Conf = Little East                Region = North        State = CT
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Jason Ouellet           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.4597855    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Vassar                 Liberty       ( 2-13, 60.8)    10- 2   
 314 H Trinity                NESCAC        ( 9- 6, 78.4)     4-13   
 321 A Maritime               Skyline       ( 6- 7, 66.7)    14- 5   
 326 H Wesleyan               NESCAC        (18- 3, 85.5)     1-18   
 328 A Manhattanville         Skyline       ( 5-10, 62.4)    18- 5   
 331 H Plymouth State         Little East   (11- 6, 71.1)     4- 6   
 401 A Nichols                Commonwealth  ( 2-12, 64.9)    12- 8   
 404 H Eastern Connecticut    Little East   ( 8- 9, 72.2)    14-15   
 405 H Castleton              North Atlanti (10- 5, 73.6)    14- 5   
 407 H Southern Maine         Little East   ( 3-10, 63.7)    21- 4   
 411 A Mitchell               Independent   ( 1- 9, 41.7)    20- 1   
 414 A Keene State            Little East   (16- 1, 91.7)     3-16   
 421 H Mass-Boston            Little East   ( 7- 7, 68.0)     9- 6   
 424 H Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 5- 9, 75.6)     4-11   
 428 A Mass-Dartmouth         Little East   ( 6- 9, 65.2)    12- 9   
 501 H Mass-Dartmouth         Little East   ( 6- 9, 65.2)    11- 7   
 503 A Eastern Connecticut    Little East   ( 8- 9, 72.2)    11-21   
 512 N Roger Williams         Commonwealth  ( 8- 7, 72.5)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Vassar                 10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   314 H Trinity                 4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   321 A Maritime               14- 5       9     2    +++    6.54
   326 H Wesleyan                1-18     -17   -13           0.00
   328 A Manhattanville         18- 5      13     6    +      3.27
   331 H Plymouth State          4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.78
   401 A Nichols                12- 8       4     4          -0.28
   404 H Eastern Connecticut    14-15      -1     0          -0.65
   405 H Castleton              14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.72
   407 H Southern Maine         21- 4      17     8           1.78
   411 A Mitchell               20- 1      19    27           0.00
   414 A Keene State             3-16     -13   -22           0.00
   421 H Mass-Boston             9- 6       3     3          -0.87
   424 H Connecticut College     4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.30
   428 A Mass-Dartmouth         12- 9       3     3          -0.93
   501 H Mass-Dartmouth         11- 7       4     6    -     -2.66
   503 A Eastern Connecticut    11-21     -10    -3    ---   -6.92
   512 N Roger Williams         12-14      -2    -1          -0.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Eastern Connecticut    11-21     -10    -3    ---   -6.92
   305 H Vassar                 10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   314 H Trinity                 4-13      -9    -6    -     -2.46
   331 H Plymouth State          4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.78
   424 H Connecticut College     4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.30
   501 H Mass-Dartmouth         11- 7       4     6    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Maritime               14- 5       9     2    +++    6.54
   405 H Castleton              14- 5       9    -1    +++   10.72
   328 A Manhattanville         18- 5      13     6    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.51 Local Power Rank...........    79
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.94 Local SOS Rank.............    98
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    72
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   130
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    81
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/