Conf = WCLL Div 1 (South
Nickname = CA Mustangs Coach = Morgan WeiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.2697449 home-field advantage = -0.88 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 204 A USC SLC Div 1 ( 3- 9, 88.3) 10- 7 209 H San Diego State SLC Div 1 (14- 3, 95.2) 8-14 217 A Grand Canyon SLC Div 1 ( 4- 7, 88.9) 15-12 218 A Arizona State SLC Div 1 (10- 7, 95.1) 9-14 224 H Chapman SLC Div 1 (13- 4, 95.5) 5-14 303 A Santa Clara WCLL Div 1 (S ( 3- 8, 88.5) 12- 9 309 A Sonoma State WCLL Div 1 (N ( 9- 7, 88.9) 16- 8 310 H Stanford WCLL Div 1 (S ( 6- 8, 87.5) 13- 5 316 H UC Berkeley WCLL Div 1 (N (10- 6, 93.4) 15-11 327 A Boston College CLC Div 1 ( 5- 8, 89.5) 16-12 329 A New Hampshire CLC Div 1 ( 7- 6, 88.6) 12- 7 407 H Arizona (D1) SLC Div 1 ( 6- 7, 92.4) 8-13 413 A UC Santa Barbara WCLL Div 1 (S (12- 3, 95.2) 11-12 427 N UC Berkeley WCLL Div 1 (N (10- 6, 93.4) 15-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A USC 10- 7 3 3 -0.10 209 H San Diego State 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.01 217 A Grand Canyon 15-12 3 2 0.45 218 A Arizona State 9-14 -5 -3 -1.34 224 H Chapman 5-14 -9 -2 -- -4.62 303 A Santa Clara 12- 9 3 2 0.13 309 A Sonoma State 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.48 310 H Stanford 13- 5 8 5 1.35 316 H UC Berkeley 15-11 4 0 ++ 4.26 327 A Boston College 16-12 4 1 + 2.06 329 A New Hampshire 12- 7 5 2 + 2.20 407 H Arizona (D1) 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.76 413 A UC Santa Barbara 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.81 427 N UC Berkeley 15-18 -3 -1 -1.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H San Diego State 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.01 224 H Chapman 5-14 -9 -2 -- -4.62 407 H Arizona (D1) 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.76OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Sonoma State 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.48 316 H UC Berkeley 15-11 4 0 ++ 4.26 327 A Boston College 16-12 4 1 + 2.06 329 A New Hampshire 12- 7 5 2 + 2.20 413 A UC Santa Barbara 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.81
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.30 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.18 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 16 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5884 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 21 RPI Rating............... .5420 RPI Rank................... 21 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 13 Selection sum ........... 67 Selection Rank ............ 20 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 25 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 25 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0