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Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jason OuelletGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.4597855 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Vassar Liberty ( 2-13, 60.8) 10- 2 314 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 6, 78.4) 4-13 321 A Maritime Skyline ( 6- 7, 66.7) 14- 5 326 H Wesleyan NESCAC (18- 3, 85.5) 1-18 328 A Manhattanville Skyline ( 5-10, 62.4) 18- 5 331 H Plymouth State Little East (11- 6, 71.1) 4- 6 401 A Nichols Commonwealth ( 2-12, 64.9) 12- 8 404 H Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 8- 9, 72.2) 14-15 405 H Castleton North Atlanti (10- 5, 73.6) 14- 5 407 H Southern Maine Little East ( 3-10, 63.7) 21- 4 411 A Mitchell Independent ( 1- 9, 41.7) 20- 1 414 A Keene State Little East (16- 1, 91.7) 3-16 421 H Mass-Boston Little East ( 7- 7, 68.0) 9- 6 424 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 75.6) 4-11 428 A Mass-Dartmouth Little East ( 6- 9, 65.2) 12- 9 501 H Mass-Dartmouth Little East ( 6- 9, 65.2) 11- 7 503 A Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 8- 9, 72.2) 11-21 512 N Roger Williams Commonwealth ( 8- 7, 72.5) 12-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Vassar 10- 2 8 11 - -2.00 314 H Trinity 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.46 321 A Maritime 14- 5 9 2 +++ 6.54 326 H Wesleyan 1-18 -17 -13 0.00 328 A Manhattanville 18- 5 13 6 + 3.27 331 H Plymouth State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.78 401 A Nichols 12- 8 4 4 -0.28 404 H Eastern Connecticut 14-15 -1 0 -0.65 405 H Castleton 14- 5 9 -1 +++ 10.72 407 H Southern Maine 21- 4 17 8 1.78 411 A Mitchell 20- 1 19 27 0.00 414 A Keene State 3-16 -13 -22 0.00 421 H Mass-Boston 9- 6 3 3 -0.87 424 H Connecticut College 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.30 428 A Mass-Dartmouth 12- 9 3 3 -0.93 501 H Mass-Dartmouth 11- 7 4 6 - -2.66 503 A Eastern Connecticut 11-21 -10 -3 --- -6.92 512 N Roger Williams 12-14 -2 -1 -0.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Eastern Connecticut 11-21 -10 -3 --- -6.92 305 H Vassar 10- 2 8 11 - -2.00 314 H Trinity 4-13 -9 -6 - -2.46 331 H Plymouth State 4- 6 -2 0 - -2.78 424 H Connecticut College 4-11 -7 -3 - -3.30 501 H Mass-Dartmouth 11- 7 4 6 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Maritime 14- 5 9 2 +++ 6.54 405 H Castleton 14- 5 9 -1 +++ 10.72 328 A Manhattanville 18- 5 13 6 + 3.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.51 Local Power Rank........... 79 Local SOS Rating......... 41.94 Local SOS Rank............. 98 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 72 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 130 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 81 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7