2007 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 23 0 1 22 1 1 2 1 4 55.00 2 Nazareth Empire 8 16 3 8 19 2 3 3 2 8 1.00 3 Gettysburg Centennial 16 3 4 1 4 2 4 4 10 15.00 4 Cortland SUNYAC 15 6 10 3 11 4 1 12 17 10.00 5 Wesleyan NESCAC 18 3 11 21 3 5 9 5 19 3.00 6 Ithaca Empire 8 16 4 16 16 6 9 5 6 20 1.00 7 Tufts NESCAC 13 4 21 6 10 6 7 11 24 0.10 8 Roanoke Old Dominion 15 5 14 4 15 8 6 15 29 2.00 9 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 4 6 9 14 7 8 17 32 7.00 10 RIT Empire 8 14 3 13 36 8 10 20 7 37 0.10 11 Cabrini Pennsylvania 15 3 23 70 7 16 16 8 40 0.10 12 Stevens Skyline 16 4 18 64 16 13 12 16 41 0.10 13 Western New Engl Pilgrim 17 1 15 62 5 11 31 3 45 0.10 14 Washington Colle Centennial 11 6 25 2 27 12 13 26 51 0.10 15 Middlebury NESCAC 11 7 19 8 42 14 11 27 52 2.00 16 Geneseo SUNYAC 9 5 26 17 19 18 18 18 54 0.10 17 Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion 12 3 17 29 12 17 29 14 60 2.00 18 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 12 4 33 34 17 25 22 19 66 0.10 19 Haverford Centennial 8 6 27 5 29 20 15 32 67 0.10 20 Villa Julie Capital 11 5 28 45 21 29 17 22 68 0.10 21 Widener Middle Atlanti 13 6 35 48 31 28 10 30 68 0.10 22 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 9 6 9 23 24 24 21 25 70 0.10 23 Merchant Marine Skyline 13 4 39 74 25 27 26 20 73 0.10 24 Denison North Coast 11 4 22 39 22 23 32 23 78 0.10 25 St. Lawrence Liberty 14 2 7 37 9 19 53 9 81 0.10 26 Dickinson Centennial 9 6 31 18 36 22 28 36 86 0.10 27 Endicott Commonwealth 14 3 20 80 18 21 56 13 90 0.10 28 St. Mary's Capital 12 6 29 53 33 34 23 33 90 2.00 29 Bowdoin NESCAC 7 8 47 7 50 31 14 53 98 0.10 30 Williams NESCAC 8 6 32 10 44 30 34 35 99 0.10 31 St. John Fisher Empire 8 10 7 41 56 40 41 27 38 106 0.10 32 Messiah Middle Atlanti 11 5 34 68 37 35 40 37 112 0.10 33 Trinity NESCAC 9 6 38 30 34 32 46 34 112 0.10 34 Amherst NESCAC 7 8 46 12 60 33 25 58 116 0.10 35 Kenyon North Coast 12 2 24 66 20 26 70 21 117 0.10 36 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 10 5 30 57 26 39 55 29 123 0.10 37 Springfield Pilgrim 8 9 48 49 59 44 19 62 125 0.10 38 Ursinus Centennial 9 5 36 33 30 40 54 31 125 0.10 39 Wesley Pennsylvania 10 7 57 83 55 38 35 57 130 0.10 40 Eastern Connecti Little East 8 9 68 38 94 37 24 73 134 0.10 41 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 6 7 44 14 57 36 43 61 140 0.10 42 Oneonta SUNYAC 12 5 42 61 28 43 69 28 140 0.10 43 Hartwick Empire 8 7 8 54 27 54 51 36 55 142 0.10 44 Keene State Little East 16 1 2 100 13 15 117 10 142 0.10 45 Montclair State Skyline 11 7 37 88 65 47 39 56 142 0.10 46 Mount Ida North Atlantic 13 4 71 123 23 46 75 24 145 0.10 47 McDaniel Centennial 8 6 40 40 41 54 52 42 148 0.10 48 Muhlenberg Centennial 6 6 49 24 48 48 59 49 156 0.10 49 Swarthmore Centennial 5 7 55 13 63 42 51 66 159 0.10 50 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 9 52 20 82 49 33 78 160 0.10 51 Hamilton Liberty 5 9 61 28 76 61 30 75 166 0.10 52 Gordon Commonwealth 8 8 73 65 61 56 44 68 168 0.10 53 Wooster North Coast 8 4 45 59 35 45 84 39 168 0.10 54 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 8 62 35 52 58 49 64 171 0.10 55 Bates NESCAC 6 6 43 41 49 55 74 45 174 0.10 56 Kean Skyline 11 7 89 104 58 63 61 51 175 0.10 57 Fairleigh Dickin Middle Atlanti 8 8 74 67 88 62 42 83 187 0.10 58 Skidmore Liberty 7 8 50 31 73 53 48 86 187 0.10 59 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 9 6 56 94 43 68 73 47 188 0.10 60 Plymouth State Little East 11 6 75 97 51 52 90 50 192 0.10 61 Mass-Boston Little East 7 7 91 90 84 59 65 69 193 0.10 62 Goucher Capital 9 8 59 32 64 65 66 63 194 0.10 63 Whittier Independent 4 7 3 15 56 57 85 54 196 0.10 64 Clarkson Liberty 6 10 51 26 93 60 38 99 197 0.10 65 Rensselaer Liberty 10 5 12 60 32 50 112 43 205 0.10 66 Colby NESCAC 3 10 69 11 103 71 41 95 207 0.10 67 Elizabethtown Middle Atlanti 10 5 58 92 45 66 98 44 208 0.10 68 Roger Williams Commonwealth 8 7 67 95 66 64 80 65 209 0.10 69 Mary Washington Capital 6 9 64 50 89 76 45 89 210 0.10 70 Western Connecti Little East 10 8 79 98 81 72 67 71 210 0.10 71 Elmira Empire 8 4 8 88 25 74 70 68 74 212 0.10 72 Babson Pilgrim 7 7 76 82 68 69 88 60 217 0.10 73 Brockport SUNYAC 7 6 66 85 46 78 93 46 217 0.10 74 Saint Vincent Independent 4 8 5 47 78 83 50 85 218 0.10 75 Greensboro Independent 5 9 53 52 85 73 57 93 223 0.10 76 Utica College Empire 8 6 8 77 69 70 82 76 70 228 0.10 77 York Capital 5 8 81 43 92 77 64 90 231 0.10 78 Marymount Capital 5 11 90 42 100 89 37 106 232 0.10 79 MIT Pilgrim 7 7 86 105 72 67 95 76 238 0.10 80 Catholic Capital 5 10 95 54 102 90 47 102 239 0.10 81 Union Liberty 5 9 65 46 91 84 58 97 239 0.10 82 Alfred Empire 8 6 7 80 91 53 92 96 52 240 0.10 83 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 6 9 78 58 90 87 60 94 241 0.10 84 Castleton North Atlantic 10 5 60 131 47 74 122 48 244 0.10 85 Drew Middle Atlanti 8 8 70 81 87 79 77 88 244 0.10 86 Lasell Pilgrim 6 9 87 84 104 81 71 101 253 0.10 87 Stockton Skyline 7 6 83 118 62 85 109 59 253 0.10 88 Salve Regina Commonwealth 7 9 92 93 101 75 72 107 254 0.10 89 Keuka Independent 7 5 63 106 38 95 119 41 255 0.10 90 Shenandoah Pennsylvania 9 4 97 130 39 93 128 40 261 0.10 91 Colorado College Independent 5 7 82 55 71 88 97 77 262 0.10 92 Wittenberg North Coast 6 6 72 72 67 86 104 72 262 0.10 93 Guilford Old Dominion 3 10 103 44 106 97 63 109 269 0.10 94 Wentworth Tech. Commonwealth 7 7 98 117 80 91 106 87 284 0.10 95 Wheaton Pilgrim 4 9 96 73 112 94 86 104 284 0.10 96 Mass-Dartmouth Little East 6 9 102 114 109 99 89 103 291 0.10 97 Maritime Skyline 6 7 99 121 83 100 113 81 294 0.10 98 New England Coll Commonwealth 4 9 110 96 111 98 87 110 295 0.10 99 Eastern Pennsylvania 7 10 84 87 98 80 118 100 298 0.10 100 Oswego SUNYAC 3 11 94 63 117 102 79 122 303 0.10 101 Scranton Middle Atlanti 7 9 85 101 107 101 94 108 303 0.10 102 Lycoming Middle Atlanti 4 10 93 75 120 104 83 117 304 0.10 103 Daniel Webster North Atlantic 7 6 119 135 69 109 130 67 306 0.10 104 Curry Commonwealth 6 10 100 108 116 96 91 121 308 0.10 105 Neumann Pennsylvania 1 13 136 79 135 111 62 135 308 0.10 106 Washington & Jef Independent 3 11 106 76 124 105 78 125 308 0.10 107 Misericordia Pennsylvania 6 7 108 126 86 107 121 84 312 0.10 108 Mass. Maritime Pilgrim 4 8 105 110 99 103 114 98 315 0.10 109 Fontbonne Independent 4 6 112 107 75 108 129 79 316 0.10 110 Farmingdale Skyline 5 10 109 111 119 106 99 116 321 0.10 111 Thomas North Atlantic 4 6 126 133 79 114 134 82 330 0.10 112 Clark Pilgrim 6 8 120 128 96 117 124 91 332 0.10 113 Moravian Middle Atlanti 2 14 118 78 136 116 81 136 333 0.10 114 Vassar Liberty 2 13 121 71 133 110 92 133 335 0.10 115 Susquehanna Middle Atlanti 3 11 101 86 126 112 102 124 338 0.10 116 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 4 6 114 136 77 130 133 80 343 0.10 117 Christopher Newp Independent 4 9 113 99 108 113 120 111 344 0.10 118 Oberlin North Coast 3 10 116 103 123 115 107 123 345 0.10 119 DeSales Middle Atlanti 7 9 107 125 105 118 123 105 346 0.10 120 Hood Capital 0 15 134 51 138 126 82 138 346 0.10 121 Emerson North Atlantic 4 7 128 134 95 127 131 92 350 0.10 122 Centenary Skyline 3 12 124 115 130 123 101 130 354 0.10 123 Nichols Commonwealth 2 12 104 116 125 120 108 126 354 0.10 124 U. of New Englan Commonwealth 2 12 127 89 131 124 100 131 355 0.10 125 Alvernia Pennsylvania 5 10 123 129 122 122 116 119 357 0.10 126 Manhattanville Skyline 5 10 117 124 121 125 115 118 358 0.10 127 Norwich Pilgrim 3 10 122 120 114 121 125 114 360 0.10 128 Mount St. Joseph Independent 1 12 131 77 127 128 105 129 362 0.10 129 Mt. St. Vincent Skyline 2 12 132 119 132 131 103 132 366 0.10 130 Southern Maine Little East 3 10 111 112 115 119 135 113 367 0.10 131 Johnson State North Atlantic 3 7 130 137 97 136 138 96 370 0.10 132 King's Middle Atlanti 2 13 115 102 134 129 110 134 373 0.10 133 Medaille Independent 3 9 125 127 113 132 132 115 379 0.10 134 Cazenovia Independent 1 14 129 109 137 135 111 137 383 0.10 135 Immaculata Pennsylvania 0 11 135 122 129 133 126 127 386 0.10 136 Mitchell Independent 1 9 137 138 110 138 137 112 387 0.10 137 Morrisville Independent 1 11 133 113 128 134 127 128 389 0.10 138 Becker North Atlantic 1 9 138 132 118 137 136 120 393 0.10