List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cornell Ivy 10 1 1 12 2 4 19 3 26 27.50
2 Penn St B1G 9 3 4 5 5 3 4 5 12 16.00
3 Maryland B1G 10 2 3 1 1 2 3 1 6 15.50
4 No. Carolina ACC 9 2 6 17 7 5 16 6 27 11.00
5 Army Patriot 10 1 2 24 8 7 22 7 36 10.50
6 Notre Dame ACC 6 3 5 7 10 8 9 10 27 7.50
7 Princeton Ivy 9 2 8 2 3 1 2 2 5 5.00
8 Syracuse ACC 9 3 7 10 6 9 11 9 29 2.50
9 Harvard Ivy 9 2 9 18 9 6 17 8 31 2.00
10 Ohio St B1G 11 2 10 22 4 11 21 4 36 1.50
11 Colgate Patriot 6 6 15 11 30 22 14 30 66 0.00
12 Duke ACC 9 4 13 15 11 10 7 11 28 0.00
13 Air Force ASUN 4 7 50 39 53 46 32 50 128 0.00
14 Albany America East 5 8 32 30 54 47 42 59 148 0.00
15 Bellarmine ASUN 7 7 59 66 48 54 53 48 155 0.00
16 Binghamton America East 4 7 55 48 57 53 50 56 159 0.00
17 Boston Univ Patriot 8 4 21 28 17 19 27 18 64 0.00
18 Brown Ivy 3 8 38 13 58 33 15 54 102 0.00
19 Bryant America East 7 4 36 49 33 49 69 29 147 0.00
20 Bucknell Patriot 5 7 48 43 59 55 56 57 168 0.00
21 Canisius MAAC 6 8 63 68 61 63 58 61 182 0.00
22 Cleveland St NEC 4 8 64 54 55 56 34 58 148 0.00
23 Dartmouth Ivy 7 4 28 27 22 21 31 20 72 0.00
24 Delaware CAA 6 5 42 42 41 38 38 41 117 0.00
25 Denver Big East 7 5 19 23 23 23 23 21 67 0.00
26 Detroit NEC 3 6 72 70 52 58 57 51 166 0.00
27 Drexel CAA 6 6 46 51 46 48 41 46 135 0.00
28 Fairfield CAA 11 1 22 53 12 15 51 12 78 0.00
29 Georgetown Big East 7 4 17 20 20 27 46 25 98 0.00
30 Hampton CAA 0 13 77 67 77 77 65 77 219 0.00
31 High Point Atlantic 10 5 7 49 34 49 36 26 49 111 0.00
32 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 9 56 32 62 51 24 62 137 0.00
33 Hofstra CAA 7 5 44 47 40 39 39 34 112 0.00
34 Holy Cross Patriot 3 10 60 38 70 65 36 70 171 0.00
35 Iona MAAC 2 11 73 60 75 68 45 75 188 0.00
36 Jacksonville ASUN 7 4 43 50 21 43 55 19 117 0.00
37 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 7 16 3 26 17 5 26 48 0.00
38 Lafayette Patriot 8 4 30 40 24 31 47 28 106 0.00
39 Le Moyne NEC 8 4 62 73 36 52 70 35 157 0.00
40 Lehigh Patriot 5 7 24 14 42 25 10 42 77 0.00
41 LIU NEC 8 3 53 76 27 50 74 22 146 0.00
42 Loyola Patriot 3 10 40 21 65 57 35 65 157 0.00
43 Manhattan MAAC 5 7 58 56 56 62 64 55 181 0.00
44 Marist MAAC 6 6 52 63 50 59 68 52 179 0.00
45 Marquette Big East 6 5 39 35 31 37 52 36 125 0.00
46 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 9 3 26 41 16 24 48 16 88 0.00
47 Mass-Lowell America East 4 7 65 69 60 69 77 60 206 0.00
48 Mercer ASUN 2 9 71 65 66 70 67 67 204 0.00
49 Mercyhurst NEC 1 10 75 74 73 73 66 73 212 0.00
50 Merrimack MAAC 2 9 69 58 71 71 71 71 213 0.00
51 Michigan B1G 7 5 14 16 14 13 8 14 35 0.00
52 Monmouth CAA 4 8 61 64 63 66 62 63 191 0.00
53 Mt St Marys MAAC 3 9 68 72 68 72 73 68 213 0.00
54 Navy Patriot 7 6 29 26 37 29 20 40 89 0.00
55 NJIT America East 1 9 74 55 72 76 72 72 220 0.00
56 Penn Ivy 4 8 25 8 43 28 13 44 85 0.00
57 Providence Big East 5 7 31 25 47 44 25 47 116 0.00
58 Queens ASUN 3 9 70 75 69 74 75 69 218 0.00
59 Quinnipiac MAAC 2 10 67 52 74 67 54 74 195 0.00
60 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 3 11 29 13 12 18 13 43 0.00
61 Robert Morris NEC 8 4 51 62 25 35 49 23 107 0.00
62 Rutgers B1G 6 8 23 9 34 18 1 31 50 0.00
63 Sacred Heart MAAC 9 2 37 61 15 26 63 15 104 0.00
64 Siena MAAC 7 4 35 59 39 41 60 37 138 0.00
65 St Bonnies Atlantic 10 5 9 66 57 64 60 43 64 167 0.00
66 St Johns Big East 4 9 57 46 67 64 44 66 174 0.00
67 St Josephs Atlantic 10 9 3 12 37 18 16 30 17 63 0.00
68 Stony Brook CAA 6 6 45 45 45 40 29 43 112 0.00
69 Towson CAA 7 5 33 36 35 34 33 32 99 0.00
70 UMBC America East 6 3 41 44 28 30 59 27 116 0.00
71 Utah ASUN 4 7 34 31 51 45 28 53 126 0.00
72 Vermont America East 4 6 47 33 44 42 37 45 124 0.00
73 Villanova Big East 6 5 27 19 32 32 40 38 110 0.00
74 Virginia ACC 5 7 18 4 29 20 6 33 59 0.00
75 VMI NEC 8 4 54 77 38 61 76 39 176 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 1 11 76 71 76 75 61 76 212 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 5 5 20 6 19 14 12 24 50 0.00