Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC
Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9679184 home-field advantage = -0.84 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 N Mercer ASUN ( 2- 6, 86.7) 13- 5 217 N Fairfield CAA ( 4- 5, 90.4) 19- 8 224 H Johns Hopkins B1G ( 5- 3, 98.9) 9-13 301 H Princeton Ivy ( 5- 3, 97.1) 9-15 303 H Penn Ivy ( 6- 3, 95.2) 13- 9 309 A Hofstra CAA ( 3- 6, 89.8) 21- 9 312 A Wagner MAAC ( 1- 8, 85.4) 18- 4 316 A Stony Brook CAA ( 3- 6, 90.9) 12- 8 323 H High Point A10 ( 6- 4, 93.1) 11-12 330 H Army Patriot ( 7- 1, 97.0) 406 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 1, 99.9) 413 H Syracuse ACC ( 9- 2, 99.2) 420 A Notre Dame ACC ( 5- 1, 99.3) 427 H Duke ACC ( 8- 2, 99.3)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 N Mercer 13- 5 8 8 0.00 217 N Fairfield 19- 8 11 4 + 2.48 224 H Johns Hopkins 9-13 -4 -3 -0.87 301 H Princeton 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.69 303 H Penn 13- 9 4 0 + 3.39 309 A Hofstra 21- 9 12 4 + 2.63 312 A Wagner 18- 4 14 8 0.00 316 A Stony Brook 12- 8 4 3 0.74 323 H High Point 11-12 -1 2 - -3.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Princeton 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.69 323 H High Point 11-12 -1 2 - -3.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 N Fairfield 19- 8 11 4 + 2.48 303 H Penn 13- 9 4 0 + 3.39 309 A Hofstra 21- 9 12 4 + 2.63
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.96 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.39 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 38 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4806 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 43 RPI Rating............... .5272 RPI Rank................... 32 Champ. Probability ...... 4.5 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 98 Selection Rank ............ 32 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 24 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 23 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7