List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 12 2 1 5 2 1 6 2 9 28.89
2 Princeton Ivy 15 2 2 8 1 2 8 1 11 20.00
3 Penn State B1G 10 6 4 7 10 10 4 8 22 13.33
4 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 2 5 23 5 5 12 5 22 8.89
5 Duke ACC 11 4 3 10 6 6 9 6 21 7.78
6 Virginia ACC 10 7 8 4 8 7 1 9 17 4.44
7 Maryland B1G 7 6 12 3 15 13 11 15 39 3.33
8 North Carolina ACC 13 5 6 2 3 3 2 3 8 3.33
9 Syracuse ACC 13 5 7 1 4 4 3 4 11 3.33
10 Army West Point Patriot 13 4 11 25 14 12 22 13 47 2.22
11 Georgetown Big East 11 5 10 15 11 11 13 11 35 2.22
12 Harvard Ivy 9 5 14 11 13 15 17 12 44 1.11
13 Utah ASUN 9 5 20 42 25 35 56 29 120 1.11
14 Air Force ASUN 7 8 42 31 42 29 21 45 95 0.00
15 Albany America East 11 6 32 35 20 24 26 20 70 0.00
16 Bellarmine ASUN 5 11 56 44 59 51 30 63 144 0.00
17 Binghamton America East 2 11 66 58 73 73 65 73 211 0.00
18 Boston Universit Patriot 8 6 23 24 30 21 35 30 86 0.00
19 Brown Ivy 6 7 29 29 32 38 33 31 102 0.00
20 Bryant America East 7 6 55 59 43 59 74 42 175 0.00
21 Bucknell Patriot 8 7 38 46 44 45 49 44 138 0.00
22 Canisius MAAC 3 11 71 74 72 74 70 72 216 0.00
23 Cleveland State NEC 6 8 62 67 55 57 57 55 169 0.00
24 Colgate Patriot 6 9 36 18 45 36 27 43 106 0.00
25 Cornell Ivy 11 5 9 9 7 8 5 7 20 0.00
26 Dartmouth Ivy 4 9 31 16 46 41 28 46 115 0.00
27 Delaware Atlantic 10 5 8 51 33 50 52 48 48 148 0.00
28 Denver Big East 6 8 22 17 34 34 31 37 102 0.00
29 Detroit Mercy NEC 3 10 67 63 66 69 59 67 195 0.00
30 Drexel CAA 9 6 35 48 35 37 47 34 118 0.00
31 Fairfield CAA 4 10 49 47 64 60 53 64 177 0.00
32 Hampton CAA 0 12 77 66 76 76 76 76 228 0.00
33 High Point Atlantic 10 6 8 30 27 37 27 16 35 78 0.00
34 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 10 57 37 61 56 43 59 158 0.00
35 Hofstra CAA 4 10 54 53 65 61 44 65 170 0.00
36 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 6 8 48 38 54 49 50 54 153 0.00
37 Iona MAAC 2 15 74 50 77 65 37 77 179 0.00
38 Jacksonville ASUN 11 6 17 39 21 23 24 23 70 0.00
39 Johns Hopkins B1G 10 6 15 6 9 9 10 10 29 0.00
40 Lafayette Patriot 5 9 46 41 58 58 54 57 169 0.00
41 Le Moyne NEC 4 11 72 72 71 70 67 71 208 0.00
42 Lehigh Patriot 8 8 24 28 39 30 20 38 88 0.00
43 LIU NEC 11 4 53 75 26 42 66 26 134 0.00
44 Loyola Patriot 10 6 26 20 24 18 29 24 71 0.00
45 Manhattan MAAC 4 10 70 69 68 66 68 68 202 0.00
46 Marist MAAC 12 5 44 56 22 22 19 21 62 0.00
47 Marquette Big East 6 7 41 34 38 48 52 40 140 0.00
48 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 10 6 33 36 27 28 34 25 87 0.00
49 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 10 73 64 70 75 75 70 220 0.00
50 Mercer ASUN 6 8 58 43 47 47 39 52 138 0.00
51 Mercyhurst NEC 2 12 76 77 75 77 77 75 229 0.00
52 Merrimack MAAC 7 9 59 57 57 53 46 58 157 0.00
53 Michigan B1G 5 9 25 12 40 31 15 39 85 0.00
54 Monmouth CAA 6 7 52 62 51 55 63 49 167 0.00
55 Mount St Marys MAAC 3 10 68 68 69 68 69 69 206 0.00
56 Navy Patriot 7 7 28 30 36 32 36 36 104 0.00
57 NJIT America East 4 9 60 55 62 62 62 60 184 0.00
58 Ohio State B1G 10 4 16 21 12 17 38 14 69 0.00
59 Penn Ivy 7 6 18 13 18 16 14 19 49 0.00
60 Providence Big East 8 9 37 32 48 44 41 50 135 0.00
61 Queens ASUN 4 9 69 70 60 71 72 61 204 0.00
62 Quinnipiac MAAC 5 10 64 65 67 63 58 66 187 0.00
63 Robert Morris NEC 14 4 43 60 17 25 32 17 74 0.00
64 Rutgers B1G 8 7 27 19 28 26 23 28 77 0.00
65 Sacred Heart MAAC 11 4 45 71 29 40 64 27 131 0.00
66 Siena MAAC 12 5 47 61 31 39 51 32 122 0.00
67 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 10 63 54 63 64 61 62 187 0.00
68 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 12 61 45 74 72 71 74 217 0.00
69 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 7 6 21 22 23 20 18 22 60 0.00
70 Stony Brook CAA 10 6 40 51 33 33 25 33 91 0.00
71 Towson CAA 11 4 19 40 19 19 40 18 77 0.00
72 UMBC America East 6 7 50 52 52 50 55 51 156 0.00
73 Vermont America East 7 7 39 49 41 46 45 41 132 0.00
74 Villanova Big East 6 8 34 26 49 43 42 47 132 0.00
75 VMI NEC 7 7 65 73 53 54 60 53 167 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 5 8 75 76 56 67 73 56 196 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 9 6 13 14 16 14 7 16 37 0.00