122 158 133 137 159 429 0.00
45 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 3 204 177 203 196 160 204 560 0.00
46 Alfred Empire 8 2 1 51 129 90 42 56 92 190 0.00
47 Alfred State AMCC 0 3 175 59 213 202 145 216 563 0.00
48 Allegheny PAC 2 1 164 206 91 135 155 93 383 0.00
49 Alma MIAA 0 3 212 180 214 191 122 217 530 0.00
50 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 1 1 136 148 113 129 196 112 437 0.00
51 Anna Maria NAC 0 4 190 151 229 190 156 229 575 0.00
52 Augustana CCIW 3 2 174 195 152 130 146 154 430 0.00
53 Aurora NACC 1 2 95 20 149 99 77 173 349 0.00
54 Averett ODAC 0 4 213 125 215 123 66 218 407 0.00
55 Baldwin Wallace OAC 2 2 68 57 159 155 148 160 463 0.00
56 Beloit NACC 2 0 163 217 29 169 198 26 393 0.00
57 Benedictine (IL) NACC 3 0 97 166 19 87 159 15 261 0.00
58 Berry SAA 3 1 122 157 86 108 147 85 340 0.00
59 Bethany PAC 0 2 220 208 181 200 140 181 521 0.00
60 Brevard USA South 0 5 219 205 216 219 138 219 576 0.00
61 Bridgewater ODAC 4 0 115 168 12 52 128 8 188 0.00
62 Brockport Empire 8 0 3 89 26 194 205 154 220 579 0.00
63 Cairn United East 0 1 133 1 92 127 129 131 387 0.00
64 Calvin MIAA 3 0 108 158 20 81 150 16 247 0.00
65 Capital OAC 0 3 131 44 217 102 28 205 335 0.00
66 Carroll CCIW 0 5 176 95 238 141 63 238 442 0.00
67 Castleton LEC 1 1 187 211 114 211 119 113 443 0.00
68 Catholic Landmark 0 3 99 13 195 168 85 221 474 0.00
69 Centenary (LA) D3 Independent 5 0 146 216 4 106 175 6 287 0.00
70 Chatham PAC 2 1 71 92 93 29 36 95 160 0.00
71 Clark NEWMAC 0 2 179 96 182 143 173 182 498 0.00
72 Coast Guard NEWMAC 1 2 75 72 172 47 18 174 239 0.00
73 Colby NESCAC 0 1 138 2 94 94 23 77 194 0.00
74 Colorado College D3 Independent 2 1 46 102 115 111 116 114 341 0.00
75 Cornell College NACC 2 0 123 192 44 13 47 39 99 0.00
76 Cortland SUNYAC 2 1 4 18 80 59 81 96 236 0.00
77 Curry CNE 0 1 143 4 130 95 24 132 251 0.00
78 Dean College GNAC South 2 1 144 185 95 91 123 97 311 0.00
79 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 0 2 215 212 183 226 203 183 612 0.00
80 Delhi NAC 1 1 151 144 116 164 152 115 431 0.00
81 Denison NCAC 1 3 26 6 173 79 38 161 278 0.00
82 DePauw NCAC 2 2 96 100 160 74 76 162 312 0.00
83 DeSales MAC-Freedom 0 5 189 74 237 193 125 236 554 0.00
84 Drew Landmark 1 2 102 83 174 40 29 155 224 0.00
85 Dubuque NACC 1 2 77 67 175 126 104 175 405 0.00
86 Earlham HCLC North 0 2 216 201 184 153 70 184 407 0.00
87 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 1 5 142 51 230 150 95 237 482 0.00
88 Edgewood NACC 0 2 160 28 185 124 50 151 325 0.00
89 Elizabethtown Landmark 1 4 56 7 204 85 35 194 314 0.00
90 Elms NAC 0 1 173 114 131 212 167 133 512 0.00
91 Emerson NEWMAC 1 3 150 109 205 170 130 206 506 0.00
92 Endicott CNE 2 0 90 165 30 158 195 27 380 0.00
93 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 2 1 135 196 96 145 164 99 408 0.00
94 Franciscan PAC 1 3 171 123 206 132 93 207 432 0.00
95 Geneseo Empire 8 1 1 84 31 117 51 41 116 208 0.00
96 Gordon CNE 0 1 154 79 132 229 218 134 581 0.00
97 Goucher Landmark 0 4 191 183 231 223 182 230 635 0.00
98 Greensboro USA South 5 1 124 207 67 58 108 63 229 0.00
99 Grove City PAC 2 3 62 33 186 92 82 152 326 0.00
100 Guilford ODAC 0 3 209 182 218 181 100 222 503 0.00
101 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 2 1 117 198 97 147 165 100 412 0.00
102 Hamilton NESCAC 0 1 132 99 133 230 219 135 584 0.00
103 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 2 2 38 23 118 20 9 118 147 0.00
104 Hanover HCLC North 2 2 180 199 161 189 179 163 531 0.00
105 Hartford CNE 1 2 67 25 162 86 59 164 309 0.00
106 Hartwick Empire 8 0 3 211 121 219 178 97 208 483 0.00
107 Heidelberg OAC 2 2 181 187 163 162 149 165 476 0.00
108 Hendrix SAA 0 2 200 172 187 157 74 185 416 0.00
109 Hiram PAC 0 3 206 134 220 183 107 209 499 0.00
110 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 1 2 185 194 176 206 188 176 570 0.00
111 Hope MIAA 2 0 24 70 32 6 17 3 26 0.00
112 Huntingdon USA South 3 4 169 202 197 159 139 195 493 0.00
113 Husson NAC 1 0 88 140 45 213 221 42 476 0.00
114 Illinois Tech NACC 0 4 149 127 232 122 49 231 402 0.00
115 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 2 2 81 76 164 68 69 166 303 0.00
116 Immaculata AEC 3 1 59 68 46 19 30 86 135 0.00
117 Ithaca Liberty League 1 2 65 38 134 128 106 177 411 0.00
118 John Carroll OAC 0 1 168 65 135 220 172 136 528 0.00
119 Johnson & Wales GNAC South 0 1 208 179 136 231 2 137 370 0.00
120 Juniata Landmark 0 4 195 149 233 188 117 232 537 0.00
121 Kalamazoo MIAA 2 1 148 136 98 114 143 101 358 0.00
122 Kean CLC 3 2 130 128 154 109 131 156 396 0.00
123 Keene State LEC 1 1 166 203 119 225 207 119 551 0.00
124 Kenyon NCAC 3 2 40 77 120 77 90 102 269 0.00
125 Keuka Empire 8 1 0 86 220 47 125 186 43 354 0.00
126 Kings MAC-Freedom 1 1 193 159 121 194 184 120 498 0.00
127 La Roche AMCC 0 1 221 221 137 227 205 138 570 0.00
128 LaGrange USA South 0 3 194 156 138 80 14 139 233 0.00
129 Lake Forest NACC 2 1 39 71 99 25 32 103 160 0.00
130 Lasell GNAC South 1 2 110 112 177 53 26 167 246 0.00
131 Lawrence NACC 2 1 145 189 100 177 181 104 462 0.00
132 Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom 3 1 140 164 81 121 158 87 366 0.00
133 Lycoming Landmark 0 4 214 181 234 221 178 233 632 0.00
134 Maine Maritime NAC 1 0 73 161 48 214 222 44 480 0.00
135 Manhattanville Skyline 1 1 116 138 122 32 21 121 174 0.00
136 Marietta OAC 3 2 156 169 155 172 174 157 503 0.00
137 Maritime Skyline 2 1 70 86 101 65 87 105 257 0.00
138 Mary Washington CLC 2 2 98 81 165 83 83 140 306 0.00
139 Marymount AEC 2 3 147 163 200 134 127 203 464 0.00
140 Marywood AEC 2 2 170 191 166 203 193 168 564 0.00
141 McDaniel Centennial 3 1 162 176 87 139 171 46 356 0.00
142 MCLA NAC 1 0 126 141 50 215 225 47 487 0.00
143 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 2 1 54 39 88 61 84 88 233 0.00
144 Methodist USA South 1 4 178 142 227 182 134 227 543 0.00
145 Middlebury NESCAC 0 1 127 108 139 232 226 141 599 0.00
146 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 1 3 85 24 188 55 20 196 271 0.00
147 MIT NEWMAC 1 1 57 85 123 35 27 122 184 0.00
148 Moravian Landmark 2 1 83 126 102 39 55 78 172 0.00
149 Morrisville SUNYAC 1 1 134 146 124 57 53 123 233 0.00
150 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 0 1 210 213 140 233 228 142 603 0.00
151 Mount St Vincent Skyline 0 2 205 154 189 224 185 186 595 0.00
152 Mount Union OAC 2 1 157 190 103 171 176 106 453 0.00
153 MSOE NACC 2 2 161 152 167 115 120 169 404 0.00
154 Muhlenberg Centennial 2 3 91 120 201 197 177 197 571 0.00
155 Muskingum OAC 2 0 41 153 33 49 121 29 199 0.00
156 Nazareth Empire 8 0 3 119 60 207 198 136 198 532 0.00
157 Neumann AEC 0 2 202 16 150 136 162 187 485 0.00
158 New England Coll GNAC North 0 1 199 175 141 176 89 143 408 0.00
159 New Paltz SUNYAC 0 2 177 106 190 184 109 188 481 0.00
160 Nichols CNE 2 1 125 143 104 144 161 107 412 0.00
161 North Central CCIW 0 3 100 58 221 156 73 223 452 0.00
162 Norwich GNAC North 0 1 141 62 142 96 25 144 265 0.00
163 Oberlin NCAC 3 0 44 75 23 12 44 21 77 0.00
164 Oglethorpe SAA 1 4 207 170 208 173 80 210 463 0.00
165 Ohio Northern OAC 3 2 42 61 151 50 58 124 232 0.00
166 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 0 2 76 17 178 192 124 189 505 0.00
167 Oneonta SUNYAC 1 2 111 30 143 186 157 178 521 0.00
168 Otterbein OAC 1 2 137 105 179 70 45 170 285 0.00
169 Penn College United East 4 1 43 52 24 30 64 79 173 0.00
170 Pfeiffer USA South 4 2 58 53 105 31 54 145 230 0.00
171 Piedmont USA South 0 4 186 104 235 160 75 234 469 0.00
172 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 4 1 192 215 82 166 187 80 433 0.00
173 Plymouth State LEC 0 2 28 3 191 71 12 190 273 0.00
174 Potsdam SUNYAC 1 0 74 162 53 216 231 50 497 0.00
175 Randolph ODAC 1 1 197 209 125 146 144 125 415 0.00
176 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 0 113 200 36 36 189 31 256 0.00
177 Rhodes SAA 3 3 69 110 198 105 111 199 415 0.00
178 Rivier GNAC North 2 0 23 82 37 97 170 33 300 0.00
179 Roanoke ODAC 2 1 32 101 76 75 105 81 261 0.00
180 Roger Williams CNE 0 3 129 49 222 142 65 211 418 0.00
181 Sage Empire 8 1 1 201 197 126 222 202 126 550 0.00
182 Salem State LEC 0 1 158 115 144 217 168 146 531 0.00
183 Scranton Landmark 1 3 107 19 196 165 126 200 491 0.00
184 Sewanee SAA 2 2 36 47 168 28 19 147 194 0.00
185 Shenandoah ODAC 1 3 183 150 209 199 166 212 577 0.00
186 Southern Maine LEC 0 2 128 118 192 236 234 191 661 0.00
187 Southern Virgini USA South 1 4 139 88 210 149 96 213 458 0.00
188 Southwestern SAA 3 1 53 103 89 64 102 89 255 0.00
189 Spalding HCLC North 0 4 203 184 236 187 114 235 536 0.00
190 Springfield NEWMAC 1 1 60 11 83 48 37 127 212 0.00
191 St Joseph (CT) GNAC South 2 1 114 111 106 16 16 90 122 0.00
192 St Josephs (ME) GNAC North 2 1 104 155 107 204 200 108 512 0.00
193 St Lawrence Liberty League 2 1 11 14 7 8 8 109 125 0.00
194 St Vincent PAC 2 2 63 135 169 107 112 171 390 0.00
195 Stevens MAC-Freedom 2 0 9 9 8 1 1 10 12 0.00
196 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 1 3 72 36 199 175 133 192 500 0.00
197 Susquehanna Landmark 2 2 55 78 145 44 33 172 249 0.00
198 Thiel PAC 1 4 217 178 228 207 183 228 618 0.00
199 Thomas NAC 1 1 182 188 127 72 71 128 271 0.00
200 Transylvania HCLC North 3 2 87 124 156 112 132 158 402 0.00
201 Trine MIAA 4 1 45 132 84 54 99 82 235 0.00
202 U of New England CNE 1 1 93 66 128 98 98 129 325 0.00
203 Ursinus Centennial 2 2 61 94 170 90 88 148 326 0.00
204 Utica Empire 8 0 1 155 80 146 237 237 91 565 0.00
205 Vassar Liberty League 1 1 79 91 129 180 169 130 479 0.00
206 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 2 1 80 145 108 104 135 110 349 0.00
207 Wabash NCAC 1 3 103 69 211 62 22 214 298 0.00
208 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 3 218 186 193 89 15 193 297 0.00
209 Washington & Jef PAC 0 3 198 137 223 148 68 224 440 0.00
210 Washington & Lee ODAC 2 2 19 5 109 22 10 75 107 0.00
211 Wentworth CNE 2 1 92 107 85 73 103 54 230 0.00
212 Wesleyan NESCAC 0 1 78 21 147 63 7 149 219 0.00
213 Western Connecti LEC 2 1 66 84 111 88 115 83 286 0.00
214 Western New Engl CNE 1 2 152 55 157 116 91 179 386 0.00
215 Westminster (PA) PAC 1 3 112 90 212 103 67 215 385 0.00
216 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 1 2 106 50 171 100 78 153 331 0.00
217 Wilkes Landmark 1 2 188 204 180 208 192 180 580 0.00
218 William Peace USA South 5 0 184 219 9 138 191 7 336 0.00
219 Williams NESCAC 0 1 118 119 148 238 238 150 626 0.00
220 Wilmington (OH) OAC 0 3 196 160 224 185 110 225 520 0.00
221 Wittenberg NCAC 0 3 159 116 225 201 141 226 568 0.00
222 Bryn Athyn United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 Canton SUNYAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
224 Centenary (NJ) AEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
225 Cobleskill NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
226 Colby-Sawyer GNAC North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
227 Eastern Connecti LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
228 Elmira Empire 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
229 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
230 Hilbert AMCC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
231 Marian (WI) NACC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
232 Massachusetts Ma LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
233 Mitchell GNAC South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
234 Northland D3 Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
235 Notre Dame (MD) United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
236 Purchase Skyline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
237 Rosemont United East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
238 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00