List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 16 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 23.00
2 Syracuse ACC 12 6 4 6 8 5 5 8 18 10.00
3 Duke ACC 13 6 2 5 6 2 3 4 9 7.50
4 Princeton Ivy 11 5 8 14 13 10 11 11 32 7.00
5 Virginia ACC 12 6 3 4 5 4 4 5 13 6.50
6 Penn State B1G 11 5 5 10 9 9 17 10 36 6.00
7 North Carolina ACC 7 7 16 18 20 23 14 21 58 4.50
8 Johns Hopkins B1G 11 5 6 3 4 6 7 6 19 4.00
9 Yale Ivy 11 4 12 19 10 13 19 9 41 4.00
10 Maryland B1G 11 6 7 1 2 3 2 2 7 3.50
11 Denver Big East 13 4 10 11 3 7 8 3 18 3.00
12 Cornell Ivy 9 5 11 8 11 11 13 12 36 2.00
13 Delaware CAA 9 5 25 38 22 30 40 22 92 2.00
14 Georgetown Big East 13 4 9 13 7 8 6 7 21 2.00
15 Villanova Big East 9 7 20 20 25 19 15 24 58 2.00
16 Harvard Ivy 8 5 23 21 19 20 36 19 75 1.50
17 Michigan B1G 10 7 13 9 12 14 9 15 38 1.50
18 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 12 4 18 28 15 15 20 14 49 1.50
19 Towson CAA 13 4 15 34 14 17 25 13 55 1.50
20 Albany America East 10 8 29 36 39 31 28 39 98 0.00
21 Ohio State B1G 6 9 19 12 27 21 12 27 60 0.00
22 Penn Ivy 9 6 17 7 17 12 10 17 39 0.00
23 Richmond Atlantic 10 10 6 21 31 21 25 29 18 72 0.00
24 Rutgers B1G 7 7 27 16 24 28 23 25 76 0.00
25 Army West Point Patriot 11 3 14 29 16 16 41 16 73 0.00
26 Boston Universit Patriot 10 7 22 23 30 18 16 33 67 0.00
27 Colgate Patriot 8 7 24 22 31 27 26 32 85 0.00
28 Utah ASUN 12 5 31 49 18 24 24 20 68 0.00
29 Air Force ASUN 9 6 45 57 34 38 46 34 118 0.00
30 Bellarmine ASUN 9 8 57 73 42 56 52 43 151 0.00
31 Binghamton America East 6 7 59 59 48 57 65 47 169 0.00
32 Brown Ivy 3 11 36 15 60 42 21 57 120 0.00
33 Bryant America East 9 5 30 47 35 33 61 31 125 0.00
34 Bucknell Patriot 4 10 50 37 67 59 48 65 172 0.00
35 Canisius MAAC 5 10 67 68 64 65 59 66 190 0.00
36 Cleveland State ASUN 9 8 62 60 43 45 39 44 128 0.00
37 Dartmouth Ivy 3 10 49 25 59 58 38 59 155 0.00
38 Detroit Mercy ASUN 3 10 68 64 68 69 69 68 206 0.00
39 Drexel CAA 6 9 44 33 49 41 34 50 125 0.00
40 Fairfield CAA 8 7 42 48 41 46 47 41 134 0.00
41 Hampton CAA 0 13 76 52 74 76 72 74 222 0.00
42 High Point Atlantic 10 9 7 34 43 29 37 30 29 96 0.00
43 Hobart Atlantic 10 4 9 52 32 54 53 45 54 152 0.00
44 Hofstra CAA 6 9 48 46 58 55 57 60 172 0.00
45 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 2 11 65 40 69 68 58 69 195 0.00
46 Jacksonville ASUN 13 5 35 61 23 29 37 23 89 0.00
47 Lafayette Patriot 6 7 43 44 44 49 54 45 148 0.00
48 Le Moyne D1 Independent 3 8 64 55 55 67 76 55 198 0.00
49 Lehigh Patriot 10 7 28 24 32 22 32 30 84 0.00
50 Lindenwood ASUN 0 12 75 70 72 75 70 72 217 0.00
51 LIU MAAC 10 4 56 74 26 43 67 26 136 0.00
52 Loyola (MD) Patriot 7 8 26 17 36 26 18 35 79 0.00
53 Manhattan MAAC 8 9 53 51 52 36 22 51 109 0.00
54 Marist MAAC 8 7 55 65 45 44 53 46 143 0.00
55 Marquette Big East 4 10 47 30 50 50 27 52 129 0.00
56 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 6 8 37 41 53 47 44 48 139 0.00
57 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 12 74 53 73 73 71 73 217 0.00
58 Mercer ASUN 4 10 70 69 65 66 64 67 197 0.00
59 Merrimack America East 6 9 61 45 61 48 49 61 158 0.00
60 Monmouth CAA 5 8 51 54 51 62 55 53 170 0.00
61 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 14 71 58 75 70 56 75 201 0.00
62 Navy Patriot 9 7 32 27 33 32 33 36 101 0.00
63 NJIT America East 8 6 58 71 40 61 74 40 175 0.00
64 Providence Big East 7 8 33 26 38 35 31 37 103 0.00
65 Queens ASUN 2 11 72 75 70 74 73 71 218 0.00
66 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 5 40 67 37 40 66 38 144 0.00
67 Robert Morris ASUN 5 10 66 63 63 64 51 62 177 0.00
68 Sacred Heart MAAC 13 5 38 66 28 34 50 28 112 0.00
69 Siena MAAC 8 8 54 72 56 54 62 56 172 0.00
70 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 11 69 56 71 71 75 70 216 0.00
71 St Johns (NY) Big East 4 11 60 35 66 51 35 63 149 0.00
72 Stony Brook CAA 4 10 41 39 62 60 43 64 167 0.00
73 UMBC America East 5 7 46 50 46 52 60 49 161 0.00
74 Vermont America East 8 8 39 42 47 39 42 42 123 0.00
75 VMI MAAC 7 8 63 76 57 63 68 58 189 0.00
76 Wagner MAAC 1 14 73 62 76 72 63 76 211 0.00