List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cornell Ivy 18 1 1 10 1 1 2 1 4 37.00
2 Maryland B1G 14 4 2 2 2 2 1 2 5 17.00
3 Army West Point Patriot 12 2 4 27 9 12 34 9 55 11.20
4 Notre Dame ACC 9 5 3 7 8 8 6 7 21 9.60
5 Penn State B1G 12 5 5 1 4 3 5 6 14 6.80
6 Syracuse ACC 13 6 8 3 6 5 3 4 12 4.00
7 Princeton Ivy 13 4 6 5 5 4 4 3 11 3.40
8 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 4 7 24 7 6 9 8 23 3.00
9 North Carolina ACC 10 5 9 11 11 9 15 12 36 1.80
10 Ohio State B1G 14 3 10 20 3 7 19 5 31 1.60
11 Virginia ACC 6 8 16 6 23 15 14 23 52 1.20
12 Colgate Patriot 10 8 12 16 18 14 7 18 39 0.00
13 Duke ACC 12 6 13 13 10 10 8 10 28 0.00
14 Harvard Ivy 10 5 11 12 12 11 12 11 34 0.00
15 Georgetown Big East 11 6 14 21 17 16 29 16 61 0.00
16 Lehigh Patriot 5 10 27 14 48 32 11 47 90 0.00
17 Michigan B1G 7 7 17 18 15 19 20 17 56 0.00
18 Penn Ivy 4 10 23 9 49 35 18 48 101 0.00
19 Yale Ivy 5 8 21 8 35 18 10 36 64 0.00
20 Air Force ASUN 9 8 41 40 42 31 22 41 94 0.00
21 Albany America East 8 9 33 29 44 36 24 45 105 0.00
22 Bellarmine ASUN 8 9 61 64 53 59 53 53 165 0.00
23 Binghamton America East 5 8 54 45 56 53 50 57 160 0.00
24 Boston Universit Patriot 11 5 18 23 14 13 23 15 51 0.00
25 Brown Ivy 3 10 38 17 58 39 16 54 109 0.00
26 Bryant America East 9 4 39 49 19 45 74 21 140 0.00
27 Bucknell Patriot 5 9 45 38 57 54 36 58 148 0.00
28 Canisius MAAC 6 10 64 69 65 66 66 65 197 0.00
29 Cleveland State NEC 4 10 70 54 61 61 43 61 165 0.00
30 Dartmouth Ivy 8 5 25 26 20 21 41 19 81 0.00
31 Delaware CAA 7 6 42 44 40 42 48 40 130 0.00
32 Denver Big East 7 7 22 25 36 30 27 33 90 0.00
33 Detroit Mercy NEC 5 6 69 73 43 58 69 43 170 0.00
34 Drexel CAA 7 7 49 47 51 49 35 51 135 0.00
35 Fairfield CAA 12 2 26 51 13 17 61 13 91 0.00
36 Hampton CAA 0 15 77 65 77 77 58 77 212 0.00
37 High Point Atlantic 10 7 9 40 31 45 29 21 49 99 0.00
38 Hobart Atlantic 10 5 9 53 37 52 46 26 55 127 0.00
39 Hofstra CAA 8 6 47 53 41 48 51 39 138 0.00
40 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 4 11 56 36 66 62 33 66 161 0.00
41 Iona MAAC 2 13 73 68 75 72 54 75 201 0.00
42 Jacksonville ASUN 9 5 44 50 21 43 56 20 119 0.00
43 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 8 15 4 22 20 17 22 59 0.00
44 Lafayette Patriot 10 6 24 33 29 27 31 25 83 0.00
45 Le Moyne NEC 9 5 62 71 38 47 65 37 149 0.00
46 LIU NEC 9 4 55 75 25 44 70 28 142 0.00
47 Loyola Patriot 3 11 35 19 59 57 32 62 151 0.00
48 Manhattan MAAC 6 9 60 59 60 63 59 59 181 0.00
49 Marist MAAC 8 8 52 60 54 56 55 56 167 0.00
50 Marquette Big East 7 7 34 32 39 38 44 42 124 0.00
51 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 9 6 37 39 24 34 38 31 103 0.00
52 Massachusetts-Lo America East 4 9 66 66 64 68 76 63 207 0.00
53 Mercer ASUN 2 11 72 61 70 70 63 71 204 0.00
54 Mercyhurst NEC 2 11 75 76 71 74 67 70 211 0.00
55 Merrimack MAAC 3 10 68 62 68 71 75 68 214 0.00
56 Monmouth CAA 5 9 58 58 62 64 47 60 171 0.00
57 Mount St Marys MAAC 4 10 63 72 67 69 73 67 209 0.00
58 Navy Patriot 8 7 29 28 33 33 28 38 99 0.00
59 NJIT America East 1 11 74 48 73 75 72 73 220 0.00
60 Providence Big East 7 8 28 30 50 41 37 50 128 0.00
61 Queens ASUN 3 11 71 70 72 73 71 72 216 0.00
62 Quinnipiac MAAC 3 12 67 56 74 67 57 74 198 0.00
63 Robert Morris NEC 9 6 51 63 34 37 39 32 108 0.00
64 Rutgers B1G 7 9 20 15 31 22 13 34 69 0.00
65 Sacred Heart MAAC 12 3 43 67 16 28 62 14 104 0.00
66 Siena MAAC 11 5 31 55 32 25 30 29 84 0.00
67 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 6 10 65 57 63 60 60 64 184 0.00
68 St Johns (NY) Big East 4 11 59 43 69 65 49 69 183 0.00
69 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 9 6 19 34 37 23 40 35 98 0.00
70 Stony Brook CAA 7 7 46 52 46 51 45 46 142 0.00
71 Towson CAA 9 6 32 35 30 24 25 24 73 0.00
72 UMBC America East 7 4 48 46 26 40 68 26 134 0.00
73 Utah ASUN 6 9 36 41 55 52 42 52 146 0.00
74 Vermont America East 5 7 50 42 47 50 46 44 140 0.00
75 Villanova Big East 9 6 30 22 27 26 52 30 108 0.00
76 VMI NEC 10 4 57 77 28 55 77 27 159 0.00
77 Wagner NEC 1 13 76 74 76 76 64 76 216 0.00