List of Probabilities for MEN D1
 

MEN D1 Championship Probabilties

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Virginia ACC 10 2 2 10 3 5 10 2 17 15.50 2 Notre Dame ACC 8 1 1 4 1 1 11 1 13 11.50 3 Duke ACC 11 3 3 5 2 2 1 4 7 10.00 4 Syracuse ACC 10 4 4 9 9 7 3 9 19 9.50 5 Johns Hopkins B1G 9 3 6 2 5 3 4 5 12 7.50 6 Cornell Ivy 7 4 10 3 8 10 8 10 28 4.00 7 Maryland B1G 8 3 9 1 6 6 5 7 18 4.00 8 Towson CAA 9 3 14 41 14 22 29 15 66 4.00 9 Yale Ivy 10 2 7 17 7 9 16 6 31 4.00 10 Denver Big East 9 2 8 13 4 4 7 3 14 3.50 11 Penn State B1G 8 3 5 7 10 8 12 8 28 3.00 12 Georgetown Big East 8 3 11 14 11 11 15 11 37 2.50 13 Harvard Ivy 7 4 19 21 18 17 23 19 59 2.50 14 Army West Point Patriot 9 2 12 30 12 14 36 12 62 2.00 15 Navy Patriot 7 5 27 23 30 26 19 30 75 2.00 16 Ohio State B1G 6 7 16 12 23 15 2 26 43 2.00 17 Richmond Atlantic 10 8 4 17 31 15 24 28 14 66 2.00 18 Loyola (MD) Patriot 6 6 26 15 33 21 13 33 67 1.50 19 Princeton Ivy 7 4 13 18 19 19 31 18 68 1.50 20 Delaware CAA 7 3 21 44 17 28 63 17 108 0.00 21 Michigan B1G 6 6 20 11 22 16 6 22 44 0.00 22 Penn Ivy 8 4 15 8 13 12 9 13 34 0.00 23 Boston Universit Patriot 7 5 25 22 32 23 20 32 75 0.00 24 Bryant America East 7 4 28 45 37 29 44 37 110 0.00 25 High Point Atlantic 10 7 6 34 46 36 34 25 35 94 0.00 26 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 6 5 36 48 38 46 59 40 145 0.00 27 North Carolina ACC 6 6 22 24 31 27 18 31 76 0.00 28 Providence Big East 6 6 30 28 39 32 32 38 102 0.00 29 Sacred Heart MAAC 10 4 35 69 34 38 51 36 125 0.00 30 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 8 3 18 27 16 13 24 16 53 0.00 31 Villanova Big East 7 5 23 19 28 20 21 28 69 0.00 32 Air Force ASUN 8 4 42 55 29 35 54 29 118 0.00 33 Albany America East 5 6 32 34 45 40 41 41 122 0.00 34 Bellarmine ASUN 9 5 45 73 35 49 57 34 140 0.00 35 Binghamton America East 6 5 59 67 41 58 73 39 170 0.00 36 Brown Ivy 2 9 39 6 56 36 14 52 102 0.00 37 Bucknell Patriot 4 8 53 40 63 60 49 62 171 0.00 38 Canisius MAAC 5 9 67 71 66 65 58 66 189 0.00 39 Cleveland State ASUN 7 6 62 64 42 50 53 42 145 0.00 40 Colgate Patriot 7 5 24 16 21 18 17 21 56 0.00 41 Dartmouth Ivy 3 8 50 26 53 55 38 55 148 0.00 42 Detroit Mercy ASUN 2 9 70 63 68 71 72 68 211 0.00 43 Drexel CAA 5 7 43 35 47 42 33 51 126 0.00 44 Fairfield CAA 6 6 46 43 46 44 42 47 133 0.00 45 Hampton CAA 0 11 76 53 74 76 66 74 216 0.00 46 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 8 52 29 54 53 43 56 152 0.00 47 Hofstra CAA 4 9 54 37 64 56 39 65 160 0.00 48 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 2 9 65 36 67 66 55 67 188 0.00 49 Jacksonville ASUN 9 4 40 65 24 37 50 24 111 0.00 50 Lafayette Patriot 5 6 44 42 48 45 48 46 139 0.00 51 Le Moyne D1 Independent 2 7 64 50 55 67 71 53 191 0.00 52 Lehigh Patriot 6 6 33 25 40 31 26 44 101 0.00 53 Lindenwood ASUN 0 10 75 66 72 73 64 72 209 0.00 54 LIU MAAC 9 3 56 75 25 47 75 25 147 0.00 55 Manhattan MAAC 5 8 51 47 58 41 30 61 132 0.00 56 Marist MAAC 7 6 55 62 49 43 46 48 137 0.00 57 Marquette Big East 4 8 47 38 51 54 35 54 143 0.00 58 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 10 74 54 73 75 70 73 218 0.00 59 Mercer ASUN 2 10 71 58 71 68 52 71 191 0.00 60 Merrimack America East 5 7 61 51 59 48 47 58 153 0.00 61 Monmouth CAA 5 6 48 59 50 61 68 49 178 0.00 62 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 13 68 56 75 69 45 76 190 0.00 63 NJIT America East 7 5 57 70 43 59 74 43 176 0.00 64 Queens ASUN 2 9 72 74 69 74 76 70 220 0.00 65 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 3 38 68 26 33 61 27 121 0.00 66 Robert Morris ASUN 4 8 66 61 62 64 62 60 186 0.00 67 Rutgers B1G 7 5 29 20 27 25 22 23 70 0.00 68 Siena MAAC 6 7 58 72 60 62 60 59 181 0.00 69 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 9 69 57 70 70 65 69 204 0.00 70 St Johns (NY) Big East 4 9 60 39 65 51 27 64 142 0.00 71 Stony Brook CAA 4 8 37 33 61 52 34 63 149 0.00 72 UMBC America East 4 5 49 52 44 57 69 45 171 0.00 73 Utah ASUN 8 4 31 49 20 30 40 20 90 0.00 74 Vermont America East 5 7 41 32 52 39 37 50 126 0.00 75 VMI MAAC 7 7 63 76 57 63 67 57 187 0.00 76 Wagner MAAC 1 13 73 60 76 72 56 75 203 0.00