2007 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke ACC 17 3 2 4 1 1 1 1 3 13.00 2 Johns Hopkins Independent 13 4 5 1 3 2 2 2 6 9.00 3 Cornell Ivy League 15 1 1 7 2 3 7 3 13 47.00 4 Albany America East 15 3 3 18 6 4 8 4 16 5.00 5 Virginia ACC 12 4 8 9 4 6 6 5 17 5.00 6 North Carolina ACC 10 6 14 3 7 7 3 10 20 1.00 7 Delaware Colonial 13 6 9 23 14 10 5 7 22 0.10 8 Maryland ACC 10 6 13 12 9 11 4 8 23 1.00 9 Georgetown ECAC 12 3 10 10 5 5 13 6 24 1.00 10 Navy Patriot 11 4 7 27 8 8 12 9 29 1.00 11 Princeton Ivy League 10 4 6 13 10 9 18 11 38 6.00 12 UMBC America East 11 6 16 20 15 14 10 15 39 1.00 13 Loyola ECAC 7 6 18 5 17 13 14 16 43 0.10 14 Notre Dame Great Western 11 4 4 21 12 12 19 12 43 5.00 15 Colgate Patriot 11 5 11 31 13 16 16 13 45 0.10 16 Syracuse Independent 5 8 22 2 23 17 9 21 47 0.10 17 Drexel Colonial 11 5 19 38 11 20 26 14 60 0.10 18 Dartmouth Ivy League 5 10 34 6 33 23 11 34 68 1.00 19 Stony Brook America East 8 5 30 34 20 18 31 19 68 0.10 20 Penn Ivy League 6 7 28 15 26 22 20 29 71 0.10 21 Towson Colonial 9 7 17 8 18 15 39 17 71 2.00 22 Yale Ivy League 7 6 20 25 21 21 30 22 73 0.10 23 Denver Great Western 9 7 25 37 25 28 24 24 76 0.10 24 Bucknell Patriot 11 4 12 41 16 19 40 18 77 0.10 25 Army Patriot 6 9 32 14 29 32 15 32 79 0.10 26 Rutgers ECAC 7 6 24 22 22 24 34 23 81 0.10 27 Binghamton America East 4 9 37 17 37 34 17 33 84 0.10 28 Hofstra Colonial 6 8 27 28 30 33 21 30 84 0.10 29 Ohio State Great Western 9 5 15 42 19 27 37 20 84 0.10 30 Brown Ivy League 7 7 23 29 24 31 28 27 86 0.10 31 Penn State ECAC 5 8 31 19 35 30 22 36 88 1.00 32 Fairfield ECAC 6 6 26 32 27 26 38 25 89 0.10 33 Harvard Ivy League 5 7 33 11 34 25 29 35 89 0.10 34 Massachusetts ECAC 7 7 21 26 31 29 33 28 90 1.00 35 Lehigh Patriot 4 9 38 24 40 35 23 42 100 0.10 36 Hobart ECAC 5 9 36 33 43 36 32 40 108 0.10 37 Mount St. Mary's Metro Atlantic 4 10 53 44 45 42 25 43 110 0.10 38 Bellarmine Great Western 3 10 47 30 41 41 27 46 114 0.10 39 Villanova Colonial 7 7 29 43 32 38 46 31 115 0.10 40 St. John's ECAC 5 8 39 35 46 37 45 39 121 0.10 41 Vermont America East 4 10 49 36 50 40 35 47 122 0.10 42 Siena Metro Atlantic 10 6 35 56 28 43 55 26 124 0.10 43 Air Force Great Western 2 10 46 16 47 39 36 51 126 0.10 44 Holy Cross Patriot 6 8 40 47 39 45 47 41 133 0.10 45 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 8 44 51 38 48 49 37 134 0.10 46 Providence Metro Atlantic 7 10 45 49 48 44 44 48 136 0.10 47 Quinnipiac Great Western 6 7 42 50 36 49 51 38 138 0.10 48 Sacred Heart Colonial 4 8 41 46 42 47 48 44 139 0.10 49 Saint Joseph's Metro Atlantic 6 12 50 48 52 46 43 52 141 0.10 50 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 6 8 43 52 44 50 50 45 145 0.10 51 Hartford America East 2 13 54 40 55 51 42 55 148 0.10 52 Lafayette Patriot 1 12 51 39 53 53 41 54 148 0.10 53 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 9 48 55 51 52 53 50 155 0.10 54 Robert Morris Colonial 3 9 52 45 49 54 52 49 155 0.10 55 VMI Metro Atlantic 2 12 55 53 54 55 56 53 164 0.10 56 Wagner Metro Atlantic 0 15 56 54 56 56 54 56 166 0.10