Conf = ACC ------ State = C
Mascot = Tar Heels ------ Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.3250732 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Jacksonville ASUN (11- 6, 95.4) 11-10 213 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 92.7) 20- 9 215 H Iona MAAC ( 2-15, 84.0) 23- 7 220 H Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 6, 96.3) 17- 9 227 A Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 95.2) 11- 9 301 A Princeton Ivy (14- 2, 99.2) 9-11 307 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 92.9) 19- 7 314 N Penn State B1G (10- 5, 99.1) 10- 8 321 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 4, 97.5) 12-11 329 N Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 96.3) 17- 7 404 H Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 14- 9 411 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 2, 99.9) 5-10 418 A Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 16-15 425 H Duke ACC (10- 4, 98.6) 12-16 501 N Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 12-10 503 N Virginia ACC (10- 7, 98.0) 6-16 509 H Albany America East (11- 6, 92.7) 24- 6 516 N Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 98.3) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Jacksonville 11-10 1 3 - -2.93 213 H High Point 20- 9 11 6 0.39 215 H Iona 23- 7 16 15 0.00 220 H Johns Hopkins 17- 9 8 3 + 3.99 227 A Penn 11- 9 2 2 -0.19 301 A Princeton 9-11 -2 -1 -0.18 307 H Brown 19- 7 12 6 0.54 314 N Penn State 10- 8 2 0 + 2.72 321 H Army West Point 12-11 1 1 -0.83 329 N Harvard 17- 7 10 2 ++ 4.96 404 H Syracuse 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.04 411 A Notre Dame 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.47 418 A Virginia 16-15 1 0 1.62 425 H Duke 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.69 501 N Syracuse 12-10 2 0 + 2.01 503 N Virginia 6-16 -10 0 --- -7.35 509 H Albany 24- 6 18 6 0.35 516 N Syracuse 11-13 -2 0 -1.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.34 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.88 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7090 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 2 RPI Rating............... .6629 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 8.9 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 8 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 135. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 140. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0