List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Penn State B1G 6 1 2 11 2 4 5 10 19 13.00
2 Syracuse ACC 5 2 7 15 15 11 12 9 32 10.00
3 Maryland B1G 6 0 4 4 1 2 2 1 5 9.00
4 Army West Point Patriot 6 0 1 40 6 8 27 3 38 7.00
5 Notre Dame ACC 3 2 9 19 22 10 4 20 34 6.00
6 North Carolina ACC 5 1 6 13 5 3 3 8 14 5.00
7 Cornell Ivy 4 1 3 14 9 7 11 15 33 4.00
8 Harvard Ivy 4 1 16 9 10 6 8 12 26 4.00
9 Navy Patriot 4 2 24 27 24 25 35 25 85 4.00
10 Princeton Ivy 4 1 5 1 3 1 1 2 4 4.00
11 Rutgers B1G 4 4 23 18 34 26 21 42 89 4.00
12 Duke ACC 7 1 11 24 4 5 10 5 20 3.00
13 Georgetown Big East 4 2 14 16 19 28 38 18 84 3.00
14 Michigan B1G 4 3 19 31 31 22 22 23 67 3.00
15 Boston Universit Patriot 5 1 22 37 18 17 39 22 78 2.00
16 Colgate Patriot 5 2 8 17 14 14 24 11 49 2.00
17 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 5 1 18 33 13 13 30 13 56 2.00
18 Ohio State B1G 7 1 21 43 8 20 48 4 72 2.00
19 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 4 2 12 30 28 23 29 26 78 2.00
20 Yale Ivy 1 3 27 2 35 31 9 44 84 2.00
21 Dartmouth Ivy 5 1 26 34 16 15 37 16 68 0.00
22 Denver Big East 4 3 28 28 30 44 55 34 133 0.00
23 High Point Atlantic 10 3 4 47 42 54 38 28 52 118 0.00
24 Jacksonville ASUN 5 2 44 58 20 34 53 17 104 0.00
25 Lafayette Patriot 4 3 41 41 27 37 43 41 121 0.00
26 Marquette Big East 3 3 38 39 37 36 36 28 100 0.00
27 Penn Ivy 3 3 17 12 32 18 13 29 60 0.00
28 Richmond Atlantic 10 5 2 10 26 12 12 19 14 45 0.00
29 Stony Brook CAA 4 3 43 51 38 41 51 33 125 0.00
30 Air Force ASUN 2 5 45 29 64 40 23 54 117 0.00
31 Albany America East 2 4 31 23 44 39 25 55 119 0.00
32 Bellarmine ASUN 5 5 60 69 58 51 57 50 158 0.00
33 Binghamton America East 1 4 54 44 61 63 49 63 175 0.00
34 Brown Ivy 2 3 37 21 40 19 7 40 66 0.00
35 Bryant America East 3 3 42 53 47 57 63 37 157 0.00
36 Bucknell Patriot 2 4 50 56 59 53 45 51 149 0.00
37 Canisius MAAC 1 7 67 64 74 70 54 74 198 0.00
38 Cleveland State NEC 2 5 59 38 62 55 42 60 157 0.00
39 Delaware CAA 3 2 33 25 23 30 34 27 91 0.00
40 Detroit Mercy NEC 1 3 75 67 52 69 60 43 172 0.00
41 Drexel CAA 3 4 52 52 53 65 67 56 188 0.00
42 Fairfield CAA 7 0 20 50 7 9 31 6 46 0.00
43 Hampton CAA 0 7 77 76 76 77 77 76 230 0.00
44 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 4 57 45 48 49 50 61 160 0.00
45 Hofstra CAA 4 2 46 60 25 52 70 24 146 0.00
46 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 3 5 61 47 60 48 41 64 153 0.00
47 Iona MAAC 1 7 71 57 75 64 44 75 183 0.00
48 Johns Hopkins B1G 5 2 13 6 11 16 26 7 49 0.00
49 Le Moyne NEC 3 2 69 71 36 56 66 35 157 0.00
50 Lehigh Patriot 2 4 25 5 41 24 6 57 87 0.00
51 LIU NEC 5 1 51 66 21 33 61 19 113 0.00
52 Loyola Patriot 0 6 34 3 63 50 14 65 129 0.00
53 Manhattan MAAC 3 3 53 61 45 54 59 45 158 0.00
54 Marist MAAC 3 3 56 63 49 62 69 46 177 0.00
55 Massachusetts-Lo America East 3 3 65 75 46 67 74 47 188 0.00
56 Mercer ASUN 1 6 72 65 71 68 52 72 192 0.00
57 Mercyhurst NEC 1 5 74 74 65 75 71 68 214 0.00
58 Merrimack MAAC 1 5 68 55 70 72 65 70 207 0.00
59 Monmouth CAA 3 4 58 62 55 58 58 49 165 0.00
60 Mount St Marys MAAC 2 5 66 72 67 73 76 69 218 0.00
61 NJIT America East 1 5 73 59 68 74 68 66 208 0.00
62 Providence Big East 4 4 35 32 50 35 32 38 105 0.00
63 Queens ASUN 2 6 70 68 73 66 56 73 195 0.00
64 Quinnipiac MAAC 1 5 63 46 69 71 62 67 200 0.00
65 Robert Morris NEC 3 4 62 49 42 42 40 53 135 0.00
66 Sacred Heart MAAC 4 2 36 54 26 32 46 30 108 0.00
67 Siena MAAC 2 3 32 35 51 27 15 39 81 0.00
68 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 5 4 64 73 56 61 72 58 191 0.00
69 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 6 55 48 72 60 47 71 178 0.00
70 Towson CAA 1 5 30 7 57 47 20 48 115 0.00
71 UMBC America East 2 2 48 36 33 59 64 36 159 0.00
72 Utah ASUN 1 5 29 20 66 43 18 59 120 0.00
73 Vermont America East 2 3 39 22 39 29 17 31 77 0.00
74 Villanova Big East 2 4 40 8 43 45 33 62 140 0.00
75 Virginia ACC 3 3 15 10 29 21 16 32 69 0.00
76 VMI NEC 6 1 49 77 17 46 75 21 142 0.00
77 Wagner NEC 0 7 76 70 77 76 73 77 226 0.00