List of Probabilities for MEN D1
 

MEN D1 Championship Probabilties

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Virginia ACC 8 1 1 15 2 8 16 6 30 15.00 2 Duke ACC 9 2 2 13 5 3 5 5 13 13.50 3 Syracuse ACC 9 2 4 14 1 7 10 3 20 9.00 4 Notre Dame ACC 5 1 3 17 7 4 8 11 23 8.00 5 Penn State B1G 7 1 6 11 3 1 9 1 11 7.00 6 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 3 5 2 10 5 1 16 22 5.50 7 Princeton Ivy 5 3 10 7 19 12 7 14 33 5.00 8 Maryland B1G 5 3 9 1 11 10 6 17 33 4.00 9 Michigan B1G 6 3 16 18 16 14 14 19 47 3.00 10 North Carolina ACC 6 3 22 38 22 32 42 24 98 3.00 11 Denver Big East 6 2 13 8 4 9 11 4 24 2.50 12 Cornell Ivy 5 2 11 4 9 6 3 7 16 2.00 13 Richmond Atlantic 10 5 4 21 26 23 29 27 32 88 2.00 14 Villanova Big East 6 3 15 16 25 15 15 12 42 2.00 15 Army West Point Patriot 7 1 12 36 8 11 23 8 42 1.50 16 Bryant America East 5 3 18 40 34 31 33 33 97 1.50 17 Georgetown Big East 6 2 8 9 13 13 18 15 46 1.50 18 Loyola (MD) Patriot 3 6 28 3 38 23 4 43 70 1.50 19 Rutgers B1G 6 3 30 27 20 27 34 28 89 1.50 20 Yale Ivy 5 2 7 5 12 2 2 2 6 1.50 21 Boston Universit Patriot 6 2 23 25 21 20 29 22 71 0.00 22 Harvard Ivy 6 2 17 24 14 18 25 13 56 0.00 23 High Point Atlantic 10 6 4 31 51 26 30 30 30 90 0.00 24 Ohio State B1G 5 5 29 19 32 21 13 27 61 0.00 25 Penn Ivy 6 3 20 10 18 16 19 20 55 0.00 26 Providence Big East 4 5 37 33 47 39 39 50 128 0.00 27 Delaware CAA 4 3 25 28 30 25 22 25 72 0.00 28 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 5 47 31 45 45 37 38 120 0.00 29 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 4 4 34 47 46 50 58 47 155 0.00 30 Navy Patriot 5 4 26 22 29 26 24 26 76 0.00 31 Quinnipiac MAAC 7 0 24 66 6 24 65 9 98 0.00 32 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 5 3 27 20 28 19 17 21 57 0.00 33 Towson CAA 6 3 14 21 24 22 26 29 77 0.00 34 Air Force ASUN 4 4 51 49 44 44 50 40 134 0.00 35 Albany America East 3 5 32 32 49 49 43 44 136 0.00 36 Bellarmine ASUN 6 4 40 68 36 52 68 37 157 0.00 37 Binghamton America East 3 5 63 67 55 61 64 56 181 0.00 38 Brown Ivy 1 7 39 6 62 37 12 61 110 0.00 39 Bucknell Patriot 2 7 57 37 69 56 38 66 160 0.00 40 Canisius MAAC 2 7 66 59 70 63 54 70 187 0.00 41 Cleveland State ASUN 5 3 61 65 33 42 63 34 139 0.00 42 Colgate Patriot 6 3 19 12 15 17 20 10 47 0.00 43 Dartmouth Ivy 3 5 54 42 51 57 56 51 164 0.00 44 Detroit Mercy ASUN 0 7 73 61 73 75 69 72 216 0.00 45 Drexel CAA 4 5 33 30 41 34 31 46 111 0.00 46 Fairfield CAA 4 5 49 45 52 55 57 52 164 0.00 47 Hampton CAA 0 8 76 64 76 76 70 76 222 0.00 48 Hofstra CAA 3 6 55 48 66 58 51 63 172 0.00 49 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 2 6 64 50 63 67 61 67 195 0.00 50 Jacksonville ASUN 5 3 44 53 31 33 41 31 105 0.00 51 Lafayette Patriot 4 4 42 52 42 41 49 41 131 0.00 52 Le Moyne D1 Independent 2 6 62 57 58 66 60 54 180 0.00 53 Lehigh Patriot 4 4 35 23 37 28 21 35 84 0.00 54 Lindenwood ASUN 0 6 75 70 68 71 47 69 187 0.00 55 LIU MAAC 6 1 52 76 17 46 76 18 140 0.00 56 Manhattan MAAC 2 6 53 39 53 59 44 57 160 0.00 57 Marist MAAC 4 4 50 62 50 48 55 49 152 0.00 58 Marquette Big East 4 5 43 43 43 47 48 45 140 0.00 59 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 7 74 54 72 74 62 73 209 0.00 60 Mercer ASUN 2 6 65 63 64 65 59 64 188 0.00 61 Merrimack America East 3 6 58 41 65 43 32 65 140 0.00 62 Monmouth CAA 4 4 41 46 40 36 36 39 111 0.00 63 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 8 69 56 74 69 52 75 196 0.00 64 NJIT America East 7 2 56 73 27 51 75 23 149 0.00 65 Queens ASUN 2 5 72 74 59 72 74 60 206 0.00 66 Robert Morris ASUN 2 6 68 60 60 68 66 62 196 0.00 67 Sacred Heart MAAC 5 4 45 69 48 60 72 48 180 0.00 68 Siena MAAC 3 5 59 71 56 62 67 58 187 0.00 69 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 6 71 72 67 73 71 68 212 0.00 70 St Johns (NY) Big East 3 7 60 55 71 53 40 71 164 0.00 71 Stony Brook CAA 3 6 46 44 61 54 46 59 159 0.00 72 UMBC America East 3 3 36 34 35 38 45 42 125 0.00 73 Utah ASUN 4 4 38 35 39 35 35 36 106 0.00 74 Vermont America East 3 6 48 29 57 40 28 53 121 0.00 75 VMI MAAC 4 5 67 75 54 64 73 55 192 0.00 76 Wagner MAAC 1 8 70 58 75 70 53 74 197 0.00