List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 10 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 6 38.89
2 Richmond Atlantic 10 12 1 2 27 4 5 12 5 22 23.33
3 Princeton Ivy 11 2 4 6 3 3 8 3 14 8.89
4 Penn State B1G 7 5 5 7 17 15 11 17 43 7.78
5 Cornell Ivy 10 3 8 11 6 7 9 6 22 4.44
6 North Carolina ACC 11 3 3 3 2 2 1 2 5 4.44
7 Syracuse ACC 11 4 6 1 5 4 2 4 10 4.44
8 Duke ACC 9 4 7 13 7 8 10 8 26 3.33
9 Army West Point Patriot 11 3 12 28 14 12 27 10 49 1.11
10 Ohio State B1G 10 4 16 21 10 17 28 12 57 1.11
11 Virginia ACC 8 6 9 5 15 9 3 14 26 1.11
12 Yale Ivy 9 4 15 16 11 13 17 15 45 1.11
13 Air Force ASUN 6 7 43 32 43 33 30 44 107 0.00
14 Albany America East 8 6 36 38 32 28 33 34 95 0.00
15 Bellarmine ASUN 5 11 57 44 61 52 22 63 137 0.00
16 Binghamton America East 2 11 66 57 73 73 62 73 208 0.00
17 Boston Universit Patriot 8 5 21 22 24 19 32 24 75 0.00
18 Brown Ivy 6 7 30 26 33 34 19 32 85 0.00
19 Bryant America East 7 5 53 59 39 58 76 40 174 0.00
20 Bucknell Patriot 8 6 38 45 44 41 44 41 126 0.00
21 Canisius MAAC 3 11 71 73 72 74 71 72 217 0.00
22 Cleveland State NEC 6 7 62 66 54 59 64 54 177 0.00
23 Colgate Patriot 5 8 34 15 46 36 20 43 99 0.00
24 Dartmouth Ivy 4 9 33 17 51 37 18 51 106 0.00
25 Delaware Atlantic 10 5 8 50 31 53 51 40 53 144 0.00
26 Denver Big East 6 7 23 19 36 30 25 36 91 0.00
27 Detroit Mercy NEC 3 10 67 60 67 69 55 67 191 0.00
28 Drexel CAA 9 5 32 48 31 35 47 31 113 0.00
29 Fairfield CAA 4 10 48 46 65 61 46 65 172 0.00
30 Georgetown Big East 8 4 10 14 16 14 15 16 45 0.00
31 Hampton CAA 0 12 77 64 76 76 74 76 226 0.00
32 Harvard Ivy 9 4 13 12 8 11 16 7 34 0.00
33 High Point Atlantic 10 6 7 31 24 34 22 14 35 71 0.00
34 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 10 56 35 62 57 37 60 154 0.00
35 Hofstra CAA 4 10 55 51 66 62 39 66 167 0.00
36 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 6 8 47 37 55 48 42 55 145 0.00
37 Iona MAAC 2 15 74 50 77 66 31 77 174 0.00
38 Jacksonville ASUN 8 5 19 42 27 32 45 30 107 0.00
39 Johns Hopkins B1G 8 4 14 8 9 6 7 9 22 0.00
40 Lafayette Patriot 5 9 46 39 59 56 48 59 163 0.00
41 Le Moyne NEC 4 11 72 72 71 70 61 71 202 0.00
42 Lehigh Patriot 7 7 24 29 40 31 24 37 92 0.00
43 LIU NEC 10 3 54 75 22 43 75 22 140 0.00
44 Loyola Patriot 9 5 26 20 23 18 23 20 61 0.00
45 Manhattan MAAC 4 10 70 69 68 67 60 68 195 0.00
46 Marist MAAC 9 4 51 63 28 39 58 28 125 0.00
47 Marquette Big East 6 7 39 33 42 45 41 45 131 0.00
48 Maryland B1G 7 5 11 4 12 10 5 11 26 0.00
49 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 10 5 35 40 25 26 38 26 90 0.00
50 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 10 73 61 70 75 73 70 218 0.00
51 Mercer ASUN 6 7 59 47 47 46 34 47 127 0.00
52 Mercyhurst NEC 2 12 76 77 75 77 77 75 229 0.00
53 Merrimack MAAC 6 8 60 56 56 53 50 56 159 0.00
54 Michigan B1G 5 8 25 9 37 25 13 38 76 0.00
55 Monmouth CAA 6 6 52 67 48 54 65 48 167 0.00
56 Mount St Marys MAAC 3 10 69 68 69 68 67 69 204 0.00
57 Navy Patriot 7 7 28 30 41 27 26 42 95 0.00
58 NJIT America East 5 8 58 55 57 60 57 57 174 0.00
59 Penn Ivy 7 6 18 10 19 16 6 19 41 0.00
60 Providence Big East 7 8 37 34 52 47 43 52 142 0.00
61 Queens ASUN 4 9 68 70 60 71 72 62 205 0.00
62 Quinnipiac MAAC 5 9 65 65 63 63 59 61 183 0.00
63 Robert Morris NEC 12 3 40 58 13 24 49 13 86 0.00
64 Rutgers B1G 8 7 27 18 29 23 21 29 73 0.00
65 Sacred Heart MAAC 11 3 44 71 20 38 69 21 128 0.00
66 Siena MAAC 11 4 45 62 30 42 63 27 132 0.00
67 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 10 63 53 64 64 52 64 180 0.00
68 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 12 61 41 74 72 70 74 216 0.00
69 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 6 5 22 25 26 21 29 25 75 0.00
70 Stony Brook CAA 8 5 42 54 35 44 51 33 128 0.00
71 Towson CAA 10 3 17 36 18 20 35 18 73 0.00
72 UMBC America East 6 6 49 52 49 50 56 46 152 0.00
73 Utah ASUN 9 4 20 43 21 29 54 23 106 0.00
74 Vermont America East 6 6 41 49 38 49 53 39 141 0.00
75 Villanova Big East 6 7 29 23 45 40 36 49 125 0.00
76 VMI NEC 7 6 64 74 50 55 66 50 171 0.00
77 Wagner NEC 5 8 75 76 58 65 68 58 191 0.00