List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cornell Ivy 16 1 1 13 1 1 4 1 6 32.65
2 Notre Dame ACC 9 5 2 5 8 8 5 7 20 13.65
3 Maryland B1G 13 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 5 13.40
4 Army Patriot 12 2 4 27 9 12 34 9 55 9.65
5 Penn St B1G 12 4 5 1 4 3 6 5 14 9.20
6 Princeton Ivy 13 4 6 4 6 4 2 3 9 4.75
7 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 4 7 24 7 7 10 8 25 3.75
8 Syracuse ACC 13 5 8 7 5 5 3 4 12 3.60
9 No. Carolina ACC 10 5 9 10 11 10 15 12 37 2.75
10 Ohio St B1G 14 3 10 20 3 6 17 6 29 1.75
11 Duke ACC 12 6 13 12 10 9 8 10 27 1.20
12 Colgate Patriot 10 8 12 15 18 14 7 18 39 1.15
13 Virginia ACC 6 8 16 6 23 15 14 23 52 0.00
14 Georgetown Big East 11 6 14 21 17 16 29 16 61 0.00
15 Harvard Ivy 10 5 11 11 12 11 9 11 31 0.00
16 Michigan B1G 7 7 17 18 15 20 18 17 55 0.00
17 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 8 15 3 22 18 16 22 56 0.00
18 Boston Univ Patriot 11 5 18 23 14 13 23 15 51 0.00
19 Rutgers B1G 7 9 20 16 31 21 12 34 67 0.00
20 Navy Patriot 8 7 29 28 33 32 28 38 98 0.00
21 Towson CAA 9 6 32 35 30 24 24 24 72 0.00
22 Yale Ivy 5 8 21 8 35 19 11 36 66 0.00
23 Air Force ASUN 9 8 41 40 42 31 22 41 94 0.00
24 Albany America East 8 9 33 29 44 37 25 45 107 0.00
25 Bellarmine ASUN 8 9 61 64 53 59 53 53 165 0.00
26 Binghamton America East 5 8 54 45 56 53 51 57 161 0.00
27 Brown Ivy 3 10 38 17 58 39 19 54 112 0.00
28 Bryant America East 9 4 39 49 19 45 74 21 140 0.00
29 Bucknell Patriot 5 9 45 38 57 54 38 58 150 0.00
30 Canisius MAAC 6 10 64 69 65 66 66 65 197 0.00
31 Cleveland St NEC 4 10 70 54 61 61 43 61 165 0.00
32 Dartmouth Ivy 8 5 25 26 20 22 42 19 83 0.00
33 Delaware CAA 7 6 42 44 40 41 48 40 129 0.00
34 Denver Big East 7 7 22 25 36 30 27 33 90 0.00
35 Detroit NEC 5 6 69 73 43 58 69 43 170 0.00
36 Drexel CAA 7 7 49 47 51 49 37 51 137 0.00
37 Fairfield CAA 12 2 26 51 13 17 61 13 91 0.00
38 Hampton CAA 0 15 77 65 77 77 59 77 213 0.00
39 High Point Atlantic 10 7 9 40 31 45 29 21 49 99 0.00
40 Hobart Atlantic 10 5 9 53 37 52 46 26 55 127 0.00
41 Hofstra CAA 8 6 47 53 41 48 52 39 139 0.00
42 Holy Cross Patriot 4 11 56 36 66 63 33 66 162 0.00
43 Iona MAAC 2 13 73 67 75 72 54 75 201 0.00
44 Jacksonville ASUN 9 5 44 50 21 43 55 20 118 0.00
45 Lafayette Patriot 10 6 24 33 29 27 30 25 82 0.00
46 Le Moyne NEC 9 5 62 71 38 47 65 37 149 0.00
47 Lehigh Patriot 5 10 27 14 48 33 13 47 93 0.00
48 LIU NEC 9 4 55 75 25 44 70 28 142 0.00
49 Loyola Patriot 3 11 35 19 59 57 32 62 151 0.00
50 Manhattan MAAC 6 9 60 59 60 62 58 59 179 0.00
51 Marist MAAC 8 8 52 60 54 56 56 56 168 0.00
52 Marquette Big East 7 7 34 32 39 38 44 42 124 0.00
53 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 9 6 37 39 24 34 40 31 105 0.00
54 Mass-Lowell America East 4 9 66 68 64 68 76 63 207 0.00
55 Mercer ASUN 2 11 72 61 70 70 63 71 204 0.00
56 Mercyhurst NEC 2 11 75 76 71 74 67 70 211 0.00
57 Merrimack MAAC 3 10 68 62 68 71 75 68 214 0.00
58 Monmouth CAA 5 9 58 58 62 64 47 60 171 0.00
59 Mt St Marys MAAC 4 10 63 72 67 69 73 67 209 0.00
60 NJIT America East 1 11 74 48 73 75 72 73 220 0.00
61 Penn Ivy 4 10 23 9 49 35 20 48 103 0.00
62 Providence Big East 7 8 28 30 50 42 35 50 127 0.00
63 Queens ASUN 3 11 71 70 72 73 71 72 216 0.00
64 Quinnipiac MAAC 3 12 67 56 74 67 57 74 198 0.00
65 Robert Morris NEC 9 6 51 63 34 36 36 32 104 0.00
66 Sacred Heart MAAC 12 3 43 66 16 28 62 14 104 0.00
67 Siena MAAC 11 5 31 55 32 25 31 29 85 0.00
68 St Bonnies Atlantic 10 6 10 65 57 63 60 60 64 184 0.00
69 St Johns Big East 4 11 59 43 69 65 49 69 183 0.00
70 St Josephs Atlantic 10 9 6 19 34 37 23 39 35 97 0.00
71 Stony Brook CAA 7 7 46 52 46 52 46 46 144 0.00
72 UMBC America East 7 4 48 46 26 40 68 26 134 0.00
73 Utah ASUN 6 9 36 41 55 51 41 52 144 0.00
74 Vermont America East 5 7 50 42 47 50 45 44 139 0.00
75 Villanova Big East 9 6 30 22 27 26 50 30 106 0.00
76 VMI NEC 10 4 57 77 28 55 77 27 159 0.00
77 Wagner NEC 1 13 76 74 76 76 64 76 216 0.00