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Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = John HausGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5787354 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 N Ohio State Great Western ( 9- 5, 89.7) 14-10 224 H Denver Great Western ( 9- 7, 86.7) 11- 8 225 H Dartmouth Ivy League ( 5-10, 84.4) 12- 6 302 A Navy Patriot (11- 4, 92.8) 8-19 307 H Bellarmine Great Western ( 3-10, 79.9) 10- 6 310 H Notre Dame Great Western (11- 4, 94.5) 11- 8 313 H Vermont America East ( 4-10, 79.6) 13- 6 317 H Duke ACC (17- 3, 96.2) 7- 9 324 A Maryland ACC (10- 6, 90.3) 8-14 331 H Johns Hopkins Independent (13- 4, 94.3) 13-10 407 A Virginia ACC (12- 4, 92.6) 9-10 o 415 A Fairfield ECAC ( 6- 6, 85.8) 12- 8 421 H Providence Metro Atlanti ( 7-10, 80.3) 15- 5 427 A Duke ACC (17- 3, 96.2) 9-13 512 H Navy Patriot (11- 4, 92.8) 12- 8 520 N Duke ACC (17- 3, 96.2) 11-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 N Ohio State 14-10 4 0 + 3.48 224 H Denver 11- 8 3 5 - -2.08 225 H Dartmouth 12- 6 6 7 -1.43 302 A Navy 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.81 307 H Bellarmine 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 310 H Notre Dame 11- 8 3 -2 ++ 5.75 313 H Vermont 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00 317 H Duke 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.40 324 A Maryland 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.31 331 H Johns Hopkins 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.53 407 A Virginia 9-10 o -1 -4 + 3.05 415 A Fairfield 12- 8 4 2 1.24 421 H Providence 15- 5 10 11 0.00 427 A Duke 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.60 512 H Navy 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.99 520 N Duke 11-19 -8 -5 - -2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Bellarmine 10- 6 4 11 --- -6.00 302 A Navy 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.81 324 A Maryland 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.31 224 H Denver 11- 8 3 5 - -2.08 313 H Vermont 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00 520 N Duke 11-19 -8 -5 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Notre Dame 11- 8 3 -2 ++ 5.75 331 H Johns Hopkins 13-10 3 -2 ++ 5.53 512 H Navy 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.99 217 N Ohio State 14-10 4 0 + 3.48 317 H Duke 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.40 407 A Virginia 9-10 o -1 -4 + 3.05 427 A Duke 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.19 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 76.40 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7