Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = John Haus               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5787354    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 N Ohio State             Great Western ( 9- 5, 89.7)    14-10   
 224 H Denver                 Great Western ( 9- 7, 86.7)    11- 8   
 225 H Dartmouth              Ivy League    ( 5-10, 84.4)    12- 6   
 302 A Navy                   Patriot       (11- 4, 92.8)     8-19   
 307 H Bellarmine             Great Western ( 3-10, 79.9)    10- 6   
 310 H Notre Dame             Great Western (11- 4, 94.5)    11- 8   
 313 H Vermont                America East  ( 4-10, 79.6)    13- 6   
 317 H Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 96.2)     7- 9   
 324 A Maryland               ACC           (10- 6, 90.3)     8-14   
 331 H Johns Hopkins          Independent   (13- 4, 94.3)    13-10   
 407 A Virginia               ACC           (12- 4, 92.6)     9-10  o
 415 A Fairfield              ECAC          ( 6- 6, 85.8)    12- 8   
 421 H Providence             Metro Atlanti ( 7-10, 80.3)    15- 5   
 427 A Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 96.2)     9-13   
 512 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 4, 92.8)    12- 8   
 520 N Duke                   ACC           (17- 3, 96.2)    11-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 N Ohio State             14-10       4     0    +      3.48
   224 H Denver                 11- 8       3     5    -     -2.08
   225 H Dartmouth              12- 6       6     7          -1.43
   302 A Navy                    8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.81
   307 H Bellarmine             10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   310 H Notre Dame             11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.75
   313 H Vermont                13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   317 H Duke                    7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.40
   324 A Maryland                8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.31
   331 H Johns Hopkins          13-10       3    -2    ++     5.53
   407 A Virginia                9-10  o   -1    -4    +      3.05
   415 A Fairfield              12- 8       4     2           1.24
   421 H Providence             15- 5      10    11           0.00
   427 A Duke                    9-13      -4    -7    +      3.60
   512 H Navy                   12- 8       4     0    ++     4.99
   520 N Duke                   11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Bellarmine             10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   302 A Navy                    8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.81
   324 A Maryland                8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.31
   224 H Denver                 11- 8       3     5    -     -2.08
   313 H Vermont                13- 6       7    12    -     -3.00
   520 N Duke                   11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Notre Dame             11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.75
   331 H Johns Hopkins          13-10       3    -2    ++     5.53
   512 H Navy                   12- 8       4     0    ++     4.99
   217 N Ohio State             14-10       4     0    +      3.48
   317 H Duke                    7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.40
   407 A Virginia                9-10  o   -1    -4    +      3.05
   427 A Duke                    9-13      -4    -7    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.19 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.40 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/