List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Champ % = Championship Probability
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings
which determines selection standing
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Air Force ASUN 11 6 31 42 32 27 23 27 77 0.00
2 Albany America East 6 10 37 30 51 37 30 51 118 0.00
3 Army Patriot 13 4 13 26 10 14 18 10 42 0.00
4 Bellarmine ASUN 11 6 43 60 35 34 43 30 107 0.00
5 Binghamton America East 9 5 38 59 37 40 49 36 125 0.00
6 Boston Universit Patriot 10 4 19 27 23 21 36 22 79 0.00
7 Brown Ivy 6 8 29 20 39 32 40 39 111 0.00
8 Bryant America East 12 5 34 47 27 19 39 28 86 0.00
9 Bucknell Patriot 3 10 49 33 63 62 50 63 175 0.00
10 Canisius MAAC 2 13 70 69 71 71 69 70 210 0.00
11 Cleveland State ASUN 6 7 57 51 44 56 67 44 167 0.00
12 Colgate Patriot 2 9 48 31 60 63 64 61 188 0.00
13 Cornell Ivy 11 4 5 16 7 9 26 8 43 0.00
14 Dartmouth Ivy 6 6 39 37 28 48 55 33 136 0.00
15 Delaware CAA 13 5 18 43 18 23 34 15 72 0.00
16 Denver Big East 10 5 14 18 12 10 12 11 33 0.00
17 Detroit Mercy ASUN 2 11 66 53 68 66 59 68 193 0.00
18 Drexel CAA 8 6 45 50 41 42 56 40 138 0.00
19 Duke ACC 15 2 3 10 1 1 5 3 9 0.00
20 Fairfield CAA 5 9 54 54 58 57 54 59 170 0.00
21 Georgetown Big East 13 4 7 12 5 5 8 5 18 0.00
22 Harvard Ivy 5 7 26 14 29 33 31 34 98 0.00
23 High Point A10 9 8 40 46 42 35 22 43 100 0.00
24 Hobart A10 5 8 47 36 50 52 47 52 151 0.00
25 Hofstra CAA 5 9 50 49 56 58 57 56 171 0.00
26 Holy Cross Patriot 1 13 67 40 72 73 58 72 203 0.00
27 Jacksonville ASUN 12 4 30 56 19 28 35 12 75 0.00
28 Johns Hopkins B1G 12 5 11 7 6 4 9 6 19 0.00
29 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 44 32 54 49 21 54 124 0.00
30 Lehigh Patriot 10 5 24 28 21 25 32 23 80 0.00
31 Lindenwood ASUN 2 10 65 63 66 69 72 65 206 0.00
32 LIU MAAC 5 9 68 74 61 68 74 62 204 0.00
33 Loyola Patriot 9 8 27 19 30 24 7 29 60 0.00
34 Manhattan MAAC 10 5 53 70 31 45 70 35 150 0.00
35 Marist MAAC 10 8 55 65 47 39 42 49 130 0.00
36 Marquette Big East 6 8 28 23 33 38 17 31 86 0.00
37 Maryland B1G 10 6 6 3 8 6 4 7 17 0.00
38 Massachusetts A10 8 6 32 29 36 31 29 37 97 0.00
39 Mercer ASUN 6 10 56 48 62 54 33 57 144 0.00
40 Merrimack America East 7 7 51 52 43 46 44 41 131 0.00
41 Michigan B1G 10 7 9 4 9 8 2 9 19 0.00
42 Monmouth (NJ) CAA 5 9 59 58 57 59 63 58 180 0.00
43 Mount St Marys MAAC 8 8 60 67 52 50 60 53 163 0.00
44 Navy Patriot 8 8 41 41 45 44 37 45 126 0.00
45 NJIT America East 3 10 63 64 65 64 61 66 191 0.00
46 North Carolina ACC 7 7 12 6 24 15 13 25 53 0.00
47 Ohio State B1G 5 9 23 5 26 26 11 26 63 0.00
48 Penn Ivy 7 6 15 9 13 12 16 20 48 0.00
49 Penn State B1G 11 4 4 8 4 7 14 4 25 0.00
50 Princeton Ivy 8 7 10 13 17 17 20 21 58 0.00
51 Providence Big East 6 9 46 25 48 47 38 47 132 0.00
52 Queens ASUN 2 12 73 66 69 72 62 69 203 0.00
53 Quinnipiac MAAC 7 7 64 71 49 55 65 48 168 0.00
54 Richmond A10 11 5 22 24 16 20 19 16 55 0.00
55 Robert Morris ASUN 8 8 52 62 55 51 46 50 147 0.00
56 Rutgers B1G 8 6 17 17 20 16 24 17 57 0.00
57 Sacred Heart MAAC 5 10 62 68 64 61 66 64 191 0.00
58 Siena MAAC 9 7 61 73 46 53 68 46 167 0.00
59 St Bonaventure A10 1 13 69 44 74 67 51 75 193 0.00
60 St Josephs (PA) A10 10 5 25 38 25 29 41 24 94 0.00
61 Stony Brook CAA 9 7 35 45 40 43 45 42 130 0.00
62 Syracuse ACC 8 7 16 15 15 22 6 13 41 0.00
63 Towson CAA 6 9 33 34 53 41 25 55 121 0.00
64 UMBC America East 8 5 42 57 38 36 53 38 127 0.00
65 Utah ASUN 12 5 21 35 22 13 10 19 42 0.00
66 Vermont America East 9 5 36 39 34 30 48 32 110 0.00
67 Villanova Big East 10 5 20 22 14 18 27 14 59 0.00
68 Virginia ACC 13 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 4 0.00
69 VMI MAAC 6 9 71 75 59 65 75 60 200 0.00
70 Wagner MAAC 3 11 72 72 67 70 73 67 210 0.00
71 Yale Ivy 9 6 8 11 11 11 15 18 44 0.00
72 Hampton CAA 2 12 75 55 70 75 71 71 0 0.00
73 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 13 74 61 75 74 52 74 0 0.00
74 St Johns Big East 0 14 58 21 73 60 28 73 0 0.00