List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 9 1 2 13 1 1 6 2 9 20.00
2 Penn State B1G 6 3 4 4 12 7 7 9 23 16.67
3 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 0 1 29 3 4 16 3 23 14.44
4 Duke ACC 8 1 3 25 6 8 27 7 42 11.11
5 Syracuse ACC 9 2 5 3 2 3 3 1 7 11.11
6 Notre Dame ACC 6 1 6 16 7 9 24 8 41 10.00
7 Virginia ACC 6 4 10 6 23 13 10 27 50 6.67
8 Harvard Ivy 8 1 9 15 4 6 23 4 33 3.33
9 Maryland B1G 4 4 12 5 15 22 4 14 40 3.33
10 Cornell Ivy 5 3 11 9 13 14 12 11 37 1.11
11 Princeton Ivy 6 2 8 1 5 2 2 5 9 1.11
12 Rutgers B1G 8 3 26 32 14 12 13 15 40 1.11
13 Air Force ASUN 2 7 49 18 53 43 17 56 116 0.00
14 Albany America East 5 4 30 37 33 42 48 34 124 0.00
15 Army West Point Patriot 7 3 15 27 26 11 18 17 46 0.00
16 Bellarmine ASUN 4 8 53 39 61 40 8 62 110 0.00
17 Binghamton America East 2 7 64 65 66 72 68 66 206 0.00
18 Boston Universit Patriot 5 4 21 12 28 16 11 29 56 0.00
19 Brown Ivy 5 4 38 35 29 33 37 28 98 0.00
20 Bryant America East 3 5 60 59 54 71 74 54 199 0.00
21 Bucknell Patriot 7 3 36 49 34 35 54 31 120 0.00
22 Canisius MAAC 3 7 67 69 65 68 63 65 196 0.00
23 Cleveland State NEC 4 5 54 58 48 51 51 47 149 0.00
24 Colgate Patriot 2 7 32 17 55 45 21 48 114 0.00
25 Dartmouth Ivy 4 5 27 20 39 30 25 37 92 0.00
26 Delaware Atlantic 10 2 7 58 22 56 58 40 57 155 0.00
27 Denver Big East 4 5 20 11 30 26 19 35 80 0.00
28 Detroit Mercy NEC 1 8 66 52 69 70 50 69 189 0.00
29 Drexel CAA 6 4 35 41 42 37 43 42 122 0.00
30 Fairfield CAA 4 6 44 46 58 53 49 58 160 0.00
31 Georgetown Big East 4 4 7 2 17 10 1 22 33 0.00
32 Hampton CAA 0 8 77 73 75 77 76 75 228 0.00
33 High Point Atlantic 10 4 5 33 24 40 23 15 39 77 0.00
34 Hobart Atlantic 10 2 7 51 33 62 54 34 59 147 0.00
35 Hofstra CAA 2 7 56 57 67 59 47 67 173 0.00
36 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 5 5 47 42 46 47 60 50 157 0.00
37 Iona MAAC 2 11 73 45 77 62 30 77 169 0.00
38 Jacksonville ASUN 5 4 19 34 32 29 33 30 92 0.00
39 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 3 14 10 10 5 5 12 22 0.00
40 Lafayette Patriot 5 5 45 51 47 49 57 46 152 0.00
41 Le Moyne NEC 2 9 72 61 76 66 52 76 194 0.00
42 Lehigh Patriot 5 5 25 30 43 34 32 43 109 0.00
43 LIU NEC 8 1 48 72 11 31 65 13 109 0.00
44 Loyola Patriot 6 4 29 23 31 28 36 36 100 0.00
45 Manhattan MAAC 2 8 71 63 70 65 56 70 191 0.00
46 Marist MAAC 6 3 52 67 36 50 70 32 152 0.00
47 Marquette Big East 5 4 39 36 35 36 38 33 107 0.00
48 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 8 3 31 43 18 25 35 25 85 0.00
49 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 6 74 68 64 73 71 63 207 0.00
50 Mercer ASUN 5 4 57 53 37 39 41 38 118 0.00
51 Mercyhurst NEC 2 8 76 77 71 76 77 71 224 0.00
52 Merrimack MAAC 3 8 63 55 68 61 53 68 182 0.00
53 Michigan B1G 2 7 34 14 49 46 26 51 123 0.00
54 Monmouth CAA 5 4 50 74 45 57 61 44 162 0.00
55 Mount St Marys MAAC 2 8 70 66 72 67 59 72 198 0.00
56 Navy Patriot 7 3 23 31 16 21 28 18 67 0.00
57 NJIT America East 3 6 55 54 59 55 46 61 162 0.00
58 Ohio State B1G 8 2 16 28 9 15 29 10 54 0.00
59 Penn Ivy 5 4 13 8 19 18 14 23 55 0.00
60 Providence Big East 4 7 43 40 57 52 42 55 149 0.00
61 Queens ASUN 4 5 68 76 50 69 75 52 196 0.00
62 Quinnipiac MAAC 2 8 69 62 73 74 66 73 213 0.00
63 Robert Morris NEC 8 3 41 48 20 27 39 19 85 0.00
64 Sacred Heart MAAC 10 0 37 70 8 24 64 6 94 0.00
65 Siena MAAC 8 2 42 64 24 44 72 16 132 0.00
66 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 6 61 60 60 56 62 60 178 0.00
67 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 8 62 56 74 75 67 74 216 0.00
68 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 5 3 24 19 21 19 20 26 65 0.00
69 Stony Brook CAA 5 4 46 47 38 41 44 40 125 0.00
70 Towson CAA 6 3 17 26 27 17 22 20 59 0.00
71 UMBC America East 2 6 59 44 63 63 58 64 185 0.00
72 Utah ASUN 6 3 18 38 22 32 45 21 98 0.00
73 Vermont America East 4 4 40 50 41 48 55 41 144 0.00
74 Villanova Big East 4 5 28 21 44 38 31 45 114 0.00
75 VMI NEC 4 5 65 71 51 60 69 49 178 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 4 5 75 75 52 64 73 53 190 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 4 4 22 7 25 20 9 24 53 0.00