List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cornell Ivy 14 1 1 13 2 2 6 2 10 39.40
2 Maryland B1G 12 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 20.45
3 Notre Dame ACC 8 4 3 8 11 10 12 11 33 7.75
4 Princeton Ivy 12 3 6 4 4 3 2 3 8 7.60
5 Penn St B1G 10 5 5 2 6 5 4 7 16 5.90
6 Syracuse ACC 11 5 7 7 5 6 3 6 15 4.10
7 No. Carolina ACC 10 4 9 10 8 9 15 8 32 3.60
8 Ohio St B1G 14 2 8 20 3 4 18 4 26 3.45
9 Richmond Atlantic 10 13 3 10 28 9 8 21 12 41 2.80
10 Duke ACC 12 5 11 11 7 7 5 5 17 2.10
11 Harvard Ivy 10 4 12 12 12 11 16 10 37 1.40
12 Georgetown Big East 10 5 14 24 18 24 43 22 89 0.00
13 Colgate Patriot 10 7 13 18 17 15 10 16 41 0.00
14 Air Force ASUN 9 7 40 42 42 31 24 40 95 0.00
15 Albany America East 7 8 33 34 44 45 51 45 141 0.00
16 Army Patriot 12 2 4 26 10 12 29 9 50 0.00
17 Bellarmine ASUN 8 9 61 63 53 59 48 54 161 0.00
18 Binghamton America East 5 8 53 45 56 53 50 55 158 0.00
19 Boston Univ Patriot 11 5 18 22 14 13 19 15 47 0.00
20 Brown Ivy 3 10 38 16 58 38 22 57 117 0.00
21 Bryant America East 9 4 39 49 19 44 74 21 139 0.00
22 Bucknell Patriot 5 9 46 37 57 55 35 59 149 0.00
23 Canisius MAAC 6 10 64 69 65 66 64 65 195 0.00
24 Cleveland St NEC 4 10 70 54 61 60 41 61 162 0.00
25 Dartmouth Ivy 8 5 25 25 20 22 37 17 76 0.00
26 Delaware CAA 7 6 42 44 40 42 47 41 130 0.00
27 Denver Big East 7 7 22 23 36 29 23 36 88 0.00
28 Detroit NEC 5 6 69 73 43 58 69 42 169 0.00
29 Drexel CAA 7 7 49 47 51 49 38 49 136 0.00
30 Fairfield CAA 12 2 26 52 13 17 62 13 92 0.00
31 Hampton CAA 0 15 77 65 77 77 58 77 212 0.00
32 High Point Atlantic 10 7 9 41 30 45 30 20 50 100 0.00
33 Hobart Atlantic 10 5 9 54 36 52 47 25 56 128 0.00
34 Hofstra CAA 8 6 47 53 41 46 45 37 128 0.00
35 Holy Cross Patriot 4 11 56 35 66 62 30 66 158 0.00
36 Iona MAAC 2 13 73 66 75 72 54 75 201 0.00
37 Jacksonville ASUN 9 5 44 48 21 40 52 19 111 0.00
38 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 8 15 3 22 18 17 25 60 0.00
39 Lafayette Patriot 10 6 23 32 31 27 27 26 80 0.00
40 Le Moyne NEC 9 5 62 71 38 48 66 38 152 0.00
41 Lehigh Patriot 5 10 27 14 48 32 7 47 86 0.00
42 LIU NEC 9 4 55 75 27 43 70 27 140 0.00
43 Loyola Patriot 3 11 36 19 59 57 28 63 148 0.00
44 Manhattan MAAC 6 9 60 59 60 63 59 58 180 0.00
45 Marist MAAC 8 8 52 60 54 54 53 52 159 0.00
46 Marquette Big East 7 7 34 31 39 36 42 43 121 0.00
47 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 9 6 37 39 25 35 39 30 104 0.00
48 Mass-Lowell America East 4 9 66 68 64 70 76 62 208 0.00
49 Mercer ASUN 2 11 72 61 70 69 63 71 203 0.00
50 Mercyhurst NEC 2 11 75 76 71 74 67 69 210 0.00
51 Merrimack MAAC 3 10 68 62 68 71 75 68 214 0.00
52 Michigan B1G 7 7 17 17 15 16 13 18 47 0.00
53 Monmouth CAA 5 9 58 56 62 64 46 60 170 0.00
54 Mt St Marys MAAC 4 10 63 72 67 68 71 67 206 0.00
55 Navy Patriot 8 7 29 27 33 33 26 39 98 0.00
56 NJIT America East 1 11 74 50 73 75 72 73 220 0.00
57 Penn Ivy 4 10 24 9 49 34 14 48 96 0.00
58 Providence Big East 7 8 28 29 50 41 33 51 125 0.00
59 Queens ASUN 3 11 71 70 72 73 73 72 218 0.00
60 Quinnipiac MAAC 3 12 67 55 74 67 57 74 198 0.00
61 Robert Morris NEC 9 6 51 64 34 37 40 31 108 0.00
62 Rutgers B1G 7 9 20 15 32 20 9 33 62 0.00
63 Sacred Heart MAAC 12 3 43 67 16 28 60 14 102 0.00
64 Siena MAAC 11 4 31 58 23 21 31 20 72 0.00
65 St Bonnies Atlantic 10 6 10 65 57 63 61 61 64 186 0.00
66 St Johns Big East 4 11 59 43 69 65 56 70 191 0.00
67 St Josephs Atlantic 10 9 6 19 33 37 23 34 34 91 0.00
68 Stony Brook CAA 7 7 45 51 46 51 44 46 141 0.00
69 Towson CAA 9 5 32 38 26 25 32 23 80 0.00
70 UMBC America East 7 4 48 46 28 39 68 28 135 0.00
71 Utah ASUN 6 9 35 40 55 50 36 53 139 0.00
72 Vermont America East 5 7 50 41 47 52 49 44 145 0.00
73 Villanova Big East 9 6 30 21 29 26 55 32 113 0.00
74 Virginia ACC 6 8 16 5 24 14 8 24 46 0.00
75 VMI NEC 10 4 57 77 30 56 77 29 162 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 1 13 76 74 76 76 65 76 217 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 5 8 21 6 35 19 11 35 65 0.00